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War Threat Rises As Economy Declines, Warns Paul Craig Roberts
Authored by Paul Craig Roberts,
Keynote Address to the Annual Conference of the Financial West Group, New Orleans, May 7, 2015
The defining events of our time are the collapse of the Soviet Union, 9/11, jobs offshoring, and financial deregulation. In these events we find the basis of our foreign policy problems and our economic problems.
The United States has always had a good opinion of itself, but with the Soviet collapse self-satisfaction reached new heights. We became the exceptional people, the indispensable people, the country chosen by history to exercise hegemony over the world. This neoconservative doctrine releases the US government from constraints of international law and allows Washington to use coercion against sovereign states in order to remake the world in its own image.
To protect Washington’s unique Uni-power status that resulted from the Soviet collapse, Paul Wolfowitz in 1992 penned what is known as the Wolfowitz Doctrine. This doctrine is the basis for Washington’s foreign policy. The doctrine states:
“Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, that poses a threat on the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy and requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control, be sufficient to generate global power.”
In March of this year the Council on Foreign Relations extended this doctrine to China.
Washington is now committed to blocking the rise of two large nuclear-armed countries. This commitment is the reason for the crisis that Washington has created in Ukraine and for its use as anti-Russian propaganda. China is now confronted with the Pivot to Asia and the construction of new US naval and air bases to ensure Washington’s control of the South China Sea, now defined as an area of American National Interests.
9/11 served to launch the neoconservatives’ war for hegemony in the Middle East. 9/11 also served to launch the domestic police state. While civil liberties have shriveled at home, the US has been at war for almost the entirety of the 21st century, wars that have cost us, according to Joseph Stiglitz and Linda Bilmes, at least $6 trillion dollars. These wars have gone very badly. They have destabilized governments in an important energy producing area. And the wars have vastly multiplied the “terrorists,” the quelling of which was the official reason for the wars.
Just as the Soviet collapse unleashed US hegemony, it gave rise to jobs offshoring. The Soviet collapse convinced China and India to open their massive underutilized labor markets to US capital. US corporations, with any reluctant ones pushed by large retailers and Wall Street’s threat of financing takeovers, moved manufacturing, industrial, and tradable professional service jobs, such as software engineering, abroad.
This decimated the American middle class and removed ladders of upward mobility. US GDP and tax base moved with the jobs to China and India. US real median family incomes ceased to grow and declined. Without income growth to drive the economy, Alan Greenspan resorted to an expansion of consumer debt, which has run its course. Currently there is nothing to drive the economy.
When the goods and services produced by offshored jobs are brought to the US to be sold, they enter as imports, thus worsening the trade balance. Foreigners use their trade surpluses to acquire US bonds, equities, companies, and real estate. Consequently, interests, dividends, capital gains, and rents are redirected from Americans to foreigners. This worsens the current account deficit.
In order to protect the dollar’s exchange value in the face of large current account deficits and money creation in support of the balance sheets of “banks too big to fail,” Washington has the Japanese and European central banks printing money hand over fist. The printing of yen and euros offsets the printing of dollars and thus protects the dollar’s exchange value.
The Glass-Steagall Act that separated commercial and investment banking had been somewhat eroded prior to the total repeal during the second term of the Clinton regime. This repeal, together with the failure to regulate over the counter derivatives, the removal of position limits on speculators, and the enormous financial concentration that resulted from the dead letter status of anti-trust laws, produced not free market utopia but a serious and ongoing financial crisis. The liquidity issued in behalf of this crisis has resulted in stock and bond market bubbles.
Implications, consequences, solutions:
When Russia blocked the Obama regime’s planned invasion of Syria and intended bombing of Iran, the neoconservatives realized that while they had been preoccupied with their wars in the Middle East and Africa for a decade, Putin had restored the Russian economy and military.
The first objective of the Wolfowitz doctrine–to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival–had been breached. Here was Russia telling the US “No.” The British Parliament joined in by vetoing UK participation in a US invasion of Syria. The Uni-Power status was shaken.
This redirected the attention of the neoconservatives from the Middle East to Russia. Over the previous decade Washington had invested $5 billion in financing up-and-coming politicians in Ukraine and non-governmental organizations that could be sent into the streets in protests.
When the president of Ukraine did a cost-benefit analysis of the proposed association of Ukraine with the EU, he saw that it didn’t pay and rejected it. At that point Washington called the NGOs into the streets. The neo-nazis added the violence and the government unprepared for violence collapsed.
Victoria Nuland and Geoffrey Pyatt chose the new Ukrainian government and established a vassal regime in Ukraine.
Washington hoped to use the coup to evict Russia from its Black Sea naval base, Russia’s only warm water port. However, Crimea, for centuries a part of Russia, elected to return to Russia. Washington was frustrated, but recovered from disappointment and described Crimean self-determination as Russian invasion and annexation. Washington used this propaganda to break up Europe’s economic and political relationships with Russia by pressuring Europe into sanctions against Russia.
The sanctions have had adverse impacts on Europe. Additionally, Europeans are concerned with Washington’s growing belligerence. Europe has nothing to gain from conflict with Russia and fears being pushed into war. There are indications that some European governments are considering a foreign policy independent of Washington’s.
The virulent anti-Russian propaganda and demonization of Putin has destroyed Russian confidence in the West. With the NATO commander Breedlove demanding more money, more troops, more bases on Russia’s borders, the situation is dangerous. In a direct military challenge to Moscow, Washington is seeking to incorporate both Ukraine and Georgia, two former Russian provinces, into NATO.
On the economic scene the dollar as reserve currency is a problem for the entire world. Sanctions and other forms of American financial imperialism are causing countries, including very large ones, to leave the dollar payments system. As foreign trade is increasingly conducted without recourse to the US dollar, the demand for dollars drops, but the supply has been greatly expanded as a result of Quantitative Easing. Because of offshored production and US dependence on imports, a drop in the dollar’s exchange value would result in domestic inflation, further lowering US living standards and threatening the rigged, stock, bond, and precious metal markets.
The real reason for Quantitative Easing is to support the banks’ balance sheets. However, the official reason is to stimulate the economy and sustain economic recovery. The only sign of recovery is real GDP which shows up as positive only because the deflator is understated.
The evidence is clear that there has been no economic recovery. With the first quarter GDP negative and the second quarter likely to be negative as well, the second-leg of the long downturn could begin this summer.
Moreover, the current high unemployment (23 percent) is different from previous unemployment. In the postwar 20th century, the Federal Reserve dealt with inflation by cooling down the economy. Sales would decline, inventories would build up, and layoffs would occur. As unemployment rose, the Fed would reverse course and workers would be called back to their jobs. Today the jobs are no longer there. They have been moved offshore. The factories are gone. There are no jobs to which to call workers back.
To restore the economy requires that offshoring be reversed and the jobs brought back to the US. This could be done by changing the way corporations are taxed. The tax rate on corporate profit could be determined by the geographic location at which corporations add value to the products that they market in the US. If the goods and services are produced offshore, the tax rate would be high. If the goods and services are produced domestically, the tax rate could be low. The tax rates could be set to offset the lower costs of producing abroad.
Considering the lobbying power of transnational corporations and Wall Street, this is an unlikely reform. My conclusion is that the US economy will continue its decline.
On the foreign policy front, the hubris and arrogance of America’s self-image as the “exceptional, indispensable” country with hegemonic rights over other countries means that the world is primed for war. Neither Russia nor China will accept the vassalage status accepted by the UK, Germany, France and the rest of Europe, Canada, Japan and Australia. The Wolfowitz Doctrine makes it clear that the price of world peace is the world’s acceptance of Washington’s hegemony.
Therefore, unless the dollar and with it US power collapses or Europe finds the courage to break with Washington and to pursue an independent foreign policy, saying good-bye to NATO, nuclear war is our likely future.
Washington’s aggression and blatant propaganda have convinced Russia and China that Washington intends war, and this realization has drawn the two countries into a strategic alliance. Russia’s May 9 Victory Day celebration of the defeat of Hitler is a historical turning point. Western governments boycotted the celebration, and the Chinese were there in their place. For the first time Chinese soldiers marched in the parade with Russian soldiers, and the president of China sat next to the president of Russia.
The Saker’s report on the Moscow celebration is interesting. Especially note the chart of World War II casualties. Russian casualties compared to the combined casualties of the US, UK, and France make it completely clear that it was Russia that defeated Hitler. In the Orwellian West, the latest rewriting of history leaves out of the story the Red Army’s destruction of the Wehrmacht. In line with the rewritten history, Obama’s remarks on the 70th anniversary of Germany’s surrender mentioned only US forces. In contrast Putin expressed gratitude to “the peoples of Great Britain, France and the United States of America for their contribution to the victory.”
For many years now the President of Russia has made the point publicly that the West does not listen to Russia. Washington and its vassal states in Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan do not hear when Russia says “don’t push us this hard, we are not
your enemy. We want to be your partners.”
As the years have passed without Washington hearing, Russia and China have finally realized that their choice is vassalage or war. Had there been any intelligent, qualified people in the National Security Council, the State Department, or the Pentagon, Washington would have been warned away from the neocon policy of sowing distrust. But with only neocon hubris present in the government, Washington made the mistake that could be fateful for humanity.
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Relax, we all know wars create jobs and revive economies.
It's how the elite turn lead into gold....
Seriously though, I truly hope that we don't enter a war, nuclear subs sinking to the bottom of the ocean just doesn't sit well with me AT ALL...
(Unless the whole world wants to be drinking radioactive water, you might wanna speak the hell up at this time...)
I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... www.jobs-review.com
Then add this to the mix: the "new poor" from the economic collapse creates fertile breeding ground for mass movements in America. These mass movements are seeded in all of the following directions: "The liberals did it!", "The conservatives did it!", "White people are out of control and murdering us!", "Black people are out of control and murdering us!" Then Bosnia all over again, but as if every Yugoslavian were armed to the teeth. From the blood emerges a fascist military dictatorship and a never ending anarchist insurgency that becomes the new justification for the war on terror. The anarchists are supported by almost every other nation causing the US to eventually declare war on just about everyone. Escalations, more escalations, then:
The missiles are flying.
Blah Blah Blah another tired PCR article......amazing how these losers stay around....that's right they're paid for this kind of crap
Who’s Paying the War Pundits?
Well, with all the risks involved, better go to war against a crazed beast, than bending to its diktats. If you think PCR is a looser, wait to see how a looser is, when stinking amerika goes down the sewer it rightufully deserves and is much too longo due.
Blah Blah Blah, fuck you texasass
Yea right like lover pâténted, the passion assassin warlords, Kiki Moore McLean would stop Armageddon from between my bedsheets if I ask them too or better yet begged......
Roll eyes!
My rattlesnake portfolio of hedged shorts etc seems to have changed the gnashing teethers attitudes for the life's a sick video game magic carpet ride for yoyo hearts on strings by passion assassins for the time being but too much damage has been done for far too long by those who prefer death than competition.
ya, makes sense
It's how the elite turn lead into gold....
It's how they turn lead, blood, depleted uranium, taxpayer money and personal freedom at home into gold. And really not that much gold - seems to dissapear as soon as it arrives.
Also kill off the unneeded economic & spiritual competition of those who can't be destroyed via the legal system and weaponized economics in the ghettos. The one percent can't afford to jail us all ....all the time just to let out crowded prisons of the most murderous kind to house the non violent ones.
Moar innocence please!
thats it
We're entering a period now that will be eerily similar to the follow on events of the initial 1929 crash (of markets and the economy), when the temporary hemorrhaging had stopped until 1933, and now heavily indebted developed and emerging nations have no ability to stop the coming onslaught.
Speculators can cheat death, and some can even get rich over short term periods (assuming they cash out in time & quit gambling), but the basic and inarguably correct arithmetic points to the fact that a 2nd wave (similar to 1933) crash that will be massive in deflationary impact is coming, and it will be worse than 1933 due to interconnectedness of global economies, automation, high household debt and low household formation, wage suppression, slack aggregate demand, the paradox of ample choice/supply, and massive inequality born of political/banking/government connections in large part, that all act to depress the middle class (that used to comprise maybe 40% of the population but consume 80% of the goods/services produced)...
Brad DeLong isn't always (or maybe even often) correct (no economists participating in the most dismal of "sciences" is, horrible prognostication track record in tow), and I even fervently disagree with his prescription for what may be a barely analgesic treatment of our condition (even he acknowledges that neither said Rx or any other policies can help much due to the complexity of our problems/crises) but he nails what will be the follow on impacts of what is currently an ongoing, real economic depression, happy talk from politicians, media and manipulators notwithstanding:
http://equitablegrowth.org/2015/05/04/great-depression-great-recession-n...
I've noticed the rapid collapse of circulating money in the smallish British town here. A number of factors have contributed such as purchase taxes, reduction of government spending, zero hours jobs,pay effectively frozen, etc. One of the interesting factors is internet shopping.....people try for a good deal and you can't blame them but the rest of the money drains away into the hands of remote entities.
The diversity and number of locally based busnesses steadily disintegrates exacerbating parochial decline.
China, Russia, and OPEC net collectively stopped buying US Treasury debt as of July '11...and since it's all about The Fed's Backdoor QE - QE via Central Bank Currency Swaps.
Article details those nations with Fed swap lines vs those without...and guess which group of foreigners is buying all the US Treasury debt...
http://econimica.blogspot.com/2015/05/the-feds-backdoor-qe-central-bank.html
Ireland? bejasus
Tighten up on the grammar Chris or you goin be in troubles.
To those puzzled, as I was, by the EU leaders meekly following Washington's directive to impose sanctions against Russia even though the economy of the EU would suffer serious harm: The swap lines between the Federal Reserve and the central banks of the EU indicate the extent of their financial interdependence. In light of the perilous bank stability situation in the EU and poor economic growth, the EU leaders can be understood to fear any move by the Fed or Washington to cut off EU bank access to Fed funding.
The prospects of Greek default, possible default by others of the PIIGS nations, and contagion in the German banking sector from the Austrian Hypo/Heta bond default show some of the perils faced by the EU financial sector. The IMF is now backing away from further Greek bail-outs, demanding that the EU and ECB take further write-downs of Greek debts. Further write-downs will have direct impact on EU taxpayers.
Under the Fiscal Stability Treaty, all the Euro-zone nations undertook to guarantee the debts of each other - any default forces the other nations to shoulder the burden. If there is a cascade of defaults in the PIIGS, the non-defaulting Euro nations may be swamped by the added debt obligations.
History repeating itself. In 1980, the United States did not attend the Summer Olympics because the Russians invaded Afghanistan. The jihadists the Russians fought were the ones who murdered the U.S ambassador Adolph Dubs on February 14, 1979 after he was kidnapped in Kabul and held hostage before his death in a botched rescue attempt. The New World Order types at the State Department then twisted the facts in the Dubs murder around to blame the Russains and not Muslim terrorists working as Afghan police. The State Department, then and now, has been a tool of NWO satanists. Now, America is providing material support for ISIS, for Ukraine militants who burn people alive on crosses and for the heroin druglords in Afghanistan. What happened to this country, that it allows a monster like Obama to have a "kill list?"
A couple centuries of immigrating a third world mindset.
I guess if they wanted to prevent the rise of China, they should not have shipped the US's manufacturing base across the Pacific.
Who was in charge of that anyway? Makes you wonder what 'they' are up to.
The author cites the CFR as the source of the "China Doctrine". IMHO the CFR is a globalist organization with an agenda that has been, and will continue to be, anathema to the best interests of US. The CFR has one mandate and that is to expand the interests of the global corporate elite.
CFR founded by "Colonel" House. Opus Magnus 'Philip Dru: Administrator.'
CFR created the UN during WW II at the charter of FDR I think. Someone said CFR might have been a British Invention in order to get USA into World War II... and Secure British Support for an Israeli State in Palestine?
Maybe I got that mixed up.
Kissinger was the First to Go to china under Richard M. Nixon, so I always thought it was a Kissinger initiative.
Of Course Brzezinski founded one of those clubs. Kissinger and Brzezinski seem interchangeable.
@AlaricBalth
Manufacturing plants did the same thing biological plants would do if they were able.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liebig%27s_law_of_the_minimum
Liebig's law of the minimum, often simply called Liebig's law or the law of the minimum, is a principle developed in agricultural science by Carl Sprengel (1828) and later popularized by Justus von Liebig. It states that growth is controlled not by the total amount of resources available, but by the scarcest resource (limiting factor).
This concept was originally applied to plant or crop growth, where it was found that increasing the amount of plentiful nutrients did not increase plant growth. Only by increasing the amount of the limiting nutrient (the one most scarce in relation to "need") was the growth of a plant or crop improved. This principle can be summed up in the aphorism, "The availability of the most abundant nutrient in the soil is only as good as the availability of the least abundant nutrient in the soil." Or, to put it more plainly, "A chain is only as strong as its weakest link."
Stinks like rothschild lizard waste to me.
And that's it right there. The story of the end of America.
Some believe that the sociopaths running this country are like sore losers at a poker game...if they can't win...they'll just kick the table over...let's hope they are wrong...
".....the country chosen by history to exercise hegemoney over the world."
History does not choose but is invented at the time, and usually re-invented later.
Paul Craig Roberts doesn't know shit.
Certainly not that isis made direct threats in USA via video that they had some 70 peeps here ready to hit us immentately this afternoon.
Forgot North Korea too and their little nuclear missile sub technology their gonna sell around world.
lol and what do you know?!?! He's one of the best out there dude.
People in both developed nations and emerging ones, the biggest of the BRICS included, have not a remote clue as to how badly an economic depression will reassert itself, and will be shocked at their devastated living standards and governments' ineffective responses (never mind their naive trust in governmental efficacy in resolving crises this complex) to what they will experience and see and live through.
Precisely. I always laugh when the morons on this site are gun-ho for destruction. I understand where they are coming from, but they have NO IDEA what will happen.
People will cry out for anything after that, one world gov? digital currency? Labor camps for food?
No problem.
TruthInSunshine is right I think.
I have a list of like 25 major things that came out of FED & VICHY DC & TBTJ Banks over a period of like 20 or more years.
Everyone of them is a Coup against the Federal Govt or the US Voter/Citizen and Cost us all our Future Tax Security (larger Taxes), from False Flags and Fake Wars, or Deregulation of Utilities and Banks,... TARP, QE, ZIRP.
But I can't come up with a Single good change that has come down in all that time... except for maybe expanding EBT Cards to keep people from killing each other.
** Doesn't look like FEDERAL Govt did anything to correct anything even in a US Caused Global Crisis **
You can't expect Infrastructure Investment or anything other than Social Engineering.
Seriously now.
A collapse is coming. It should have happened years ago - it didn't. Now it will be worse and even more so by putting it off again.
Yes, people in developed nations will cry, but not those in emerging ones. People in countries like Russia are much more self-sufficient and not connected to the grid as much as Westerners. They are also able to cope with much more suffering that Westerners. Russians went through much worse things, including 1990s when they were literally freezing to death or literally dying from hunger, as the Russian-Jewish oligarchs pillaged Russia. Russians remember that and will accept no NWO, because they already tasted it in 1990s and they know it means death anyway. I watched the V-Day celebrations in Russia, I watched how all those hundreds of thousands (at least half a million only in Moscow) people marched together with Putin with that proud glow in their eyes. And as the South-African president said: "We watched the celebrations and realized that Russia is still the Russia we know. We admire Russians, because Russians will always be themselves." And I also watched the video, when the Chinese people talked about Russia and Putin and they said that they admire Putin and Russians and they need to stand together. These two nations will not bow down. These two nations will eventually be leaders in this new century, whether you like it or not. If that takes a world war that won't be first time for any of them. Both Russia and China had the highest losses in WWII and it never broke them. Why should it now? But if the USA and EU are hit by the war, their people will not be able to cope. They are already too soft and too much connected to the grid.
I'm ready to be enlightened, Schopenhauer.
and you do? Unfortunately PCR's prognosis dovetails nicely with many ZHers. U better find another board
They disagree with you and they have to leave? You must be one of those socialist cockbites at University...
Dear Peckerwood, I notice you didn't argue any facts because of course you don't have any that would strengthen your case, Seig Heil you half-wit neo con/nazi prick.
He really doesn't, he's crazy as a loon. But he's discovered he can make a bundle $$$ pandering to the paranoid.
There are many crazy people on the stage but their fine suits, fat wallets and that dick up their ass is the first thing I see. PCR is not a fool, has little to gain (donations here and there) and at his age, could remain silent and watch as foreign interest group called AIPAC guts his country in the name of globalization (The scam of th 21st Century).
And when those assholes crawl out of their bunkers to look around, ..some real pissed off people will be waiting for them. or maybe none either way they Loose
And when those very well armed and organised, well fed, assholes crawl out of their bunkers to look around, ..some real pissed off, hungry, weak, irradiated people will be waiting for them. or maybe none, but either way, as per usual, they'll do whatever the fuck they want.
There - it was a bit of a task, but I fixed it for you.
Please nuke Ann Arbor. I hate the fucking Walverines.
OK but not while their football team are such losers. It is so much fun to see them get their noses rubbed in it. Go Hawks!
PCR is a crackpot....although, in this case, he's making a lot of sense.
I didn't see this, but might just be advertisement for some purchase:
China Calls to End of the Dollar - IMF Responds
CIA advisor explains why China's developing relationships with the IMF, and major western economies could dethrone the U.S. dollar for good.
MONEY MORNINGSponsored
PCR may be giving us a pretty accurate big picture here. Makes more sense than most other explanations. I don't know for sure. How can anyone know, who is out of the secret loops created by governments, bankers and the big trans-national companies, what is really going on?
If the people of Earth's developed countries don't unite rise up and insist that: 1) their governments are reformed (cleaned out of all destructive leaders and policies), and that 2) ALL governments dismantle and abolish nuclear weaponry... the most unimaginable nightmare of nightmares could manifest, and the species of man could become extinct due to man's own insanity.
Yes, alfbell, the basic mechanisms were that the groups of people who were best at being dishonest and backing that up with violence were able to apply those methods of organized crime through the political processes. That resulted in the most criminally insane people capturing control over the government of the USA, which automatically has become worse, faster ... leading to the geopolitical situations that Roberts correctly outlines. However, in my view, he understates how serious the situation actually is, because he does not take as a fait accompli that the "neocons" are manifestations of runaway criminal insanities.
Furthermore, the situation is way worse than you outline, alfbell, because there are no ways to actually simply get rid of weapons of mass destruction without replacing those with better death control systems. The mechanisms that have driven the runaway criminal insanities, which are first and foremost demonstrated by those who control the people that control the government of the USA, were due to the history of The Art of War, the oldest book about which starts by saying that "success in way depends upon deceits," and ends by saying that "spies are the most important soldiers."
The government of the USA is now almost totally based upon legalized lies, backed by legalized violence, which is racing towards final failure from too much "success" based on being able to back up deceits with destruction, and enforce frauds. The basic underlying problem is that being able to back up lies with violence never stops those lies from still being false. Therefore, the social situations are driven to develop as runaway social insanities, headed towards psychotic breakdowns.
The government of the USA represents the maximum, so far, achieved level of social successfulness in the form of the biggest gang of organized criminals being controlled by the best organized gang of criminals. The so-called "Wolfowitz Doctrine" is the attempt to consolidate and perpetuate that. It is doomed to failure, since the more successful that becomes, the more psychotic the overall social situations develop to become, because being able to back up lies with violence never stops those lies from still being false. The more socially successful the best organized gangs of criminals become at controlling civilization, the more criminally insane that civilization becomes!
However, the problems are WAY WORSE than merely that, because of the deeper reasons how and why those developed to become the existing geopolitical and internal North American predicaments. The only genuine resolutions to the political problems that followed from the development of weapons of mass destruction are to develop better death control systems. However, it is practically impossible to either get everyone to agree to not have weapons of mass destruction, as well as apparently just as impossible to get enough agreement about how to operate better death control systems.
The current situation IS globalized electronic monkey money frauds, backed by the threat of force from apes with atomic bombs, or the MAD Money As Debt systems, backed by the MAD Mutual Assured Destruction systems. I do not think that one necessarily has to be inside "of the secret loops created by governments, bankers and the big trans-national companies," to adequately understand "what is really going on?" It is plainly obvious to anyone who bothers to do enough research what the MADNESS of debt slavery is generating numbers which have become debt insanities, which are going to provoke death insanities.
However, alfbell, your recommendations regarding what the "solutions" should be are doubly impossible, on at least TWO different levels. FIRST, the established systems are already based on the social successfulness of the maximum possible deceits and frauds, and SECOND, there could not be any better solutions that did not actually provide better death controls, to back up better debt controls. Calling upon the "the people of Earth's developed countries [to] unite [to] rise up and insist that: 1) their governments are reformed (cleaned out of all destructive leaders and policies), and that 2) ALL governments dismantle and abolish nuclear weaponry," is merely another example of reactionary revolutionaries promoting bogus "solutions" based upon impossible ideals.
alfbell, neither you, nor Roberts for that matter, are going beyond the relatively superficial analysis of the problems, that does not go deeper into the analysis of how and why governments developed to become the biggest forms of organized crime, controlled by the best organized gangs of criminals. Without that deeper analysis, then the presentation of the problems continue to be relatively superficial, and then that tends to turn towards bogus "solutions" based upon impossible ideals, which can never be realized.
Human intelligence developed as the internalization of natural selection. The most important selection pressures were from other groups of human beings. That drove human intelligence to primarily develop through warfare and weapons technology, which trends have continued until today, as those gradually morphed from the social successfulness of backing up deceits with destruction to become social successfulness based upon enforcing frauds.
The "Wolfowitz Doctrine" is basically that the international banksters will continue to be able to control governments, such as that of the USA, to consolidate those international banksters' control over the public "money" supply, which will then enable the continued control over the Earth natural resources. Of course, in every possible way, that is an agenda based upon runaway criminal insanities, which may well result in the human species committing collective suicide.
However, the only genuinely better resolutions to the real problems being manifested by the combined money/murder systems operating through the maximum possible frauds and deceits is to develop better ways to combine the money/murder systems. There are no genuine solutions which could be based upon there being no death control systems. Any such proposals are based upon impossible ideals, that must necessarily backfire badly in the real world, because the natural selection pressures continue to always exist, as chronic political problems inherent in the nature of life.
Most of the controlled opposition groups to the dominate organized crime gangs that are currently controlling the government of the USA do NOT propose realistically better government. Rather, they tend to propose that there should be no death control systems, or at least none that human beings are consciously aware of operating. On the contrary, the only genuinely realistic solutions must necessarily be based upon better death control systems, which then could back up better debt control systems, within combined money/murder systems.
In my view, Roberts is correct on the superficial level of the problems that he is presenting. However, he does not penetrate deeper into the reasons how and why militarism, as the ideology of the murder system, is the supreme ideology, and furthermore, deserves to be regarded as necessarily the supreme ideology. The basic problem that the human species faces is the history of successful warfare being based upon deceits and treacheries, gradually developing to become political economy based on enforced frauds.
The "Wolfowitz Doctrine" is the attempt made by those who dominate the currently established systems of enforced frauds to be able to continue to consolidate their global hegemony, which would enable them to continue to control the world's resources through being the best at backing up lies with violence. They were historically selected to become who they are, with their own kinds of morbid psychological and political habits, due to the history of successful warfare based on deceits, becoming successful finance based on frauds.
However, those who appear to publicly resist them tend to be various kinds of controlled opposition groups, which do not promote better death controls, but rather, tend to promote that there should be no death controls, or none that human beings are consciously aware of operating. Hence, the paradoxical problems that the human species now faces are primarily due to natural selection driving human intelligence to manifest cultural systems of artificial selection which are based on the maximum possible deceits and frauds about themselves.
In that context, it seems politically impossible for enough people to go through enough of paradigm shifts to sufficiently understand that the only genuine solutions are NOT to clear out the destructive leaders, NOT to try to abolish nuclear weaponry. Rather, the only genuine solutions would require a series of intellectual scientific revolutions, that enabled politics to surpass the paradigm shifts already achieved in physical sciences. That would require understanding evolutionary ecologies better, so that the human systems of artificial selection were understood better. However, of course, the currently established most successful organized crime gangs, (such as the "neocons" or whatever other superficial label one prefers) do not want more radical truths to be recognized about themselves, while the most of the people that they rule over also do not want to recognize more radical truths about themselves either.
There is no doubt that, as the economy declines that manifests as the established systems of debt slavery generating numbers which have become debt insanities, which threaten to provoke death insanities, or that the War Threat Rises As The Economy Declines, as Roberts has correctly presented to be the case. However, presentations such as those made by guys like Roberts tend to NOT face the facts that money is necessarily measurement backed by murder.
In my opinion, your comment, alfbell, was another typical illustration of the ways that most people do not want to perceive that either, but rather, continue to prefer to promote bogus "solutions" based upon false fundamental dichotomies, and the related impossible ideals. The only genuine solutions require profound paradigm shifts in the ways that we perceive political problems, which would be applied to the combined money/murder systems, in ways which consistent with deeper analysis of how and why those systems developed to become what they actually are now.
The genuine solutions are for better militarism to operate better murder systems. However, that does not fit within the old-fashioned ideas about successful warfare being based upon better weapons to enable being better at deceits and treacheries. Rather, the development of weapons of mass destruction demands radical transformations in the basic ways that we understand the death control systems, so that those could be radically transformed, in ways that those could be applied to transform the debt control systems.
Of course, meanwhile, ideas like that of the "Wolfowitz Doctrine" are merely more of the same old systems, which are becoming more and more psychotically out of touch with the emerging realities of globalized electronic systems, and the existence of weapons of mass destruction, which are trillions of times more capable and powerful than anything that ever existed before in human history.
My current view is that the established systems, along with the controlled opposition groups, ARE runaway criminal insanities, which ARE going to MADLY commit collective suicide for the human species. Anything better would apparently require a series of political miracles, first and foremost of which would be the ones that I have outlined above: the development of more scientific artificial selection systems, which were consistent with better scientific understanding of the natural selection systems.
Well ranted.. Rad. + 100
Depressingly accurate
Once, again, thank you for being associated with this site and commenting about certain subjects. As I have said before, I read your responses and always enjoy reading them as they are always well stated and thought through.
Thanks for the reply.
I tend to like Roberts because he is "depressingly accurate," and does not end his analysis with some kind of strained optimism at the end, but rather concludes that there is "only neocon hubris present in the government."
Insightful! Thank you PCR.
IMO Mr. Roberts is on target. Considering a nuclear war will include all of us and not just the the armed forces in a major way it might behoove us to re-evaluate our situation and listen to this person. He is ex-government and he knows the ropes. He is giving us a clear warning that if not heeded may lead to the extinction of life on the planet.
Does anyone actually think a government like the one we have in Washington should have the authority to destroy a planet and all life over a doctrine?
Do you really want these madmen in government to get you and yours incinerated over border disputes 10,000 miles away? I mean really!
rejected...
We are obviously on the same page. The big question... how do we stop the insanity and can it be stopped? How do you unseat madmen from governments? How do you stop a government that has been infected with false ideas and gone mad yet possesses all the force, control or security there is (in the form of military, prisons, unlimited capital, etc.)? Or, do they have to annihilate themselves.
Indeed, alfbell,
THOSE ARE THE QUESTIONS!
“Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, that poses a threat on the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union.
I have to call bullshit on this. These are the same motherfuckers that started to offshore our manufacturing (and later R & D) jobs starting back in the mid 1990's. To lull the sheeple into a false sense of security they then financialized the American economy to help prop up the sheeple's lifestyles with cheap debt as their wealth was/is being "sereptitously" transferred to The East. These motherfuckers built up China.
How many years did the US gov DELIBERATELY look the other way as China was stealing nuclear weapons and stealth technology? When/if war breaks out, follow the money. I would bet a month of my wages that it ultimately leads back to these motherfuckers.
Yeah you make a good point. Unless the global elite care only about military power to enforce their desire for greed. People aren't going to just give you their shit, the smith and Wesson puts things into perspective. Elementary but makes sense right.
WWIII = Samson Option
"All of the other people have committed crimes, the Jews are the only ones who have boasted about committing them. They are, all of them, born with raging fanaticism in their hearts, just as the Bretons and the Germans are born with blond hair. I would not be in the least bit surprised if these people would not some day become deadly to the human race."
-Volitare
Nuland = ZioCon nutjob
It is a fashionable and non-stop mantra on all TV shows dealing with WW2, that Herr Hilter was an unprecedented monstrosity.
To be sure and objectively factual, he and his ilk were were astonishingly organized, efficient and ruthless in trying to achieve their strategic goals, and part of that included their prosecution of European Gypsies, Communists and Jews.
But, let's not forget that another major power did FAR greater and more lasting damage to Jews: the ROMANS. Unlike the Nazis, they attacked them in their homeland, and leveled Jerusalem and the Temple in 67 A.D.
No doubt the Jews were the victim and totally blameless, even back then. A slight digression into momentary sarcasm aside, the point is that Romans were into the Conquer & Tax model, and got nasty only when the locals refused to be assimilated by their Borg-like approach.
Look, there's no doubt that what these people have experienced the last 2000 years has often been very rough or horrible. No doubt. But, in objective fairness, NO People get picked on or mistreated so badly for so long, merely for their undying devotion to the Ten Commandments, to Virtue and to their Love of their Fellow Man. Clearly some deeper digging into their behavior is required. And lest the Usual Suspects warm up their keyboards with vitriolic response, CHILLAX, I am not going after the entire People, but only after their secular and clerical rulers. Especially the latter, since it is they who are the multi-generational Keepers/Depository of Tales & Tradition, who get to teach, indoctrinate or brainwash the next generation of followers and fanatics.
I would therefore add my sentiment to that French philosopher (Diderot, I think), who said that the world will know no peace until the last Monarch is hung by the entrails of the last Priest, Rabbi or other monotheistic clerical fanatic.
"other monotheistic clerical fanatic".
That was rather delicately put. :-)
1
Referring to all things empire and war monger as "neocon" is getting rather old. Little barack el bozo is NOT a 'neocon' and yet here we are.
I submit that Statist is a far more accurate term for the sociopaths running America. The term neocon suggest republican, and clearly this insanity transends the two party scam.
Problem is we hire Wealthy People or those that think they should be able to live high on the Hog.
Chris christy spends like 82K at Jets-Giants Game??
Oh I'm sure he would not spend huge amounts as a Governor or US President. S/
I'm sure our US Congressmen are very careful about FED Inflation of World Reserve Currency and that they fully review the US Budget Each Year. S/ (Last one was like 2008).
Ivy League will Ensure you have the Best Federal Government Officials and Elected Representatives. S/
World Record Waste, Federal Budgets, Military Budget Inflation and Growth, Cost of Iraqi War set new world Record. Augustine's Laws at work in US Budgets as a result of Lobbying and Ivy League Mis-Management.
I guess it comes down to...
1) The common man rises up and forces governments to be cleaned out and reformed. This would require a spiritual revolution as a reformation. Man moving out of the mindset of differentiation, domination, greed, control, etc. and moving into cooperation, sustainability, familiarity and co-survival.
or
2) We all become collateral damage and vanish as a result of their insane actions. (As a tiny planet, in a tiny galaxy, we end as a little explosion and poof of smoke in the giant universe.)
Yeah well; Amerika, when it had it good, was fond of the propaganda of individual success, positive thinking, be a winner, baseball, hershi bars, coca cola,IBM, Hollywood, Mickey fucking Mouse, bomb,bomb and bomb the bastards until they agree.Now its time for a reappraisal.
This quote reminded me of how Obama showed up at the Olympics in China chewing gum, offending the host nation.
He did the same thing when he went to India. Impudent Ogumma!
Oh ya, we all feel sooo sorry for Russia. Are you F-ing kidding me?!
If Russia was so sensible and smart, they would join the West to stand up to Red China. Till they do, we know what the problem is..... and it starts with the letter P...and his pals
But you need to fly your drones to murder Putin first.
Russia is not indebted to the rest fo the world to the tune of 14 trillion dollars. Russia is not money printing and forcing other countries to do the same (Europe, Japan...etc...
The US with their neocons in media, banking, and the Federal Reserve ... are screwing US citizens as well as everybody else. They are sociopaths. Think the issues through.
Guys, come one. Don't worry. The Trans Pacific Partnership is going to paper over all of this. "Dude, my dad is a TV repairman. He has an awesome set of tools!"
The only logical outcome is nuclear war unless the American people stand up and take their country back. As the NFL negates that pathway we are taken back to Nuclear War. The world is going to end and I blame the NFL.
vassalage or war is the law of nature from micro to macro level.
Every single government does that to its citizens every single day - demanding to pay taxes or face imprisonment
The dude is gonna slap your ass and knock your teeth out while he's yelling in your face he ain't got time to listen to your elementary school moves.
I was watching CNN at the gym today and the vitrolic they had in reserve for Putin was quite obvious, but I was surprised at its ferociousness.
Instead of acknowledging it as the Victory Day Parade their report made it seem that Putin just decided to parade guns and trucks for hours on end 'as a show of force' so he can 'continue his expansion in Europe'.
WTF?
It's called propaganda dude
And I bet CNN didn't make mention of Putin's public warning about the danger of war, in his victory day speech
PCR wrote: .....Washington made the mistake that could be fateful for humanity.
Fatal to humanity.
That's one of Paul Craig Roberts' best articles I've read.
I will clarify one of his comments:
"The first objective of the Wolfowitz doctrine–to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival–had been breached. Here was Russia telling the US “No.” The British Parliament joined in by vetoing UK participation in a US invasion of Syria. The Uni-Power status was shaken."
No one should be under the illusion that the British House of Commons voted against Cameron's attempt to start bombing Syria for altruistic reasons. Sure, some did but the main reason is that they'd had their fingers burnt by one Mr Tony Blair over Iraq who'd dragged Britain into a war with Iraq based upon a pack of lies. Parliament was simply making a point, not suddenly becoming responsible.
Cameron has not disengaged himself from war with Syria since then and is now engaged in regular bombing and of dropping military supplies to ISIS and any other gang of terrorists who are against Assad. Because we all know the real reason for wanting regime change in Syria is all about a Qatari gas pipeline.
I get it now. Putin is new Hitler, and Xi is new Chairman Mao.
stoopid(sic)
Maybe America will get so bad that the NWO will just F'n leave.
For all the US wars North Korea is doing just fine.
Saddam got toppled because he didn't have any WMDs, Kim Jong Un has WMDs and has been left alone.
Nuclear weapons are your get out of jail free card with US Neo-cons.
They don't mind sending others to fight their wars but with nuclear weapons they might die themselves.
With Russia and China expect plenty of sabre rattling but they as safe as North Korea.
Saddam wasn't a military threat, just a threat to the holy dollar. Kim Jong Poon is a puppet putz of China and really no threat, serves as another boogeyman for govn'ts and MSM.
In the same realm, get Iran for maybe making nukes, while chubs in NK parades them down front street.
This is a total bullshit article. The intention of those at the top in all countries is to divide and conquer. This is how they maintain control.
We have no enemies amongst any people around the world. The only enemies of the people are those who claim to be their leaders.
It is ironic, really. The way to get people around the entire world to work together is to get rid of the people who are trying to force a one world socialist government.
It is not so much that people do not see that global cooperation, respect and understanding is a good thing. It is that those who proclaim to lead do not want global cooperation, respect and understanding. They want a global slave class that cannot challenge their power... and a divided slave class is a powerless slave class.
I think we have been slaves for at least 300 years, to the banksters. Today, we are on the verge of a truly global total war; WW2 will be seen as a squirmish in comparison.
My enduring question is, which your comment raises... Is this entirely theatre, to depopulate the world, with Russia and China just pieces in the grand chess board, or is this a true fight for a multipolar world?
If it is a multipolar fight, humanity has a tough but bright future (excluding the unipolar actors); if not, it will be much more serfdom for the few that will be kept alive or survive, in a unipolar world on steroids.
Exactly, is Russia / China military buildup a regrettable, but much needed counterbalance to the hubris and lunacy of white western world, or are they all in on it, and we are not in the club.
I too would rather have Shiva with a rebirth that comes after, than the slow death of ultimate slavery and serfdom, because, fuck washing rich mans car. I'd rather sit in grass somewhere.
Great speech Paul, well constructed and covers pretty much everything.
Can I add one tiny comment... I think since the beginning of the year, the biggest risks are to Americans globally and the US territory itself, not Russia or China.
Besides the military advantage of Russian rocketry and submarines, add to this China's military numbers, wealth and industrial capacity, the US has no chance of prevailing in WW3. When the SHTF, US financials, supply lines, oil, communications (eyes and ears) and other pinch points would cut within a few hours. US nationals abroad will be abandoned, and there will be no chance of keeping global US bases operational for long; they are only viable in peacetime, intended to threaten and project limited power.
Although the US is good at "bombing brown people" according to George Carlin, they are no match for Russia's or China's modern and integrated armed forces, who cover the whole military sphere from undersea to space, and are good at "total war".
I'm surprised the US have allowed themselves to continue to this point; I don't think humanity's threat is existential, but for the US, Americans and their allies generally, when things start to go south... Who knows.
Agree that the Neocons need to be stopped -- at all cost, and real soon -- while we still have a planet.
Don't really care what national flag they fly as a "flag of convenience", what cultural or religious affiliation they proclaim (again, as a "cover or faith of convenience"), I am increasingly convinced that deep down inside they only care about power (the sheer will & determination to rule over others), and to a lesser extent about wealth & lifestyle.
Like the Sci-Fi analogy, the Borg, these Zionist Borgs "ZiBorgs" are equally determined, focused, organized and relentless in their ultimate Goal of Rule & Domination, until the whole world is subject to their worldview, to their brand of "religion". They are the ultimate Imperialists, the ultimate Jihadists. To me, the "people" are not people, but socipathic monstrosities in the guise of people. They might as well be The Borg, or space alien shape-shifters in the body of a human, for all intents and purposes. The 1988 sci-fi "They Live" also comes to mind, for the zombie-like effect they have on those with whom they come into contact and re-program.
IMHO, all decent and conscientious people -- regardless of race, creed, color or faith/worldview -- need to band together for the sole purpose of bringing these people/monsters to heel, and on the short leash, jail or psych ward that they deserve to be.
Well, before War starts, its been said Putin will release ALL he has on 911...after that, the NeoCONs can all be rounded up, lined up, and shot-which is too good for them....maybe a month of waterboarding THEN the firing squad!
FOXCNNABCCBSNBC are the CIA's and ZioNazis mouthpiece. Spewing out LIES and propganda 24/7. The latest about how Russia is the aggressor.
"..Washington made the mistake that could be fateful for humanity.."
Too big an expression. Could be fateful for anglosax world. It's time.
Pope Francis is also realistic about the war industry:
"The 'industry of death' exists in the world as many people in power live off war, Pope Francis told Italian schoolkids in the Vatican on Monday.
“Many powerful people don't want peace because they live off war," the Pontiff said as he met with pupils from Rome’s primary schools in the Nervi Audience Hall.
Talking to children during the audience organized by the Peace Factory Foundation, he explained that every war has the arms industry behind it.
"This is serious. Some powerful people make their living with the production of arms and sell them to one country for them to use against another country,” the Pope was cited by AGI news agency as saying.
The head of the Catholic Church labeled the arms trade “the industry of death, the greed that harms us all, the desire to have more money."
“The economic system orbits around money and not men, women,” he told 7,000 kids present at the audience.
Despite the fact that wars “lose lives, health, education,” they are being waged to defend money and make even more profit, the Pope said.
“The devil enters through greed and this is why they don't want peace," 78-year-old Francis said.
"There can be no peace without justice," the Pope said and asked the children to repeat those words out loud three times."
http://rt.com/news/257545-pope-francis-war-arms/
So says the most murderous regime in history.
While I agree with a lot of this, PCR is like a broken record. If you've read one article like this, you've read them all. He is the AC/DC of doom and gloom.
Really now? Why, you should just stick your head a little bit farther up your ass, as its obvious the truth irritates you. Just think, it will be nice and warm in there, and you won't be able to hear the doom and gloom. Until it all ends for you.
Nuclear bombs could do well to weed the human garden of its consumers and sheeple. Imagine the country with 60,70, 80% of them culled. Imagine a world full of people that think and reason logically. So, in this awful scenario something good might come of it.
With every mushroom cloud there is a silver lining.
When nuclear war breaks out our leaders and their families will be safe in underground bunkers while we sheeple fry in the 200 million degree heat!!!
I say we hire China to off the Neocons by disguising hit teams as Chinese take-out delivery guys.
"You numba 15? ZOT-ZOT HAHAHA...Solly Challie."
Many wars are at least partly motivated by rulers' fear of rising and excess population. The Crusades, I think. Japan's WW2 empire. Even Nazi Germany. The Nazis figured out that, to survive, a small farmer needed 20 acres. But farm population in Germany was greater than that, so the solution was "lebensraum", taking farm land away from Poland and giving it to small German farmers. And, of course, to do that, the Nazis needed to tell Germans that Poles were sub-human, so it was okay to kill them or enslave them and take their farm land.
I think that wars will become fewer only when human population becomes smaller. I think some rulers are heading in that direction, but some are, as always, staying with the businesses that profit more when population increases, and also businesses that profit from war.
Similar to what Israelis are doing right now to Palestinians. ON YOUR DIME
WW3 will kick in if we don't understand who's behind these conflicts. As for the most dangerous one Here's The truth about the conflict with Russia >> http://wp.me/p4OZ4v-1Gm
Paul Wolfowitz, Dick-'head' Cheney, Donald 'Rumy' Rumsfeld, et cetera, made the obvious mistake of thinking that 'we the people' could be led around by our noses to be slaughtered by the cocksucking Zionists. In point of fact, that is what will lead to their slaughter en masse. God's 'Jews' think they are entitled to serve us up to be slaughtered in concentration camps just like Nazi SS brownshirts thought the 'Jews' should be slaughtered in concentration camps. After six million Jews one would think that the Zionists would learn some basic math skills along with basic skills in logic. Bottom line here is that the Zionists are retard sandwich eating imbeciles heading at breakneck speed towards self-genocide. Clearly, they had no insight into the probability that their covert schemes would backfire on them, and their progeny. If they had thought there was a risk in what they were doing they would not have done it. What is most important to recognize is that the Zionists thought they had a sure fire plan that was unobservable to 'we the people' of whom they hold no regard whatsoever since 'we the people' saved them from certain death at the hands of their bestest bud, Adolf Hitler.
FUCK Zionists _everywhere_!