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European GDP Growth Trounces America In Q1, Biggest Rise In 4 Years; Greece Back In Recession

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While the US economy was crushed by harsh snow in Q1, with its GDP set to be revised to nearly -1.0% (yes, we know the real reason was the collapse in Chinese end demand and the soaring dollar but don't tell the Fed), Europe must have had a very balmy winter, because as Eurostat reported earlier today, Europe grew (and considering Europe estimates the "benefit" for prostitution and illegal drugs to the economy, we use the term loosely) 0.4% in the first quarter, a 1.6% annualized growth rate, in line with expectations, up from 0.3% last quarter and a year ago, and tied for the highest GDP print in 4 years.

Some other statistics from the WSJ: for the first time since the first half of 2010, all four of the Eurozone’s largest economies recorded growth, and for the first time since the first quarter of 2011, the currency area’s economy grew more rapidly than both the U.S. and the U.K.

Then again this is perhaps the 3rd false dawn for the Eurozone in the past 5 years. Sure enough, the WSJ offers hope:

That combination of faster and more evenly spread growth will feed hopes that 2015 could mark a decisive year for the eurozone in its efforts to recover from its debt crisis, aided by fresh stimulus from the European Central Bank, lower oil prices and signs that bank lending may be set to increase after years of decline.

Then again, this time may not be different:

However, policy makers have openly expressed worries that the recovery may not be sustained, citing high unemployment, high government and corporate debt burdens, banking-system problems and weak investment spending. They contend that politically difficult overhauls in France and Italy, and an increase in investment in crumbling infrastructure in Germany and elsewhere, are the only way to achieve lasting growth in Europe.

There is also worry that as a a result of rising oil prices the boost to growth from higher disposable incomes may be fading, raising doubts about the future strength of the pickup.

Curiously, Germany’s economy slowed more sharply than expected, recording growth of 0.3% compared with 0.7% in the previous period. But France and Italy both exceed expectations, growing 0.6% and 0.3% respectively, having stagnated in the previous period. One wonders just how big the contribution from hookers and blow was in these two economic juggernauts.

Of course, the biggest conern is that the ECB's QE is working "too well", and with Europe on track for a full recovery, and with the ECB clearly running out of securities to monetize the recent tumble in yields notwithstanding as a negative 10Y Bund print remains just a matter of time, Europe's strong growth may just be the worst possible news for Europe.

And then there is Greece which is back in recession with GDP falling 0.2% in the first quarter, after a 0.4% decline in the final three months of last year.

Speaking of Greece, to all those concerned that Europe's growth may be "too strong", when -not if- Greece is kicked out of the Eurozone, all those strong GDP numbers will soon become a distant memory.

Finally, here is the full breakdown.

 

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Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:26 | 6088717 Dame Ednas Possum
Dame Ednas Possum's picture

That went well.

Time for more sanctions?

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:27 | 6088727 winchester
winchester's picture

 

 

there is no growth anymore in europ neither.

all politics are in deny, if they say the truth market panic leading to crash, we are condemned.

 

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:30 | 6088734 Wolferl
Wolferl's picture

Throw those pathetic Greeks out of Europe already.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:36 | 6088737 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

European GDP Growth Trounces America In Q1

 

Do you suppose England would take us back if we asked really nicely?

 

I'll bet the Queen wouldn't make us take 29.5 hr/wk jobs.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:36 | 6088741 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

you mean the Queen would - graciously, of course - allow you to have "zero-hours jobs"

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:47 | 6088755 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

The Brits rig their unemployment numbers like the US is.  

At the end of the USSR -- the USSR would count partially complete buildings as complete for GDP purposes.  

A dying empire rigs its numbers to maintain the status quo.   

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:53 | 6088766 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Where exactly do you think we've been since 71?

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 11:29 | 6089490 Wile-E-Coyote
Wile-E-Coyote's picture

The Tory bastards are sanctioning the unemployed left, right and centre. That means they are denied unemployment benefits, this results in them not being counted as unemployed. Welcome to hell.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:48 | 6088756 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

allow you to have "zero-hours jobs"

 

We already have 93 million of those, and we're shooting for a new record next month.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:34 | 6088739 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

The UK is thumping along, which is why we have just re-elected "the nasty party".

 

The UK is the difference between the EU and US. UK is dragging up the EU figure.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:31 | 6088728 USisCorrupt
USisCorrupt's picture

Austerity must be working?

 

Or more like it, the EU can publish BS numbers just like the US.

 

Now its down to who's LIES are BIGGER!

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:28 | 6088729 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

The most important thing is not truth or accuracy but the "stimulation" of confidence.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:28 | 6088730 jaap
jaap's picture

But what whould the European GDP look like in US dollars for Q1?


http://www.finviz.com/forex_charts.ashx?t=EURUSD&tf=d1

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 11:13 | 6089441 Butterflying
Butterflying's picture

My last pay check was $9500 working 12 hours a week online. My sisters friend has been averaging 15k for months now and she works about 20 hours a week. I can't believe how easy it was once I tried it out. This is what I do... www.jobs-review.com

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:28 | 6088731 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Excellent read by PCR, highly recommended for ZH readers...

http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2015/05/11/war-threat-rises-economy-declines-paul-craig-roberts/

 

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:31 | 6088735 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

If QE were instituted earlier in the quarter, the growth would have been a lot higher (of course excluding data subtracting money printing and debt).

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:34 | 6088738 aliki
aliki's picture

interesting to see how italy outpaced expectations ... guess maybe we should include coke & hookers in our GDP calculation. pretty sure we'd be north of 7% here in the states if we did.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:36 | 6088740 praps
praps's picture

Decoupled, but not in a good way.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:40 | 6088748 Stained Class
Stained Class's picture

I smell smell b*llsh*t. Does anybody else smell b*llsh*t?

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:45 | 6088752 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Yes...it smells like money. You can bet it does to some anyway.

But what a great thought! If they just made money smell like shit, people would spend it as fast as they got it! Or else learn to like the smell of shit, which is yet another win for government.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:56 | 6088772 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Well the gvt thinks it's shit don't stink so they win no matter what.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:45 | 6088754 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

The Race To The Bottom. ..... And down the stretch they come

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 07:50 | 6088760 Anglo Hondo
Anglo Hondo's picture

The worse conditions get for business, the more bankruptcies there are.

The more bankruptcies, the more jobs lost, and higher unemployment.

The more unemployed people,  the more desperation to earn a living.

The more desperation, the more women (and men) turn to prostitution.

The higher the prostitution, the higher the GDP grows.

 

And THIS is GOOD??  WTF?

 

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 08:04 | 6088790 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

Oh STFU with these 3-month 'statistics'...We've been in a friggin depression for like 7 years now, what does 3 months tell ANYBODY?

 

Nothing. It tells them NOTHING. But it gives them something shiny to hold up for all the sheeple to follow.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 08:24 | 6088834 samjam7
samjam7's picture

Finland also in a recession, just as a sidenote...I guess they had a cold winter too!

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 08:41 | 6088875 Last of the Mid...
Last of the Middle Class's picture

and suddenly Greece found an emergency fund to make their next payment.  Bwwwhhhhaaaaaaaaa. You have to be really stupid to believe that one.

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 08:56 | 6088912 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

"Greece Back In Recession"

What a headline! Greece has been in recession for the last 8 years, or thereabouts. I don't think anyone seriusly can calim they ever left recession during this period!

Wed, 05/13/2015 - 09:04 | 6088948 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

Apples to oranges.  The US doesn't count blow and hoes.

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