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Atlanta Fed 2 - 0 Wall Street Optimists: Q2 GDP Expectations Crash

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Who could have predicted this? Wall Street's consensus crowd of perennial optimists have taken the machete out to Q2 GDP growth expectations (just as they had to when Q1 showed them all for the worse weather forecasters ever). The tumble in Q2 expectations brings Wall Street once again, closer to where The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model forecast is... a mere 0.7% growth... and drags total 2015 growth well below trend.

 

Atlanta Fed wins in Q1...

 

And Wall Street Consensus looks like it is losing once again...

 

This has dragged 2015 expectations down to just 2.5% GDP growth overall...

 

It appears Keynesian hockeysticks are as real as unicorns.

 

h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer

 

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Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:41 | 6106149 Arius.
Arius.'s picture

Bet against Wall Street at your own risk ... these are the smartest guys in the room ... who knows what they have up their sleeves?

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:50 | 6106205 joseJimenez
joseJimenez's picture

If you had control of the printing press or were intimate with those who do you can appear pretty smart yourself

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:07 | 6106521 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Don't bet on the FED being able to print their way out. I figure the bond markets starts panicking late July into August and we're looking at $30-50 trillion as just the ante and when you add in derivatives the shit river will be wide, deep and fast.....

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:00 | 6106240 EmmittFitzhume
EmmittFitzhume's picture

Collusion is not the same as intelligence

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:06 | 6106274 A_latvian
A_latvian's picture

Collusion is not the same as intelligence

The result is the same, so who cares?

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:10 | 6106290 EmmittFitzhume
EmmittFitzhume's picture

I was disagreeing with Arius. that's all

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 16:28 | 6106974 Butterflying
Butterflying's picture

My last pay check was $9500 working 12 hours a week online. My sisters friend has been averaging 15k for months now and she works about 20 hours a week. I can't believe how easy it was once I tried it out. This is what I do... www.jobs-review.com

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:10 | 6106156 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

shocking...falling #'s of consumers with too much debt and too little income and they buy less???

http://econimica.blogspot.com/2015/05/the-truth-of-great-financial-crisisand.html

Something about a Ponzi going on until it no longer has an adequate supply of new "investors" to maintain the scheme...in 2008 the "supply of 25-54yr old new population (aka investors)" went negative...and next year the 25-64yr/old new supply will cease and go negative...that is why the economies of the US, EU, Japan, etc. are unraveling and set to, shockingly to the Fed and Wall St., get much worse.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:47 | 6106186 Arius.
Arius.'s picture

suprise ... these guys never cease to suprise me ... but what do i know?

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:25 | 6106296 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Since this is officially an OT thread...

Official all time record sea ice formation and thickness in  the antarctic (that's the place with 5X the ice coverage and impact of the arctic but the MSM never covers) is causing scientists to consider moving their research bases. Ice breaking ships cannot get in anymore and all supplies are now being airlifted in by helicopter. Put that in your Global Warming pipe and smoke it...

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/climate/australian-anta...

Plus there was snow today in North Dakota some parts of Minnesota and southern Manitoba... (glad I'm not seeding 4,000 acres this year)

http://bringmethenews.com/2015/05/18/yep-thats-snow-chill-makes-you-chec...

 

And finally check out the picture of Hadrian's wall at Ben Nevis in Scotland taken a mere 6 days ago... STUNNING...

http://www.mountainmotion.co.uk/files/2814/3100/6343/4.5.15a.jpg

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:25 | 6106351 NoDebt
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Zero, if God himself/herself descecnded from heaven and told the entire world that Global Warming was not real, the eco-libs would still be passing laws to prevent it from happening.  It was never about the environment any more than the Fed's policies were ever about the economy.  It's a control game, pure and simple.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:44 | 6106415 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

And like all games you eventually get 1 winner and everyone else loses.

A giant planetary game of Monopoly that began hundreds of years ago.

DO NOT pass GO... DO NOT collect $200...

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:27 | 6106636 falak pema
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More OT news : 

http://uk.businessinsider.com/bill-gates-debunks-the-right-wing-idea-tha...

Even Bill Gates is leaving the Libertarian type bandwagon. 

Not surprising to TRUE libertarians, after all he is a friend of Buffet Warren. 

But a sign of the times.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:39 | 6106692 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

But oddly his money remains securely offshore...

"With all the talk about inversions and America’s Burger King Going Canadian, it’s easy to ignore even more prevalent tax savings by numerous American companies. Take Microsoft, which admits in its 2014 SEC filing that it avoids $30 billion in U.S. taxes. The trick? Keep about triple that amount, $93 billion in Microsoft’s case, outside the U.S., says The International Business Times."

Just as all politics are local.... all interests are self interests.

To expect anything different would be folly No?

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:19 | 6106593 falak pema
falak pema's picture

add an "r" here and there and you will be surprised! 

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:39 | 6106701 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Speling Nazi!  ; )

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:43 | 6106170 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Unicorns don't play hockey, just polo.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:43 | 6106172 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Well then, that explains the rally...

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:51 | 6106210 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Gotta panic buy stawks now, cuz look at all that room for upward revisions! That's Joey 'The Balogna' Lavorgna's theory anyway.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:47 | 6106188 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

So much for inflation expectations.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:04 | 6106258 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Right, becasuse the real cost of living just keeps going down...

good luck to all the retired/disabled out there.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:48 | 6106197 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

I'm sure both are wrong and far too high.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 13:56 | 6106230 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

But but but that rate hike later will make the pig look good.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:04 | 6106260 A_latvian
A_latvian's picture

Here's a thought: I wonder if the U.S. economy is actually doing OK after all this time (you can only keep American workers down with taxes and fees for so long before they decide to not participate in economic malaise).  The power brokers know this, and know that if the true state of the economy is exposed, the giant Obama/Fed bubble will be burst before they're able to cash in their chips. 

Then, as we close into the 2016 election, just remove the vail.  Golden parachutes deloyed.  Banks are bailed out by TARP 3.0 and brokered by an "emergency" meeting between candidate Clinton and Lame Duck Obama in October 2016, and the cycle begins again.

Just sayin...

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:19 | 6106326 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Sure, no matter how bad things actually get, all the power brokers need to do is declare an emergency meeting or 2 and say everything is fine.

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 14:39 | 6106406 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

Pelosi just crayoned an op-ed piece on how more EBT will solve this, truly riveting: batshitcrazy.com/queenofkookoo

 

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:06 | 6106513 TheRideNeverEnds
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Bullish

Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:14 | 6106561 fremannx
fremannx's picture

The stock markets are on the verge of collapse as indicated by the Dow Jones industrials...

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/dow-jones-industrial-averageelliott-w...

 

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