This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Crude Tumbles Despite 3rd Weekly Inventory Draw & Production Plunge

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following last night's 5.2 million barrel inventory draw reported by API, crude prices surged once again (bouncing off levels before the first inventory draw at the end of April). Consensus appears confused since Bloomberg median estimates were for a 1.75mm draw while survey respondents expected a 3.82 million barrel draw this morning. DOE data showed a disappointly lower than API, 2.67 million barrel draw - which initially sent crude prices tumbling... machines bid them back, and now they are plunging again. Production dropped 1.2% overall - its biggest weekly drop since July 2014.

3rd weekly inventory draw in a row...

 

And production plunged by the most in 10 months...

 

Which sent crude falling - then soaring - then dumping...

 

Retracing gains post API - as it appears the market was disappointed that the DOE draw was not as big as API had predicted

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Wed, 05/20/2015 - 10:46 | 6113444 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

The markets are now green for the day so all is well!

.....I was having a panic attack thinking it could possibly fall by 2 or 3 points!!

 

God forbid!!!

 

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 10:52 | 6113463 Headbanger
Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:05 | 6113507 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Crude Tumbles

 

Hate to say we told you so, but quite a few of us did.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:28 | 6113599 MonetaryApostate
MonetaryApostate's picture

Oil & Gas are blast from the past people, infinite renewable electricity is where it's all going, MARK MY WORDS!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GlOBJQlzzpM

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:42 | 6113667 Rock On Roger
Rock On Roger's picture

How are you gonna use solar power to harvest the wheat crop?

 

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:58 | 6113709 MonetaryApostate
MonetaryApostate's picture

No se hombre, no se...

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:04 | 6113502 RockRiver
RockRiver's picture

crude production declinews all in Alaska. Lower 48 unchanged.......

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:11 | 6113533 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Of course this is just market pumping. Oil production is always a variable but first off remember Cushing alone is a 600+ million barrel storage, so we're talking very small changes. Watch the quarterly and seasonal reports to see how the industry is really doing. Right now the summer driving season will be the make or break and if there isn't a big season, oil will take a large crap...again...

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 12:17 | 6113777 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

600 million barrels? Really?

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 12:25 | 6113816 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Cushing is big and spread out and they've been building storage for decades. They supply most of the oil for Texas and the great plains refiners. That huge capacity is the lifeblood of the industry....

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 13:04 | 6113880 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

I  suggest you look up Dunning-Kruger and get back to us....

BTW, http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPC0_SAX_YCU...

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 13:14 | 6114001 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Yep, screwed up and added a zero in my head, but still the drawdown was small.....

 

edit: 520 million US storage... http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2015/03/29/of-storage-crunc...

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 13:23 | 6114046 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

It ain't all in Cushing...

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 13:41 | 6114106 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Nope, and its not all US oil either, just most of it....

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 10:46 | 6113447 pods
pods's picture

I am going to run right to the pump and fill up the tank, cause I know they are going to be giving that shit away now!

pods

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:18 | 6113562 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Free gas with every donut combo.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 10:48 | 6113453 heisenberg991
heisenberg991's picture

How about lowering the price of gas you greedy fucksticks.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 10:51 | 6113459 saints51
saints51's picture

The price of crude has nothing to do with gas prices. It has everything to do with removing any medium to small player in the Shale plays. They want it for pennies on the dollar. It is also to hurt countries like Russia who are not complying with satan's agenda.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:06 | 6113512 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

I'm locked into a $100/bl contract.

 

Sucks!

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:10 | 6113528 saints51
saints51's picture

I hope you're playing. I do know there is a lot who are locked into high priced crude.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:42 | 6113662 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

So what you're saying is, if they could jack the price for no reason, that would be a good thing.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 10:53 | 6113466 saints51
saints51's picture

LOL!!!! Now crude just PUMPED after the dump. Its back to 58.70

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:12 | 6113541 saints51
saints51's picture

getting close to breaking pit session highs. Come on wally you can do it. Nothing says US markets like stop hunting longs and shorts. Of course you have to be a moron trading on Wednesdays.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:14 | 6113544 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Its back to 58.70

 

Chalk it up to 29.5 hr/wk jobs holders disposable income purchases.

 

That, or hot QE cash.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:19 | 6113571 saints51
saints51's picture

it wont last much longer. September is my guess. We shall see.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:16 | 6113554 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Fundstrat Global Advisors' Tom Lee says the key to the rally will be young people buying homes. 

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:21 | 6113576 wrs1
wrs1's picture

Is Cushing full yet?  When will oil be $20?

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:25 | 6113593 saints51
saints51's picture

I just rented a kiddie pool I bought from TG&Y to a Texan for 3k a month. Not a bad deal at all.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:30 | 6113613 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I wonder which central bank is buying usd/jpy? Up 60 pips on no news on already heavily overbought 1 & 4 hour charts. That pig is going to get sold hard soon. Same shit different month.

  Everyone goes into fantasy land mode and tries to use the Fed. meetings/minutes for cover, to buy things that they know are full retard.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 11:36 | 6113638 saints51
saints51's picture

If I had to guess it would be the 2 in that pair above. Who want want either of the junk being peddled? it has to be them and maybe the other idiot - europe.

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 12:01 | 6113718 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

The entire theory of equity markets is the idea that no matter how overpriced shit is- there will always be a bigger fool who will buy and then sell to an even bigger fool.

This of course goes on until some lucid, rational fucker says I can live without stawks. Or tulip bulbs. One wonders when the lucid guy appears. 

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 12:09 | 6113749 Arnold
Wed, 05/20/2015 - 12:21 | 6113800 Los Vegoose
Los Vegoose's picture

Predicting gas/oil prices with reality based data seems as effective as pulling the lever on a slot machine slots in Vegas or a palm reader

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 13:09 | 6113980 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

The USA might be literally plunging into a recession here....

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 17:50 | 6115100 Elvis is Alive
Elvis is Alive's picture

Weekly Production plunge was 100% due to termporary decline in Alaskan production. There is nothing there to get excited about, probably a pipeline snafu. 

The much bigger issue is that the lower 48 states saw produciton levels the same as last week. That is the portion that is much more econominally sensitive.

The products supply numbers the last two weeks are huge, and I think that the exports number being the exact same number out to four digits suggests some serious fudging. 

 

 

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!