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Durable Goods Orders Slide YoY 4th Month In A Row Despite Dramatic Upward Revisions

Tyler Durden's picture




 

After dramatically upwardly revised data from last month (but following an even more dramatic downward revision to all historical data earlier in the month) - the highly noisy series of Durable Goods Orders printed -0.5% (from +5.1% in March, revised up from +4.0%). Capital Goods Orders (non-defense Ex-Air) beat expectations MoM (printing +1.0% vs 0.3%) and was revised remarkably up from the biggest drop since 2012 to a 1.5% rise in March.

Core Capital Goods Orders, however, remains negative YoY for the 4th months in a row. The last time this happened was either a recession, or the Fed unleashed QE3.

Durable goods ex-transports Y/Y: up sequentially, down Y/Y.

 

Core capex: the reason the USD is surging is because the core capex number printed up 1.0% compared to the 0.3% expected. And yet, on an annual basis we just printed yet another consecutive decline in April.

 

All this despite drastic revisions in historical data.

 

 

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Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:44 | 6132137 This is it
This is it's picture

Bullish

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:56 | 6132150 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Send in the Clowns in 3..2..1

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:48 | 6132140 optimator
optimator's picture

Bullish?  Bullsh......................

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:50 | 6132143 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Ludicrous seasonal adjustment speed!

Escape velocity almost reached!

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:59 | 6132156 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

ZH should rebrand and call itself Crime Story.

All finance related markets are rigged.  Pathetic.

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 09:05 | 6132173 TheFourthStoog-ing
TheFourthStoog-ing's picture

Zeroes are merely the contemporary version of The Born Loser. Gold, a Zero's favored investment, routinely plummets despite ZH's claim it would be several thousand per ounce by now.

Zeroes, do yourselves a big favor and sell whatever you have left of that ridiculous commodity.

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 09:17 | 6132198 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

The beatings will continue until morale improves.

This could go on for many years.

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 09:02 | 6132165 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Terminal speed.

fify

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:50 | 6132144 aliki
aliki's picture

funiest thing i heard on CNBC this morning: now blaming the good weather from over the weekend as-to why george clooney's new movie missed expectations over the weekend as well as why overall movie traffic was down. we will blame good weather, bad weather, snow, rain, sun, etc. on any & every # that does not come "in-line" with "expectations".

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 09:01 | 6132163 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Classic case of "Expectations of being under the weather".

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:55 | 6132147 Arius.
Arius.'s picture

where is the Chart documenting the spoofing actions in pm?

 

or are we being selective  ... only publish spoofing of Dubai based traders?

 

dont tell me this is the real market...

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:54 | 6132148 becky quick and...
becky quick and her beautiful mouth's picture

i feel stupid AND contagious.

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:58 | 6132152 kw2012
kw2012's picture

Doubly sesesnally adjusted?

 

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:59 | 6132153 kw2012
kw2012's picture

Doubly seasonally adjusted?

 

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 08:59 | 6132157 TheFourthStoog-ing
TheFourthStoog-ing's picture

Zeroes never believe upward revisions because they don't confirm their 'the world's going to hell in a hand basket' data bias. However, they unquestionably embrace any negative data, even if it comes from a mainstream media source.

Zeroes are good like that. :-)

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 09:03 | 6132168 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

what is a zero? someone that has no imagination for an own nick, and instead tries to pass for someone else?

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 09:12 | 6132188 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Trying to get any true reading from these metrics is like sniffing at the wind for signals as to our next meal.

Is the neighbor barbecuing or is his house on fire? Does it matter? Evidently the only thing important is what all the other neighbors think.

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 09:07 | 6132169 Arnold
Arnold's picture

This sort of behavior will end up spoiling a perfectly good holiday and many will end up in tears.

 

http://www.beaujolaisnouveauday.com/

 

My six month forward look.

Tue, 05/26/2015 - 12:14 | 6132701 earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

USSA & TBTF's inc., Insurance Co., via 'TPP'... reacts to 'Junk`Bond ratings[?]

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