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Crude Prices Bounce On Inventory Draw Despite Biggest Production Spike In 19 Months

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following last night's surprise inventory build (as reported by API), as one trader noted, "inventory declines are expected this time of yr and more or less expected, we need to see inventory draws accelerating," and DOE didn't disappoint reporting a 2.8 million barrel draw (against expectations of a 2 million barrel draw). Inventories remains massively high though and Crude Production soared 3.28% - the biggest rise since Oct 2013. Crude prices initially ripped on the inventory news but are fading.

 

4th week in a row of inventory draws

 

For some context as to what this inventory change means...

 

But production exploded by the most in 19 months... Lower 48 States increased production at an average of 209,000 barrels per day

 

Crude prices ramped into the data after legging down all morning... spiked on the news but perhaps the machines have not seen the production data yet.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:14 | 6140018 wrs1
wrs1's picture

Imports were down.  Anytime they are below 7.1mmbbl/day, expect a draw.

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:22 | 6140048 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

The prols will go bat shit If gas goes back over $3 a gallon national average,

So keep this shit you greedy fucks..

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:53 | 6140150 StarfishPrime
StarfishPrime's picture

$3.69 avg in LA, $3.78 avg in SF.. loving the specific California blend. On my way to work, there is an Exxon and a Chevron straddling I5 that always have the same prices - $4.59/gal for REGULAR (+20c for premimum). Insane gross profit margin.

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 12:06 | 6140214 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"The Alaska Price." That's what you get for being an oil producer...

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:38 | 6140101 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

We're drawing down...now, but how long will that last? The refiners have made a guess on summer driving and we'll see how good their guess was by late June. Inventory of crude is very high and the draw down isn't that great. Somebody is going to be wrong...

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:15 | 6140021 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

They spilled 0.8 of that number out on the ground.

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:21 | 6140029 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

The dollar must be declining.

The algos are going to fry from all the illogical inputs and expected outputs.

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:17 | 6140033 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Crude oil now trading more erratically than a MOMO camera on a stick IPO, lol.

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:23 | 6140054 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Declassified docs: Hillary aided rise of ISIS

http://www.wnd.com/2015/05/declassified-docs-hillary-aided-rise-of-isis/

 

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:33 | 6140080 Sam Spade
Sam Spade's picture

Domestic production of 9.57 million bbl per day is a new record…but that’s…unpossible!

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 11:39 | 6140105 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Inconceivable.....

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 12:08 | 6140225 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Amtrak has a train wreck and airplane ticket prices soar the next day.

Nope...no inflation here...

Nor in Europe none neither!

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 13:28 | 6140530 Vergeltung
Vergeltung's picture

maybe it's time for another meaningless "rig count" post.

(snort!)

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 13:49 | 6140624 lbrecken
lbrecken's picture

Again EIA are estimates and not actual production so jsut like GDP that Tylers seems to question who knows if 3% rise is real.....unreal double standard by ZH...question what it sees if no objectivity

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 13:49 | 6140625 lbrecken
lbrecken's picture

Again EIA are estimates and not actual production so jsut like GDP that Tylers seems to question who knows if 3% rise is real.....unreal double standard by ZH...question what it sees if no objectivity

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 15:15 | 6140964 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Zackly,....

State Level production figures, i.e. Texas RRC and ND suggest otherwise...

Thu, 05/28/2015 - 20:24 | 6141968 Hohum
Hohum's picture

The production rise (if actual) shows Econ 101 is wrong; producers will extract even when marginal cost is greater than marginal revenue.

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