"Ferguson Effect" Triggers Nationwide "Crime Wave"

Tyler Durden's picture

Two weeks ago, we took a look at Baltimore in the aftermath of violent protests that left the city in ashes late last month. The astonishing statistic: from April 27 to May 14, there were 23 homicides in the city, for an average of 1.3 each day. 

We summed up the situation as follows: “But out of sight, out of mind for the rest of the country and we imagine that just as high crime rates and a generalized sense of despair were ignored before the riots, so too will they be ignored now that the media spectacle has died down ... at least until the next "purge."

In fact, May was the city’s bloodiest month since 1999 with more than 30 people shot on Memorial Day weekend alone. Here, courtesy of The Baltimore Sun, is a recap of those who were murdered in Baltimore from May 17 through May 25 alone:

Shaquil Hinton, 21, was killed at 12:29 a.m. Monday in the 800 block of W. Fayette St. in Poppleton, police said. He lived in the same block according to police.


Charles K. Jackson Jr., 32, was killed at 12:51 a.m. Sunday in the 900 block of Ducatel St. in Reservoir Hill, police said. Jackson lived nearby, in the 2300 block of Callow Ave., police said.


Hassan Fields, 20, was killed at 9:06 a.m. Saturday in the 100 block of S. Augusta Ave. in Irvington, police said. Fields lived in the 3700 block of W. Franklin St. in Allendale. When reached by phone, Fields' father declined to comment.


Umika Smith, 24, was killed at 1:28 p.m. Saturday in the 2000 block of Hollins St. in Boyd-Booth. No phone number was listed for her address in the same block. A double shooting happened nearby the following day, injuring a man and a woman, police said.


Bruce Fleming Jr., 23, was killed at 2 p.m. Saturday in the 2800 block of St. Lo Drive in Clifton Park, near Heritage High School, police said. Police said he lived in the 4800 block of Harford Road in Lauraville.


Tyrin Diggs, 19, was killed at 11:06 p.m. Friday in the first block of Benkert Ave. in Saint Josephs, police said. Diggs lived on the 700 block of E. Pontiac Ave. in Brooklyn, police said.


James Mckoy, 21, was killed at 11:51 p.m. Friday in the 1900 block of Wilhelm St., in Carrollton Ridge, police said. He lived in the 300 block S. Monroe St. in the same neighborhood, police said.


Kelvin Warfield, 25, was killed at 4:50 p.m. on Sunday, May 17, in the 100 block of S. Arlington Ave. in Hollins Market, police said. Warfield lived in the 2500 block of W. Fayette St., police said.


Additionally, a 9-year-old shot in the leg was among the victims in the shootings that took place over Memorial Day weekend, Baltimore police said.

Baltimore is not alone. 

The racially charged protests and demonstrations that have swept the country as a result of perceived police misconduct involving African American “suspects” has created what St. Louis police chief Sam Dotson calls “The Ferguson Effect”, whereby law enforcement are now more reluctant to use force to counter illegal activity for fear of prosecution or, more poignantly, for fear of finding themselves cast as the villain that catalyzes widespread civil unrest. This effect, some say, has led to a dramatic increase in violent crime throughout the country. 

Via WSJ:

In Milwaukee, homicides were up 180% by May 17 over the same period the previous year. Through April, shootings in St. Louis were up 39%, robberies 43%, and homicides 25%. “Crime is the worst I’ve ever seen it,” said St. Louis Alderman Joe Vacarro at a May 7 City Hall hearing.


Murders in Atlanta were up 32% as of mid-May. Shootings in Chicago had increased 24% and homicides 17%. Shootings and other violent felonies in Los Angeles had spiked by 25%; in New York, murder was up nearly 13%, and gun violence 7%.


Those citywide statistics from law-enforcement officials mask even more startling neighborhood-level increases. Shooting incidents are up 500% in an East Harlem precinct compared with last year; in a South Central Los Angeles police division, shooting victims are up 100%.


By contrast, the first six months of 2014 continued a 20-year pattern of growing public safety. Violent crime in the first half of last year dropped 4.6% nationally and property crime was down 7.5%. Though comparable national figures for the first half of 2015 won’t be available for another year, the January through June 2014 crime decline is unlikely to be repeated…


Almost any police shooting of a black person, no matter how threatening the behavior that provoked the shooting, now provokes angry protests..


Acquittals of police officers for the use of deadly force against black suspects are now automatically presented as a miscarriage of justice…


This incessant drumbeat against the police has resulted in what St. Louis police chief Sam Dotson last November called the “Ferguson effect.” Cops are disengaging from discretionary enforcement activity and the “criminal element is feeling empowered,” Mr. Dotson reported. Arrests in St. Louis city and county by that point had dropped a third since the shooting of Michael Brown in August. Not surprisingly, homicides in the city surged 47% by early November and robberies in the county were up 82%.


Similar “Ferguson effects” are happening across the country as officers scale back on proactive policing under the onslaught of anti-cop rhetoric. Arrests in Baltimore were down 56% in May compared with 2014.


“Any cop who uses his gun now has to worry about being indicted and losing his job and family,” a New York City officer tells me. “Everything has the potential to be recorded. A lot of cops feel that the climate for the next couple of years is going to be nonstop protests.”

And while Heather Mac Donald — the author of the WSJ piece, Thomas W. Smith fellow at the Manhattan Institute, and the author of “Are Cops Racist?” — may be correct to say that “contrary to the claims of the 'black lives matter' movement, no government policy in the past quarter century has done more for urban reclamation than proactive policing. Data-driven enforcement, in conjunction with stricter penalties for criminals and “broken windows” policing, has saved thousands of black lives, brought lawful commerce and jobs to once drug-infested neighborhoods and allowed millions to go about their daily lives without fear,” it certainly seems reasonable to suggest that the logic behind the following statement from an NYPD officer Mac Donald interviewed for her piece seems questionable at best:

“Does an officer need to be unconscious before he can use force? If someone is willing to fight you, he’s also willing to take your gun and shoot you. You can’t lose a fight with a guy who has already put his hands on you because if you do, you will likely end up dead.”

Whatever position you care to take on the above, what's clear is that race relations in America are deteriorating, as are class relations with policy decisions at the highest levels serving only to exacerbate the divide between the rich and the poor (as discussed in "America's Class Segregation Problem In Four Charts"), thus creating still more tension in poor communities that have already sufferred from a lack of real opportunities for decades.

Does the recent wave of protests and demonstrations mark an epochal shift in American society or will this all be quietly swept under the rug in order to maintain the appearance of social stability?

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greenskeeper carl's picture

Let me guess, all the perpetrators and victims in this spike of violent crime were all Canadians, right?

Budnacho's picture

All Curling and Backbacon related Im guessing...

Billy the Poet's picture

Welfare and Drug War related. The tag team scores another hit.

0b1knob's picture

Shaquil, Hassan, Umika, Tyrin, and Kelvin.   All obvious Canadian names.

Damn Canadians ruin everything.

Ms. Erable's picture

When will people start to understand the fact that the cops HAVE NO LEGAL REQUIREMENT TO PROTECT ANYONE OR ANYTHING FROM HARM? They exist only to:

A) levy fines for acts of malum prohibitum;

B) Protect their (pay)masters and other copgang members; and

C) Protect their pensions.

Where do you fit in the above list? That's right - NOWHERE. You're on your own, and best get comfortable with that fact right damn quick.

0b1knob's picture

Arm yourself.   Save yourself.   You are on your own.   You have ALWAYS been on your own.

Don't be an unarmed imbecile.

El Vaquero's picture

You're on your own, but you risk prosecution for defending yourself. 

Bumpo's picture

Give these poor oppressed communities all the rope they need to hang themselves. Live without Police, and police yourselves. You only have yourselves to blame.

chumbawamba's picture

Oh, I see.  So unless police are allowed to maim, torture and kill anyone they choose as a target without repercussion or public outcry, they won't be able to do their job.  So what exactly is their job again?

Yeah, fuck the police, even the so-called "good ones".  If they were so good they'd realize the untenable dichotomy of the position they are put in and would walk away.  The fact is they're too dumb to know they're just pawns.

I am Chumbawamba.

Creepy A. Cracker's picture

Wow. Is hyperventilating your normal state of being or is it just when you go spastic about law enforcement?

erkme73's picture


?Chumba is dead on.  Unfortunately the police abuse issues has been co-opted by the race baiters.  Sure, there's an element of race involved, but I dare any white person to not immediately lick the boots of a cop (of any color) and see how quickly the fangs come out.  How many videos do we need to see, where a 'disrespected' cop dishes out a little blue-justice to the punk who doesn't comply.

When LEO's bark an illegal order to produce ID to a citizen who is 100% in their legal right to refuse, the citizen will be luck to survive the encounter.  THAT SHOULD NOT BE.   Contempt of cop is not a legal justification to assault citizens (of any color).   Cops have become accustomed to punishing citizens who aren't compliant with their every order.  Cameras are shining a spotlight on their behavior.  Instead of embracing the cameras as a way to prove why force was needed, they claim the cameras are dangerous and unwarranted.  Cockroaches don't like light either.

To Chumba's point - where are the good cops?  A cop who does nothing as his partner beats an  unconscious suspect, is a bad cop.  100% of the cops involved in the Freddie Gray arrest were indicted.  Where was the good cop among them?  Among all 10 San Bernadino cops that beat the horse thief suspect for over 2 minutes, where was the good cop?

A cop that doesn't cover for the bad ones is not seen as a team player.  His calls for backup will be delayed, or ignored.  Good cops don't exist exactly for the reason Chumba stated.   They'd either quit out of protest after seeing how their 'brothers in blue' abuse the public, or they'd get fired trying to change the system.  Look up FHP Trooper Jane Watts to see what happens to a real GOOD cop when they stand up to the thin blue wall...?
Ms. Erable's picture

Alright, kids, let's put the 'good cop' notion to rest - ain't no such animal. Consider:

1. All cops are sworn to enforce the law - ALL laws.

2. Many laws are unjust, and some are downright capricious.

Ergo, ALL cops have sworn to enforce ALL laws, INCLUDING unjust and capricious laws.

Tell me who the 'good cops' are again?

TruxtonSpangler's picture

Cops are sworn to uphold CODES. Sheriff can enforce LAW. Congress enacts law. States enact CODES. Read all your state laws. Why are the called Municipal CODES? Codes arent laws.

TruxtonSpangler's picture

Fun fact: Supreme Court upheld that Cops might not be chosen to be hired solely because their IQ is above 100. Look it up.

r00t61's picture

It was a Federal appeals court, and not SCOTUS, but close enough.


It has also been established in multiple court cases that you, the Citizen Prole, have no Constitutional right to police protection.


Warren vs. District of Columbia

DeShaney vs. Winnebago County

Castle Rock vs. Gonzalez

Bowers vs. DeVito

Davidson vs. Westminster

And many more...

philipat's picture

With the usual total disregard for Political Correctness and a complete disdain for Progressive nitwits, Fred got it right again:


thatthingcanfly's picture

I thought I was the only one who read Fred.

Gold Eyed Cat's picture

I'm kinda sick of this Cops Vs Black Community circus that the media shoves down our throats.  The fact is BOTH sides are fucking wrong.  The cops have behaved disgraceful and the black community should be ashamed.  Both are barely better than feral animals.  Neither deserve our support.


On a side note, I also think Z-man and Trayvon-Skittles both deserved each other and got what they were asking for.


In conclusion.  Both sides suck.  I'm not falling for it.  Let them clean up their own filth.

Colonel Klink's picture

Or worse, getting shot by those very police who arrive because you're simply holding a gun after defending yourself.  The "citizen" isn't allowed to possess a gun in the presence of police without the assumption that you're a danger to them or others.

You are to be disarmed for their safety!

Cloud9.5's picture

What's the old line about being tried by twelve or carried by six?  Self-defense is a natural right.  Retaliation is in God’s hands.  Learn the difference and you should be good to go.

Antifaschistische's picture

So, let me see if I understand this article correctly......as a result of Ferguson and the evil police, black 20 something year old guys across the country start shooting eachother?

Okay, that makes sense....If Obama had a son....

cornflakesdisease's picture

If they decrease the surface population of these immoral thugs, this is bad because?

knukles's picture

All going according to the Messiah's Plan.
Civility falls apart, civil unrest spreads, lawlessness prevails as police can't keep order, rioting, looting, burning, murder

And Then Marital Law right during Jade Helm.

Coulda woulda shoulda

Shouldn't have been asking for Anarchy to Topple the System.  The Law of Unintended Consequences is a Bitch

Monty Burns's picture

"Marital" Law?  Freudian slip?

Metalredneck's picture

Martial law causes you to be fucked.

Marital law prevents it.

Macchendra's picture

It's comments like these that make me want to troll the Jade Helm truthers...

daveO's picture

The Feds must seize control before a dollar colllapse. Otherwise, they will be left high and dry. Their welfare cattle will be left to fend, starve for themselves. I really don't think they can accomplish a total takeover of law enforcement. The states are already pushing back with stand your ground laws. These laws are meant to protect ourselves from the feral animals that the Fed. gov. has created. We are, most likely, living in the worst anarchy. I say this because white, law abiding areas of the country will not allow themselves to be overrun. As soon as the fed. gov. stops supporting their feral pets, these same feral animals stand the chance of dying immediately. Here's what happens when they overflow from the Fed. sponsored sewer.



MilwaukeeMark's picture

If the left played football they would never pass or run the ball. Rather, they would point in some far off direction and when everyone was looking away, move the ball with their foot down field by 1/10th of an inch. If you called them on it they would call you  a homophobe, or a racist, or sexist, or that you hate the poor. Well guys, 100 years of the Elitist plan since Jekyl Island, giving away power to the globalists, 1/10th of an inch a day, a yard a year .. and we are here, "first and goal" with America's fate on the line.  

They are ready now to take the ball over the line but most of us have got their number and we are watching their feet. So now ....  as their final act ... they will produce guns, hold them to our heads and carry the ball over the goal line.  And that's what Ferguson and Baltimore and Jade Helm is all about.

cornflakesdisease's picture

The dollar will collapse as soon as we run out zeros . . .

msmith9962's picture

Uh... I don't think you can say "triggers" anymore.

Pure Evil's picture

Any word with "igger" in it should be banned.

Cause, ya know, it's for the children.

Creepy A. Cracker's picture

Niggardly. A perfectly reasonable word that has nothing to do with race.  Years ago the Washington D.C. comptroller was fired for using it in a completely appropriate way when talking about the D.C. budget at a public meeting. 


1:  grudgingly mean about spending or granting :  begrudging 2:  provided in meanly limited supply
Bárðarbunga's picture

This is a true story. My ex-employee's brother worked for a software firm and was present at a meeting when the guy used this word. This happened at a Baltimore company, but it's possible that this story got retold a million times. He tried talking his way out of the conversation pleading to the "boss" to look the word up. He was fired because according to company policy he made a racial slur. Unbelievable.

msmith9962's picture

Probably cant get fired for talking about honking your horn or eating crackers.

Ballin D's picture

What I would give to be a fly on the wall when the smug HR rep and manager were explaining to their legal department how cut and dried the issue was. Hahaha that lawyer went home and had whiskey for dinner while reconsidering his life choices no doubt...

Ms No's picture

I reduced a room of people in Washington state to horror and gasps by using the term reneged (pronounced renigged) once.  One individual exclaimed "I can't believe you just said that."  I couldn't stop laughing at the stupidity of it.

Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

They journeyed across the ocean from the US to Liberia.  There, they renigged.

TheMeatTrapper's picture

Reneged: Defintion: Shift change at McDonalds.

rbg81's picture

Gee, what a shock! [/s]

People should be careful what they wish for.  They want anarchy, that's what they'll get -- they probably won't like it though.  A few thugs will skate, but everyone else will suffer.  Maybe one day, all those #BlackLivesMatter dumbasses will realize that the biggest losers are the people they purport to care about?  Kinda doubt it though.  It's all about milking the issue for all it's worth, not solving the problem.

Of course, the endgame for all this is REPARATIONS.  And that won't solve shit either.

Billy the Poet's picture

The inner city petrie dish is brought to you by your rulers. Why would you blame anarchy which means "no rulers" for the chaos created by the rulers?

rbg81's picture

I sometimes wonder what the inner city would look like if everyone just left it alone.  It might not be as bad as it is right now, but it might well be worse.  One thing for sure:  it will never resemble Bruges.

Ginsengbull's picture

How would it look if there were no tv?

Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

A canard, the notion that 'the inner city petrie dish is brought to you by your rulers'.  It's what happens when niggers do their thing.  There is no effective 'ruler' in Liberia.  Look @ Baboontown.  They shit on the beaches. Drugs and prostitution are rampant, and poverty, disease, and murder are ubiquitous.