Mapping An ISIS Advance: Syria On The Brink

Tyler Durden's picture

Recently, calls for US ‘boots on the ground’ in Syria have gotten louder after ISIS captured a UNESCO World Heritage site in Syria, overran Ramadi in Iraq, and took credit for a suicide bombing in a Saudi mosque. 

The US is now reportedly looking at its options including sending so-called “spotters” to Iraq who will help to make US airstrikes more effective and meanwhile, uber hawks like Senator John McCain (who has himself had a bit of trouble shaking rumors that he was once photographed with the same ISIS forces he now wants to annihilate) saying that as many as 10,000 US troops are necessary to turn the tide. From Bloomberg:

Arizona Republican Senator John McCain, chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, speaks during panel discussion at regional security summit in Singapore.

 

Islamic State is winning in Iraq, Syria: McCain

 

Air strikes without foreign troops on the ground providing real time targeting information aren’t effective: McCain.

 

McCain says he blames President Barack Obama’s decision to withdraw troops from Iraq for emergence of Islamic State.

Here’s a bit of color from Stratfor on the current situation on the ground:

Last week, the Islamic State seized the ancient city of Palmyra from Syrian President Bashar al Assad's forces. The city's capture adds to the many defeats Damascus has suffered over the past six months, compounding its problems as it faces threats on multiple fronts.

 

The Islamic State's victory in Palmyra is notable for two reasons. First, it has completely isolated loyalist forces in Deir el-Zour province, including the 137th Mechanized Brigade and the elite 104th Republican Brigade. Second, Palmyra's location — a critical crossroads in the center of Syria — gives the Islamic State a strategic base from which it can launch attacks on key locations in the surrounding area.

 

The Islamic State's maneuvers in Homs province, where Palmyra is located, denote a shift in its strategy in Syria. Previously, the Islamic State fought against the People's Protection Units in Kobani and al-Hasaka while maintaining its positions in Aleppo province.

 

Earlier in the conflict, Damascus removed its forces from Homs province and deployed them against the growing rebel threat of Jaish al-Fateh in Idlib province. The redeployment, which transferred the elite Tiger Forces and Desert Falcons away from the Islamic State's area of operations, will now be seen as a mistake. The elite forces have been unable to halt rebel advances in Idlib, and their departure from Homs has left the government highly vulnerable on its eastern flank.

 

The Islamic State now threatens the Syrian government's core territory, which stretches from Damascus to Aleppo. It is likely that the government will try to take the fight to Islamic State forces stationed in Palmyra, if not to recapture the city then to pin the group down in a single location and keep it from spreading to other strongholds. Either way, any action al Assad takes in response to the Islamic State's success in Homs will expose Damascus on other fronts.

Here are the visuals...

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Indeed it appears as though President Bashar al-Assad is well on his way to losing control. We'll close with what we said last week:

As you can see, there are now plenty of excuses to put boots on the ground first in Iraq, and then in Syria. Put simply: if there was ever an opportune time to play the ISIS card on the way to ousting Assad and securing a route for Qatari natural gas to flow to Europe thus breaking Gazprom (and Putin’s) stranglehold, this is surely it. 

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Morbid's picture

syria wouldnt fall!

knukles's picture

I get dibs on the pipeline!

last time I won Imelda Marco's shoes and she told me I'd look better with a few scars, daring, more handsome, so I let her gerbil nibble on my fingers

Ginsengbull's picture

Ferdinand wouldn't have liked that one bit.

knukles's picture

Fuck Ferdinand.  It was soooo romantic with Imelda.  Her singing to me in her black latex gimp suit and mask while Ferdinand's pet gerbil seductively nibbled on my cuticles.  Why, I almost spirited her away from that palace of horrors back to my own damp basement in Altoona, Iowa, but thought better of it, for as the drugs wore off her singing all of a sudden emulated Yoko Ono's love warbling, and I skedaddled..

                                   sigh

Stuck on Zero's picture

Has ISIS attacked Israel at all?  Hmmm ...

Sashko89's picture

Ok so if I understand this right, if Assads regime in Syria fall they will put a gas pipeline from Qatar through Isis territory??? Really, this males no sense... Someone please explain the Wests strategy to me... Topple Assad and the Islamic State will just give the West a green light to go ahead and put a gas pipeline through their territory really?

Maxter's picture

"Topple Assad and the Islamic State will just give the West a green light to go ahead and put a gas pipeline through their territory really?"

Yes exactly. ISIS is a CIA/MOSSAD creation.  They are obeying our orders. 

Max UK's picture

Assad was going to let a 'bad guys' pipeline through, from Iran. Step one, get rid of the Syrian regime sympathetic to Iran. Step two, get rid of the terr'ists stooges that oust Assad, and replace them with a puppet gubmint, who will then safeguard the construction and protection of a Qatari pipeline. And while they are at the controls, cede forever on behalf of the Syrian state, all title to the Golan heights, under the guise of some staged peace process or other.

omniversling's picture

Eretz ISISrael?

"To your descendants I have given this land, from the Egyptian River as far as the great river, the Euphrates."
Bereshit (Genesis) 15:18

http://www.ahavat-israel.com/eretz/future

Ginsengbull's picture

A very wise skedaddle indeed!

TheReplacement's picture

Is better to have loved and lost than never to have lost at all.

sonoftx's picture

Damn you're funny knukles!

Paveway IV's picture

Put 10,000 U.S. troops on the ground, which Syrians will absolutely fucking 100% hate. McCain forgets that even people on the rebel FSA side hate the U.S. now. This must be the new Pentagon requirement for troop deployment: wait until the people on the ground absolutely despise the U.S., are completely unwilling to cooperate and ignore U.S. pleas to return to territory the U.S. wasted U.S. soldier's lives to conquer.

Locals always know how U.S. intervention ends: the locals are disarmed by the U.S. and defenseless, the U.S. has destroyed their homes and infrastructure, and whoever the U.S. was 'fighting' is just going to wait until the Americans leave and then come back and butcher anyone left. The U.S. may 'hire' a couple local thugs or petty criminals to act as police, but they will only extort money from the locals and will 100% flee at the sight of any kind of enemy.

The ONLY people in Syria that like the U.S. are the people that get radios, rifle scopes and arms from the U.S.: the rest of the failing FSA, al Nusra and ISIS. I guess we did send the Kurds a few token arms, but that was kind of a wash - the steerable parachutes with the German grenades all managed to fly directly into the ISIS compound er, by mistake I guess. Damn!

Dear McCain: Even a geriatric psychopath like you should be able to understand the futility of stirring up an Arab Spring ethnic cleansing campaign in Syria, killing three-quarters of a million CIVILIANS and funding a fake 'rebellion' whose soldiers almost wihtout exception have joined the al Nusra or ISIS head-choppers (and taken their U.S. equipment and TOW-2A's with them). U.S. soldiers will die by the weapons and TOWs YOU sent to the fake FSA, remember? There will be several hundred more that come back with out arms and legs because YOU sent TONS AND TONS of RDX and ammonium nitrate to the rebels (who are now al Nusra or ISIS) through Turkey. All those expolsives will be used for car bombs and IEDs against American troops.

You launched a coup attempt against Assad and it failed miserably because you could only find psychopaths to serve as rebels. Don't try to remedy the situation now by sending in our sons and daughters to clean up YOUR FUCKING MESS, you treasonous old bastard. If the Syrians want to ressurect Hitler from the dead and elect him president, then it's NONE OF YOUR FUCKING BUSINESS. The Syrians hate our fucking guts - we have destroyed their country for Israel and Qatar and have made around ten million of them homeless and destitute. All of this for oil and gas pipelines for two of the most evil and corrupt nations on earth: Israel and Qatar. 

If there is a God in heaven, then there is a wood-chipper SOMEWHERE on earth with your name on it. With any luck, you guys in Washington D.C. still have the one that you used to shred the U.S. constitution. I'm not advocating anyone using violence against you in the least - I'm simply imploring YOU to do the right thing for God and country - just this once.

Do it now, John - the feed cog is calling... It's calling out to you"John... oh, John... come closer... I'll make the pain of your treason go away... You'll be free at last... Come on John, I know you can hear me... step inside and the wood-chipper will forgive your genocide... it won't judge you - it's not your fault... your citizens can't understand you in the special way a wood-chipper can... step into the feed cogs and let me embrace you, John"

Thirtyseven's picture

Best post of the fucking year so far.

Nicely done Paveway, nicely done.

 

 

Freddie's picture

+1 million brother

This pushes me beyond despair of what the NWO/NeoCons/NeoLibs have dones to these people.

And McCain has done the same thing in the Ukraine for his puppet master Soros.  Yats runs Soros NGO in the Ukraine.

There is a special place in hell for McCain, his NeoCon and NeoLib buddies plus the PNAC scum.

YHC-FTSE's picture

Along with "Just Observing", you almost always provide great info, but where you really shine is personal, passionate opinion. +1000

newdoobie's picture

I am stealing quotes out of this! You say it so well,

Mr. Lips's picture

This is the best response to a post I have read anywhere.

Stumpy4516's picture

Maybe I misunderstand what you mean by this:

"You launched a coup attempt against Assad and it failed miserably"

If you are talking about some internal attempt to remove Assad then maybe but if, as I assume, you mean the outside "rebels" then you are completely wrong.

The coup attempt by outside rebels, ISIS, al queda or whatever is ongoing and has been steadily advancing.  It is taking longer than Israel/US wanted but it is moving forward.

And where is Putin.  Putin set up Assad and cooperated with the US/Israel and gave his consent for santions in the UN.  Putin was instrumental in removing Syria's chemical weapons and has refused to honor a contract to sell missiles to Syria.  The Putin lovers  claimed he would sheild Syria - yet look at reality. 

Freddie's picture

McCain and Stratfor = ZWO.

How many sailors did McCain kill on the USS Forrestal?

How many sailors on the USS Liberty did his father allow to be murdered when he recalled F-4 Phantoms racing to defend the US NAVY ship.  Also old man McCain did a slow cruise to reach the USS Liberty's dead and dying soldiers. 

The RUSSIANS were the first to arrive to provide medical aid but the USS Liberty refused their help.

Thirtyseven's picture

Remember: Israel machine-gunned US sailors sitting in liferafts.

Do they teach that in "history" books in the government schools?

TheReplacement's picture

Yes they do.  Just not in US government schools.

The King's picture
The King (not verified) Morbid May 30, 2015 10:07 PM

I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... www.jobs-review.com

dcohen's picture

ISW is a uber Neocon Think Tank founded and belonging to the Nuland-Kagan Khaganate, the same people / family of Zionist Neocons that brought you the Khaganate in Ukraine. Stratfor is the same sh**, as are almost all USA Think Tanks, full of Neocon Zionist sh**.

All they spout is wishful thinking, equating with controlling a few villages, a few desert rocks here and there and 2 or 3 cities as the fall of Syria.

We have heard this for 4+ years now, that the fall is 1 month away.

ISW was salivating like crazy when Obama wanted to bomb Syria.

Anyone remember the PHD and Syria "Expert" O´Bagy? She was fired after they found out she had faked her phd, and she was as much an expert on Syria as the desert rocks there.

What happened to O´Bagy from ISW?

She was hired by Senator John McCain

 

WTFUD's picture

sehr gute herr dcohen 

Can't Think Tank OR just Tank.

 

WTFRLY's picture

This. Thank you DCOHEN. Fuck Zion and the fake joos.

Freddie's picture

https://iamisatthedoors.files.wordpress.com/2013/09/1236812_380862338705...

Sept 2013 - the Russian Navy was parked between Syria and the US Navy.  Russia pretty much told the USA that if they want to bomb Syria that they need to get past the Russian Navy.

On a Saturday morning, the head of the JoiNT Cheifs Martin Dempsey went to the White House to probably tell Obama not to fire over the Russian Navy.  McCain?  Well he and his pa have a long history of selling out sailors and with Kerry selling out POW/MIAs.

Russia, Hezbollah and Iran need to step up their game in protecting Syria.   I have great admiration for the Syrian people and Syrian Army.   Assad will not sell out his own people like Obola and McCain do on a daily basis.

 

Thirtyseven's picture

Almost makes you want to move to one of those free(r) countries like Russia or Iran, doesn't it?

Stumpy4516's picture

Syria is  being bombed on a semi regular basis.  Recently a bombing run was made to the very outskirts of the Syrian capital.

will ling's picture
will ling (not verified) May 30, 2015 8:11 PM

vlad could precude this event easily - if he has the stones.

Salah's picture

YEP....AND IT COULD HAPPEN REAL QUICK IN UKRAINE-LAND (i.e. "NOVORUSSIA")

TungstenBars's picture

Thats what the USSA Criminal Corp and the Nudelman tribesmen want. An excuse to sell hot or cold war to the people.

 

All that the free world needs to do is resist the temptation to punch the western bullies/terrorists in the face and wait. Time is on the side of the East, time is not on the side of the West. Without provocation the West will collapse into its own asshole all by itself. 

tarabel's picture

 

 

Seven years will see this all play out to its pre-ordained conclusion.

TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Pretty optimistic outlook.

Seven years to US empire collapse? I'll take the "under" on that bet.

gonetogalt's picture

here's the creation (ISIS) turning fully against it's Anglo America Zionist creator either in 7 or 10.5 years...(Rev 17)

16 And the ten horns which you saw on the beast, these will hate the harlot, make her desolate and naked, eat her flesh and burn her with fire. 17 For God has put it into their hearts to fulfill His purpose, to be of one mind, and to give their kingdom to the beast, until the words of God are fulfilled. 18 And the woman whom you saw is that great city which reigns over the kings of the earth."
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

As it is, Syria and Assad are screwed.  Regime Change by year end, when Assad falls.  Russian MIC loves selling them arms, but Kremlin won't back them where it REALLY counts:  In the field.

Russian port will be in dire straights, since Putin is all talk, all bark, no bite.  I call it as I see it, not as I wish to see it:  He's an Operator like a former spy, not a fighter like a former Soldier.  He'd rather make deals than take stands that he needs to defend.  A true Teflon politician.

But I hope to be proven wrong.  He can't play the Rope-A-Dope forever, and will need to come out on attack from time to time, if he wants to turn it into a real match.  Else he loses on points.

indygo55's picture

What Putin did in South Ossetia and Georgia in 2008 will tell you he is a fighter. He destroyed the entire US funded and supplied Georgian army in about 6 hours. Then he went home.

tarabel's picture

 

 

If you consider a permanent occupation of territory that does not belong to Russia "going home", I suppose so.

 

TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

You disagree with facts then. No surprising since US citizens consider that facts have to be believed.

Admitting facts is not a matter of agreement or disagreement. Dismissing them is usually done through an art performance known as propaganda.

US citizens are propagandists. Facts only serve one purpose for them: material to be distorted to serve their propaganda.

Winston Churchill's picture

Russia is preparing for war, and trying like hell to not get dragged into any conflict

until absolutely required.Choosing the right battleground will be decisive.Syria isn't it,

but has bought Putin so desperately needed time.

Its the US pushing, because their time is fast running out.

tarabel's picture

 

 

The Father of Lies misleads all and turns their schemes to his own purposes. Not until it is too late will they understand that they have sold themselves down the river of no return.

To suppose that any government anywhere is not fully captive to the spirit of the times is an error.

 

 

 

TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

.

The Father of Lies misleads all and turns their schemes to his own purposes. Not until it is too late will they understand that they have sold themselves down the river of no return.

The discussion of TPP was in another article.

Freddie's picture

I do not think Iran and Hezbollah will let Assad and Syria down.  It is also in their interest.  If Putin and russia do not back them then Russia is a joke.

Putin parked the Russian navy in Sept 2013 off the coast of Syria between Syria and the US Navy.  Somehow, I do not think Putin will let them down.

One World Mafia's picture

Haven't heard of further help from the Russians since Syria complied with Vlad's prodding to give up her chemical weapon defenses.  Right after that Syria was pounced on with stolen US military equipment. Before that Syria was winning.  Putin is even letting Cuba go to the West.

TheReplacement's picture

How can the recipient turn a gift into a stolen weapon?