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When, Not If

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It's just a matter of time...

Risk wil only remain repressed for so long...

Source: @Not_Jim_Cramer

 

Especially as valuations surge...

 

But it's not just equities - everything is expensive...

 

"rich" and getting richer...

 

and when it mean-reverts, it will be painful for the massed crowds on one side of the ship... after all they don't call it "nice"-reversion do they?

 

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Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:20 | 6147007 So Close
So Close's picture

a

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:25 | 6147017 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

big crash

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:27 | 6147022 knukles
knukles's picture

Hey Team, did that other guy ever wake up or is he still enjoying Dulce?

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:58 | 6147082 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Oh yeah, he's Hillary's plaything now and living the Dulce Vita!

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 21:15 | 6148014 MonetaryApostate
MonetaryApostate's picture

Something tells me knowledge will be the most valuable thing after the crash....

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 12:01 | 6149275 zeroaccountability
zeroaccountability's picture

is coming

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:26 | 6147020 knukles
knukles's picture

Talk about rich ... y'all mean like HRC?
The Globe is reporting she's confessed to being an alky.

http://www.globemagazine.com/content/bombshell-hillary-clinton-confesses...

Don't forget it was the Enquirer (?, one of the rags.... National, not SF) that first reported Monica's little black dress stains

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:43 | 6147056 Right-on Left-off
Right-on Left-off's picture

(?, one of the rags.... National, not SF)

"?" I believe that missing answer is Drudge Report.  That's how Matt made his celebrity although somewhat hated by the political and MSM Elite.

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 10:16 | 6149015 Muddy1
Muddy1's picture

Will there be a revelation about her sexual orientation?

Monica's dress was blue.  If it was little I can't say.  I never thought of her as little.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:52 | 6147069 Comte d'herblay
Comte d'herblay's picture

I'm pretty sure Howdy Doody was a puppet and the dress was a li'l ole Blue one.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:53 | 6147073 B2u
B2u's picture

"Despite many obstacles, much has changed during my time in office," the president said at the annual event. "Four years ago, I was locked in a brutal primary battle with Hillary Clinton. Four years later she won't stop drunk-texting me from Cartegana."

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:58 | 6147083 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

She sure lies like an alky.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 19:30 | 6147804 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

Well, this may explain why she isn't aging well. Unfortunately, a liver is a large organ and can function until it's down to about 10% when it succumbs to toxicity. I can't imagine we'd be so lucky to have her drink herself out of this election. If so, I fear the lizard people will dredge up someone even more terrible.

Miffed

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 19:41 | 6147832 piratepiet2
piratepiet2's picture

she isn't aging well ?

How many people at age 67 have the energy to run for president ? Very few I think.  

Not that I would support her bid.  

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 19:57 | 6147868 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

Reagan was older than she when he took office and looked much healthier than she does now. But this is, of course, subjective.

Hitlery has a sallow unhealthy look to her. That she is a heartless evil psychopath doesn't add anything to her attractiveness.

Miffed

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 21:15 | 6147911 piratepiet2
piratepiet2's picture

Well, do not want to be sexist, but at her age at least she won't suffer hormonal swings, which would provide stability. 

A possible heartless-evil-psychopath syndrome could be bonus to her handlers I guess.

But should you not support her regardless, because of her sex ?    

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 21:27 | 6148044 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

I wouldn't be very concerned about being sexist. I freely admit I am. Most women today bore, nauseate or truly piss me off. I blame them for many of our ills today especially their blind faith in psychopathic politicians who should have been strung up if I had my way. I find my solace,for the most part, in the company of men. Perhaps this explains my attraction to this site.

Why do women support her based on her sex? Frankly, I have no explanation ( see 3rd sentence in above paragraph). But to assume I would do so will not engender any friendship between us. And this response to you will not vary even with my fluctuating hormones.

Miffed

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 01:01 | 6148549 Gold Eyed Cat
Gold Eyed Cat's picture

/agree and just want to add, I think it must be a northern women thing. 

The southern ladies I know certainly don't support her.  She may have tits but she's no lady and we sure can't relate to anything she says.  Sexism isn't like racism.  A black community may support a grossly unqualified candidate simply because of skin color, but in my community women will rip a female candidate to pieces if she makes even the smallest mistake.  Of course, most of us here are bat shit crazy.  All I'm saying is I've seen good friends not speak for an entire year because one of them forgot to return a casserole dish.  We can be ridiculously hard on other women.  Hillary doesn't stand a chance in the south.  They better start reprogramming those Diebold voting machines now.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 23:07 | 6148328 frankly scarlet
frankly scarlet's picture

"that she is a heartless evil psychopath" may not add to attracticeness but it sure helps her resume. Treason is the prerequisite so she has that nailed down also. If she does become President then we know its all over....

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 20:59 | 6147981 daveO
daveO's picture

Now, this fall makes sense.

http://www.cnn.com/2012/12/27/politics/clinton-back-to-work/index.html

Same thing that everyone suspected back in '97 with Bill;

http://articles.latimes.com/1997-03-15/news/mn-38524_1_knee-surgery

 

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:35 | 6147025 So Close
So Close's picture

I made over 30k last month.  It's easy and you can too.  All you have to do is bust your ass all the way through high school and take lots of advanced placment courses.  Then get into a really good college and bust your ass again for another 4 years.   If your really a go getter like me then you can work full time serving drinks behind a bar, waiting tables, or other "menial" work at the same time.   Then go work for someone else, making them rich,  for only 10 or so more years...   You get to slow down finally at this point your life....  you only need to work 6, 10-14 hours days a week.   You might be on call on Sunday... but hey...   Aftter that start your own business with all your hard earned savings and work 7 days a week for another 10 years or so...   After this simple excercise (if you spend less than you make for the last 15 years or so... ) you too can be another "over night" millionaire that only took a decade or two to produce.  It's easy.  Stay tuned for my infomerical.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:38 | 6147044 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

It's not the easy way graduate high school go straight to work and sell insurance 30 years love your job and helping people. Have ethics and morals and watch the insurance companies and government FUCK ME out of every hard earned dollar and see all these crooks lie cheat and steal thief way into the 1percent club but hey guess I should have went to college and learned to party it up but I am young I am told I need to keep my ethics I will be rewarded I feel like a CHUMP. Working 13 hrs a day like a nigga slave for a master Obama

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:47 | 6147061 Right-on Left-off
Right-on Left-off's picture

... nigga slave for a master Obama

 

Yes but only a puppet slave master for the Elite Machine.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 14:23 | 6147129 MansaMusa
MansaMusa's picture

Sounds exactly like my current life/job now.  I'm told "be happy to have a job".  While I slave away working 6 days a week, into the evening hours of the night, serving the ungrateful public and trying to pay back professional and undergrad loans.

Wash, rinse, repeat....

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 15:55 | 6147342 PleasedToMeatYou
PleasedToMeatYou's picture

Uh, jeez!  Yet another get-rich-quick scheme. 

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 00:18 | 6148489 OldPhart
OldPhart's picture

I pretty much did the same thing and only managed to make $6,500...where did I go wrong?

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 04:36 | 6148719 Uber Vandal
Uber Vandal's picture

Maybe no one bothered to ask if that $30K was gross or net, or what line of "work" or "business".

Anyone can make a lot, its the taxes, permits, regulations, COGS / input costs, that tend to eat into ones earnings.

My in laws have a small business, on paper it looks like they are killing it.

Until they factor in depreciation, maintenance, insurance, road taxes, fuel, county taxes, state taxes, permits, licenses, fees, nonpaying customers, slow paying customers, labor, health insurance, etc.

 

 

 

 

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:28 | 6147026 So Close
So Close's picture

dupe

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 23:04 | 6148312 Honey Bun
Honey Bun's picture

My last pay check was $9500 working 12 hours a week online. My sisters friend has been averaging 15k for months now and she works about 20 hours a week. I can't believe how easy it was once I tried it out. This is what I do... http://tinyurl.com/kmwz6ln

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:35 | 6147036 dizzyfingers
dizzyfingers's picture

Hurry up already! Get it over with!

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:40 | 6147048 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Disaster is always 3 to 6 months away.

 

I’m going to short the market but not before august at least. 

Numbers overall are actually very good for this month and that will cause a little buying spike.

 

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:42 | 6147052 q99x2
q99x2's picture

My bread is expensive.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:53 | 6147070 Billy the Poet
Billy the Poet's picture

French or Italian loaves $1 each at the Walmart bakery.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 15:52 | 6147335 PleasedToMeatYou
PleasedToMeatYou's picture

You forgot the quotation marks: "French" or "Italian". 

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 16:53 | 6147488 Billy the Poet
Billy the Poet's picture

When a person mentions Italian bread or Italian dressing or French fries one does not imply that theses specific items originated in those places and so no disclaimers are required. These are simply the common names of certain foods. No quotations are necessary.

But you do speak "English" quite well. How long have you been studying it?

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 17:47 | 6147601 Dindu Nuffins
Dindu Nuffins's picture

Your posts exhibit a distinct lack of rhythm rhyme and lush descriptiveness, Billy the "Poet"

if that even is your real name...

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 18:26 | 6147673 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

Says Dindu.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 19:10 | 6147762 piratepiet2
piratepiet2's picture

are you a woman ? ( serious question, checking my femdar )

Mon, 06/01/2015 - 07:24 | 6151275 PleasedToMeatYou
PleasedToMeatYou's picture

Actually, it's not the origin of the product, it's the authenticity of the style of production and particularly it's end result.  But then, despite pretending otherwise, you "knew" that, didn't you? 

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 13:42 | 6147054 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Tick tock motherfuckerz

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 10:37 | 6149066 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

I see some restaurants closing down around South Bay in Los Angeles that had decent business.  But their bars were not busy.  May also be the high rents.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 14:00 | 6147087 BlowsAgainstthe...
BlowsAgainsttheEmpire's picture

Can you see the bubble now, Ms. Yellen?

 

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=1cRo

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 14:48 | 6147175 gdiamond22
gdiamond22's picture

Interesting observation regarding the long term chart of US P/Es. Look at the extremes between peaks and troughs prior to 1913 and after - it's no coincidence the creation of the federal reserve and income tax to allow government to take control resulted in the exponential moves in both directions of booms and busts as opposed to a relatively more stable environment with no Federal Reserve. Shows the utter failure of Marxism and central planners trying to control/eliminate the business cycle. we are now witnessing the final act of this idealism and it won't be pretty.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 16:22 | 6147402 BlowsAgainstthe...
BlowsAgainsttheEmpire's picture

"Shows the utter failure of Marxism and central planners trying to control/eliminate the business cycle." 

 

LOL!

 

It wasn't the central planners who were trying - it was the capitalists whom the central planners serve.  Declining profits aren't good for asset prices.  And who owns most of the assets?

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 19:33 | 6147812 gdiamond22
gdiamond22's picture

Those aren't 'capitalists' they are crooks, crony corporatists and bankers. The panic of 1907 set the stage for the fed and they wanted a bank to bail them out. That's not capitalism.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 15:30 | 6147275 Cycle
Cycle's picture

Keeping in mind that "all models are wrong but some are useful," this particular structured VIX cycle model strongly suggests that VIX is headed higher in the next few months.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 16:28 | 6147423 ms8173
ms8173's picture

With all of the money printed the Gold/Silver miners ETF's are a Bargain!!!  I am buying at these low prices for a nice rainy day!!!  ;)

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 20:41 | 6147951 Wild Theories
Wild Theories's picture

VIX monthly close last two times had to dip below the red for 2-3 yrs before snapping, so far it's only touched below red once in 2014, if we want to go by this that's still a fair way to go yet(even if it's manipulated).

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 21:57 | 6148118 astitchintime
astitchintime's picture

When, not if ....

So, it will never happen ... the FED will not allow it.

Period.

Sat, 05/30/2015 - 23:14 | 6148356 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

"Owning" the vol are a matter of the national security.... Drop it like its hot, Bitchez.

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 00:27 | 6148492 knowshitsurelock
knowshitsurelock's picture

Looking at the VIX chart, it could be possible that the market is finally topping, considering the long term PE's of the top multinational corporations and the rate at which consumers spend relative to the gross GDP ratio's and the velocity of the M1 money supply, juxtaposed against the derivatives bubble, the long term bond and the long term debt to income ratios, as the stochastic, the bollinger bands, the elliot wave, the chakin money flow, the Relative Strength index,  clearly shows with the MACD trendline and the simple moving averages, especially the trajectory of the long term 200 day MA......

OR......

It could be just a bunch of psychopathic hedonistic greedy banksters manipulating things with their algo's.

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 06:30 | 6148773 Its_the_economy...
Its_the_economy_stupid's picture

finally some decent chart porn

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 07:32 | 6148806 Who was that ma...
Who was that masked man's picture

Everything is "just a matter of time".

The big question is always, how much time?

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 09:01 | 6148899 flyonmywall
flyonmywall's picture

I don't even care anymore. The charts don't matter, and the news doesn't matter. It's all fucked up.

I just do what I know best to prepare and when it all gets whipsawed, I will just deal with it. Tired of chart pr0n, doomer porn, and just about everything else.

Just keep stackin' phyzz and other things.

 

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 09:46 | 6148958 ricky663
ricky663's picture

Shorting the manipulated markets hasn't worked since 2009! How can you get the correct timing, when the printing presses keep spinning (if you know when they stop, you can kill it).
Oil on the other hand is an easier play.
That said, I am long oil, TVIX, and a few other specialty plays.
Lightly invested (~20%), and nimble.

Sun, 05/31/2015 - 11:19 | 6149166 Pareto
Pareto's picture

My two cents.  Start taking some short positions.  Someone said earlier on this post - "nimbly".  I think thats how you attack this insanity.  Be wary of the PPT, the 3:30 ramp, and other advesaries, but, start picking away at some high volume hammers and start scalping the elevator down - even if its only 3 or 4 floors.  No stops - algos will find you.  But, employ some mental discipline and I think a person can do ok.  For example, look at the $SOX.  That fucking index is out of control and so too are, I assume, the fuckers in it.  Transports are suggesting some kind of a retreat so find something to hang your hat on, if for no other reason, to quell some of the anxiety associated with participating in a rigged market.  Plus its an opportunity to learn about the tape in relation to your short - always something to glean - anything to get a leg up on these fuckers.  Best to all ZH'ers.

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