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Initial Jobless Claims Rise, Unchanged For 6 Months; Continuing Claims Surge Most In 6 Months

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following last week's dip back towards record lows, initial jobless claims rose very modestly this week to 297k (slightly worse than expected). This leaves initial jobless claims practically unchanged for the last 6 months, despite the surge in JOLTS that we saw in recent months. Rather oddly, continuing claims rose by their most in 6 months last week to 2.265mm.

Initial Claims going nowhere...

 

Continuing Claims Surging...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:50 | 6185903 Dumpster Fire
Dumpster Fire's picture

The new normal

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:54 | 6185910 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Boehner and McConnell are having a prayer meeting hoping Obamacare won't get overturned.

 

Because they really care for you.

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:59 | 6185930 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

bullish...

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 11:21 | 6186413 MonetaryApostate
MonetaryApostate's picture

<-- What difference does it make?

<-- Everything is Awesome!

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:59 | 6185932 JRobby
JRobby's picture

They will continue to rise.

Remember that new claims need to be supported by a period of W2 employment not already used up by prior claims. So that dilutes the new claims numbers. The "worse than it looks" scenario. Which applies to pretty much everything now.

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:52 | 6185908 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Blah blah blah, the center and supply lines will not hold...

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:53 | 6185913 This is it
This is it's picture

It's hammer time!!

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:55 | 6185918 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

The fact that inflation is "fhs answer" does make "recovery" the question.

In fact we are indeed in a midcyxle correction...just happens to be in the debt markets.

Sounds to me like the premium remains in liquidity not gold...and certainly energy prices have really been moving a lot stronger than gold.

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 08:58 | 6185926 gendumonde
gendumonde's picture

It's a repeat of the 70s show...stagflation ahead. 

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:00 | 6185935 Budnacho
Budnacho's picture

...precisely....I'm long on platform-shoes and bellbottoms...

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 10:38 | 6186260 Closet Boy
Closet Boy's picture

I would advise to going long on shiny silk shirts too!

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 11:53 | 6186534 SERReal1
SERReal1's picture

Don't forget the disco balls and old BeeGee's records!

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 13:01 | 6186832 L G Butz PhD
L G Butz PhD's picture

and the very best of Neil Diamond!

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:13 | 6185949 giovanni_f
giovanni_f's picture

And therefore Gold is down? Too much supply?

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:21 | 6185993 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Too much supply of naked short furture contracts

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:57 | 6186116 JRobby
JRobby's picture

CB price supression

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:15 | 6185983 JMT
JMT's picture

Retail sales jumped 1.2% last month and were significantly revised up for March & April as well. Those who are WORKING ( 95% of people) have plenty of money to spend it seems -- shopping malls, restaurants are packed.. I have also seen far fewer discounts & promotions especially on cars since those who don't want to pay full window sticker MSRP can just lease for $399 a month..  Car dealers are making huge profits these days on leases

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:24 | 6185997 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Welcome to the new econonmy.

Where H1Bs are pushed and Americans are pushed out. 

The goal is to push wages lower (costs)  and prices higher. Therefore increasing profits and bonuses for high level managers.

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 10:26 | 6186219 Dead Man Walking
Dead Man Walking's picture

too bad there will be nobody. left to buy anything

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:35 | 6186030 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

More lies each day!

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:54 | 6186095 dumdum
dumdum's picture

 

 

"Following last week's dip back towards record lows, initial jobless claims rose very modestly this week to 297k (slightly worse than expected)."

Incorrect. Jobless claims rose to 279k from 277k previous.

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 09:57 | 6186115 KansasCrude
KansasCrude's picture

With inflation running 6-7% a 1% increase in retail sales still means the economy is contracting by 5-6%.....SO SOS the economy is a lie as far as growth.  My Mother in Law just got her assisted living increase its 4.5%....last year is was just 4%.   Her provider spun it as still below the market which they said was over 5%.  Not anywhere close to her measly increase in Social Security.  Oh and her drug bill and her insurance both up over 5%.

My biz is the food biz and its soft in spite of good traffic.  Restaurants are more promo driven with longer happy hours and free entrees with purchases.  Took the wife and son out to Aubelo's last night as they had sent us a free entree for our anniversary (#35).   Had the seared tuna which came back on the menu after it had disappeared for a couple years.   Smaller and more expensive.  The usual for us is the Monterrey.  Price now $17.99.  Three or four years ago is was $13.99.   Smaller portions, no avacado with the chicken taco. Little things to shave costs.  My opinion is the restaurant biz has been the number 1 beneficiary of lower gas prices and prices have been increased  due to higher food costs.  Shows up as higher sales but the businesses supplying the restaurant biz are not seeing the increase in pounds.  Reason is smaller portions.  So consumers are getting less food for more money. 

If they are playing the come on game which is rampant.  Consumers are at least neutralizing some of the increases.  My favorite on is Papa John's  1/2 off everytime the Royals win if you order online.  Know from son in St. Louis same there with the Cards.  If you are saavy and playing the game you are holding your own.  If not bend over those 2 pizza's that used to cost you $20 are now pushing $40. I know from watching the sheep when I pick up ours that lots of them are paying the higher fare.... What's that about the fool and his $$$.

 

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 10:02 | 6186134 JMT
JMT's picture

where is this that still has 'Happy Hour' which I thought was banned in most states, free 'entree' with purchase & $17.99 for entree with mean (most restaurants charge at least $30 for such an entree with meat).  Papa Johns?? low end crap like McDonalds that seem to little every highway rest area...

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 11:58 | 6186560 SERReal1
SERReal1's picture

We still have happy hours here in Nevada. My favorite sports bar here in Reno (Bully's) runs theirs from 11AM - 6PM!

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 10:29 | 6186225 KansasCrude
KansasCrude's picture

We just got Happy Hour back in Kansas.  If you are paying $30 for a Mexican Entree you are way screwed.   Taco, 4 enchilada's 2 chicken and 2 veg. Along with beans and spinach with corn sides.

 

http://www.abuelos.com/menu/

 

I think Papa John's puts out a decent product.  I haven't eaten at McDonald in years maybe even a decade so can't compare.

 

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 11:09 | 6186372 me or you
me or you's picture

Somebody is lying and it's not me

Thu, 06/11/2015 - 11:57 | 6186557 SERReal1
SERReal1's picture

Pay no attention to these numbers, more 29 hour/week jobs waiting tables will be added next week to force them back down. Nothing to see here, move along and buy moar stawks!

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