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Grexit Contagion Uncontained - European Peripheral Bond Risk Is Soaring

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While talking heads have proclaimed any Grexit contagion will be contained... it appears they are wrong (surprise!). The last 2 days have seen sovereign bond spreads soar 25-35bps for Spain, Portugal and Italy. On the yield side, Spain 10Y spread to Bunds is at its highest since August 2014 and Portugal at its highest since Feb 2015.

 

EU Sovereign Bond risk is soaring...

 

The contagion has been rising...

 

And it's spreading...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:41 | 6190053 order66
order66's picture

So I should get in here. Got it. "Where else are you going to put your money?"

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:43 | 6190069 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

Time for another bailout rumor!!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:45 | 6190077 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

TGIF, bitchez!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 12:31 | 6190407 Brazen Heist
Brazen Heist's picture

Rumor has it they're going to talk about talks.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 12:19 | 6190274 Renewable Life
Renewable Life's picture

Get in, if you want to buy from the Ponzi scheme at its height!

I know your being sarcastic most likely, but the delusional worshippers of the USD will want to do exactly that!!

Ponzi schemes by there very nature are extremely fragile, hence them being illegal, for all but our govt.! The EU is about to find out just how fragile, fragile is!

With the Greek people almost entirely in Euro cash and precious metals, and the rest of the EU sheep in the system, my bets with the Greeks at this point

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:39 | 6190058 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Can the Greek banking system survive the next 12 hours to live another week?  

?

Green for Yes, red for no.  

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:47 | 6190086 Osmium
Osmium's picture

Super slow motion train wreck.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:49 | 6190096 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

I voted yes.  

Odds are the Greek banking system has another billion or two of ELA.  Unlikely that'll get tapped from ATMs tonight.  

I can see ELA running out next week, and if the ECB cuts off the Greek bank then next weekend would be the weekend.  

I think -- absent a "deal" -- we are talking  about weeks now for Greece, but this weekend won't be it.  

Anyone with money left in the Greek banking system at this point is stupid anyhow.  So we'll see where the chips fall.   

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:55 | 6190110 sodbuster
sodbuster's picture

Two guys interviewing for  over- the- road truck driving. Interviewer says- "You are coming down a steep hill- near the bottom, an old couple pull out onto the road in front of you. There is no way you can stop in time. What would you do?" The guy says- "I'd wake up LeRoy in the sleeper." "Why would you do that?" Guy says- " Cause LeRoy, he ain't never seen a bad accident before."

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:35 | 6190228 Renewable Life
Renewable Life's picture

I'm starting to think the Greeks have reached their "zero moment" when even the fear of the unknown becomes less frightening then the moment they are living in, this is when humans are their most courageous!!

Thee old, "nothing to lose" or "All In" analogy!

The Greek people have been hovering out euros from the system like a coke addict snorts blow, for months now, the banks know they have to exist on some level, even if it's in a "new form" and the EU at this point has everything to lose and very little to gain, and with friends like Russia and China sniffing around, I think the Greeks are there!

Pull the plug friends and flush the EU fantasy down the toilet and be the first to emerge on top!

Will see

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:43 | 6190247 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

When an excellent quote; 

"When the fear of the unknown becomes less frightening than the fear of the present is when the common man manifests what courage should be."

 

If I could upvote you more than once -- I would. 

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:52 | 6190099 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

OT (but maybe not as these are clearly the End Times): This destroys anything by any illuminati "musician". Warning: This is Christian music that doesn't suck.http://christianvideotv.com/you-have-never-heard-nothing-but-the-blood-o...

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:15 | 6190174 mr.n3utr0n
mr.n3utr0n's picture
National Bank of Greece SA Real Time Stock Quotes

 

http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/nbg/real-time
Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:41 | 6190064 SpanishGoop
SpanishGoop's picture

And the eurusd is going up,up and away.

You over there must be doing worse than we over here.

 

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:43 | 6190071 LoadedBakedPotato
LoadedBakedPotato's picture

All I know is that I've got the worst case of blue balls waiting for this shit show to blow up over the last few years.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:52 | 6190102 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

We all do.  

I imagine the immediate aftermath will be as boring as the foreplay.  Expact the fireworks to start in the weeks thereafter.  

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:12 | 6190169 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Foreplay's hella fun.  Who doesn't like getting head while reaching for a condom?

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:17 | 6190183 LoadedBakedPotato
LoadedBakedPotato's picture

I keep my silver stacks inside condoms for extra protection against fiat collapse.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:44 | 6190074 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Greeks, you can check out anytime you like, but can never leave.

Investors, Remain Calm.  Mind the GAAP.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:09 | 6190163 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

He's dead, Jim.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:45 | 6190078 Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper's picture

Maybe we can pass the hat for Greece.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:47 | 6190090 saints51
saints51's picture

Same headlines next week, then the week after, and so on and so on.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:07 | 6190154 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Bank runs in Greece are increasing at a dramatic rate.  This all though ongoing is still interesting.  If you aren't interested don't write here.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:44 | 6190253 saints51
saints51's picture

Dont be a moron rookie.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:53 | 6190103 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Where's Draghi?  This is what the printing presses are for.  Print the future revenue now, go in astronomical debt, and everything will be moar awesome!

Don't make Janet do all the work, boys!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:53 | 6190105 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

The Grexit story is the turd sandwich you keep on chewing on but cant swallow.

It never goes away.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:04 | 6190145 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

There has been an ongoing Greek bank run for weeks now.  If this doesn't interest you go away.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:58 | 6190120 Youri Carma
Youri Carma's picture

Funny to see how the ECB is funding it's own demise because the Greeks need the money from the ECB to give it to the IMF which then gives the money to the Ukraine to prop up the war.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:06 | 6190152 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

The Red Shield War Machine is loving it!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:20 | 6190192 Mini-Me
Mini-Me's picture

The last time I checked, Greece was still obligated to help fund the IMF.  So we have the Greeks taxing their citizens to fund the IMF, who then turn around and loan Greece the money at interest to prevent a default.  When Greece can't pay its latest installment, they borrow from the IMF to pay the IMF.

Got that? 

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:31 | 6190221 Arthur
Arthur's picture

Europes in trouble and  thats causing the dollar to drop in value against it?  "It's Spreading" might be a bit of  a stretch.. 

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 13:03 | 6190503 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

Wait for the meetings in 5 star hotels and dinning in 5 star restaurants to discuss how to resurrect Greece.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 15:44 | 6191138 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Yellen where you at?

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 15:44 | 6191142 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Yellen doesn't get in her office until 4:30 today. She is out getting what she calls a face lifted. She'll print everything back into perspective once she gets in.

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