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UMich Sentiment Shows Wage Growth Delusion Has Never Been Bigger (Or Fed So Far Behind The Curve)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Preliminary June UMich consumer sentiment data rose from 90.7 to 94.6 as respondents appear very excited about soaring gas prices and far more excited abiout stocks than every other confidence survey recently. Current conditions soared from 100.8 to 106.8 as expectations only rose from 84.2 to 86.8. Where does the hope come from? Simple... income expectations are the highest since 2008 and the most divergent from reality ever.

Are we still rolling over?

 

Hope triumphs over reality...

 

As hopes for houshold finances remain mired in total farce...

*  *  *

Alternatively - Is The Fed already FAR behind the curve on tightening as wages are set to soar?

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:16 | 6189985 lehmen_sisters
lehmen_sisters's picture

How in the fuck can you have this high of income expectations, does the balance on the EBT card count?

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:20 | 6189999 Stackers
Stackers's picture

0.25% rate hike next week ?

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:22 | 6190007 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

pullease......

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:27 | 6190026 unplugged
unplugged's picture

"talk" of a 0.25% rate hike in September

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:22 | 6190003 joseJimenez
joseJimenez's picture

don't mean to be rude but which part of delusion you did not understand?

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:42 | 6190251 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

There is a difference between delusion and hallucination and we're well in to the opium dream phase.....

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 12:52 | 6190481 WOW101
WOW101's picture

We all know things are F'd, but this headline belongs on the Onion!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 13:10 | 6190518 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

Maybe that's it, Obambucks for everyone!  Why not, the Fed prints and delivers to the 1%, Obama distributes to The Folk.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:17 | 6189989 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

ROFLMAO!

"Michigan" survey, steaming crock of bullshit. 

No doubt they are calling and asking upper level management in .gov, and bank C.E.O.'s.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:20 | 6189998 inhibi
inhibi's picture

My thoughts exactly.

 

At least among those I know, almost all are incredibly pessimistic of wage growth in the near future, having had their 'hope' beaten down again and again and again over the last decade of 'recovery'

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:44 | 6190255 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

An opinion poll masquerading as a factual predictor, this will end badly...

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:18 | 6189990 Racer
Racer's picture

The sheeple are brainwashed into thinking thinks will get better in the future.... US zombies

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:26 | 6190023 unplugged
unplugged's picture

the MORONS are about to get a Chinese enema

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:19 | 6189993 Counterpunch
Counterpunch's picture

I have as much confidence in the assessments of the U.S. consumer as I do the U.S. voter.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:25 | 6190021 unplugged
unplugged's picture

the IQ of America is at an all-time low

Scotty, beam me up - please !!!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:37 | 6190045 zelator
zelator's picture

As Mark Dice shows, America is severely dumbed down.  Problem is 'ya can't fix stupid'.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:25 | 6190000 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

the gap between household finances (what people think they're worth) and actual income (what people are actually worth) is what drives dipshits to spend on high interest credit.....which is exactly what TPTB wants..........winning!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:22 | 6190012 Bobbo
Bobbo's picture

Hm.  Suveys?  Printing paper:  it does not matter much what is printed on it, as long as it generates income for the printer.  Next you know, it'll be death certificates.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:23 | 6190015 unplugged
unplugged's picture

an IDIOTIC indicator for consumption by IDIOTS

by, for, and of IDIOTS !!!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:25 | 6190019 Market Rage
Market Rage's picture

Just jerk yourself off with one hand and use the other to click mouse and buy small caps.  It will all work out.  You know there is nothing that will stop these relentless motherf*ckers.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:33 | 6190038 MDP
MDP's picture

All those bachelor-degree-holding waiters, bar tenders, and fast-food workers are banking on that $15 Min wage to help pay off the student loans for their Communication Studies degrees. HAHAHA if I didn't laugh, I'd cry.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:37 | 6190046 TheFreeLance
TheFreeLance's picture

That is honestly the first thing which crossed my mind too -- ripples and rumors of minimum wage increases got the proles all giddy. Folks need to remember that it is not actual bad conditions which cause revolutions so much as dashed expectations of improvement in bad conditions. 

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:46 | 6190083 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

Must be the Atlanta GDP now that has jumped more than 1 % over the last week.  Damn, that is one hot economy!

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 10:50 | 6190098 nakki
nakki's picture

Delusion, its what's for dinner.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:02 | 6190139 madbraz
madbraz's picture

If UMich/Reuters consumer confidence where FIFA, they'd be all in jail long time ago.

Fri, 06/12/2015 - 11:16 | 6190182 MedicalQuack
MedicalQuack's picture

People out there who can't tell the difference between virtual and real world values, they are killing us...so let's start with Obama, Biden...and so on..

http://ducknetweb.blogspot.com/2015/06/virtual-world-values-and-real-world-we.html

 

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