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Forget The 3:30pm Ramp, Stock Gains Are All About The Night Shift

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just 2 years after we first noted it, the mainstream media has become fascinated with the performance of stocks in the last 30 minutes of the US cash session - the 330 Ramp! But, as with anything that becomes widely known (apart from "never start a land war in Asia" and "stocks are always cheap"), the exuberant last 30 minute ramp has been superseded by another... Welcome to The 2am Europe Open Ramp.

 

 

As Nanex's Eric Scott Hunsader notes, a stunning 22% of all S&P 500 futures gains have occurred between 2am ET and 3am ET.

But wait, it gets better, because going even further back reveals that in the past decade 49%, or half of all stock gains, have taken place in just that one late hour, right before Europe opens for trading!

The offset? the 7:00am-8:00am block has shown the consistently worse performance in the past decade.

So with fundamentals not working since central banks took over, why not do a chronopair trade, going long ES at 2:00am Eastern for one hour, offset by a short in the market between 7 and 8:00am on every trading day.

It may not beat the artificial market, but with a 10 hour work week just think of all the extra free time.

 

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Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:15 | 6202936 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Yelllen says that is just a random event in the free and fair markets of the West though the chance of it occuring is about 100 trillion to 1.

American exceptionalism at its finest.

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:17 | 6202945 green sheen
green sheen's picture

Yellen will be surprised to learn some scams can't survive the 21st century
https://youtu.be/68V1-2OGeYw

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:22 | 6202981 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Oh, f me..

It’s not like the Fed f’d the whole global price discovery schtick with a half trillion of Euro swaps just after the first installment of 1.7 trillion LTRO in 2011.

..but what do I know anyway…..

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:25 | 6202992 Boris Alatovkrap
Boris Alatovkrap's picture

Boris is so poor, no graph.

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:28 | 6203003 Manthong
Manthong's picture

could be worse..

could be living near airport in Donetsk......

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:42 | 6203038 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

I'm assuming the gain comes from front running the US stock market open? 

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:58 | 6203099 Manthong
Manthong's picture

awshit..

there ain't no frontrunning nuttin' if you ain't close to the source.

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 16:22 | 6203169 MonetaryApostate
MonetaryApostate's picture

That reminds me of a song....  >>>  https://youtu.be/FrkEDe6Ljqs

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:29 | 6203004 NoVa
NoVa's picture

I always trade my stocks between 2am and 3 am EST, from dial-up modem in my parents basement.

 

/s/

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:33 | 6203014 Manthong
Manthong's picture

boxers or briefs?

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:53 | 6203078 NoVa
NoVa's picture

really.  drinking Mt Dew, playing vid games... and trading

 

 

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:57 | 6203094 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

2:00 a.m. - 3:00 a.m. is the lowest traffic on the Internet, when the co-located super computer algo traders really start "yelling and screaming" in the "pits" of the market.

BTW - what time would that be in Shanghai?

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:18 | 6202940 green sheen
green sheen's picture

Maybe six million to zero

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:15 | 6202946 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

We managed to get silver back under $16 so all is well...

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:44 | 6203046 Manthong
Manthong's picture

hmm..

ok, so cash is trash and so is the only currency sanctioned by the Constitution of the United States of America.

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:17 | 6202948 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

I guess I need more cocaine so I can stay up and watch the late show.

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:36 | 6203021 Manthong
Manthong's picture

you might want to upgrade to crack

..or you can rave naked at the TV with meth. 

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:28 | 6202993 Serfs Up
Serfs Up's picture

"""Markets!!"""

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:41 | 6203034 Father Lucifer
Father Lucifer's picture

No technicals working either.

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:50 | 6203060 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Chronopair ? ... no thanx, I already work less than 10 hours a week and can't handle the overtime pressure.

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:51 | 6203071 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

the Silver chart is cracking me up....

thanks u mother fucking cocksuckin banker fucks...

since u insist on keepin the phony paper price RIGHT AT 15.99 i'll buy those Allen Edmond golf shoes now and wait til the 1st of the monty to buy some more real money at the sale prices....

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livesilver.html

death to the MoneyChangers......

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 15:53 | 6203079 bentaxle
bentaxle's picture

We insomniated some folks

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 16:25 | 6203175 vegas
vegas's picture

A perfect time to ranp US stocks as liquidity is low and nobody in the US is paying attention; sell it back to them when they wake up and go play golf.

 

www.traderzoo.mobi 

Tue, 06/16/2015 - 16:27 | 6203182 chinaboy
chinaboy's picture

Does that mean whoever command and controls the market leave all upside to themselves?

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!