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US Services PMI Misses By Most On Record, Tumbles To Lowest Since January

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Missing by the most on record (as serial extrapolators expected a rise to 56.5), Markit US Services PMI (following weakness in the Manufacturing PMI) printed 54.8 - the lowest since the middle of weather carnage in January. As Markit notes, with the exceptions of the weather-related slowdown at the turn of the year and the 2013 government shutdown, June saw the weakest pace of economic growth since May 2013 as the Composite PMI slipped to 54.6 - its lowest since January 2015 (as employment tumbled and cost burdens surged the most since Oct 2013). As Markit conludes, hopes for a 3.00% growth are receding as "there has clearly been a loss of momentum in recent months."

 

 

Signaling growth expectations are way ahead of themselves again...

 

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit said:

A slowdown in the economy at the end of the second quarter may mean the Fed takes a further pause for thought before hiking interest rates.

 

The latest flash PMI surveys showed the smallest rise in service sector activity since January and the slowest growth of factory output for over a year and a half, linked to the strong dollar.

 

With the exceptions of the weather-related slowdown at the turn of the year and the 2013 government shutdown, June saw the weakest pace of economic growth since May 2013.

 

While the surveys point to the economy growing at an annualised rate of around 3% in the second quarter as a whole, there has clearly been a loss of momentum in recent months. With June also seeing one of the smallest increases in new orders recorded over the past two years, the surveys suggest that GDP growth could slow appreciably in the third quarter.

 

Although the PMI data also point to employment rising strongly again in June, consistent with another 200,000-plus rise in non-farm payrolls, hiring is likely to cool in coming months in response to weaker order book growth.

 

The big question is whether these signs of the economy losing momentum will buy more time at the Fed, pushing out the first rate hike into next year, or whether policymakers will be persuaded into hiking sooner due to the current strength of the labour market, robust second quarter economic growth and reviving price pressures.”

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:03 | 6233115 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

pmi

 

Perplexed

Managers

Index

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:04 | 6233128 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

What we need now is a secret trade bill.

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:14 | 6233138 philipat
philipat's picture

It's just a coincidence that all the independent and semi-independent data that Government can't directly fiddle with (Or multiple seasonally adjust) is negative. Trust me.....

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:04 | 6233129 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

...may mean the Fed takes a further pause...

before hiking interest...

shocking... just shocking

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 11:24 | 6233462 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Gee, we never saw that coming. It's only a surprise to the sheep and with the big players nonchalantly heading toward the exits to the casino, things will start getting interesting........

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:06 | 6233135 European on my ...
European on my shoe Jimmy's picture

Ergo 'QE' is back on the table. Buy with both hands folks
Just have that Index 'Put' should the inevitable 'black swan' appear !.

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:06 | 6233136 Pareto
Pareto's picture
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/all/modules/blockquote/images/menu-leaf.g...); background-position: 100% 100%;"> 

The big question is whether these signs of the economy losing momentum will buy more time at the Fed, pushing out the first rate hike into next year, or whether policymakers will be persuaded into hiking sooner due to the current strength of the labour market, robust second quarter economic growth and reviving price pressures.”

 

 

The big question........fuck off you data dependent dick.......as if such data ever mattered.  

 

The big question is, when is the FED going to let the market determine rates, so that we don't have to listen to asshats like you ask the same retarded question over and over and over - :"will the fed hike....blah blah blah."

 

Seriously, the extent of the intellectual rigor from economists is all but absent.

 

End the Fucking FED

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:09 | 6233147 semperfi
semperfi's picture

"intellectual rigor from economists is all but absent"

data point #6429 in support of my theory:  humans are the dumbest species on the planet

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:12 | 6233156 BeerMe
BeerMe's picture

And if this past week wasn't enough...Apparantly people were arguing about a flag while the government sold us out.

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:16 | 6233168 semperfi
semperfi's picture

imagine what the govt could get away with if a Kardashian had a boob pop out of her bikini

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:06 | 6233137 semperfi
semperfi's picture

Damn snow!  Snowiest spring on record!  And winter is just around the corner!

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:07 | 6233140 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

How can that be?


Personal Spending Surges Most Since August 2009 As Savings Rate Tumbles

 

All data points are bullshit

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:07 | 6233142 demoses
demoses's picture

PMI   =   Precious Metals Irrelevance

 

Falling - CHECK

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:11 | 6233152 semperfi
semperfi's picture

Americans are complete morons data point #378,491....

http://www.silverseek.com/article/selling-10-oz-silver-bar-10-when-its-worth-160-experiment-14573

 

 

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:14 | 6233160 venturen
venturen's picture

Lies and then are Dam Lies...I think we are beyond the Dam ones

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 10:54 | 6233381 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

The FED will NEVER, EVER EVER raise rates!  Ever!

The game is up and they all know it.

Don't you know it as well?  We are all fucked to high heaven!

 

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 11:07 | 6233459 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

Loss of economic momentum? There never was any momentum, except on CNBC.

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 11:19 | 6233559 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

man even the cooked numbers look like shit

Thu, 06/25/2015 - 18:34 | 6235278 Spungo
Spungo's picture

Negative interest rates, bitches!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!