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Case-Shiller US Home Price Index Drops Most In A Year

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While the 20-City index rose 4.9% YoY (but missed expectations by the most since July 2014), Case-Shiller's US Home Price Index dropped 0.02% in April - the first MoM drop since May 2014. Of course, all real estate is local and we note Denver and San Francisco reported the highest year-over-year gains with price increases of 10.3% and 10.0%, respectively, over the last 12 months.  As S&P's David Blitzer warns, "home prices continue to rise across the country, but the pace is not accelerating."

 

The US Home Price Index dropped MoM for the first time since May 2014.

 

and The Case-Shiller 20-City Index missed expectations by the most since July 2014...

 

This is the weakest price appreciation since the middle of the weather worries in January.

And as Bloomberg's Michael McDonough shows, the number of cities with falling prices is on the rise...


More charts:

NSA M/M

 

NSA Y/Y

 

SA M/M

 

SA Y/Y


 

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Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:14 | 6253669 junction
junction's picture

Must be the Chinese have stopped buying.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:19 | 6253690 Bank_sters
Bank_sters's picture

All people need to do is sit back and front run the central banks.  They'll buy everything.  Sarc off. Until it all collapses.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:21 | 6253694 The Merovingian
The Merovingian's picture

Cue Lawrence Yun to spin this straw into gold in 3, 2, 1 .....

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 12:08 | 6254351 NihilistZero
NihilistZero's picture

Case Shiller stat is very misleading in this low volume environment.  Here in SoCal inventory took a huge spike up with asking and sale price reductions across the low end.  But with volume so miniscule and skewed towards the top end the median is rising.  Exclude everything above half a million and the median is down YOY in a lot of areas.

What's left of the RE "market" is anything but.  The rising mortgage rates of the next year or so should have the gains of Housing Bubble 2.0 disappearing by 2018 at the latest.  NINJA loans won't help because there aren't enough fools to take them on.  Turns out the proles have longer memories than TPTB give them credit for.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:16 | 6253677 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The sooner they bring back the ninja loans the sooner we can get this problem fixed. I't's not brain surgery, the supreme court says we don't need to verify we are citizens to vote, why should we have to verify we can pay back the loan to buy a house? We have rights, dontchyaknow?

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:22 | 6253700 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

"Escape Velocity"................................not working

 

Sacre Bleu

 

Warm the pressess or lower the rate?

 

Oh.................wait

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:23 | 6253704 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Owning a house is a basic human right.  People who own houses are also afforded a sense of dignity that is denied others and that's just not fair.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:44 | 6253777 homebody
homebody's picture

Thats a true statement except you left out the qualifying requirements.  When I was young, you saved for a down payment and then bought a small fixer-upper.  Over time you traded up as your earnings went up and the market became favorable.  

Now many young people expect that McMansion right away - that is not a basic human right!

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:48 | 6253792 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Seriously? You believe it's a right to own a home? I want a car and a boat. I believe it''s a basic human right and I believe you should pay for it.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:55 | 6253817 homebody
homebody's picture

It is not impossible to own a modest home - if you focus your efforts on buying a house that you can afford.  It may not be in your preferred area, or the size you want, or in perfect condition - but in the long run, ownership does encourage responsibility.  If a trailer is what you can afford, then start there - being a rent slave is not the answer.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:15 | 6253906 BeaverCream
BeaverCream's picture

Right, and getting a mortgage encourages responsibility somehow magically.  You'll just magically fucking become responsible because you went into debt and have to eat ramen noodles every night to afford your roof over your head.  Rent slave?  I mean what the fuck are you talking about?

Ever heard of property taxes?  When you take out a mortgage on a house not only are you renting from the bank, you're also renting from the government, forever.

This bullshit "buy a house" american dream is a fabrication.  Do what makes monetary sense, do what is most beneficial to yourself.  "Owning" a home is a bullshit fairy tale that's been invented by people who really do want you to be their slave.

 

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:41 | 6254018 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

The USSA raised millions of people on free stuff so as they grow up they continue to expect special privleges, free food, as many loans as they want, moar free stuff, and so on. It's no surprise that this same group gets violent when denied anything unless it continues to be free.

 

It's all written in the 85 Articles of the Federation of the FSA. Look at Sections 48 (a) and (b)under headings ... "I deserve that!" and "It's only fair!"

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 11:32 | 6254202 homebody
homebody's picture

Sure, without a commitment to property or anthing else of concrete value, you fall into the entitlement trap.  If it means moving for work or a better environment, do it.  

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 11:23 | 6254165 homebody
homebody's picture

Idiot.  We tried the "PROJECTS" for housing.  That worked well - not.  If you kill all of the American Dream, you are left with no hope for the future - violence, corruption, slums.

 

We have to get back to a work ethic and if that takes pride in ownership but limited debt and some property taxes - so be it.  If you live in an area of insane property taxes, thats your fault.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:11 | 6253890 Mr. Magoo
Mr. Magoo's picture

In California everyone has the right to have a tent

http://www.activistpost.com/2015/06/no-housing-bubble-man-rents-out-tent...

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:47 | 6254040 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I'm going to file this under "when sarcasm goes horribly wrong".

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 11:26 | 6254177 homebody
homebody's picture

See my later reply to BeaverCream

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:12 | 6253892 BeaverCream
BeaverCream's picture

The only right you have is to remain silent.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:15 | 6253904 Mr. Magoo
Mr. Magoo's picture

The only right you have is to remain silent.

Until they take you to a Chicago style black site or the basement like in Chicago P.D

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:47 | 6254043 Scooby Doo
Scooby Doo's picture

Food should be a right too.   free food - not just food stamps.  And clothing - clothing should be a right.  Free clothes for all!  What else do we want for free?  Just make it a right & free it shall be. 

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:17 | 6253682 steveharless
steveharless's picture

Everymarket is different....Vegas is booming

www.ViewLasVegasRealEstate.com

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:13 | 6253894 Mr. Magoo
Mr. Magoo's picture

wait until the water runs out, then we will see the old ghost towns of the west re emerge

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:19 | 6253692 youngman
youngman's picture

I sold my condo in Denver last month..mia culpa....took 6 years...so now the prices should skyrocket as we have water..and I have nothing for sale...lol

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 11:12 | 6254123 FreedomGuy
FreedomGuy's picture

Denver is in the middle of the insane bubble. You may have hit close to peak. You cannot know till later.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:24 | 6253707 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

The 'rich' took their savings out of the bank and bought rental homes to get income. What happens when that market dries up? There are a lot more entry level buyers with no hope of ever buying - especially if the Fed follows through and raises rates. The traditional home buying 'ladder' is busted.

I know it is near the top - one of my town's slum lords just sold a portfolio of 200 houses to a big city company.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:25 | 6253708 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Market went from red hot in first half of May to near dead. Across all price points here in FL we have seen a dramatic slowdown....unfortunately I have a house on the market....

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 10:47 | 6254046 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

My cousin is trying to sell his home in west Houston, nice area, but with the massive layoffs in the oil industry, and huge property tax increases he has seen almost no action. Lots of nice places on the market there only 1-2 year sold. Very very people looking at houses > $300k

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 09:30 | 6253720 homebody
homebody's picture

I better check my market area.  I have no debts or mortgage but with everything rosy, maybe a reverse mortgage is in order.  The Fonze says so.  sarc

 

The culture for non-repayment of loans is becoming commonplace - so why should I not load up on free stuff as well?  How soon will this country become Greece?

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 11:11 | 6254120 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Good.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 11:12 | 6254126 FreedomGuy
FreedomGuy's picture

Don't fight the bubble. Play the bubble and prepare for post-bubble.

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 11:48 | 6254257 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Strange, Zillow just sent me the zestimate forecast on my Fort Myers home. Who the fuck cares, we own the home and bought the $750k home for $260k 

Always buy in cash. Trulia always sends me emails about new Marco Island homes over priced. Sure, they need a little TLC. But they are not worth the retail price advertised. We made a killing down there. Thanks Alan Greenspan 

 

Tue, 06/30/2015 - 13:17 | 6254681 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Crash and burn this bullshit eCONomy!

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