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Crude Crashes To $56 Handle - 10-Week Lows

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following today's record production and renewed inventory build, it appears the $57 to $62 range of the last 3 months is about to be tested ... especially as Kerry et al. assure the world an Iran deal is "very very close" and they are working "very very hard." WTI (Aug) is now trading with a $56 handle - its weakest since mid-April...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 07/01/2015 - 13:59 | 6258908 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

good times, good times

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:11 | 6258956 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Well no shit cause 4th of July weekend is come and gone for gas stations loading up their tanks

Bet we see regular get close to $2.00/gal by Labor Day where it belongs.

Bonus WTI chart:

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Future/WTI%20CRUDE/charts?CountryCo...

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 16:30 | 6259437 Model T
Model T's picture

It's a double bottom. Go Long Dec. Crude Oil Futures and plan to hold for a few months.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 16:22 | 6259412 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Is oil at $80 yet? Has oil production collapsed yet? LOL

 

The retail suckers that piled into oil ETFs, futures, and oil company stocks are getting clobbered. The only thing that $60 oil did was increase supply and reduce demand. See ya back in the 40's on the way back to the 30's

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:00 | 6258912 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

 

 America being the "Daughter of Babylon"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HhSqcJG3ITY 

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:00 | 6258914 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

The world economy is staggering and everybody is pumping like hell. September/October is when the sheep discover they've had a 2x4 shoved up their ass......

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:08 | 6258949 saints51
saints51's picture

or hand. Agree about the timeframe.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:29 | 6259043 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Not Europe...

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:06 | 6258939 Sam Spade
Sam Spade's picture

Oil's grim death march began the first week of July last year...

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:27 | 6259032 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Fourth of July has always been right around the time of Peak gasoline prices. No one seems to want to cut production, and any kind of Iran deal could send oil down $10 overnight.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:27 | 6259036 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

The dead cat bounce from April-May gave the oil permabulls a glimmer of hope. Rising tanker rates plus the crashing Chinese economy were ignored at their own peril. People don't have money or credit to pay for $100 oil anymore. Oil is in a bear market until QE4 starts

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:37 | 6259072 daveO
daveO's picture

Yep. QE ended in Oct., right as the cascade began. 

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:09 | 6258952 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I love the fact that CL is moving lower, but the $usd is pretty overbought on the hourly chart and Asia has a general propensity to be contrarian. Plus the markets are just squeezing the longs in front of the employment numbers tomorrow morning.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 16:12 | 6259347 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

I would say the euro is overbought due to the SNB and Fed propping it up. Greece is gone. Next comes Italy, Spain, and Portugal. The euro is toast. It's just a matter of time. 

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 16:34 | 6259454 Model T
Model T's picture

I went long today; December contracts. what everyone expects is never what happens. also the futures basis has been very interesting for many months; Dec. doesn't participate fully in the down swings in price; someone knows something; and I'm on their side; or at their side.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:43 | 6259092 44_shooter
44_shooter's picture

Still waiting for $20 oil by summer...

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 15:37 | 6259229 wrs1
wrs1's picture

Is Cushing full yet?  

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 15:46 | 6259259 saints51
saints51's picture

LMAO!!!!!!!!!!

+1

There he is!!!!!!!!!

 

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 16:13 | 6259356 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

That was delayed until next fall/winter as the banks had to prop oil up to draw in the suckers to sell to. 

Enjoy losing money on oil futures and companies for the next year or two

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 15:13 | 6259176 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

I suspect the one-way conversation went something like this:

Ok boys, we're giving you till June 30 to hedge as much of your production above $60 as possible because we can't keep crude up forever but we don't want you to go out of business just yet.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 16:19 | 6259398 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

I suspect many of the oil companies were too stupid to hedge at $60 as they believe oil will be back to $80 or $100 by fall while Europe and China implode. It's something about how everyone uses oil, everyone has to buy health insurance, everyone has to have a house, everyone has to eat, that people believe that prices can increase infinitely and incomes don't matter. So the average house will cost $400,000, health insurance will be $15,000/yr, gas will be $5/gal, and groceries will cost $2,000/mo, utilities at $1,000/mo, while the average annual income will stay at $47,000. Somehow it will all work out at the end of the rainbow. 

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 15:26 | 6259202 ghengiskhan
ghengiskhan's picture

The US government will purchase and then dump oil and all of the refined products into the ocean 24x7 before allowing the price to accurately reflect the massive drop in productivity.  According to this trend no one is making or doing anything .... besides manipulating markets and then using the NSA to monitor all forms of communication to ensure that no one is attempting to subvert their all encompassing minute by minute manipulation.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 15:36 | 6259228 fremannx
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