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Crude Slumps To $57 Handle As DOE Confirms Surprise Inventory Build, Production Hovers Near Record Highs

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Confirming last night's surprise API inventory build data, after 8 weeks of inventory draws, DOE reports crude oil inventories rose 2.386 million barrels. Overall production dropped a miniscule 0.09% last week but basically production remains at cycle record highs. Crude prices are dropping on the news... testing to a $57 handle.

 

The Builds are back...

 

This is the 3rd week in a row of builds at Cushing...

 

The result... a $57 handle for WTI

 

Some context for this move...

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:42 | 6258110 This is it
This is it's picture

And....therefore it's monkey hammer time?

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:55 | 6258156 naiverealist
naiverealist's picture

How much of this buildis due to imports that can be controlled to meet an agenda?

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:27 | 6258300 two hoots
two hoots's picture

So Cramer did call the bottom (49) right...........for now?

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:57 | 6258441 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Part of it is, and with Brent nearing parity more will be added. I know the area refineries have high amounts of refined product in storage and Summer driving season has kinda sucked so far.....

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 13:35 | 6258811 wrs1
wrs1's picture

Most of it.  Imports increased by 748,000 bbl/day to 7.5mmbbl/day.  As long as imports are below 7.4mmbbl/day we should see draws.  

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:17 | 6258988 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Not much, as the spread between WTI and Brent has closed from $15 to $5 since last summer. That means we are importing less Brent and the oil glut is going global as China's economy is also crashing along with the EU at the same time

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:05 | 6258203 RockRiver
RockRiver's picture

Ahhhh, the infamous 1 minute chart.....

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:44 | 6258117 Iam Yue2
Iam Yue2's picture

More like monkey mind time.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:46 | 6258125 sudzee
Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:47 | 6258133 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

The real question is where is all the excess inventory that the DOE knows about but leaves unreported?

 

Email that fucker barry - he will know.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:55 | 6258154 mightybillfuji
mightybillfuji's picture

You did notice the imports were up an enormous 750 thousand barrels a day. That's probably not a sustainable kinda change.

 

This is a weekly series and it can be very noisy for that reason.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 13:04 | 6258687 Sam Spade
Sam Spade's picture

Watch that import number increase a million barrels a day when the deal with Iran is completed.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:56 | 6258163 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

post july 4th is seasonally weak for oil prices.  bad news for oil bulls:  oil began trending down in early may.  a lot more downside to go.  heres hoping below $40 by end of sept.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:50 | 6258417 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

I have no proof but my feeling is that "they" were able to monkey hammer this thing up to $60 to exit positions and once they are out, it will plummet again.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 10:58 | 6258173 Serfs Up
Serfs Up's picture

The EIA is badly overestimating current production.  Using best approximation the EIA has shot too high by about 300k barrels per day in the most recent two months.

Heck, they have the  Eagleford production as 'up'  in April, way up, when there are half as many rigs operating as a year ago in a play that declines 65% in the first year.  It's pretty simple math...but out of the grasp of goobermint workers with a story to sell.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 14:19 | 6258994 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

That's due to about 1,000 wells that were previously drilled but never completed. When WTI prices hit $60, the oil companies completed those wells and started pumping. The rigs were not needed at that point.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:03 | 6258194 fremannx
fremannx's picture

Crude still has a long way down before it finds a bottom.

 

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/oil-light-sweet-crudeelliott-wave-upd...

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:06 | 6258204 lbrecken
lbrecken's picture

Still not looking into EIA joke data?  Unreal here as accusation fly of data messaging going on by govt all over place unless its energy right?  this is getting ridiculous here.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:18 | 6258264 OC Sure
OC Sure's picture

Where is the article that Andy Hall is going ALL SHORT and looks for $10 oil? 

Leaks are best tells:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-03/god-crude-oil-trading-goes-all-...

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:39 | 6258368 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

Muppet-bait.  Squeeze the last penny out of the retail schlub while you sell your last contract and then get long.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:54 | 6258361 henry chucho
henry chucho's picture

I think in the new Amerika, Netflix should have a market cap equal to Conoco Phillips..After all,a company that rents out "B" movies,is much more valuable than a company that provides energy to heat your home,drive to work,and power your electricity..

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 11:44 | 6258397 22winmag
22winmag's picture

An engineered surprise isn't really a surprise, is it?

 

Ask Holder. Ask the SEC.

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 12:22 | 6258530 post turtle saver
post turtle saver's picture

Supplies!

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 12:45 | 6258619 In.Sip.ient
In.Sip.ient's picture

Oh, cut the BS!!!

 

Oil is off because the Greek thingy is

impingeing on DEMAND!

 

The entire EU ( and anyone with a brain

holding US$ ) is holding their breath

( read: stopped spending ) waiting for

that "other shoe" to drop.

 

Markets scheduled to start decline on or after July 8...

 

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 13:17 | 6258737 fowlerja
fowlerja's picture

What's a poor boy to do..I am sitting on an oil gushing well... but the oil market is so slippery and crude to me...

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