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Wall Street's Next Bonanza: Subprime Marriage-Backed Securities

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Daniel Drew via Dark-Bid.com,


The last crash was caused by reckless investments in subprime mortgage-backed securities, an ingenious way to repackage and redistribute staggering amounts of credit risk to unsuspecting investors. After losing their house and their money, some investors may take comfort in their enduring marital relationships. Unfortunately, marriage is one of the riskiest bets of all, which makes it a prime, or should I say "subprime" target for Wall Street's masters of innovation.

After watching oil titan Harold Hamm pay his ex-wife $1 billion, I couldn't help but wonder where he went wrong in the relationship department. Then again, he's not exactly a shining example of risk management; he lost $10 billion in the oil price collapse, or the equivalent of 10 ex-wives. Most Americans can't afford to pay their spouse $1 billion or even $15,000, which is the average cost of a contested divorce. Where there's risk, Wall Street is not far away.

One of the remarkable features of modern society is the seemingly endless amount of ways to repackage risk and distribute it to those who have a demand for it. The wacky world of the insurance industry seems to know no bounds. From vanilla products like car insurance to the ultra-weird like Troy Polamalu's $1 million hair insurance, you never really know what you're going to see next. While there are certainly notable individual examples of insurance oddities, nothing has the potential to create widespread effects like marriage insurance.

Provided by Safeguard Guaranty, marriage insurance is sold in units for $15.99 per month, which covers $1,250 in potential divorce costs. That's $192 per year for one "unit," which gives the insurance company a break-even point of 6.5 years, not including overhead. They even have a divorce probability calculator that is based on over 20,000 interviews. Supposedly, it has an accuracy rate of 87%. They don't elaborate on their formula, but you can get an idea of their inputs by answering some of the questions.

If marriage insurance sales take off, it's only a matter of time before Wall Street repackages it and sells it to investors via subprime marriage-backed securities. A boom in marriage speculation would ensue. Did you see your neighbor with his mistress last night? Buy some MBS credit default swaps on him and tell his wife what you saw. Is your other neighbor away from home a lot? Buy some MBS insurance on his wife, seduce her, and when they get divorced, you can cash in. Consider it "inside her" trading. Does it sound preposterous? It's not any crazier than buying credit default swaps on poor people's mortgages and making $15 billion when they become homeless. Remember, everything is fair in the "free market."

 

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Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:35 | 6273467 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Virgin insurance for the daughter

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:45 | 6273506 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Till debt do you part...

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:54 | 6273556 SofaPapa
SofaPapa's picture

It's getting rarer and rarer that I look for "The Onion" tag, but I thought I had a sure thing here.

Nope, this is for real.  Another twisted version of life served to us by the FIRE sector.

I want "satisfaction insurance".  If I'm not satisfied with my toaster after two months, I get paid out, right?

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:02 | 6273609 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Rent for the weekend.

Until I got divorced, I never realized there was such a thing as "free time."

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:17 | 6273676 Normalcy Bias
Normalcy Bias's picture

Jim Gaffigan shreds weddings...

"Whenever I see someone crying at a wedding, I always say 'don't worry, it probably won't work out.'"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_UooohmQM

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:20 | 6273694 knukles
knukles's picture

So if one of 'em dies or they get divorced there are pre-payments .....
Or is it like an IO (Interest Only)?
The Muppets are curious

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:42 | 6273820 boogerbently
boogerbently's picture

Hollywood may actually become productive.

Short ALL Hollywood marriages.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:34 | 6274059 Shad_ow
Shad_ow's picture

Why not tip your neighbor off to you uscoming split and split the cash?  We can all get rich.  Wall Street does it.

Mon, 07/06/2015 - 02:21 | 6275292 weburke
weburke's picture

thank you Daniel for your blown out thinking.   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCiuI_g9vdg

 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:03 | 6274173 de3de8
de3de8's picture

Can I get CDS coverage

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:21 | 6273708 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Love is priceless. Divorce is about $150,000 ;-)

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:11 | 6274203 The central planners
The central planners's picture

Most divorses since Leeman

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:22 | 6273716 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

The break even point on a gay marriage would be half that 6.5 years.

Mon, 07/06/2015 - 08:27 | 6275787 Umh
Umh's picture

Except for the women.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:36 | 6273468 yrad
yrad's picture

I'm all in!

 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:36 | 6273469 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Obama and Michelle can finally get married. 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:39 | 6273480 rejected
rejected's picture

Cute picture but in PC Amerika the leash holder is the wrong sex.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:58 | 6274152 espirit
espirit's picture

Just wait until Hitlery gets in.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:40 | 6273485 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

Hell ya my insurance career just took a turn in thr right direction since obumercard screwed it up

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:40 | 6273486 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

SCOTUS is full-in on this approach.  By extending the "definition" of "marriage" to all and sundry, they increase the number of "contributors" to the risk pool.

BRILLIANT!!!

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:24 | 6273727 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Ghey dude number one: "Honey, I'm taking the drapes."

Ghey dude number two: "Like hell you are cocksucker!"

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:55 | 6273888 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

The appropriate curse would be "Like hell you are CUNTsucker !"

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:42 | 6273492 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

This can be a good investment considering Americna women are used good anyway and the guys are left holding the bags. She moves on to the next guy and the cycle continues. Ah the love the so called I love you. Not really just a scam. Might as well bet that the marriage won't last 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:43 | 6273497 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

The Pic would be more PC and relevant with two men..

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:50 | 6273530 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

Here in the Commonwealth, we compel objectors to have plastic (of the highest quality, mind) figurines of:

  • man + man
  • woman + woman
  • man + penguin
  • woman + computer

you get the idea, it is an "evolving paradigm"

- Ned

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:55 | 6273559 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

man plus penguin made me lol

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:58 | 6273585 SofaPapa
SofaPapa's picture

Or at the very least:

"Man" who used to be a woman + "Woman" who used to be a man.

Let's not offend anyone!

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:08 | 6273647 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

Kaitlyn that you?   

 

on another note, is it just me or do things seem to be picking up speed?  A Rainbow colored white house?

Get the fuck outta here,

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:30 | 6273762 Billy the Poet
Billy the Poet's picture

I didn't know what a fag was until fifth grade. Today they're doing all they can to make sure that every five year old in the country will be asking, "Mommy, what's gay mean?"

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 20:10 | 6274413 Lordflin
Lordflin's picture

I thought I undestood what a fag was until I married an English woman... I don't think I understand any of it anymore.

Mon, 07/06/2015 - 02:18 | 6275289 401K of Dooom
401K of Dooom's picture

Aaah, I now remember, the "evolving Paradigm of marriage" as promulgated by Chief justice of the Massachusetts supreme court.  Brings back unhappy memories of paying taxes to that horrible state.  I'm sorry to see that you are living there.  I hope  you can move out and get into a better place.  Take care.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:01 | 6273606 CarpetShag
CarpetShag's picture

bum bandit bondage

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 20:15 | 6274430 Ward cleaver
Ward cleaver's picture

Don't agree, would be better with black woman as the bride. Michael would have an orgasm and hang it in Oval Office.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:47 | 6273502 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

And yet it still produces nothing anyone needs. So this is it huh? This is where human innovation stops?

Marriage securities lol next comes the tattooed bar codes on evey forehead.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:51 | 6273531 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

A couple of weeks ago I was talking to my small business owner boss about insurance - was joking that I'll become an after-life insurance salesmen. He asked me to guess how many insurance policies he has in total. I guessed around 10. Turns out it's closer to 20. Holy shit dude!

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:00 | 6274163 Blano
Blano's picture

You might want to find out of those are all on his employees, knowwhatimsayin'?

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:55 | 6273562 flyingcaveman
flyingcaveman's picture

Might be better of putting that $15.99/ mo towards an airstream camper or a van down by the river.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:44 | 6273504 Joe A
Joe A's picture

This can be expanded to other events in people's lives as well. The possibilities are endless!

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:45 | 6273507 Make_Mine_A_Double
Make_Mine_A_Double's picture

15.99/month covers a 1250 payout.

That's funny. I don't think my guy would have gotten up from his desk for less than 2K.

All told about 70K to put that one away. LOLz @ 1250 - not even a retainer.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:31 | 6273766 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

Theres a lot of piss poor lawyers stuck with law school debt. They'll work cheap and take coupons.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:08 | 6273939 kareninca
kareninca's picture

I was thinking that.  If a typical contested divorce costs 15k (per the article), then to really cover it you should be paying about $160/month in premiums.  For a divorce at your level (70k in legal fees) it would be about $700/mo. in premiums (good grief is that right?  I think so).

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:45 | 6273508 chunga
chunga's picture

Oh gosh, if anything marriage certificates should expire.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:49 | 6273526 wendigo
wendigo's picture

I've often wondered why defined term marriages aren't more common. 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:54 | 6273551 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

wendigo: ya gotta' look outside of your obviously prejudiced and parochial neighborhood.  Look to the middle east, where the dominant culture offers so-called "test drives" of varying durations or to the far east.

You, Sir, are so narrow-minded, why, it is almost hate speach </sarc, if you hadn't freakin' figured that  out>

- Ned

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:06 | 6273636 The Delicate Genius
The Delicate Genius's picture

supposedly, some of the Celtic tribes had year long marriages... both parties had to agree to renew.

Not a bad idea, really.

year-to-year "Let's See How It Goes" marriage.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 20:19 | 6274438 Ward cleaver
Ward cleaver's picture

Chunga, should you really have that flag up there? I mean they took Dukes of Hazard off the air but there were still 9 shootings in Philly last nite. Guess it wasn't the flag that was the problem.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:46 | 6273512 noless
noless's picture

this is the only logical conclusion.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:52 | 6273543 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture
Funny Parody of the Typical Anti-Gay Marriage Ads - How Gay Marriage Will Destroy Straight Marriages http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Wjk5IyjfHkE


Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:29 | 6273754 Midas
Midas's picture

What did you consider the funny part?  That video had more straw-men than the state of Kansas.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:54 | 6273549 RiverRoad
RiverRoad's picture

The subprime slime the EU banksters made out of Greece just bit them in the butt, so now they'll find a new die to cast.... Count on it. 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:55 | 6273552 GoldSilverBitcoinBug
GoldSilverBitcoinBug's picture

The best insurance ?

DO NOT GET MARRIED, (a least in a Western feminist CoUNTry).

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:02 | 6273616 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

Correction do not date them either. 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:56 | 6273568 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Moar gay pride parades to receive US entitlements. 

Tick tock 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:57 | 6273577 CarpetShag
CarpetShag's picture

A gay marriage partner collects the insurance if he can prove that the marriage was not consummated.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:59 | 6273591 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

So could I buy some personal marriage 'puts' (ie payout if my own marriage ends in divorce)?  That would surely take moral hazard to new heights. . .

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 16:59 | 6273593 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

A faggot will never complain about a nigger getting more taxpayers money. The negro will kill the fags. 

Welcome to Obamaland. 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:01 | 6273607 q99x2
q99x2's picture

This is a great idea perhaps even worth contacting the ex. I don't know that the paperwork ever went through and the insurance might be a way to finally get something out of that pissant marriage.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:54 | 6273887 zhandax
zhandax's picture

I think you are on to something.  Assuming mine went through, it wasn't in the US.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:05 | 6273629 The Delicate Genius
The Delicate Genius's picture

The feminists will get to divorce equity after they write a 3 month paid maternity leave into the Constitution by judicial legislation.

Then they'll listen to what you have to say at dinner.

Bring your wallet.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:13 | 6273665 wendigo
wendigo's picture

3 month? More like 3 year, if they get their way. 

Mon, 07/06/2015 - 20:06 | 6278321 Cleveland Steamer
Cleveland Steamer's picture

It will be 6 years, until the kid starts school.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:15 | 6273671 Little Boomer
Little Boomer's picture

Rent the rings.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:16 | 6273677 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

Lease it ( There fixed it) 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:17 | 6273683 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

Marriage is too risky in the USA and so is having kids. I wonder if anyone gives a damn how miserable life cna be or become. 

I prefer hookers. Problem solved or single mothers. They are dime a dozen in Texas

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:18 | 6273687 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Hit squads solve so many problems outside of the judicial system.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:27 | 6273739 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

Dirty Deeds Done Dirt Cheap

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VvMFhYMVawk

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:18 | 6273690 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

It's kind of sad to imagine a married couple, each of them on their iPoops, going through the divorce probability calculator survey. Couldn't open the mouth and communicate, I suppose. The best relationships don't really require words at all...

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:23 | 6273720 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

IPOOP communication for the dumb idiots. I guess this tips the scale. I am definitely going to bet on this

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:31 | 6273759 Alananda
Alananda's picture

Third time (or fifth time, or tenth, who knows how to count with new math?) lucky, wife and I celebrated our 28th ham this past Easter.  Year 0 at Easter featured our first ham with her ex-parents-in-law.  Wife became second time (or tenth or twentieth, who knows?  I did not ask) lucky.  'Til Death do us part for real. We'll take a pass on that insurance notion!

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:27 | 6274260 Comte d'herblay
Comte d&#039;herblay's picture

WTF fuck r u raving about???

 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 17:50 | 6273860 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

I'm writing a fictional novel on the topic of what happens to marriage. IN the end, when people are marrying their pets, a woman gets fed up and sells herself into slavery. The contract is very simple -- and familiar -- that she will honor and obey until death does them part. He for his part can do as he likes, including marriage, if there is any woman stupid enough to go that route. In the end there are few. Punch line; a man must post a $5M bond against "abandonment" unless his slavegirl agrees otherwise, and some do. Most end up living as typical husbands and wives anyway, except she wears a collar. And does so with pride, having given all that a girl can give.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:08 | 6274189 espirit
espirit's picture

Add in that when you turn 59 1/2 the ex gets half tax free.

Mon, 07/06/2015 - 08:51 | 6275861 Bach's_bitch
Bach&#039;s_bitch's picture

When did the feminists infiltrate Zerohedge? A slave cannot *decide* to be a slave or *demand* livelihood and protection from its master. Wives can and do, and could and have done throughout history.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:09 | 6273949 Spungo
Spungo's picture

People still get married? I'm almost 30 and none of my friends are married.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:13 | 6273965 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

that's because you and your friends are straight. All the gays  are getting married, the only ones left I gues

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:14 | 6273972 10mm
10mm's picture

Spungo. Got ya beat. 49

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:12 | 6273951 10mm
10mm's picture

Any man today with any semblance of common sensewill NOT sign a contract.  PERIOD

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:16 | 6273977 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

the gays will sign the contract--just saying

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:25 | 6274254 Comte d'herblay
Comte d&#039;herblay's picture

He said "men".  Gays are not men. They are unnatural.  

The proof is in the fight they wage to join an institution that has a 55% failure rate, and 75% when you count those marriages that are merely financial arrangements, or 'for the chirren'. 

 

 

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:26 | 6274012 kareninca
kareninca's picture

I think that (per the studies with voles), some people are genetically set up to be married for good, and some not.  You can to some degree guess about someone by looking at whether his/her parents are still married.  All of my husband's colleagues are still married after many years (except for one woman colleague who was foolish enough to marry a handsome Russian psychopath who dumped her after she finished raising his kid); my husband and I have been married 24 years (and we were together for four years before that).  What works of course is to keep lowering one's expectations; lower, lower, lower.  It's not so hard to do when you look around at what is available and gag.  One notorious killer of marriages is romance novels; I kid you not; "Madame Bovary" was not fiction!!!  I know women who have started reading them and suddenly their expectations for EVERYTHING shot to the moon; their poor schmuck husbands were left in the dust as their wives departed for Tinder and STDs.  BTW, I know the stats say that women initiate most divorces, but in a lot of the cases I know of they did it because the man cheated, usually when the kids were young.  Neither side is saintly.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:34 | 6274064 SofaPapa
SofaPapa's picture

Is there a vole analog to the Kardashians?  One wonders...

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 18:50 | 6274120 10mm
10mm's picture

Karennica. STFU.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 20:10 | 6274414 kareninca
kareninca's picture

LOL

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:20 | 6274243 10mm
10mm's picture

The fookin picture speaks a thousand words. Attention males, abort

I sayagain,  abort.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 20:09 | 6274411 kareninca
kareninca's picture

Oh, come on.  They trot out that photo regularly on ZH in order to excite male paranoia.  I have seen it so many times here.  There is some truth to it of course, but don't fixate on the photo; read about voles instead (http://sciencenetlinks.com/science-news/science-updates/monogamous-voles/), LOL.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:52 | 6274355 jimfcarroll
jimfcarroll's picture

She should have paid

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 19:59 | 6274378 Itch
Itch's picture

How does a man with the brains to make billions enter into a legally binding agreement with the state and a wench, and not smell a rat? Welcome to the human race. Any bloke that thinks he needs to sign a contract for love is a walking cash machine.

Sun, 07/05/2015 - 22:06 | 6274800 newmacroman
newmacroman's picture

Why is divorce so expensive?

Because it's worth it!

Mon, 07/06/2015 - 01:47 | 6275252 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

I would have shorted bill&hill

Mon, 07/06/2015 - 04:23 | 6275371 Jack Daniels Esq
Jack Daniels Esq's picture

Happy marriage - WTF - intelligent muslim, honest politico

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