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What Happens Next In Greece (In 2 Simple Charts)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Over the course of six painful months, negotiations between Athens and Brussels have produced innumerable "deadlines", "ultimatums", and "last chance" summits, none of which have produced a lasting deal or a Grexit. In fact, until the deposit outflows started to accelerate and Greek PM Alexis Tsipras took the dramatic step of putting creditors' proposal to a popular vote, many observers were beginning to lose interest, perhaps believing that the farce might just continue indefinitely. 

This Sunday however, is being billed as the day; the deadline to end all deadlines and the very last chance for Athens to remain in the EMU. Meanwhile, pressure on Tsipras — who, according to The Telegraph, likely thought he would be drinking beer with Varoufakis over quiet lunches by now — is building from both sides, with far-left Energy Minister Panagiotis Lafazanis swearing that the "referendum 'no' vote is not going to become a humiliating 'yes'", and Germany showing few signs of weakness. The intractable nature of the situation was brought into sharp relief earlier when MNI described Tsipras' "new" proposal which, by all appearances, looks as though it will be unacceptable to Germany and to the harlinders within Syriza.

In an effort to help cut through the confusion, we you bring you the following two graphics which shed some light on what lies ahead regardless of what transpires between now and Monday.

From Deutsche Bank:

From Bloomberg:

 

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Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:55 | 6291677 JustObserving
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What Happens Next In Greece

Stock market closed, banks closed, and austerity for the foreseeable future

Mattresses are the new banks,  The military is eyeing a takeover.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:55 | 6291695 cossack55
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Don't let those cute lil' ol' sheep eat the cash.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:02 | 6291719 ZerOhead
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I'm more interested in seeing how extensively the MSM covers this ongoing Greek Tragedy. Will it lead or will they bury it?

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:23 | 6291837 whotookmyalias
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At what point to we get to see more pictures of elderly people standing in front of an empty bakery?

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:30 | 6291872 boogerbently
boogerbently's picture

Whatever. As long as Americans use Greece as a mirror.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:49 | 6291984 bob_stl
bob_stl's picture

That's the flow for the Grexit. How about one for the Gerxit?

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 20:00 | 6292738 eatthebanksters
eatthebanksters's picture

What happens next is they are going to need 'Greece' to keep from tearing their assholes as they bend over, grab their ankles and take it deep while asking 'please' very nicely.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:02 | 6291739 TahoeBilly2012
TahoeBilly2012's picture

The bottomline here is you have to PAY to be in the New World Order, it's NOT a free club.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:08 | 6291755 ZerOhead
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And nobody and I mean nobody gets to leave the NWO... even if they are forced to relocate to the Eastern franchise for awhile for not paying their membership dues.

Fri, 07/10/2015 - 13:06 | 6295880 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Wrong!

Tyler, where's the Flowchart path that shows (a) Tsipras Iscariot getting paid 30 pieces of Ag, and (b) Greece getting cricified?

Will V become Greek's "St. Petrus"?

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:54 | 6291691 taketheredpill
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Didn't see Riots (and riot dogs) in the Flow Chart.

 

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:55 | 6291696 JuliaS
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The rooftop snipers were too busy rehearsing in Armenia.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:08 | 6291769 VelvetHog
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The rooftop snipers were too busy rehearsing in America.

 

FIXED!

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:54 | 6291692 DaveyJones
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the phrase "it's Greek to me" has a whole new meaning

have they tried smashing plates?

 

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:59 | 6291717 large_wooden_badger
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Tsirpias is consulting with the Oracle of Delphi

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:01 | 6291730 Rainman
Rainman's picture

We all Greeks now. Hackers stole 25 million social security numbers out of Oblameo's . gov

                   http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-09/hackers-stole-government-data-on-25-7-million-people-u-s-says

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:37 | 6291869 WTFUD
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Throw a burning tyre around his neck and then hack the POS to death.

Obama - Commander in Chief at ISIS

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:56 | 6291700 Totentänzerlied
Totentänzerlied's picture

Boring. When do the fuel deliveries stop?

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:56 | 6291701 DontFollowMyAdv...
DontFollowMyAdviceImaDummy's picture

sure looks like more can-kicking... DEFAULT THEM ALREADY!

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:56 | 6291703 r101958
r101958's picture

Well, where the first chart is concerned, I find my sentiments-for once- on the far right.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:57 | 6291706 elegance
Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:01 | 6291726 large_wooden_badger
large_wooden_badger's picture

We can just call that "GREnter"

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:01 | 6291735 large_wooden_badger
large_wooden_badger's picture

"GRAmnesty"

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:13 | 6291794 Gyges
Gyges's picture

Future voters and fortification to the racist Golden Dawn.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 18:20 | 6292360 Fod
Fod's picture

This gets better. Supposedly Greece can get these people EU Id's and then they can leave Greece towards a brighter future in other EU countries.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:58 | 6291710 Latitude25
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The third path is obviously one where no one knows whether there is an agreement or not.  This is the preferred option.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:07 | 6291760 nickels
nickels's picture

The Greeks have a mythological figure for every contingency. Try Sisyphus.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:28 | 6291865 boogerbently
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Or our prez, Sisypants.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 15:58 | 6291711 large_wooden_badger
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When does this movie end? Worse than the Lightning Thief.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:00 | 6291722 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

All the "smart people" are making wild gueses and calling it informed opinion. Too bad there are those pesky, real people involved, all with their own agenda's to push. Greece has been putting off the inevitable for quite awhile and I'm willing to bet that they will continue to do so till the trainwreck is complete......

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:02 | 6291744 ebworthen
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This reminds me of people speculating about what will happen on "Dallas" or "Lost" next episode or next season.

It's pointless, because all you really know is that the show is going to end.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:08 | 6291763 Berspankme
Berspankme's picture

Tsipras will sell out. He's not personally hurting and he will probably leave the country to live in some luxury villa while the people starve. It's what politicians do

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:15 | 6291799 Irishcyclist
Irishcyclist's picture

Another round of can kicking would forestal the day of reckoning.

More can kicking means postponing having to actually deal with the problem.

More can kicking means that the pyre is made bigger so that when the fuse gets lit there is just more to be burnt.

 

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:23 | 6291842 Joebloinvestor
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Greece may need someone like McArthur to deal with its internal problems.

Not to say what Japan morphed into is any better, but Greece is never going to clean up its' act as long as a Greek is in charge.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:37 | 6291911 are we there yet
are we there yet's picture

Greece as well as Ukraine has problems with corruption draining their country. My work assistant is in Kyiv Ukraine as I write, and tells me that the people she sees are very unhappy with their future. Not a surprise. She speaks both Ukranian and Russian as well as English and told me a story in a grocery store where a mother told her child who was asking for its mother to buy one banana, and the mother in Ukranian said that they can not afford a banana. On my last trip to Kyiv, on Kreschatic street in Downtown Kyiv, commerce with open stores was minimal. I can only imagine how poor the smaller towns are.  Oksana (my vice president) will possibly go to Lvov in western Ukraine soon for my company. I will let ZH readers know what it is like there.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:44 | 6291951 Clowns on Acid
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Germany will ultimately tell Obama and his cackling pack of jackasl in his State Dept to Fuck Off. Then the whole Euro thing collapses and the DMark is reinstituted. Oh yeh... the Drachma as well.

Puerto Rico for the Puerto Ricans ! Stay there please.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 16:44 | 6291954 BobRocket
BobRocket's picture

Fuck It, Default and Stay In - let them throw you out if they dare.

 

(they daren't throw the Greeks out because the EuroZone and the EU itself will implode and they, not Greece, will quite rightly get the blame)

 

Just Do It.

 

 

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 17:06 | 6292065 pebblewriter
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If only Greece had racked up more debt, everything would have been fine.

http://pebblewriter.com/kocherlakota-more-cowbell/

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 18:07 | 6292317 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

I always get annoyed with myself when Tyler says in 2 simple charts and i can't make head nor tail of the content.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 18:31 | 6292393 logicalman
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The term 'Odious Debt' showed up a few times.

Thing about that is that it is against international law.

Greeks shouldn't be negotiating, they should use the law against those (GS, cough, cough) who helped the corrupt politicians to saddle the people with huge amounts of debt that they knew could never be paid back.

 

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 18:37 | 6292415 Seek_Truth
Seek_Truth's picture

Lol,

As if rule of law matters.

"When it comes to the law, nothin' is understood." - George Kennedy, in Cool Hand Luke

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 19:09 | 6292542 brushhog
brushhog's picture

Right, either Greece will stay in or they won't. Thanks Capt Obvious!

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 19:21 | 6292590 Faeriedust
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Just DEFAULT already, Hellas.  Declare national debt odious or whatever.  Nationalize the banks, issue drachmae.  Keep capital controls on all movements of money into and out of the country so you can balance the payments and prioritize hard currency for genuine needs.  

Admittedly, that's the hard way to do  it, but there IS no easy way any more. But the thing that sank 1930's Germany when they did it was the commitment to outrageous military spending.  Greece isn't trying to fight a hot war over this and shouldn't.  Control of their own economy should be their only goal.

Thu, 07/09/2015 - 19:47 | 6292686 bozoklown
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Germany has more to lose than Greece. Captive importers who borrow money from you and then use it to buy your goods are not that easy to come by. 

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