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"Efficient" US Equity Market 'Prices In' Grexit

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Presented with no comment whatsoever...

 

 

Oh ok... some comments...

So The Dow rallies over 300 points on the heels of a watered-down proposal that we already knew was not enough to satisfy EU leaders and when they turn around and say "nein nein nein" and demand a "time out Grexit" - the worst-case scenario from last week - it gives back just 100 points.

"Efficient" markets indeed.

With Sinn clearly in charge - believing in hope as a strategy is simply a fool's game now; but then again, it's been a greater fool's game for a long time.

 

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Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:16 | 6303762 dimwitted economist
dimwitted economist's picture

Crash and Burn you Fuckers!!!!

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:23 | 6303798 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Elevator operator:

“First floor; men’s apparel, children’s clothes, notions, window treatments”

“Next floor; basement,  ladies lingerie, bedding, plumbing supplies, Grecian Urns”.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:30 | 6303831 Hugh G. Rection
Hugh G. Rection's picture

"Socks, clocks, bagels and lox"

Bugs Bunny

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:44 | 6303890 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Dude!

WTF???!!!!

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 19:02 | 6303964 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

12 points is a big deal? Click bait. ZH has gotten pretty desperate. Wake me up when futures drop 50.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 20:44 | 6304297 deadelephant
deadelephant's picture

The point was that the drop has been very small so far compared to the jump on Friday's good news.  I think tomorrow morning will see the big decline.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 21:36 | 6304438 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

If that was the point, I totally missed it. Something about "Chaos" tends to imply a bigger drop than 12 points, along with the dramatic chart. No, I think I read it correctly. Click bait.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 19:52 | 6304139 cpnscarlet
cpnscarlet's picture

No. That was Popeye.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:42 | 6303880 The central planners
The central planners's picture

You forgot to say tons of gold and silver just for tradition.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:27 | 6303821 WTFRLY
WTFRLY's picture

yasss

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 19:06 | 6303907 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

The game is rigged, the tide has turned, the "smart" money is getting out...VOLATILITY= spiking declining market to entrap new bagholders of very stinky $hit...NEW MEME: STRCTD...Short the Rips, Cover the Dips

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 20:10 | 6304186 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

JUMP YOU FUCKERS !!!

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:16 | 6303766 NoIdea
NoIdea's picture

Market is still pretty certain a deal will be reached. Either that or the Greece "deal" that was a certainty on Thursday night had nothing to do with the 300-point rise

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:23 | 6303797 in4mayshun
in4mayshun's picture

Market surge last week most likely had much more to do with China's gov stopping their index plunge...even if temporary.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:17 | 6303771 Perimetr
Perimetr's picture

Why would they ever

 

Stop Rigging??

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 19:02 | 6303965 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

http://www.usdebtclock.org/#

Look at this and you will know it wont stop till it stops 18,300,000,000

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:18 | 6303772 Mae Kadoodie
Mae Kadoodie's picture

I can see where a Grexit was priced in.  Can't you?

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:23 | 6303801 Zgangsta
Zgangsta's picture

It's like Magic Eye, right? Cross your eyes long enough and something will appear.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:21 | 6303786 Racer
Racer's picture

And gold of course must never go up much before being slammed

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:46 | 6303898 who cares
who cares's picture

It took two years for them to take it from $1,300 to $1,160 and it's getting harder and harder to get it lower. Unfortunately for them things are not going they way they planned. More and more problems are coming up and they have to react to each of them. But the major problem for them is coming: the USA economy is tanking and that is going to strike the final blow the the Us dollar. When that happens they will have litlle gold left and gold will have it's glory.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 22:08 | 6304521 BringOnTheAsteroid
BringOnTheAsteroid's picture

"When that happens they will have little gold left and gold will have it's glory".

This doesn't make any sense, sorry.

Gold sits there, unchanged, untarnished, unencumbered. It neither has glory nor indignation.

We are so brain washed into expecting massive spikes and falls in financial assets that we cannot help ourselves applying that same thinking to gold.

When you say gold will have it's glory what do you mean? Well, I'll tell you. You mean it will take more US dollars to buy it. Big deal. You and I both know that the US dollar is a worthless piece of coloured paper now, it'll take everyone else a little longer to realise this.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:21 | 6303788 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

All I know and expect is a year's supply of PMs to be naked shorted at the open

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:37 | 6303861 who cares
who cares's picture

Till they finish the phisical. Between 1945 and 1980 the USA spent 12,000 tons of it to protect the dollar. how much time they can last with their supposedly reamining 8,000 tons since 1980?

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 19:27 | 6304038 Closet Boy
Closet Boy's picture

Unfortunately, several years of audit/inventory records are missing.  No problem, the Feds are on the ball....hollowing out what bars remain, and filling them with tungsten.  

 

"Don't tell people how to do things, tell them what to do and let them surprise you with their results." 

-General George S. Patton

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:24 | 6303802 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

NYSE going to have to have an unforseen "hacking" event; and blame the Russians.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:46 | 6303899 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

We use to only blame the Norh Koreans.

Ah, the good old days.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 19:32 | 6304059 Max Cynical
Max Cynical's picture
"NYSE going to have to have an unforseen "hacking" event; and blame the Russians."

 

Yes...lots of glitches this week.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:24 | 6303805 The Bell Rang
The Bell Rang's picture

You guys really need some Wave Theory. This should start out as no big deal, an abc corrective...Bull case, until it develops another leg down and turns into 5 waves, which it will. Then when the last low is taken out, and it will be....the down side picks up the serious shit steam....I hope, or baby doesn't get another pair of shoes.....

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:25 | 6303807 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

Germany & co likely floated the worst case proposal to make whatever gets agreed to look better. It's feelling like a greek concession of most items, a technocratic government with elections in the fall. And they'll pull the grexit and $50bln asset takeover parts. Maybe a few more, like the union rules. The pensions and others will remain, and it will be worse overall.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:25 | 6303808 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

Better to open like this for the shorts than down heavy and they just turn it around.  

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:29 | 6303828 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

jack be nimble

jack be quick

jack watch out for that big green candlestick.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:25 | 6303810 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

if it wasn't greece groundhog day would serve just as well for the s&p head fake. as long as we have zirp you must btfd. that is all bitchez.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:26 | 6303812 razorthin
razorthin's picture

Aaaaaand it's back.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:27 | 6303816 NoIdea
NoIdea's picture

Futures to be green by the US open on more "X hopeful a deal will be reached tomorrow"/ "we are closer to a deal than ever"  headlines.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:28 | 6303822 bigkahuna
bigkahuna's picture

only machines and fools long in the ussa markets

 

long = .5 milliseconds for a machine

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:32 | 6303841 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

yep. think like an algo. you just snorted a huge line of cyber coke. are you going to then hit "buy" or "sell"? case closed.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:30 | 6303830 Osmium
Osmium's picture

US futures will br green before Monday's open.  Long slow grind up overnight.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:30 | 6303834 JJdog
JJdog's picture

software update tomorrow! Did you guys get the memo? 

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 22:38 | 6303836 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

The financial situation in Greece, France, Spain, Portugal or the US, China , Japan or any country in increasingly dire financial condition seem headed in one similar direction. Who will go down first? Hardest? Will that nation state take the rest with it? Can the global financial ship change course without disastrous consequences? We'll see. Anything is possible. But right now beyond our individual ability to change it.

Where there is a will there is a way is an old saying. And I am confident most see the need for global change. The hardest part would be getting everyone on board for a positive change. I've dealt with many cultures in my life and sayings may be just as much in common across these
societies as each one's love of their food. It is amazing how many have an identical or almost identical sayings and they don't even realize it.

Greece is at a crossroads financially. Still, I can't thank the Greek culture enough for their numerous contributions through history. One that comes to mind immediately is Platos' Timaeus. Absolutely brilliant in my humble opinion. The message and conceptual ideas contained within are no less that astounding when you consider it was more than several thousands years ago. And it is not only relevant today but easily applicable in ways that most physicians wouldn't even consider in a modern office visit. This I could prove beyond a doubt.

And the French have made many outstanding contributions. Not just in the obvious like art, food or wine. Or the etymological contributions through their harmonious language. But many others that are no less inspirational as well. For example Louis Pasteur's Germ Theory of Disease, research on microbiology and fermentation has been inspirational in my own efforts towards creating intellectual property that will benefit many throughout the world.

I've only touched on a tiny fraction of the many cultures that have my deepest admiration and respect for their contributions. Additionally, know that in my own small way I take every opportunity available to encourage the younger generations and lead by example. Recently I encouraged a young relative to take French as their preferred second language and to use that in building their foundation in the trivium.

Please join me in both learning and sharing as much as you can about any culture, including your own, so that we may learn from our past experiences and mistakes to better preserve our future. Your honorable assistance may provide the start to not only facilitate a better cross-cultural understanding of each other, but also enable us to more easily set aside our differences and build a better future for everyone.

Thank you for your time and attention to this post.

Merci beaucoup

??? ????????? ???? - This was Greek for Thank you very much but didn't come out in the text right when posted.

More is expected of those who had good fortune, are naturally gifted, or have been shown special favor.

À qui il a été beaucoup donné, il sera beaucoup demandé.

P.S. Please excuse my faux pas of not including all countries. I have reworded it so that all will be included.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:36 | 6303859 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

central banks bid back 12 of the 20 drop - FK YA!!!

 

How much MOAR STAWKS do you need to feed on you fat fucking cunt yellen?

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:36 | 6303860 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  In all honesty, part of that rally was based on the 1/2 open Chinese market ponzi rally Thursday & Friday.

 But yeah, it's pretty much a dog and pony show, since the shitty jobs numbers haven't been discounted.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:39 | 6303872 xcehn
xcehn's picture

Tsipras is on a tight leash and doing everything possible to signal to the entire universe that Greece is Germany's bitch. Can't imagine he could bend any farther to signal complete capitulation. The 'markets' can see he's been 'captured.' Unless he's toppled, it looks like Greece has been totally humiliated and defeated in large measure thanks to him.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:42 | 6303884 rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

It's all very simple. short sellers have finally grown up.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 20:14 | 6304197 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

rubearish10; this one did.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 18:42 | 6303885 khakuda
khakuda's picture

Every crisis causes a selloff which is then eclipsed by rally that makes up for it and then some. That's been the pattern for the past seven years. In this way, negative news actually helps the market hit new highs.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 19:04 | 6303975 franzpick
Sun, 07/12/2015 - 20:18 | 6304204 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

WonderDawg; my precise thoughts and even the same number.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 20:18 | 6304205 JimS
JimS's picture

Wait! Wait!! Do you realize if that "100 point" drop slides to... say.... down 125, that will break the NYSE system. Then they will close it, again, and wait till the Dow can "recover" and close up , heading to new record highs. Doesn't seem rather odd that in the last few years, the only time the market stops trading, is when it's way down. The NYSE never breaks down when it's up. Rather odd, for a "free market" exchange, huh?  sarc/ 

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 22:12 | 6304531 DrNybble
DrNybble's picture

Maybe it's all part of the Fed's "Plunge Protection Program".

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 22:12 | 6304532 DrNybble
DrNybble's picture

Maybe it's all part of the Fed's "Plunge Protection Program".

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 20:32 | 6304245 jonjon831983
jonjon831983's picture

In confused markets are only supposed to go up.  Is the frustration that it is going down 100 instead of up 100?

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 20:41 | 6304282 jimfcarroll
jimfcarroll's picture

Currently the Dow is only marginally retracing Fridays gains. Nothing but a blip.

Sun, 07/12/2015 - 22:09 | 6304525 DrNybble
DrNybble's picture

Already priced in?  Give me a break.  Every time someone fears the market is going to take a hit the source of that potential decline always seems to be declared as "priced in" or "baked in".  Conversely, any event indicating a substantial market rise is seldom "priced in" but is is just a "pleasant surprise" and something to be taken advantage of.

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