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California To Get Relief from Drought: El Niño to the Rescue
California is finally set to get some drought relief …
Specifically, forecasters say a strong El Niño is heading our way.
Time gives odds:
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said there is now a 90% chance that El Niño will last through the winter and an 80% chance it will last into spring 2016.
As does the Los Angeles Times:
Scientists say the likelihood that a significant El Niño will happen is more than 90%, and some models suggest there is a nearly 100% chance it will be strong this fall.
El Niño increases rainfall in California.
Forecasters say this could be the strongest El Niño in 50 years. USA Today notes:
There is growing evidence California could see an even stronger El Niño event this winter than the 1997 one that caused massive flooding across Northern California.
Indeed, it could be so large that it sets “a new all-time record”.
However, even a very wet winter probably won’t be enough to erase California’s drought. Scientific American reports:
“California would probably need to experience its wettest year on record (by a fairly wide margin) to erase ongoing deficits in a single year,” Swain wrote on his blog. “While it’s not physically impossible, that would be a very tall order, indeed.”
Wired provides figures:
The state would need about 150 percent of its normal rainfall to replenish its reservoirs (the groundwater situation is a little bit trickier).
See this and this for related stories.
Note: Wired and Accuweather point out that there are other factors which could still derail a wet winter.
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Carbon dioxide levels have gone up while there has been no increase in "global warming" in over 17 years. Those believers in "global warming" have had to change the data to fit the ideology. That's not science. That's fraud. It was actually warmer during ancient Roman and Medieval times than today - long before widespread use of fossil fuels. The global warming baloney is nothing but a shakedown.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-st...
http://dailycaller.com/2013/12/13/study-earth-was-warmer-in-roman-mediev...
The author of the first article you quote states near the bottom:
"So let’s be clear. Yes: global warming is real, and some of it at least has been caused by the CO2 emitted by fossil fuels."
refuting your own claim that
"The global warming baloney is nothing but a shakedown"
"Hey, Maunder, how's it going?"
"Minimal, at best."
'Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.' Especially if you're expecting a repeat of 'The March Miracle', circa 1997, to save your ass in 2016.
'Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.' Especially if you're expecting a repeat of 'The March Miracle', circa 1997, to save your ass in 2016.
Bullish for HAARP.
Good news for Californians! They can go back to watering their lawns three hours per day, more water wasting through other means and pretend that nothing happened and that they don't need to change their ways.
I'm in Concord. Very odd weather for two summers straight - windy and cool and dry every. single. fucking. day. I have to crouch to enjoy a cigarette everywhere, always. I don't like it. I wonder about that Texas-sized pool of plastic floating out there. I worry we are going to get our comeuppance soon. Thinking about selling the place to some Chinese settlers and moving way inland. Where there's water.
Would be GOOD NEWS for Californians!
Meanwhile:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7whL9jvdL5s
The Sun is Going to Sleep
That appears to be what is mitigating global warming.
Since magnetic fields of Sun & Earth were deliberately
IGNORED by mainstream climate modeling previously,
it seems interesting to speculate HOW MITIGATING, &
how much would it return with a vengeance LATER???
Nobody knows the answers to those questions now ...
The views of http://guymcpherson.com/ et alia are based upon the greenhouse gas mechanisms becoming self-reinforcing feedback loops, which automatically make themselves exponentially worse. However, I have found that deliberately ignores the electric universe theories, promoted by the ThunderBolts of the Gods group, as well as various other increasingly significant effects in the changes of the combined Sun/Earth magnetic fields, such a promoted by the Suspicious0bservers group.
Anyway, in the bigger picture, I now tend to presume that more cosmic factors change the Sun, which then changes the Earth, in order to cause the changes in the Earth's quaking and volcanic activities, etc. ... Of course, I do not have the slightest clue regarding the details about how that may have happened in the past, or may happen in the future, but there is no doubt that supervolcano eruption in Yellowstone could happen, or WHATEVER! … (And, of course, it continues to be that runaway human driven insanities may well still steal the show from natural mega-disasters?) But nevertheless, these days I tend to think that we appear to be getting a "lucky break" that more cosmic factors have been changing the Sun/Earth magetic fields, in ways which are counteracting the human driven greenhouse gas mechanisms, in ways which are mitigating those, and preventing those from having gone into as bad as runaway exponential feedback loops as otherwise could have been predicted.
The basic concerns that runaway greenhouse gas accumulations would cause climate change continue to be realistic, scientifically sound, mechanisms. Therefore, it is wrong to say unequivocally that human driven climate change is nothing but a FRAUD, since the greenhouse gas mechanisms exist. However, climate models have been quite wrong in their predictions for a score of years because they did not include enough about the Sun and other cosmic factors (which may not be currently understood well enough by anybody, anyways.) But nevertheless, it is a gross over-simplification to say that global warming threats are nothing but FRAUDS, when what has happened appears to be that the expected consequences of the greenhouse gas mechanisms have been mitigated by other cosmic factors, which had been excluded from the previously developed climate models, so that those predictions have ended up being seriously off for more than a decade.
I have never seen anyone disprove the basic simple science, which has been around for more than a Century, regarding the fundamental existence of the greenhouse gas mechanisms, which was always the basic foundation of the global warming worries. However, I have found that there were way more complicated feedback loops, and cosmic factors, which were not fully understood, and therefore, not included into the previous climate models (apparently deliberately, due to some hidden agenda), and therefore, their predictions have be seriously different that what has actually been observed.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?t=14&v=sTvqIijqvTg
How Do Greenhouse Gases Actually Work?
I FIND IT AS IRONICALLY AMUSING THAT
GREENHOUSE GAS MECHANISMS WORK
DUE TO ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS …
HOWEVER, SINCE THE BIGGEST BULLIES MOSTLY
DISLIKED ANY WORLD VIEW THAT CONNECT US,
THE OVERALL MAGNETIC FIELDS OF EARTH &
THE SUN WERE DELIBERATELY IGNORED BY
MAINSTREAM CLIMATE MODELS, SO FAR.
Hence, those models have been WRONG,
while the mass media ignores those issues.
MEANWHILE, ON THE FLIP SIDE:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8P-N-HA9iS8
ARkStorm MovieThe Great California Storm of 1862
rained & rained & rained for 43 days.
Although, over the longer term, for longer periods of time, Californian climate has tended toward prolonged droughts, sometimes an "atmospheric river" forms that deluges California, to an astonishing degree! The 20th Century treated California to some of the best weather possible, which was nothing like the ways that its climate has rountinely swung back and forth to wild extremes previously. Ironically, the relatively abnormal is what most Californians believe is normal. That video presents the cruel joke that governmental agencies could be prepared for such mega-disasters. However, I would tend to more lean towards the view that governmental agencies are actually controlled by the most psychopathic people, who may well have been doing things like this:
http://sgtreport.com/2014/09/target-of-the-engineered-drought-catastrophe-california/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsYG5emdZp8
Target of the Engineered Drought Catastrophe: California
Are you fucking kidding me! Ya they forgot to figure the methane I produce when I fart in bed at night as well. 90% of the scientific community promotes this shit and you the marijuana smoker have figured out that they did not figure in the magnetic fields. And I am the heretic because I don't believe that what I breathe out of my lungs is harmful and there is not a single "model" that they have produced is even close to correct. What they have is not even a theory. A theory can be used to actually predict something. They have not predicted a damn thing(except for the money that goes in their pocket). So fuck you and your global warming horseshit.
And by the way I am sure you think that people who smoke cigarettes are evil and the companies who make them are Darth Vader himself who take advantage of the ignorant plebes. I truly cannot believe a .gov who has fought so hard against tobacco and peoples free choice will just say "oh yeah make mj legal. "MJ contains 33 cancer causing materials and deposits 4 x's as much tar into the lungs as smoking equal amounts of tobacco. It causes inflammation of large airways and increased symptoms chronic bronchitis. I won't even go into all of the stats on people who start smoking in their teens and the social consequences.
Don't get me wrong I am mostly just arguing the hypocrisy line. Remove government completely as a source of funding for ANYTHING healthcare related and let people do whatever they fucking want. The stupid people would thin out pretty quick. You don't have to be a fucking genius to realize that anything taken to an extreme is bad for you.
But seriously Mr Marijuana you are not that smart. And if you are then read about what a theory should be able to do. At best they have a hypothesis. I am not ready to pay sky high taxes and live as someone does in a third world country and have my government dictate to me what I can and can't use for an energy source based on a damn hypothesis.
May you have a nice and relaxed evening dude.
sonoftx, you are projecting on to me a lot.
Merely because I think that the greenhouse gas mechanisms are scientifically sound, does not mean that I must then believe in the bogus "solutions" being offered for those problems, especially since there are obviously more cosmic factors to consider in the climate issues. My views have evolved considerably during the last decade or so regarding Humans blamed for climate change ...
SINCE CIVILIZATION IS CONTROLLED BY BACKING UP LIES WITH VIOLENCE, WHATEVER THE RELATIVELY MORE SCIENTIFIC FACTS MAY TURN OUT TO BE, THE SOCIAL "SOLUTIONS" WILL SURELY CONTINUE BEING EXTREMELY HYPOCRITICAL!
P.S.
It is not worth my time to debate here with you about issues regarding smoking marijuana. However, it is my view that smoking should only be done in ceremonial ways, since smoking is otherwise the worst way to consume cannabis.
Disclaimer: I am not affiliated with WEMEANBUSINESSCOALITION.ORG LOL WE MEAN BUSINESS "is inviting hundreds of companies and investors to create a low-carbon revolution." (the PLAN B is Richard Branson's baby, cause they all gotta have a baby!!! LOL)
Claimer: after studying at RMU for a year and a half, I am beginning to be able to run samples through the political science / philosophy of science fliters; as a senior I hope to be able to mean-ingfully discuss what I see in THE FUTURE!
p.s. RUSH was enjoyed by all 5 generations, thanks again for the heads up : )
More to the heart of the matter, there is a new post up on kurzweilai.net:
CONTINUED DESTRUCTION OF EARTH'S PLANT LIFE PLACES HUMANKIND IN JEOPARDY
http://www.kurzweilai.net/continued-destruction-of-earths-plant-life-pla...
" the study's calculations are grounded in the fundamental principles of thermodynamics..."
" the measures required to stop that progression may have to be drastic..."
No LOL
There are political idiots, then there's drunk political idiots, then there's sonoftx.
Hey Radical, another great post. There seems to be something fishy about suspicious0bservers though. Like some kind of controlled oposition, limited hangout. His dad was a big deal at GS. Yes, that GS. There was stuff all over the Web about this at one point, but now its mostly been scrubbed. Here's a fragment if you are interested.
I had heard a little about that controversy before. However, intuitively I find Ben Davidson to be a "good guy," doing his best to describe what he believes is the case.
Of course, in my view EVERYBODY is like the Chinese Mandala of the YIN/YANG. I am quite sure that I too am somewhat "controlled opposition," since I live inside of the established systems, and could not possibly live outside of those systems. I am NOT able to change anything materially significant. The ONLY thing that I can do is endeavour to not be so badly tricked to believe in bullshit. However, historically, I have always discovered that I HAD been fooled, and even when I achieved some level of awareness of that, it usually turned out that I was still being fooled on some other level. That is why one of my favourite sayings is: "The lies are different at every level."
If California does experience flooding in the central valley, billions of gallons of contaminated wastewater from fracking that has been injected into holding wells for years, will be mixed with floodwater and end up in aquafers. For this reason alone, let us hope California does not experience significant flooding from El Nino.
https://www.google.com/search?q=fracking+wastewater+injected+into+wells+...
http://www.sfgate.com/business/article/State-let-oil-companies-taint-dri...
He who controls HAARP, can predict future weather...
Don't forget...
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/atmospheric-rivers-california-...
As I stated several times; what happens after a drought ? It rains. Another media event bites the dust, (so to speak). Scientists say we'll be entering an ice age by 2030; and no this wasn't in the National Enquirer, it was in the Wall Street Journal. But, but; Al Gore !! and all the Gorebull Warming !! He wouldn't lie to us; would he ? A Federal Politician that lies ??? Nah; couldn't be.
That's why they changed from "Global Warming" to "Climate Change". Same BS, just re-branded to encompass more than warming.
Here's something that doesn't get much attention that probably matters: magneticreversal.org
The poles appear to be reversing. That's going to be a bad day.
Super interesting. I just watched a Nova show on this from those links.
I have always thought of these magnetic reversal as roughly similar to the changing polarity of an AC sinusoidal waveform. Now, what controls that waveform? The Sun, would be my layman's guess.
It is interesting that these magnetic anomalies take place apparently during solar minimums, like we are approaching now. Of course, as the scientists were saying, it may be yet quite a while before the polarity flips. Then again...
The California drought should be the least of anyone's worries.
California residents should be more concerned with the biological uptake of such radionuclides as Cs137, Sr89, Sr90, Pu239, and Pu240...to name but a few.
Fukushima is killing the top of the food chain in the Pacific Ocean. Human beings are next.
http://enenews.com/many-large-marine-mammals-found-dead-around-californi...
@ serotonimdumptruck, on March 11 2011, all 54 of Japan's Nuclear Power Plants were destroyed... ZERO online to this day.
All Japan's nuclear plants have been closed, or their operation has been suspended for safety inspections. The last of Japan's 50 reactors (Tomari-3) went offline for maintenance on May 5, 2012,[18] leaving Japan completely without nuclear-produced electrical power for the first time since 1970. Despite protests, on 1 July 2012 unit 3 of the ?i Nuclear Power Plant was restarted.[19] In September 2013 ?i units 3 and 4 went offline, making Japan again completely without nuclear-produced electrical power.[20]
All German Reactors are shut down.
...and pretty goddamned soon, all nuke reactors will be shut down.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sSQdB3myW9M
And yet another ignorant loonie is heard from on; the" World Wide Waste"of time. Way to go ! You fucking moron.
Ann Coulter, is that you?
"Radiation is GOOD for you!"
Well, radiation was part of the therapy for her prostate cancer......
I am a resident in Calif... Don't cry for me Argentina!... But then, I digress...
I have heard this song a few times in the past few years... I will believe it when I experience it...
If it does come, there will be flooding, mudslides, a bizillion dollars worth of flood damage and JOBS for everyone to get things cleaned up and back to abnormal...
Someone is sure to get blamed for something if the Big Storm comes... We'll see who...
Seems meteorologists have trouble accurately predicting >24 hours of weather, so we shall see.
I heard a very interesting story about "El Nino" a decade ago.
Who told was a great friend, also Geographer.
When installed the buoys with temperature sensors along the Pacific (more precisely, those located on the coast of South America).
The sensors of these buoys gave the ocean temperature in depth, do not remember how many how many meters.
There was an agreement or something, Brazilian meteorologists had access to data, accurately predicted two seasons of "El Nino" and "La Ninha".
This created tremendous ill feeling between the guys who implanataram buoys (once predicted an event that was denied - and hit - by Brazilians).
I do not remember right if the agreement ended or was terminated access to the data, I know that there has never been report of Brazil on the event.
So I've heard.
I do not know if it's true but I remember very well the hits.
Since 1985 study climate and other interactions of geography.
It contains a lot with this information "El Nino" can be just another optimistic bubble.
hehe.
Well, they can have it. I don't think we've had 2 warm dry days in a row here in the midwest this spring/summer. And I had so hoped for that global warming to start kicking in.
Whose god's prophets should we believe? Gore's god? NASA's god? The god of consensus? If fifty thousand fools say a foolish thing, is it valid? Who predicted the mini-ice ages which allowed Genghis Khan to ride across Asia?
So many prophets in ages past have predicted climatic catastrophe for non-believers. The same old M.O. is valid using computer models? Science is theory confirmed by analysis of past and future data. Religion is believing the predictions and dogma of its prophets.
Whose god should we trust?
You report. HAARP decides.
GW: Long time reader, long time. Awesome that you are parroting the MSM for the sake of reporting said propaganda. However, its a bad day when the readers of ZH take the bait. The "news" has absolutely nothing to do with the weather, cannot change its course or even predict its future. "News" is a giant mental diversion away from the facts as they may be.........you know this, I am preaching to the choir.
Great Job, GW. You learned more from writing this piece than the people who read it.
Agree, Indeed GW's post even made it into Limbaughs entertainment program today.
It'll go down something like this:
- A 'head-fake' - like last year. Late November/Early December saw well above normal amounts of rain - then... Bone dry for (8) weeks straight after that, and not much else since then.
Or:
- A freaking Noah-level washout to make this Gawd-forsaken political wasteland pay for its 'sins' (against the taxpayer, small business, property owners, etc., fill-in-the-blanks...)
Garage full of bottled water, or a row boat - take yer pick...
Row boat filled with bottled water.
The gold all went into the lake, I swear.
They're feeling the heat, so they are going to open the storm door.
See point #9 in the recall Jerry Brown petition. http://stateofthenation2012.com/?p=17110
GW - help us out with some ttruthiness regarding the geoengineering experiment that is California. "El Ninio"? They laugh about "El Ninio" at geoengineering central.
Well, I hope they get some much needed rain (for Miffed, knuks, Nihilist etal) HOWEVER...southern California is still basically a desert.
Rain really matters to me nmewn because we are on a 400 foot rain water fed well. In San Diego county this represents less than 5% of all households. All of us know we are using a precious resource on our Mesa unlike the throngs of McMansion dwellers with pristine lawns ( many are starting to look a bit brown now).
It's a true concern for us and why we will not sell our 100 acre family farm in Washington state. Sustainability is always tenuous in a desert. Life here is Shake and Bake. At least we don't worry about hurricanes. ;-)
Miffed;-)
The only hurricane possibly in my immediate future is the one that skirts a certain "island" in the Caribe. Its our thirtieth and I kinda wanna it to go off without a hitch ;-)
Congrats nmewn!! We spent ours last Feb in Maui ( kinda combined it with a business trip which was not wise, some damn benchmark blew up and Mr was on the phone with Europe 4 days straight. the fuckers own him. I was gracious but I could have strangled his company's execs). We met Bay of Pigs and had a nice lunch. Almost hooked up with akak too who was on the big Island but the inter island airfare was too expensive.
I can't believe our spouses have put up with us all these years. I sure Mr had been tempted to use a bucket of Prozac and a polo mallet at times. I hope I mellow when I get a bit longer in the tooth for his sake.
Have a wonderful vacation and please consider tossing your cell in the ocean.
Miffed;-)
;-)
Well, I can throw mine away anytime, Mrs.N's has international calling, you know, for the offspring, also making plans and plotting for when the week finally arrives...lol.
Curious how a stranger on the net can tug at my concerns. It's a relief to know you may soon be getting some rain your way and have a second home just in case. Last time I visited UCSD, it didn't strike me as particularly desert-like (sticky and humid) but that was some years ago.
Well, I am touched! I find myself worrying about others here as well. Funny how I have never met someone but feel so very close to them in such a unique way. The connection is different from any social grouping throughout history. In some ways, I find it troubling because I'm not sure if I have connected with a person or a persona. How much do we really hide behind these avatars? I try to be forthright but the anonymity can be seductive to construct yourself as what you wish to portray vs what you really are.
Food for thought.
Miffed;-)
I can say that if I met Mrs miffed or anyone else here you would not hear a curse word one and even the idiots I would be kind to. This is until the shtf. I come here to say what I really think and I think it is good practice for when political correctness no longer matters and it is truly nut cuttin time.
That being said, I think it is awesome that Mr Nmewn has been married for thirty year and is going to celebrate it. I hope his family is stable and forgiving of each other's weaknesses and truly like to be around each other and enjoy each others company. We need families now and will need them more in the future.
May you have a great anniversary Mr Nmewn
At least you're smart enough to have systems that capture it when it comes.