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The Oldest Trick In The Accounting Book: The Reason For Intel's Massive EPS Beat In One Chart

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Moments ago, INTC reported EPS of $0.55 which solidly beat expectations $0.50, with revenue of $13.2 billion printing just above consensus, if a substantial 5% drop compared to the $13.8 billion one year ago.

This has sent the stock soaring in the after hours by about 6%. This is also despite the company lowering it full year revenue guidance from flat to -1%, with the bulls saying just look at that massive EPS beat.

 

So for all those wondering just how INTC did it, here's the reason for Intel's beat in one simple chart:

 

In other words, it is only thanks to the oldest trick in the accounting book, an artificially low tax rate, that INTC was able to make its plunging operating income, which was down 25% from a year ago, better than expected and make its EPS of $0.55 equal to the $0.55 reported one year ago.

Crashing Operating Income:

 

And yet, flat EPS:

 

If INTC had used a 29% tax rate - the same as last year - EPS would have been $0.43, a 7 cent loss and that's even using a more modern trick in the accounting book, some $700 million in stock buybacks!

And that is how you use report unchanged EPS from a year ago despit sliding revenues and plunging earnings.

 

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Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:29 | 6316843 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 How were they able to use the lower tax rate?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:32 | 6316849 knukles
knukles's picture

Pull my finger

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:47 | 6316918 SmilinJoeFizzion
SmilinJoeFizzion's picture

will I have to buy carbon credits?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:50 | 6316927 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Accounting plugs ftw!

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:35 | 6317080 quintago
quintago's picture

They are pumping the stock, before it dumps next quarter when INTC misses it's # because everybody upgrades to a new OS for free.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:42 | 6317110 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

bullish... er, i mean, bullshittish

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 20:06 | 6317660 Alvin Fernald
Alvin Fernald's picture

Hey didn't intel chips all have NSA backdoors built into them?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 21:31 | 6317910 philipat
philipat's picture

Tax reform anyone?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 21:35 | 6317915 philipat
philipat's picture

Tax reform anyone?

The Double Irish strikes again. But with US Corporate Tax rates by far the highest in OECD (The UK plans to get their rate down to 18%) I suppose the logic is compelling, It's just that everyone in the US loses otherr than the 1%, which is, of course, the whole point....

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:52 | 6316931 OilCaptain
OilCaptain's picture

Big bonus for the CEO in 3, 2, 1....

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 21:22 | 6317015 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

Their new i7 Quad Core has a vastly improved Math Co-Processor to figure that shit out.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 21:52 | 6317974 SloMoe
SloMoe's picture

I actually laughed out loud. Not something I do reading ZH comments too often...

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:35 | 6316864 JustAboutThatAc...
JustAboutThatActionBoss's picture

From the release.....

"The effective tax rate for the second quarter was 9.3%, down 16.2 points from the first quarter driven by a one-time refund claim and our decision to indefinitely reinvest certain prior years' non-U.S. earnings."

Complete fucking shenanegans!

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:43 | 6316903 Babaloo
Babaloo's picture

 "...our decision to indefinitely reinvest certain prior years' non-U.S. earnings."

 

I've been doing this a long time, and I have no idea what those words mean. 

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:59 | 6316944 FL_Conservative
FL_Conservative's picture

It means that their previous overseas profits and current offshore cash will be reinvested.....overseas, rather than pay US taxes to bring that cash back here.

 

Their sell-side analysts better call bullshit on that (making earnings by reducing the effective tax rate) tomorrow on their earnings call.  

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:03 | 6316961 JustAboutThatAc...
JustAboutThatActionBoss's picture

INDEFINITELY....means they are NEVER bringing the money back to the US!

Thanks Obama!  

Fucking idiots, thinking you can get 39% of something, and now youre getting 100% of ZERO.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:11 | 6316991 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

 

Thanks Obama!

Fucking idiots, thinking you can get 39% of something, and now youre getting 100% of ZERO.

lol, gist of the above article go over your head a bit? 

http://i.imgur.com/G062H.gif

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 18:17 | 6317257 JustAboutThatAc...
JustAboutThatActionBoss's picture

No... but it must have gone over yours.

Intel will indefinitely keep their profits overseas and thus not pay US tax. Therefore, they took the one-time tax benefit to "beat" the EPS today.

Got it knucklehead! Thats why you have a bunch of negative responses.

DONT BE THAT GUY!!

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 20:19 | 6317688 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

The tax rates did not change, the 'new' effective rate is artifical. Only reason the trick works is because of the tax arbitrage, OBVIOUSLY - i.e. THE POINT OF THE ARTICLE. Obamas proposed solutions to overseas cash.. do not apply in any sense.

As many have pointed out, keeping the EPS flat through this one neat trick seems a nice side affect of the altera deal. Intel has cash ~14B and ~8.2B invested...one can wonder how this cash is being moved around in purchasing altera all cash for 17B$

http://33.media.tumblr.com/124b42fb095abcae9c2175d194c2aae0/tumblr_inlin...

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:12 | 6316994 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

And what?  Never get on an earnings conference call again?  They know who to butter up.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:08 | 6316980 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Thanks for the info.

  " A one-time refund claim." A refund claim on what? Every quarter, when earnings are released, multinationals take these "one time " write-downs.

  You want to talk about pulling forward future earnings? This shit has gone full retard! What happens when/if these companies start ACTUALLY becoming profitable again?

 At some point these deferred taxes and "one time" refund claims have to be settled.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:13 | 6316998 FL_Conservative
FL_Conservative's picture

They include the benefit of a 1-time refund and reduced effective tax rate in their reported EPS, but if it were the other way around, they would be reporting an EPS result without both of those items deducted.  

 

Figures lie and liars figure.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:42 | 6317114 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 so, does that mean the adjustments will be post facto in the final GAAP figures?

 In other words, will actual earnings figures be posted without the writedowns factored in, with line item adjustments below on the earnings statement?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:46 | 6316915 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Bermuda, Caymans and Bahamas have a corporate tax rate of zero.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 18:37 | 6317313 Hal n back
Hal n back's picture

 

in b school way back when  they taught us to buy accelllerating revenues and earnin gs--accellerating. as in growing . Add in those accellerating rev and earnings have to be quality and repeating.

 

when I got out of school, I was actually buying companies.In a presentation to get approval I had the CEO ask, where is the fuckin growth? Then said we do not buy companies unless we are on the right side of growth and earnings and what we pay.

 

Kid, he said, we cannot afford to overpay. I'd rather pass on a tight deal. There will be another good one in the future.

 

The US growth story seems dead. If it returns it could be a long time in waiting. There are only so many years in a career.

 

 

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:31 | 6316845 SandiaMan
SandiaMan's picture

Pencil fuckin"

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:33 | 6316856 lordylord
lordylord's picture

Are the bar plots necessary to compare 2 numbers?  I get it, one number is bigger than the other.  Sheesh.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:48 | 6316921 H H Henry P P P...
H H Henry P P P Paulson's picture

INTC up after hours because square-goes-into-circle investors are autistic and are unable to notice when they're being easily deceived. So, you tell us if a simple bar chart is required or not?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 21:48 | 6317966 yellowsub
yellowsub's picture

They need to do it comic style ala Pepsi...

 

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:33 | 6316859 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

But what Tax Rate does  the Intel Secretary pay ????

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:07 | 6316976 knukles
knukles's picture

73.2% all in federal, state and local after adjustments for self-funded medical ObieCare contributions, 401k reversions to taxable income after taxes and penalties needing money for her cancerous mother's uncovered conditions, automobile and alcohol* allowances.

*Yes, one of my good buds (who doesn't drink, BTW) is in a sales position and though he can entertain clients and prospects till the cows come home on a corporate credit card, gets a Personal Alcohol Allowance from his employer.  Is that fucked up?!?!?!?!?!  I keep trying to explain "Arbitrage By the Case" to him.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:34 | 6316860 Fed-up with bei...
Fed-up with being Sick and Tired's picture

Write-offs/pulling forward future expenses.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:38 | 6316882 JustAboutThatAc...
JustAboutThatActionBoss's picture

And the share buyback added another 5% to Earnings per...."Share".... on top of the 9% tax rate.

I guess the algos arent programed to see a tax rate

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:39 | 6316888 noronoro
noronoro's picture

ok, so what? the shorts still need to cover their ass and re-short at high lol.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:23 | 6317033 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Either that or wake up the next morning and forget it ever happened.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:39 | 6316889 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

Worked with computer architectures most of my life... Intel/AMD is possibly the worse design, followed only by ARM 64 implementations...

Intel is a dinosaur. (Just look at their offspring - AMD)

Standard Disclaimer: Why is it society always embraces/adores/salivates over the absolute crap produced in society?

 

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:45 | 6316910 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

so have i. intel's recent implementation is actually pretty good, as all instructions are translated into risc-style micro ops behind the scenes. and the transition to 64-bit gave AMD an opportunity to get rid of a lot of the legacy instruction set and features (plus increase GPRs)

and i don't know what you're on about in regards to ARM - the ARM instruction set is pretty damn clean, it's only really the recent SIMD architecture additions which raises questions...

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:54 | 6316935 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Yeah!  I was gonna point all that out but you beat me to it.  Whatever it means.  All I know is I gotta turn my computer all the way off, run around the block once, and turn it all back on to get it to stop the glitches.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:02 | 6316958 Automatic Choke
Automatic Choke's picture

I've been developing embedded controls on ARM7 w/ bare assy & no RTOS for years, lately struggling with the Coretex-M4 devices.  Not sure that ditching full ARM instructions in favor of THUMB was a good idea, but I'm afraid that I'm alone in the wilderness here.....   Progress is not always good.   Everyone sells bloat now.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:08 | 6316979 Tinky
Tinky's picture

Not exactly on topic, but what's with the ridiculous Adobe Flash updates? Seems like every fucking few days now, and it doesn't work without 'em.

What crap.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:45 | 6317123 Holy Roller Empire
Holy Roller Empire's picture

Flash is a minefield of security problems and a lot of exploits have recently been found, hence the numerous updates. Lots of folks are hoping that Flash just goes away and gets replaced by more secure software such as HTML5.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 22:18 | 6318043 MSimon
MSimon's picture

One and one half stacks in a machine is ALWAYS a stupid design.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:51 | 6316929 H H Henry P P P...
H H Henry P P P Paulson's picture

Processor architecture design: so easy, a cheech wizard can do it.

Thu, 07/16/2015 - 00:07 | 6318313 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Mind telling us which processors you use in your desktop/laptop computers?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:57 | 6316946 LukeWorm
LukeWorm's picture

And everything is non-GAAP of course.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:14 | 6317008 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

It's interim.

It can be reversed next quarter.

Estimated bullshit.

Partner at the CPA firm got balls.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:58 | 6316947 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

Can I use 9.3%??? plz plz plz

Was this just a figure they used or did they actually get a tax break?

If they have to actually pay at the higher rate then next years figures will be horrid....if there is a next year....

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:21 | 6317024 bdc63
bdc63's picture

no harm, no foul -- they're just following the play book.

If taxes are LOW and benfit your bottom line, hide that fact in the notes somewhere.

If taxes are HIGH and hurt your bottom line, scream it from the roof tops and get Cramer to go on TV and say "the governement knows NOTHING!!"

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 16:58 | 6316948 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

Golden parachutes anyone?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:07 | 6316960 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

It's called FIN 18.

Interim estimated effective tax rate for the quarter.

A discrete item that goes away as fast as it came.

A short term fix to a long term problem.

They pay Provision Tax Directors big money for this magic trick.

I'm sure he/she is a graduate of one of the Big 4 criminally liable accounting firms.

Release all the valuation allowances next time.

LOLOLOLOL..................................

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:13 | 6317000 22winmag
22winmag's picture

That's fundamentally sound.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:19 | 6317010 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Yes, the Partner at the CPA firm just placed his nuts/her tits on the chopping block.

He/she may become Intel's next VP of Tax.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:18 | 6317012 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Welcome to fantasy island...

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:26 | 6317047 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Intel is probably laundering drug money too.

All 4 will go down in the next collapse.

Make room in CPA hell Arthur Andersen.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 18:54 | 6317374 dark_matter
dark_matter's picture

So you're saying I should I sell my INTC?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:23 | 6317032 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

The market knows what INTC did and the market knew what was coming before it happened.

 

This is just another event where that fucking cunt yellen and its aligned bank algo buy - profits are irrelevant for these fucks - control and growth (through fraud) is what they do.

 

Yellen, you are a satanic cunt and it will be a grand day when you die!!!

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:23 | 6317034 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Is this the chapter in the movie where earnings beat going into the 6 month holiday season and the excuse of rate increases this fall?

Dam this is easy money

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:33 | 6317070 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Ya, but don't leave it on the table.

We have a lawless market.

Now that the gatekeepers are in on the scams.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:37 | 6317072 sandiegoman
sandiegoman's picture

bashing on Intel? The ones that actually have good paying jobs and factories in the states?

Why don't you look in the mirror and look at how well gold and silver are doing? Oh thats right, it doesn't count because it is all manipulated. LMAO!

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:40 | 6317104 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Piss poor example really... But it made you laugh so it's all good .

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:42 | 6317109 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Gold has never reported earnings, never missed a loan payment, never requested financing, and never defaulted on it's obligations.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 17:50 | 6317147 nakki
nakki's picture

Just got of the phone with brokerage account holder. Ask if there was anywhere I could find GAAP earnings for any stocks, since all their "earnings" and estimates are based on pro forma non-GAAP accounting. Not a chance. "Hypothetical" earnings supplied by the company, not accounting for one time charges. Unofficial estimates. 

Wow, that about sums up our entire fraudulent financial world. "You see if we didn't have these 5 years of ONE TIME expenses we would be making a lot more money." 

Since GAAP accounting was fraudulent enough.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 18:10 | 6317229 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

You have that right.

These are not actual tax numbers.

All an estimate for the year.

Six months actual and six months of hope.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 18:52 | 6317364 all-priced-in
all-priced-in's picture

If they change their mind in a few years and decide to bring the off shore earning back to the USA - the increase in taxes will be classified as a "extraordinary event - a one time charge" and not be included in EST earnings in the current quarter.

 

When it is good you include it in current earnings - when it is bad you exclude it from earnings.

 

 

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 20:25 | 6317709 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

So what are they supposed to do, give it back?

If it's actually a loss without the tax trick then, well, that's not too good, but they are in the middle of some huge technology switchovers and this quarter and the next were forecast to be weak, plus or minus one percent is great.  And 2016 might be outstanding, if they make good on promises at all.

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 21:08 | 6317848 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Wait doesn't processor speed increase to the inverse of the Fractional Reserve coefficient of the US Private FED?

Wed, 07/15/2015 - 21:23 | 6317889 borkedusa
borkedusa's picture

Isn't Sarbanes Oxley supposed to prevent these shenanigans?

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