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$550 Million Gold Futures Notional Dumped After Close - Back Below $1100

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Minutes after the cash equity close, gold prices tumbled, having leaked lower all afternoon, breaking back below $1100. Overnight flash crash lows were $1080.

 

 

Futures show around 5000 lots dumped...

 

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Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:17 | 6333808 dogismycopilot
dogismycopilot's picture

Fucking Goldbugz splattered all over the grill of the US Stock Market Machine.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:19 | 6333822 Bank_sters
Bank_sters's picture

LOL!

 

People who collect money in the bank are "savers."

People who save through gold, "horde"

The paper price is whatever they want it to be.   Fuck em.  Keep on stackin!

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:22 | 6333844 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

Only those with debt are 'spenders' .... it's called a NARRATIVE. 

Anything traded 'on paper' is part of it. 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:24 | 6333855 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

This is awesome, for 2 reasons:  I get to buy more at lower prices, and the western banking cabal desperation is plastered all over every commodity chart everyday. 

lmao.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:30 | 6333883 Four chan
Four chan's picture

what if an anti statist operative were helping we the people with these weekly sales so we could stack as much as possible before china corners the marked and puts the us dollar out of business permanently? to this john galt i say thank you sir.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:32 | 6333899 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

This shit is so cheap its offensive. 

I need to BUY MOAR!

On an aside, every ounce I buy I short the EUR, so fuck you Mario Draghi you piece of shit.  Fuck Janet Yellen too.  Watch me give you all the finger, and get rich while you lot are having to hide on some uninhabited island because the entire world is MAF at you.   

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:36 | 6333919 RadioactiveRant
RadioactiveRant's picture

China and Russia are just as fucked as the USA and Europe. Cheer whichever side you please, they're all going down.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:38 | 6333935 BLOTTO
BLOTTO's picture

One problem - im running out of fuckin money and 2 - im losing my mind.

.

Time to get baked.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:57 | 6334049 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Gold is meant for spending, not saving.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:48 | 6334326 ilion
ilion's picture

FX broker Tickmill alerted it's clients today that in a total capitulation move, gold could go as low as 1000 USD/oz.

If you look at the 32 year seasonal charts of gold, then the low is made on the 1st week of August so we still have 2 weeks to go.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:51 | 6334633 whotookmyalias
whotookmyalias's picture

I knew I picked the wrong week to pay off my student loans......

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:40 | 6333942 J S Bach
J S Bach's picture

This is all so amazing to behold.  Such manipulation against economic laws of supply and demand have never before been sprung to such an insanely tight degree.  I wouldn't get angry, gents... trust in the laws of nature.  When this thing finally springs back into the usurers' faces, it's going to be an even more amazing spectacle to behold.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:43 | 6333965 Tinky
Tinky's picture

Correct.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:12 | 6334133 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

The only reason people complain about gold prices falling gold prices ...let alone the entire Metals Complex collapsing...is because THEYRE OUT OF PHYSICAL CASH.

Follow the debt marks...Detroit, Puerto Rico...there's always another shoe to drop there.

No "Flux Capacitor" that I have seen yet.

There is of course ISIS...

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:21 | 6334488 invisible touch
invisible touch's picture

never gonna happen

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:46 | 6333977 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

hmmmm,

 

In Soviet Russia price fixing was common and the result was shortages of some items and gluts of others as the central planners could never forsee the events that would determine the future demand.

 

If the gold price was artificially fixed low, then how come there is still gold for sale in every jewellery shop in the world? If the gold price was fixed artificially high then there would be massive over production of gold and it would be piling up all over the place.

 

But the evidence just isn't there.

 

This is just order book shenannigans.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:57 | 6334046 J S Bach
J S Bach's picture

These half billion dollar paper gold contract dumps have nothing to do with gold trinkets in jewlery shops.  They are jamming the bullion price down so that it doesn't compete (equate) with the dollar on any realistic scale. When (not if) that happens, the whole fiat charade becomes exposed to the imbeciles who think that Federal Reserve notes are actually things with intrinsic value.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 19:30 | 6334778 bombdog
bombdog's picture

That's the short and sweet answer, but of course nothing has intrinsic value, because value is always subjective. We say gold has intrinsic value becuause we always go back to it, and we should never really have abandoned it. We always value paper too, but not as money, it's much better for making books or for wiping your ass.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:20 | 6334395 Anasteus
Anasteus's picture

A strange thing to me is that after recent years of the apparent manipulation we have no solid evidence on what's actually going on. We have some general knowledge as a result of logical deduction, but not detailed and reliable enough. I wonder why we can't find privy persons somewhere on forums posting anonymous comments like Another or FOA back in 90's. Secrecy over this must be tremendous and deterring enough to prevent the insiders from whistle-blowing.

However, it may well be that those manipulating gold don't know much more than we know and are just pursuing relatively simple goals - to smash the sentiment at all costs and/or being blackmailed by China - while improvising and risking a failure in these hectic transition times. I would certainly not exclude such a possibility.

As regards your questions, Occident, the fact is the western people have no interest in owning bullion. Their interest may be significantly ignited in bad times but we have to admit there is no natural spontaneous affinity to gold among the western population (in contrast to the easterners). If it were there would be no a gold ring to grab anywhere. That's concerning because it means history must be repeated in order to refresh what had been forgotten.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 21:03 | 6335115 theFNG
theFNG's picture

Surely you know FOFOA.

 

http://fofoa.blogspot.com/

 

 

Tue, 07/21/2015 - 08:17 | 6336354 Anasteus
Anasteus's picture

Of course I know him but he does not provide first-hand testimonies. His thoughts, though often brilliant, are based on assumptions and deduction.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 19:24 | 6334753 bombdog
bombdog's picture

Two reasons:

1. Because there is a semblance of order about an exchange and people are happy to go along with it and believe in it. In the Soviet Union there was no such mechanism for price discovery, in fact, the real price discovery happened in the very exchanges that are today corrupted.

2. Price is an expression of value and value is subjective. There is a mass psychology to international markets, but so as long as physical gold is moving then everything appears normal, dealers have sustainable business models, miners make adjustments to improve efficiency and survive, some miners go bust.

So long as 1 and 2 hold the condition can last, but mass psychology can change very quickly. The price is real because the physical metal changes hands, dealers of gold are probably happy enough to sell gold for now, but only so long as there is a credible supply chain and stocks can be replenished. Selling at these prices only lasts so long as the clearing house is trusted. The clearing house is a highly geared relative to the stock of gold available for sale, this can't really go one indefinitely. Of course the people running the clearing house know about 1 and 2, they are much more sophisticated than some guy at the Soviet Bureau of Prices.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:18 | 6334475 Excursionist
Excursionist's picture

Bach - You may be right, but I'm not sure.  The gold paper market creates a Matrix-like reality that could be perpetuated indefinitely, the supply-demand fundamentals of physical gold be damned.  Moreover, I get the sense there are many smart market participants out there who are aware of the paper-physical contradiction but really, really prefer eating a big, juicy steak in the Matrix to eating hydrogenated mush in the real world.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:31 | 6333892 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

You don't collect money in the bank you are, in effect investing, in a giant hedge fund under the illusion of a "savings" account.  Once you give the bank money it is theirs.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:37 | 6333929 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

DEPOSIT = Non-interest bearing loan to said 'bank'

They'll be happy to loan it back to you at 12% apr

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:40 | 6333939 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

Exactly.  I had this argument with another online "financial advisor" who brought up the fact that deposits are a "liability for banks as stated on their balance sheet in the financial statements".  I told him that those are the rules but in practice they will not be honored when capital starts to flee.

Literally 2 months later Cyprus was bailed in.  After that he ate crow and never brought it up again.

Depositing money is giving it to the bank for them to use as they see fit.  If it vaporizes, oh well.....

 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:57 | 6334048 silverer
silverer's picture

A bank is a 'safe' place to put your money like a hooker is a 'safe' place to put Johnny without a condom.  Feels good, but...

Tue, 07/21/2015 - 15:17 | 6338274 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

It only really made sense when you needed a massive fault to stop a bloke with a six shooter taking it. Now it's all digital what's the fucking point.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:14 | 6334144 sandiegoman
sandiegoman's picture

the cognitive dissonance on the board is beyond belief. Like some sort of glue sniffing cult. Back your truck up, or more likely after these recent dumps, back up your 1980 toyota and stack.

You loved it at 1900; bought moar at 1500, couldn't go lower than 1300 (*becuase of production, remember?); so you must just love it down here.  Have you seen what the stock market has done in the same time? Turns out Buffet was right and you were wrong. Who would have figured that one out?

Admit it to yourself and all of those gold hucksers out there. You lost tons (i haven't lost any because i haven 't sold it for paper... another moron statement).

 

SM

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:12 | 6334452 LeisureSmith
LeisureSmith's picture

Yeah, well, you know, thats just like, your opinion man.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 19:15 | 6334599 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

Ya, guys like you ignore reality and look at the notional dumped in a matter of minutes, at market close, and think it's normal, right?  You'd sell all your equities in minutes, wouldn't you, so that you could get the best price?

Cognitive dissonance is a label you're giving anyone who dare look at reality.  And everyone with their head in the sand buying equities is rational, right? Crony capitalists like Buffet have moral integrity and are honest businessmen, right?

Buffet is a crony insider and well connected, his WF bailout proof.  They are always right, until one day when the system collapses.  Most see a collapse or revaluation coming, as China and Russia are not going to sit back and watch an EBT country dictate resource allocation and the currency of commodity transactions.

When the USD does collapse and China asserts itself, Buffet will come out screaming that we all need to do our patriotic duty and defend this great country as wars will ensue.

Would like to know, will you be endorsing and sending your kids to fight for Buffet?

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:14 | 6334146 sandiegoman
sandiegoman's picture

the cognitive dissonance on the board is beyond belief. Like some sort of glue sniffing cult. Back your truck up, or more likely after these recent dumps, back up your 1980 toyota and stack.

You loved it at 1900; bought moar at 1500, couldn't go lower than 1300 (*becuase of production, remember?); so you must just love it down here.  Have you seen what the stock market has done in the same time? Turns out Buffet was right and you were wrong. Who would have figured that one out?

Admit it to yourself and all of those gold hucksers out there. You lost tons (i haven't lost any because i haven 't sold it for paper... another moron statement).

 

SM

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:23 | 6333851 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Can't wait for the first ignorant reflexive "back up the truck" comment from a true believer.  

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:27 | 6333870 CultiVader
CultiVader's picture

Beep beep beep beep

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:30 | 6333887 semperfi
semperfi's picture

only the weak-minded are getting out - good riddance to them - so you are saying that you fell for the bankster's tricks ?

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:55 | 6334022 silverer
silverer's picture

I don't think for long.  But why don't they trade automotive future unit contracts and then dump them on the market, so I can buy a car for $2,800.00?  Why always pick on precious metal?  Hmm... I think I know why...

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:58 | 6334060 JustAboutThatAc...
JustAboutThatActionBoss's picture

Must have been tied to IBMs earnings report. 

Long IBM... long GOLD

Makes sense

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:17 | 6333810 Perimetr
Perimetr's picture

Obviously the recession is over and interest rates are about to go up!

 

hahahahahahahahaha

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:28 | 6333858 seek
seek's picture

You're half right. Unfortunately the half that's right (interest rates up) is going to make the half that's wrong (recession is over) more wrong.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:36 | 6333922 greenskeeper carl
greenskeeper carl's picture

you guys both spelled 'depression' wrong....

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:17 | 6333811 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

On it's way to ZERO. It has to happen this way instead of the more honest way of rising where it should be.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:27 | 6333871 semperfi
semperfi's picture

fixed it:      ALL PAPER On it's way to ZERO.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:19 | 6333816 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture
Clinton to propose increasing capital gains taxes

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/clinton-propose-increasing-capital-gains-1...

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:51 | 6334013 silverer
silverer's picture

Take away all incentive to get out of bed in the morning.  Good idea, Hillary.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:20 | 6333826 venturen
venturen's picture

So this is what a depression looks like

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:26 | 6333862 semperfi
semperfi's picture

this is what the end looks like

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:38 | 6333937 seek
seek's picture

No, based on past experience the end looks like war. This is what the prelude to war looks like.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:20 | 6333827 dogismycopilot
dogismycopilot's picture

As a recovering Goldbug with about 10% of my networth tied up in Physical Gold I realize I need to write it off for the next 2-3 years and focus on the rest of my portfolio.

 

a 12 step progam will help fellow goldbugz. First, admit you are powerless. The shit just be calling your name. My favorite addiction was loading up on coins when transiting through Dubai in Duty Free. It was safer than sex with a cheap Ukrainian hooker is the only saving grace.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:22 | 6333846 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

STFU, you never seen a a physical bar in your life 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 22:33 | 6333909 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

Reminds you of the old days at Kitco, eh?

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:25 | 6333861 semperfi
semperfi's picture

so, if you are not a goldbug, then you are in control ?

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:41 | 6333950 Phat Stax
Phat Stax's picture

Many of those Ukranian hookers are hot as shit!  I've seen them in Bahrain, and that's a tough call.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:45 | 6333957 Bob
Bob's picture

I hear ya.  Only seen the Ukranian on the web, but still. 

Yeah, precious metals.  No different from any investment, from your jock strap to your wife, imo.  It's easy to become over-enamored and, then, left naked when the tide of hope rolls out.  Other people standing around in the same position really doesn't help much. 

I get in and out of metals like any other trade. 

I have a weird suspicion that alot of these guys are looking at precious metals as a way to leap forward after financial Armageddon, which is nuts in far too many ways to mention.  Sounds like you've had an epiphany about that.  

I see 10% as perfect.  If it blows up one magnitude, great, you kept what you earned.

Gold and silver are not going to become lottery tickets anytime soon, imo.  If ever again. 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:21 | 6333834 Fukushima Fricassee
Fukushima Fricassee's picture

Confidence in Government is as high as the fucked up dumb ass american public can take it.,.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:21 | 6333835 seek
seek's picture

Someone big is in trouble. Same as 2008.

The timing of the sales is pretty interesting, though.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:37 | 6333920 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

My Dad bought a load of gold in 2008 when it plunged to $785/oz. he did very well on that trade.

 

It helped make up the losses he took on that stupid rental he bought; the tenant demolished the placed costing tons of money before he could re-rent it or sell it ... plus .. the costs and dangers of evicting that dirtbag.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:21 | 6333837 Billy Sol Estes
Billy Sol Estes's picture

Ah, platinum down almost $150/oz on the 60-day.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 22:34 | 6335461 r3phl0x
r3phl0x's picture

I am gonna Neeeeep Neeeeeep Neeeeeeeeeeeep back a truck all up over that. Beats holding the S&P500 at a CAPE10 P/E of 27.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:24 | 6333852 Ness.
Ness.'s picture

Prudent investing 101 - Sell (PM's) at lowest possible price in thinnest possible market and buying (stawks) without regard to price.

And they still call these things "markets".  LOL

 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:24 | 6333854 Chipped ham
Chipped ham's picture

"Someone" is getting desperate"er",

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:27 | 6333867 Westcoastliberal
Westcoastliberal's picture

Once in a lifetime buying opportunity.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:31 | 6333890 seek
seek's picture

Honestly I think there's going to be a bigger opportunity not far down the road. Much as I hate to see AU go lower, my gut tells me we're going to see a dip that'll scare the shit out of even the strongest hands before the moonshot.

If we break $900, though, I plan on a pretty large buy if there's any actually for sale at that price.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:43 | 6333963 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

Problem is premiums won't fall as fast, IMO.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:03 | 6334091 Budnacho
Budnacho's picture

Not only that, but supply will be a concern at that point as well. Yes it might go to $900....means nothing if ya cant find it for sale!...

 

But I think its time for a few more 1/10 Eagles...the Pringles of Gold Pieces...

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:27 | 6334213 Not My Real Name
Not My Real Name's picture

If you believe the gold and silver prices are being manipulated -- and I think that is obvious to all but the most obtuse observer -- then it is a certainty that as the price of PMs continue to fall, the risk of being unable to buy them due to shortages is increasing (and not in a linear fashion). For that reason, I will continue to patiently and methodically dollar cost average my silver and gold purchases all the way down. The relatively-meager potential additional reward of waiting for the perfect buy-in price is not worth the risk of being shut out, compared to the inevitable gains that will be realized in gold and, especially, silver when the paper-game finally ends.  

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:40 | 6334289 Pareto
Pareto's picture

+1.   Thats the rub.  The price, to get it in your hand, has hardly moved.  I still say, $20 CDN silver and $1000 CDN gold, is as low as it gets.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:32 | 6333872 JenkinsLane
JenkinsLane's picture

Possible Game Plan


Gold price dumps far lower than it currently is ($650-$750), Citi and JPM make a killing on their derivatives books,

all producing junior miners are bankrupted, those majors that are left buy all their reserves at pennies on the dollar.

End result - JPM & Citi make a klling, majors still left have gone some way to establishing monopoly power in the

private (ex. Russia, China, etc.) gold mining space.

 

I appreciate this suggestion is firmly within the realms of 'conspiracy theory' but given that the people running

the shows these days are utterly ruthless I don't really put anything much as beyond them anymore.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:17 | 6334163 ivana
ivana's picture

not only mining. same scenario goes for oil industry, shipping, actually almost every other sector ... pump pump pump than dump>> minor companies & developers collapse , good ones being bought by majors (who were bailed out for 0%) and game goes on and on . Of course, we will be waiting on the bottom of cycles :-)

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:18 | 6334178 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

As the price goes down demand will increase dramatically.  People won't sell their scrap and supply drops hard and fast.  This will put a huge floor under physical, so huge it may sieze the market.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:40 | 6334288 Tuco Benedicto ...
Tuco Benedicto Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez's picture

The truth is that the general public will not buy precious metals at a discount.  They buy when precious metals are headed up.  They are afraid of missing the train. 

 

Tuco

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:29 | 6333882 EHM
EHM's picture

Somebody hates these cans!

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:32 | 6333900 CultiVader
CultiVader's picture

We had to destroy the market to save it

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:34 | 6333908 taoJones
taoJones's picture

Time to back up the rugged vehicle with the heavy duty suspension & extended cab. Notice I did NOT say truck...

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:39 | 6333933 Bitcoin Meiser
Bitcoin Meiser's picture

Time to buy more Bitcoins.

I will buy gold when it is below $500 an ounce.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:56 | 6334041 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

 

"I will buy gold when it is below $500 an ounce."

 

Why throw 'money' away at $500, when you know gold is headed to $250...?  Probably by the end of the year, and will bottom for the next decade at around $200 or so.

Hey - I'm just trying to help...

 

/sarc = off

 

 

 

 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:42 | 6333944 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

$550 million.  That's a lot of paper gold put out there on the market.  Too bad there isn't any physical.

:)

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:42 | 6333952 Sophist Economicus
Sophist Economicus's picture

Oh no!!!!! Gold down below $1100! Ahhhhh. Eeeeek! Whoaaaaa!

There, got it out of my system. phew!

Who gives a truck???? I haven't been accumulating all these years to sell it mid-2015.

Wake me in 2025

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:44 | 6333966 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

I'm going to have to buy more even though I just bought two weeks ago.  Oh well!

:)

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:45 | 6333969 wmbz
wmbz's picture

Cool...Keep flogging the PM's with the wacky ass paper plays.

The phiz buyers just keep hitting the buy more button.

Thanks for the discount fiat fuck-heads!

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:45 | 6333971 Bitcoin Meiser
Bitcoin Meiser's picture

Anyone who tries to catch this falling knife is a fool who enjoys losing their money.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:06 | 6334101 shouldvekilledthem
shouldvekilledthem's picture

These retards can't even understand what diversification means. They are completely hopeless.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:00 | 6334394 wanderintheland
wanderintheland's picture

After thinking about your post a bit, I decided you're right.

I'm gonna buy this top on the S&P first thing in the morning.

/sarc

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:08 | 6334432 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

And yet your reasoning comes from an extremely flawed assumption. You mistakenly assume they are not diversified... I watched the first Internet bubble burst. I moved a lot of my holdings to bonds a few months before. Especially my 401K at the time. Result: 5% gain vs 50% loss.

When this bubble (I should say bubbles pl.) pop, it is going to be far, far worse. 

Standard Disclaimer: Run this through your thinking for a moment. Can a stock hit zero in value? (History is littered with failed companies) can gold hit zero in value? (Search your history books, and get back to me...)

 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:45 | 6333972 Phat Stax
Phat Stax's picture

Several years ago - the theory on ZH when the prices were riding high - was that there would be severe PM deflation, but that would be OK.  Supposedly no one would be able to actually get PM's, even though spot was to collapse to $600-$900  To be followed by severe inflation and a decided air of superiority and smugness all around..

It all feels a biut different when it's actually happpening...  but that was the "script."  

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:54 | 6333975 Tinky
Tinky's picture

reprise:

 

This small event (in the broader scheme of things) is a perfect litmus test for those who own gold.

Those who really understand the fundamentals (e.g. thousand of years of value; good collateral; all fiat dies, etc.), and are paying attention, recognize this as a clear sign that the system is accelerating towards a climactic crisis, and are either sitting tight or accumulating more real assets.

Those who are frightened and/or bewildered and/or angry don't yet grasp the fundamentals, or "invested" for the wrong reasons to begin with.

Oh, and by the way, during the 2008 crisis, gold dropped from $1100/oz to $800 before ascending to $1900. Take a look (click on the 10 year chart):

http://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-year-chart

Finally gold is still close to an all-time high when priced in JPY

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:03 | 6334089 delivered
delivered's picture

Tinky. Agree with your assessment and focus on 2008 as there were a number of crisis events that pushed capital into the USD and as a result, gold was hammered. I drafted a long comment in the lead ZH article so I won't repeat it here but what we need is for gold/PMs to capitulate with panic selling from weak hands/players, panic selling from greedy shorts, panic messages being delivered by the media, and as many negative comments as possible through all channels to ensure the "gold is dead" message is loud, clear, and final. I don't believe we're there yet as I think they will attempt to drive the price below $1k and then down to $800 as really crush not just this market but potentially, the entire industry. 

What really bothers me in this process is the ability for Fed proxies (i.e., Citi, JPM, etc.) to manipulate this market in a can't lose scenario. That is, endless selling of notional paper, backed by the Fed, to drive the paper price down as far as possible. Even if large physical demand occurs that creates a default at the COMEX, the proxies can simply settle in USDs per contracts. So endless selling continues, driving the price lower, to settle at lower future prices, with no intent on every delivering, and no real enforcement (from the CBO, SEC, government, etc.) ever planned. 

Of course eventually down the road, when the price of gold has been obliterated with no real production remaining, any uptick in physical demand will be met with huge price swings as TPTB attempt to defeat gold and the physical parties attempt to acquire large gold holdings but can't as it's all accounted for (and production not being able to ramp up quickly with increasing demand given the capital investment cycle). 

Whatever your opinion on gold, it would appear that something is not right as these types of large sell orders/dumps are not being undertaken by individuals or small investors. These are coordinated attacts from very large players that are either operating under the orders of TPTB or rouge traders/whales that are manipulating a market that nobody really wants to police. It would be interesting to see what type of activity occured in the put option markets on the indexs or senior miners prior to this activity as if it was unusual, then clearly someone was in the know!

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:50 | 6334312 Tinky
Tinky's picture

Yes, it's impossible, of course, to anticipate precisely how this will unfold. But, while it is understandable how the apparent power of the conjuring of "money" out of thin air, coupled with highly leveraged futures manipulation, might be deeply disconcerting, I invariably find myself returning to these basic facts:

– Gold has retained value through many tremendously volatile periods over thousands of years, and is etched into the human psyche as the safe haven asset.

– Central banks and Sovereigns increasingly behave as if gold's importance is increasing, rather than waning (the recent smashing of paper prices is a reflection of this, as well). The increasing dissonance between this and its current, narrow, "market" value is both fascinating, and instructive (see this chart: http://inflation.us/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/centralbankassetsgold1.jp... ).

– We are in the final stage of the biggest credit/debt bubble in the history of mankind, and when in bursts in earnest, there will be an almost incomprehensible loss of confidence in paper and electronic representations of money. This can only lead to a panic, and mad scramble for real assets and good collateral.

Though I didn't buy anywhere near the top, the value of my gold holdings has decreased significantly in Dollar terms. And yet, I am, today, right now, much more comfortable with my position than if I held stocks worth twice the amount.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:47 | 6333983 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

This is so Awsome ... Erection .

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:49 | 6333996 silverer
silverer's picture

Oboy!  Gold back down to $35.00 an ounce!  Dum dee dum, dee la la la, dum dee dum...

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:08 | 6334109 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Pull up the willy's and put her in 4 wheel drive.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:56 | 6334039 FPearl602
FPearl602's picture

Fuck these guys that think they are savng the world. There will jobs losses in northern Ontario, Quebec, Minnesota, Nevada and the whole State of Sonora, Mexico. All of Peru, Chile and Columbia will feel the bite and there won't be a "Mining Analyst" left anywhere in the world of Finance.

All in the name of preserving Fiat Currencies.

Indians are happy, though.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 16:59 | 6334062 Magnum
Magnum's picture

Just called three local coin shops and there is NO shortage of physical bullion today.  Maples, eagles, krugs, bars, come and get em.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:03 | 6334405 GoldenDonuts
GoldenDonuts's picture

True I can walk down to my friendly local coin dealer and pay hime $17.20(USD) for a Maple.  Thats only  about 20% over spot.  I can get as many as I like.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:04 | 6334094 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

A couple of billion here, half a billion there, and pretty soon it's a large amount of money.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:10 | 6334126 ivana
ivana's picture

expiry date next tuesday. watch monday

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:16 | 6334150 QQQBall
QQQBall's picture

Rick Rule has discussed the difference between Demand Destruction and Supply Destruction.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:24 | 6334209 katchum
Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:26 | 6334217 Random_Robert
Random_Robert's picture

Chinese investor"  "Damn- I need to raise cash to make my margin call on my stock account-  Can I sell my Gold in London to cover the marker?"

 

Broker:  "No, no, no -  You don't want to do that - London will pay you too much for your Gold. What we'll do is wait until the NY spot market closes, and then we'll sell your gold on Globex at the exact moment that all liquidity goes soft on the CME Continous Contract - That guarantees us the absolutely worst execution price possible..."

 

Chinese Investor: "You are brilliant!  Why didn't I think of that?  And here I've been trying to make money in these markets - losing it is SOOOOO  much easier..."

 

 

 

 

 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:36 | 6334265 Jtrillian
Jtrillian's picture

Are the big banks pushing the price down so they can finally exit their short positions and go long?  It would be a good idea to keep a close eye on the bank position reports in the coming months. 

 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 17:41 | 6334297 cashcow
cashcow's picture

Believing in God is an act of faith. Believing gold is going up is sheer stupidity.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:04 | 6334407 Omega_Man
Omega_Man's picture

if they have trillions in fake futures this could go on for a while. 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:05 | 6334411 Omega_Man
Omega_Man's picture

The only way it will go up is on actions from the BRICS, even if the market falls, they will still be shorting this shit out of it. 

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 18:27 | 6334521 DrReaper
DrReaper's picture

I am trying to follow what happend. Why does a Gold Future Notional effect the price of gold at all? Isn't it just a bet that gold will be a certin price at a certin time? Did a party purchase all 550 million gold future notional notes?

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 20:57 | 6335088 chosen
chosen's picture

Gold follows the dollar.  If rates rise such that the dollar gets stronger, gold prices will plummet.

Mon, 07/20/2015 - 21:25 | 6335194 fowlerja
fowlerja's picture

This yo-yo market smells fishy. It seems that some party is able to manipulate the price up or down by $25-50 dollars whenever they want to..it doesn't matter whether the gold price starts at $1100 or $1400 an oz. Now that is scary...

Tue, 07/21/2015 - 13:08 | 6337622 Hope Copy
Hope Copy's picture

The disconect between physical  and  paper continues and it will take months for he fallout..  It is those that are in both markets that have to cover ans stay in business  are the ones that are fueling the physical market's fall and there will be a 6 month to a year for the real reality to set in... I'm buying.

Tue, 07/21/2015 - 19:59 | 6339468 morongobill
morongobill's picture

My bet is the Chinese and Russians will use this as another buying opportunity.

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