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Commodisaster

Tyler Durden's picture




 

"Peak" Apple?

And a quick message for Caesar's shareholders... (and AAPL Call buyers)...

Stocks legged lower overnight on AAPL and MSFT, USDJPY helped them stage a rampaplooza as cash markets opened managing to get the S&P unahcnged for a brief moment...

 

Cash indices on the day saw Small Caps (who have been big losers recently) outperform but the rest ended red..

 

On the week, Trannies crept back into the green but The Dow remains the biggest loser as CAT, IBM, UTX, MSFT and AAPL weight it down

 

Leaving The Dow back in the red for 2015...

 

But that was not acceptable and so VIX was whacked to ensuire The Dow closed green for 2015...

 

52 Week Lows continue to rise...

 

As AAPL bounced off the 200DMA again

 

Stocks decoupled from bonds early on - thanks to JPY - but recoupled later in the day...

 

Treasury yields were mixed with the long-end testing down to 3.02% and the short-end selling off...

 

As The Dollar bounced back...

 

Commodities all suffered...

 

Though silver held its own...

 

 

Gold continues to tumble - 10 down days in a row is now the longest losing streak since 1996...

 

Crude was clubbed over 3% on the day - testing a $48 handle and back at its lowest in 3 months... down 16 of the last 20 days

 

Copper clubbed like a baby seal - down 7 of lats 9 days , hovering at cycle lows...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: Even more ominously for Copper - physical demand for withdrawals from inventory have collapsed...

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: Lumber smashed again today and as a leading indicator is flashing red for new home sales...

 

Bonus Bonus Bonus Chart: Any day now - clicks will beat bricks...

 

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Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:10 | 6342558 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

Too late for me.  Puts expired waiting for this crash to start.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:20 | 6342602 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

 

Gold and silver are money.

In a deflationary crash, they will ultimately buy more commodities of all sorts.

 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:23 | 6342613 Waylon Bits
Waylon Bits's picture

What a bunch of fucking mor0ns (in teh video).  Not only will they line up for CRAPPL but they will get yelled at by mall cops over it!

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:39 | 6342676 max2205
max2205's picture

Moar margin for home builders

Janet wacking copper lumber lumber and rates

Well played sir

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 18:48 | 6343170 MonetaryApostate
MonetaryApostate's picture

Just keep squirreling away food, water, guns, and ammo...
http://galeinnes.blogspot.com/2015/07/the-invisible-enslavement.html

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:11 | 6342567 ANestIOS
ANestIOS's picture

an apple a day - do not touch until $110

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:16 | 6342582 The Bell Rang
The Bell Rang's picture

Wait for $75.00  or  $80.00

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:31 | 6342638 ANestIOS
ANestIOS's picture

ah, I was alluding to hyperinflation and real apples - in drachmas

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:14 | 6342571 konputa
konputa's picture

So wait, lumber, oil and copper are crashing due to falling demand? Does that mean silver has found new bouyancy thanks to manipulation?

Builders must be building homes with Amazon market cap and silver futures.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:17 | 6342589 lehmen_sisters
lehmen_sisters's picture

Its the new trend, you can now find 5000oz crates of silver at your local Lowes or HomeDepot next to the ceiling fans. 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 20:02 | 6343427 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Builders aren't building that many homes these days. What part don't you guys get about less demand?

http://www.shadowstats.com/imgs/2011/708/image006.gif

Thu, 07/23/2015 - 00:03 | 6344131 JoWazzoo
JoWazzoo's picture

Yeah - CNBS spinheads said the reason was builders could not find enough help.  Really - that is what the said.  LMFAO

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:14 | 6342572 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

"though silver held its own"  ...hmmmmmmm

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:35 | 6342656 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Many mines that were primary silver producers have shut down.  Most silver is produced as a byproduct of other mining, mainly copper.  If copper mines shut down, silver production craters.  70% of  copper is produced as a byproduct of gold, copper, lead and zinc ( http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2015/05/06/silver-mine-supply-is-running-... );  But industrial demand is only 45% of silver demand.  So when recession drops the demand (and production) of these other metals,  the drop in silver production and supply is larger then the drop in industrial demand so silver prices go up (in a real market).   Ceteris parabis, of course; other, non-industrial demand may also drop.  

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:14 | 6342574 youngman
youngman's picture

And I bought some gold...YESTERDAY....damn

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:15 | 6342576 stant
stant's picture

I guess cheese day at the armory will not be the same this time

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:15 | 6342580 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

We're going to be seeing this on a regular basis. The problem is the commodity market since it's starting to flash red very brightly.......

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:16 | 6342583 youngman
youngman's picture

In Denver ..many of the new apartment buildings are not sticks...but built with steel..they are highrises....not many of the big three story wood buildings going up...

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:19 | 6342599 lehmen_sisters
lehmen_sisters's picture

How is Denver these day's, economy wise. i'm in Des Moines right now and things seem to be fine which makes me nervous to head west and encounter hell. 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:38 | 6342669 Pickleton
Pickleton's picture

many of the big three story wood buildings going up...

 

Those are going up in GREAT quantity in SLC.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:18 | 6342593 Row Well Number 41
Row Well Number 41's picture

One way to stop a runaway horse is to bet on him.
    -- Anonymous

I wish I could get out without quiting my job.

#41

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:18 | 6342596 Traderone
Traderone's picture

4 handle ramp into VWAP in final stretch, how easier can trading be? 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:23 | 6342611 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

But cotton and rough rice were up on the day so there's some green shoots for ya!!

 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:28 | 6342632 vq1
vq1's picture

el nino will take care of that. 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:24 | 6342615 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

Vix once again goes wimpering into the night....

All volatility is being nicely stage managed!

 

BULLSHIT!!

 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:28 | 6342631 lehmen_sisters
lehmen_sisters's picture

If a VIX of even remotely close to 12 isn't a sign of pure manipulation, even as markets fall, what the fuck is. Holy shit this is fucked up. 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 18:03 | 6342959 erikaappleihzyjtyeg
erikaappleihzyjtyeg's picture

Two days in a row.

Thu, 07/23/2015 - 00:14 | 6344149 JoWazzoo
JoWazzoo's picture

Why the fuck would anyone Buy VIX protection?  Stocks only go up.  And even if they go down, VIX & VXX also go down.  Yeah - one really fucked up "market" (cough).

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:26 | 6342624 venturen
venturen's picture

who doesn't love a rich person's depression. With assistance from crooked democrats...the Billionaiers and Wall Street....gut the carcass of the middle class. Wait for the Bomb-bay doors to open. Gold is telling you DEPRESSION!

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:27 | 6342629 Rainman
Rainman's picture

This is the 'hamster on a wheel ' market .... spinning and spinning, arriving nowhere.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:28 | 6342633 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Miners are so cheap it's unbelievable , I plan on making bank. Oh and no rush I want to buy more :)

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:29 | 6342637 RogerMud
RogerMud's picture

what happens when VIX gets to zero? Is there a negative VIX, like interest rates?

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:44 | 6342698 mrdenis
mrdenis's picture

Reverse split .....again and again ,and again .................

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:32 | 6342649 F0ster
F0ster's picture

Gold getting sold off to pay for bigger losses (margin calls). Gold's recent price action refelcts a much more serious problem that is working it's way to the surface.  

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:35 | 6342661 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Evidence?

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 20:17 | 6343473 silverer
silverer's picture

Evidence?  Huge dumps on COMEX.  It's happened over and over again.  Check out Paul Craig Roberts site and on youtube.  He's covered the manipulation in the markets in his publications many times.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 16:46 | 6342709 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

gold is a comparitively small market.  It's NOT being sold off to pay for other losses.  It is being MANIPULATED same as it ever was.  Gold is REAL money and the banksters are scared shitless of being exposed for the fiat ponzi scheme they are...

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 17:01 | 6342748 Dindu Nuffins
Dindu Nuffins's picture

Lots of Chinese housewives own gold. China's plunge protection team should consider buying some gold.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 17:05 | 6342762 Neochrome
Neochrome's picture

Those that ignore history are doomed to repeat it. One of the main economic shortcomings of communism was that it wasn't allowing economy to evolve naturally, it was centrally planed and who survive and who perish was not based on market principles and environment but on political considerations. It creates an ecosystem that is not in it's natural state and needs to be propped at great effort at all the times. After some time it evolves entities which survival is dependent on sustenance from a singular source - government. Any disruption to that source is sure to bring nothing less than the economic Armageddon. So how about you go from 1986 a bit further back in the past, let's say to a 65.5 million years ago when the dinosaurs perished?

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 17:24 | 6342817 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Puke! I love it.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 18:03 | 6342960 Peak Finance
Peak Finance's picture

We talk a lot about gold and silve but what about Plat?  Down 20% for the year how much downside is left? 

How bad would the upcoming Auto-maker and Auto-Loan market crash hurt that metal? 

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 20:13 | 6343460 silverer
silverer's picture

Good question.  Automotive is one of the uses.  Percentage-wise usage should be available on the net someplace.  Jewelry uses some.  But if demand drops, prices drop.  When prices drop, the mines slow down or stop until the price comes back up.  I'm thinking platinum may be manipulated like gold and silver.  Just enough that it doesn't become an outstanding opportunity, because demand to hold metal as a way to save wealth would certainly drive the price up quickly, as gold and silver usually cover that type of demand, and platinum use is generally very steady and predictable.

Wed, 07/22/2015 - 18:10 | 6342987 smacker
smacker's picture

 "Peak" Apple?"

Maybe.

"Peak Mad Consumerism" is more likely.

How anybody could tolerate that treatment from security guards when I'm going into the shop to spend money beats me.

Thu, 07/23/2015 - 04:02 | 6344447 DeusHedge
DeusHedge's picture

Don't worry, there's enough good old boys in the corporations that we'll get through this crash. I'd leverage with Indium, sell it off and have cans of oil before the real burning starts (sometime around the spent toaster generation).

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