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Algos Vigorously Defend Crucial S&P 500 Support, Dow Hits 6-Month Lows

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 are very close to joining the Dow Industrials and Transports in negative territory for the year. The S&P 500, which has fallen 5 straight days for the first time since January, is now back below its 200DMA, having swung from euphoric "Greece is fixed" exuberant record highs in just a week of rising volume. The Dow is the furthest below its 200DMA since October's Jim Bullard-rescued dump. Treasury yields are plunging.

 

Notably the S&P 500 was unable to make higher highs after testing the 200DMA for the first time since the rally began in 2009...

 

And The Dow is near 6-month lows...

 

The selling pressure pushed the S&P 500 near red year-to-date...

 

But the machines are holding the 200DMA line for all they are worth...

 

Although the bounce was clearly machine-driven to hit VWAP perfectly...

 

While we do not want to ring the bell - this type of ramp to VWAP suggests heavy selling pressure overhead from institutions (as machines make way for those orders).

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:25 | 6358831 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

President's Working Group and POMO desk's Kevin Henry doing everything they can to keep this market from crashing today.

Giddy up!

:)

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:26 | 6358841 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Whodathunkit?

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:29 | 6358854 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Some of you Algos are going to die today.

 

That's OK....we'll write a good letter. You might even get a medal.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:36 | 6358874 Serfs Up
Serfs Up's picture

The Chinese desperately need to open their entire markets to algos...they are the only things that can be reliably made to buy at any moment, regardless of newz, fundmentals, or anything of importance.

The key reason HFT was never investigaged or regulated?  They are too useful to the Fed and PPT.  Just punch in some desired values and boom(!), nothing but buying.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:52 | 6358939 Tom Servo
Tom Servo's picture

Green finish?  or setting up to pull the football out again?

 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:00 | 6358971 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

The screen will be green by the close today.

When valuation is so manipulated, only the volume becomes interesting.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 12:00 | 6359190 PlayMoney
PlayMoney's picture

Lucy pulls da football

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:14 | 6359013 indygo55
indygo55's picture

" nothing but buying"

But, but, but where does the FED get the money to do that? 

Oh,,,,, never mind.

/s

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:51 | 6359036 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Skynet has the answer, it's just not the answer everybody thinks it is. I can hardly wait for that magical day when the markets set an all time high trading one share of one stock.....

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:24 | 6358833 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture
Algos Vigorously Defend Crucial S&P 500 Support

Is that a new name for Kevin Henry?

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:28 | 6358851 saints51
saints51's picture

Tyler you will jinx it. Shit!!!

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:31 | 6358860 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Well now it's jinxed.....thanks a lot.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:38 | 6358881 Countrybunkererd
Countrybunkererd's picture

It's just the PPT...not jinxed.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:43 | 6358905 saints51
saints51's picture

It wasn't me

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:42 | 6358898 jump_mutha_fukah
jump_mutha_fukah's picture

Yep, covered all shorts on the opening plunge...gonna sit tight and wait for another opportunity to sell some more TNA calls again.

Tip of the hat to the Tylers...even when I second guess covering a dip, I can always count on a confirmation post to set my mind at ease.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:45 | 6358910 saints51
saints51's picture

Nothing open for me at the moment. Had 2 quick crude trades this morning and nothing else. Nice trading and glad you banked some profit,.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:28 | 6358853 BiteMeBO
BiteMeBO's picture

All PPT vacations and personal days are hereby canceled until further notice.  

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:43 | 6358904 Countrybunkererd
Countrybunkererd's picture

In the early hours this a.m. i was wondering what kind of person would work for the PPT.  They would NEVER be able to talk about their work, worse than the CIA or NSA.  They probably all live in the Caymans specifically to avoid any "misrepresentations" if they are ever "caught"...then again it may be all algos on their end as well.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:31 | 6358858 Amish FinEng
Amish FinEng's picture

Another tax payer wall st bailout! Spend it Obummer! A little SPY, some ES, maybe a few biggies. Shopping cart full? Proceed to checkout. Your account has been recognized as US Treasury.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:35 | 6358872 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

The more they print the less value the dollar has.  This has been their short term gameplan, as "decreasing the value of the currency creates greater exports".  <--  That is Keynesian policy 101, the problem with that is if it is done in extremis then the diminishing returns on the dollar are so dramatic hyperinflation ensues.

Your move Janet.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:31 | 6358859 r101958
r101958's picture

"Treasury yields are plunging" Hey! Fed/Treasury win/win - Just means they can sell/rollover a whole schmidtload more debt on the cheap. What's not to love about that? /sarc

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:33 | 6358864 henry chucho
henry chucho's picture

The Chinese are selling all of their stocks,so they can invest in Netflix,and Amazon..Green by the end of the day,new all time highs early next week

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:33 | 6358866 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

I'm betting GREEN by the end of the day...

 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:36 | 6358870 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

Normally a good bet, hell I'm betting green before the end of the hour!

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:40 | 6358883 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

yeah...the last hour of trading in the home of financial fraud - LONDON.

and for your reading pleasure....

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/07/25/gold-is-doomed/

so fucking ridiculous...

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:34 | 6358869 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

total fucking bullshit....

look at the fucking Dow....

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/DJIA

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:44 | 6358909 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Dollar down 1%, silver's up 1%, US equity building downside pressure....

Relax,Sousa, we're just getting started 

:)

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:41 | 6358893 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

Everyone knows it's rigged. It's why no one sells.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:48 | 6358922 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

No one sells?  You mean WS traders that are paid commision?  Pensioners who rely on high stock and bond prices while thee dollar's purchasing power crumbles?

I don't think those people you speak of understand the level of manipulation that goes on at the exchanges.  Mention the President's Working Group, a factual organization to centrally control the market, and people think you're a onspiracy theorist.

Everyone will sell when the dollar has lost all of its purchasing power and the Working Group has no gun powder left.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:52 | 6358932 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

I know people who do not understand how the manipulation works, but still plow their money into the market because they believe the US government will never let the market go down. That belief is a belief in manipulation. And until that belief starts to crack (as it has in China) no one will sell.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:44 | 6359097 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Then they do not understand inflation and the dollar's diminishing returns per investment.  The DJ and S&P have the same value they did in 2007.  The numbers are higher but also inflated.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:41 | 6358897 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

ppt shows up right on time to make sure things dont get too out of hand.

 

can they make this shit anymore fucking obvious

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:45 | 6358912 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

NO.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:45 | 6358911 theTribster
theTribster's picture

I love the fact that using charts in a completely manipulated market apparently has some integrity, really? I'm sure the Fed and other CBs are making sure that their manipulation strategies are consistent with good financial modeling, checking always for mathematical consistency in the context of the global economic system - because hey, they all went to college.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:32 | 6359078 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

As you are aware; fundamentals are now only the latter, mentals.  However, at some point the reality of the basics, such as the markets are becoming more and more illiquid by the day, week & month and that fundamental will rear its ugly head on a day(s) that will cause a real reset.  Then rinse and repeat.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 12:23 | 6359257 pebblewriter
pebblewriter's picture

Yes, charts have value. The problem is that, as you say, the markets are completely manipulated.  So, as often as not, the Fed and CBs and especially HFTs are using traditionally useful chart patterns to drive prices higher. 

Say SPX is approaching an obvious (to chartists) reversal point.  It stops just short of it at the end of a session.  The following morning, an hour before the "market" opens, it's a very simple matter to ramp the eminis up past that point of resistance.  When the cash markets open, SPX gaps up past the resistance and is off to the races.  Happens all the time.  Usually it's USDJPY driving the algos, but it can be CL, the euro, VIX, etc.

It's a predatory trading technique that is designed to pick off chart/harmonic based traders and has done a damn good job over the past couple of years as HFTs become more dominant. It's why active traders continue to drift away from the market and why many non-HFT hedgies have gone belly up.

Charting is a hell of a lot harder than it used to be, and it isn't nearly as effective as, say, 2011 -- when a very cool analog forecast the big drop to the very day/dollar.  [http://pebblewriter.com/learn/analogs/]  But, it still works -- even when it merely points out the level at which you can expect TPTB to come in to manipulate prices.  For an active trader, it's of great value to know where those ambushes might be planned.

 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:53 | 6358942 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

Yes, how quaint. The stockmarket follows rules and graphs and trend lines. Hogwash.

The stockmarket is one fucked up, manipulated and dishonest cess pool.

It will collapse and people will loose and complain that they didn't see that one coming.

 

Well, at least if we have to go by the last umpteen times the market collapsed before.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 10:58 | 6358964 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

Lower lows on the 6 month chart...

 

CHART PORN!!!

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:22 | 6359038 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

Does anyone feel they can keep this illusion alive through the 2016 election cycle? I have a bad feeling that we may have a king named Obama.  He has vowed to make it neigh impossible to buy and use guns (gun control) over the next 18 months. 

-----------------

Remember this is the one who said we need a police force as powerful and well funded as the military. 

----------------

In case you doubt there is a difference between a Republican or Democrat; ask yourself how the Republicans can control both houses and not a single "veto" from the king.

---------------

I'm thankful for food, water, clothing, AC, running water and flushing toilet and to God for all that is good.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:40 | 6359103 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

A king named Obama? Seriously?

Let me tell you something...when the times comes, that guy won't be able to get outta there fast enough...He knows, as do they all, that shit is going to hit the fan big time, and he'll want to be far away from it when it does. He's gonna take his money and his connections and get the fuck outta Dodge. Leave that mess to Hillary, or whoever...

He may even relocate the family overseas somewhere.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:30 | 6359067 mr.n3utr0n
mr.n3utr0n's picture

Is 2064 the line of death? I can't make out the chart.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 11:51 | 6359152 Raoul_Luke
Raoul_Luke's picture

Very close to Dow Theory bear signal.  S&P 2040 is the line in the sand.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 12:47 | 6359361 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

I really wonder what the 'nobody saw it coming' event will be....cuz I see 'everything' coming.

Maybe, ironically, it will be someting going 'right' that over turns the apple cart.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 13:52 | 6359616 Chad_the_short_...
Chad_the_short_seller's picture

How come the chinks can't master the markets like the US does? Dow would be down 2k points today if there wasn't any intervention. Chinks better get with the program.

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