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The Most Important Market Trendline Since 2009 Was Just Broken

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The trend is your friend... until it ends...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:26 | 6360623 Banker Buster
Banker Buster's picture

When the market is this tight and might I add fed manipulated, the first break of the bull trendline is usually bought then you get a new high or lower high, testing the high.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 17:31 | 6360462 Burticus
Burticus's picture

Bears beware.  The Fed chairs' Bruthe Jenner-esque alter egos, Alice Greenspin, Bernadette Bernank and James Yeller, will yank the rug out from under anyone daring to short (except gold & silver) just before the Monday open of the Chinque exchanges.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:47 | 6360881 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Thinking like a PINKO FASCIST COMMIE confirms your membership in my book. Move to North Korea where the people think like you...

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 17:31 | 6360469 Diablo
Diablo's picture

Nice log scale

 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 17:36 | 6360482 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

All I see is INXS.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 17:40 | 6360491 J Mahoney
J Mahoney's picture

It all looks Greek to me

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 17:51 | 6360521 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

According to that trend line; the next move is upward...not downward; look a bit closer.  Five days the markets are down..setting up for the massive short squeeze.  Go long and go quick, for by the end of Friday we will be pressing the 18K on the DJIA.  Unless we don't.  Not investment advise; besides who would listen to a reptile?.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:45 | 6360677 TradingTroll
TradingTroll's picture

Prepare to be taken to the slaughterhouse. Going down for 2 more weeks.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:08 | 6360572 U4 eee aaa
U4 eee aaa's picture

It looks like were running out of other Yellen's money

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:12 | 6360579 nightwish
nightwish's picture

What a bullshit bullish rise. Scare everyone out of the market so they can manipulate it more easily on increasingly lower volume why dont they.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:14 | 6360584 R19
R19's picture

The PPT will take care of it.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:22 | 6360606 EmeraldWI
EmeraldWI's picture

In July 2008, there was a similar bearish engulfing candle followed by a hanging man (last time that I could see and why is he charting in candles if only to use trendlines). A large decline followed. The bots built in the break of the trendline before it happened and then made it happen. I built a haywagon once.

 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:28 | 6360622 ThrowAwayYourTV
ThrowAwayYourTV's picture

Well Greenspan, Bernanke and Yellen have built a wonderful nation of bag carriers and eaters. Where do we go from here? How about yelling and screaming? Thats it! We'll shop, eat, yell and scream all day everyday.  Oh wait!

 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:31 | 6360638 wstrub
wstrub's picture

Yuan pegged to the US dollar has been going up in sinc.............now it's starting to bite.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:35 | 6360836 Sorry_about_Dresden
Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

It is annoying. I save in rmb and wait for parity. Just a matter of time before China can thrive on internal consumers. How many cheap Audi and BMWs goes one world need? 

Everybody got a new German 2nd world knock off but I still drive my 2000 4runner. Just keeps running.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:42 | 6360865 TheMayor
TheMayor's picture

Drving a 2003 Ford Escape with 165K miles and some rust.

Just sunk another $900 into it, drive it everywhere, does just fine at 80 MPH on the highway.

Signed,

The Millionaire Next Door

 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 22:29 | 6361506 The Old Man
The Old Man's picture

206,000 on my 98 F150. Just sunk $1k into it. Good for another 4 years (Big Smile) and I LOVE the price of gas. So there's a little rust. Hey, you don't like it, look the other way. If I wanted a new F150, I'd buy one. But I don't need Wifi, MP3, or some machine to tell me about the air pressure in my tires or the oil level in my engine. (Fucking dumb asses are too busy working to check the oil and tire pressure?)  The world is fucked up. So are the new vehicles. Ya know I was going to buy some of those spinning hubcaps and some big woofers for the radio I don't ever turn on but I thought, aw, the hell with it. I got a transitor radio in there somewhere.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 18:55 | 6360703 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

Time for more Bullard Shit.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:01 | 6360715 asfffasfff
asfffasfff's picture

yellen ruuuuuuuuuuuun

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:04 | 6360725 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

Just before the stock market crash of 1929 a broker rang a client and apologised for sending him the wrong charts.

The client replied that as luck would have it he held them up the wrong way and made money.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:07 | 6360735 homebody
homebody's picture

Buy the dip - the PPT will save us.  They (FED and Treasury) will play the game until hyper inflation turns the country into hell on earth.  I give them about 10 years of decline and suffering of the population until the riots or war.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:50 | 6360895 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Thinking like a PINKO FASCIST COMMIE confirms your membership in my book. Move to North Korea where the people think like you...

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:17 | 6360775 Able Ape
Able Ape's picture

Put high-octane FIAT in your tank and DRIVE a gazillon miles per gallon....

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:25 | 6360802 homebody
homebody's picture

Sure - only if it is like Fred Flintstones car and you have enough to eat.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:45 | 6360873 Ansare
Ansare's picture

Since 2007 reading about how the world is ending. Keep predicting it and eventually you'll be right. 

 

Get's old, tho. 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 19:57 | 6360920 franzpick
franzpick's picture

SPX, DJIA, NDX, COMP, VTI, XLY, XLK and other indices can't escape making initial bear market lower lows as are already evident in downside leaders XLB, DJTA, XAX, RUT, MID, SML and others. Maybe a doomed BTFD rally will delay the declines, but in days or soon there will be plenty of bear market lower lows to go around for all indices and sectors.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 20:38 | 6361048 Meyer Blinder
Meyer Blinder's picture

BTFD

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 21:00 | 6361147 TradingTroll
TradingTroll's picture

Goin to buy long dated calls on the US indexes, Dow, S&P, Russell around mid-Aug. I expect the Dow to be under 17,000 by then, maybe as low as 16,500. Either way, I'll make a fortune.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 21:13 | 6361201 Peak Finance
Peak Finance's picture

LOL no one believes it's gonna crash.

Look at the SH prices and options on SH for just one example, The vix, some other leveraged reverse instruments too, the pricing just dosen't seem right, very underpriced. 

However I am afraid to buy here too, thinking that I will buy a ton of protection and Yellen will just delay rate raise which will propell market to new highs. 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 21:47 | 6361363 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

I would like to think, but I'm sure I'd be wrong, if they delay rate hikes G&S will enter a new ultra bull market phase...who knows though

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 21:32 | 6361286 gwar5
gwar5's picture

There's fewer buyers of stocks than there than stocks listed on the exchanges. 

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 23:16 | 6361631 Bear
Bear's picture

Unfortunately, there only needs to be one if he can print money.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 21:35 | 6361301 Arthur Schopenhauer
Arthur Schopenhauer's picture

What do the purdy pitcher mean?

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 22:31 | 6361501 El Hosel
Mon, 07/27/2015 - 21:45 | 6361357 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

it is called bernanke's theorem: as trading volume approaches zero prices tend toward infinity

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 22:49 | 6361553 Stanley Lord
Stanley Lord's picture

another trend line drawn by a child, that is a laughably bad trend line.

Mon, 07/27/2015 - 23:16 | 6361633 Bear
Bear's picture

I am so, so glad that the Market has turned.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:12 | 6361740 Charles Offdensen
Charles Offdensen's picture

This market is fucked up like chinese music!

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:25 | 6361767 DeusHedge
DeusHedge's picture

like in kung fu hustle? But **** you're like a hit type for some corporation! **** I guessed it.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:13 | 6361743 GuyWithYlwLab
GuyWithYlwLab's picture

I see so many lines, circles and charts, it's almost like my head is down but my shoulders are up.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:32 | 6361785 DeusHedge
DeusHedge's picture

Lul that person is so spoiled. The 'murica never got him becuase he was sheltered by the oznik who never taught him anything.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:44 | 6361817 GuyWithYlwLab
GuyWithYlwLab's picture

I have decided my intellectual prowess is vastly unsuperior to yours.  All I know, supplies, proximity to unrest, and twinkie supplies will rule supreme.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:18 | 6361754 DeusHedge
DeusHedge's picture

If I wasn't on stamps and blow I'd buy nugt calls, but as it is I'm going to wait for the rebuilding... the nwo will try to stop but **** you guys aren't that bad, err with the trillion dollar cushion. But the long is water.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:31 | 6361783 GuyWithYlwLab
GuyWithYlwLab's picture

You bring the water, I'll bring the Twinkies.  When the world implodes, we can bet on which lasts longer.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:32 | 6361787 DeusHedge
DeusHedge's picture

yes but who brings the lol? :d

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 00:36 | 6361799 GuyWithYlwLab
GuyWithYlwLab's picture

Well, I AM bringing a boat load of unclaimed virgins.  Jeez!

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 01:04 | 6361842 stock market loser
stock market loser's picture

Bear got put to sleep in 2009 with constant fed injections of barbituates. Drugs are starting to wear off. Bear is stirring. 

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 01:08 | 6361851 GuyWithYlwLab
GuyWithYlwLab's picture

So if the HSI is up $369, that means all is well!  Right?

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 01:40 | 6361879 missionshk
missionshk's picture

THIS IS A LOG CHART..  I think the normal chart breaks below 1800, and secondary line is about 1600..   either line would seem to be a continuation fo the existing trend.... but im no expert

 

I think the Dow transports below 7000 or the Dow Industrials below 16000, or the composite below 5800 is a much better signal of the trend reversing..  

 

 

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 06:46 | 6362125 HumourMeBlack
HumourMeBlack's picture

Exactly right. Based on a regular chart the trend line value is currently at around 1660.  So, this trend is far from over.  

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 02:49 | 6361947 ict-infcomtech.lu
ict-infcomtech.lu's picture

Bring it on! Love to see the crash, finally in a theatre next to you. Godd stuff can only happen, when bad stuff is gone.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 04:14 | 6362012 palomilos
palomilos's picture

Ragtag. Short people as short money, short memories, short trading, short life and a price tag

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 04:32 | 6362015 nostradamus2020
nostradamus2020's picture

Yeeeehaaaaawww!!

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 04:36 | 6362017 css1971
css1971's picture

BUY THAT DIP!!!!!!!!

The central banks are going to print money till it's toilet paper to make sure that line just keeps going UP!

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 04:38 | 6362019 The Wall Of Wol...
The Wall Of Wolf Street's picture

Its got tiny teeth

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 04:59 | 6362027 saldulilem
saldulilem's picture

i can't read the chart legends

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 05:19 | 6362044 Thom_333
Thom_333's picture

Again...? I´m getting really tired of this. Show me a disaster when you got a live one. Not this Daily Zerohedge disaster-of-the-day suckerbait.

No doubt it will come to pass,one day. It always does. But it won´t be recognized or announced on Zerohedge,for sure. Only a couple of months afterwards.

Why don´t you just give it a break and think about all the poor suckers that indeed have been heeding your advice all the way since 2009. By now they have lost their last shirt. Stackin´phyzz.....Indeed. You should be prosecuted.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 06:17 | 6362084 Mike in Tokyo Rogers
Mike in Tokyo Rogers's picture

"You should be prosecuted." For what, asshole? For pontificating?

Fuck you.

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 08:42 | 6362347 Thom_333
Thom_333's picture

For issuing damaging propaganda. Propaganda harmful to average Joe´s investing health and hence his/hers total situation. May shorten your life span considerably listening to propaganda. The housing crisis - yes you could see that coming a mile away , because everyone agreed on one tenet of belief - it COULD not happen. It WOULD not happen. Now everyone on this website agrees to the imminent catastrophe that will wipe out every form of biological life on earth. Life the great comet cometh...

And do try to use your native language in a more constructive way.

 

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 05:43 | 6362061 Fogey
Fogey's picture

All QE-money that flowed into BRIC-stock markets now turning into smoke?

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 06:18 | 6362090 Griffin
Griffin's picture

The QE money will turn into smoke as the stock markets discover reality, but the debt created when the QE was issued remains.  The people will get to pay interests on this debt and have it hanging over them for a very long time.

Obviously a large part of the smoked QE will find its way to some sunny offshore safe haven belonging to special people, insiders and pets.

 

Tue, 07/28/2015 - 06:50 | 6362128 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

OK, that trendline is sloppy, and, worthless, because the Fed doesn't care about trendlines, Dow Theory or any other measurement metric.

Has everyone forgotten that there is an FOMC meeting and their momentous announcement is tomorrow?

How much ya wanna bet that this whole shitshow of five straight down days on the majors was all well-thought out by major players who have been selling, but will begin buying the dip as of today, especially since China was fixed, again™, today.

Old Yellen and her buds will change a few words in the FOMC policy announcement, indicating that there will be no rate increase in September and stocks will recover everything and then some.

I have to admit, this most recent scaring of the bulls (all four of them) has been some pretty serious stuff, but how many times are bears and short-sellers going to buy into the BS?

The global economy is going into slow meltdown mode, or, rather, it's been doing that for 15 years, with a brief interruption - a faster meltdown - in 2008-09.

Until the Fed is completely out of bullets and/or the ability to print/jawbone simultaneously, the markets will continue their relentless grind higher.

I hope I am wrong, because I would love to see massive carnage and all the stupid fuckers with pensions and 401ks crying, again™.

Nothing matters until 2:00 pm EDT on Wednesday, at which point there will be a whipsaw in one direction or the other, but, I believe the smart money (i.e., Blankfein, Dimon, et. al.) is on UP.

Good luck to all. Keep stacking.

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