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Crude Tumbles Near $46 Handle As US Oil Rig Count Rises For 2nd Week

Tyler Durden's picture




 

After last week's surge in total rig count, this week saw a modest 2 rig drop to 874 total rigs. However, oil rigs rose once again - up 5 to 664 rigs. This is the highest since May 8th. The last 5 weeks have seen a 36 rig rise - the biggest such rise since April 2014. WTI Crude prices are reacting negatively to this news.

  • *U.S. OIL RIG COUNT UP 5 TO 664, BAKER HUGHES SAYS
  • *U.S. TOTAL RIG COUNT DOWN 2 TO 874 , BAKER HUGHES SAYS
  • *OIL RIGS IN PERMIAN BASIN RISE BY THREE TO 247: BAKER HUGHES
  • *OIL RIGS IN WILLISTON RISE BY ONE TO 71: BAKER HUGHES

 

 

And crude is reacting negatively...

 

and some context on the week...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:11 | 6375998 SirBarksAlot
SirBarksAlot's picture

The answer is in the question:

For whom are the rigs drilling?

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:14 | 6376011 Slomotrainwreck
Slomotrainwreck's picture

Maybe there is some deep pocket benefactor who is supplying extra cash to keep them above water just because?

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:19 | 6376033 Publicus
Publicus's picture

Abiotic oil generation exceeds our consumption.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:26 | 6376054 38BWD22
38BWD22's picture

 

 

Prove it.  Actually better said: please show some good links, thank you.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:30 | 6376072 Publicus
Publicus's picture

Oil price.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:42 | 6376108 Tribulation Blues
Tribulation Blues's picture

Read the Obama Antichrist prophecies... the price of oil and the price of gold will soon be the last things on your mind... http://revelation.ca

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 14:13 | 6376232 Deathrips
Deathrips's picture

if 35$ in WTI doesnt hold...we are looking at a retest of 2001 lows 20$.

 

RIPS

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 17:09 | 6376852 pndr4495
pndr4495's picture

Wait a sec - there's an oil trading G_d in Connecticut who insists the "absolute floor" for oil is $40. Absolute floors are not as certain as laws of physics. I think we will see shortly whether the oil trading G_d is correct on his theory of absolutes. What is HIS performance record after coming out from under the umbrella of Citigroup ?

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 15:04 | 6376419 fattail
fattail's picture

Critical thinking skills used to be a requirement at ZH.  Peddle your religous bullshit someplace else.  Blah, blah , blah.  Read a little history and every world power leader has been  declared the Anti-christ by the religous shysters of their day.  Every pope.  King George, Napoleon, Lincoln, Bismarck, Kaiser Wilhelm, hitler, stalin, i'm sure I am leaving some out.  WW1 and the Spanish Influenza, WW2, the Great Depression were all the end times and Jesus return was right around the corner.  Except it wasn't, and there was no refund for all the love offerings collected from the credulous.  

You will find most people here are highly skeptical of fearmongering charlatans.  

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 16:42 | 6376785 Carpenter1
Carpenter1's picture

The Pope is likely the most evil man on the planet, as are many wolves in sheep's clothing like him. They don't fool us true believers, who, according to you, lack critical thinking skills. But....they do fool you. Guess we know who is REALLY lacking critical thinking skills then....

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 21:39 | 6377607 Publicus
Publicus's picture

The Expanding Earth and the Electric Universe theory explains it nicely. The reaction is occuring within the Earth and it is increasing the mass of the Earth. The energy is coming from the environment into the planet and the sun, turning into mass.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:14 | 6376013 saints51
saints51's picture

War is now a very expensive game to play.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 14:01 | 6376184 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Heavily indebted frackers have no choice but to pump more oil or else go bankrupt. 

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:14 | 6376017 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

This probably wouldn't matter much in the absence of leveraged finance.  It's a gigantic fucking nuke because of leveraged finance.  

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:28 | 6376061 38BWD22
38BWD22's picture

 

 

Low rig counts.  XOM  and Chevron cratering on bad earnings.  Crude going down.

Bad news for our economy, and likely the world economy as well.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 16:39 | 6376776 Carpenter1
Carpenter1's picture

Rigs up cause frackers desperate for cash, pumping more despite price?

 

Or..

 

Rigs up cause frackers *were* anticipating higher oil prices, thinking to get jump on market?

 

Guessing it's door #1

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 20:45 | 6377471 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

All of the above. All the analysts and oil company CEO's were calling for $75-80 oil by late summer-fall. Oil was around $60 through most of May-June. The frackers started ordering more rigs because they can't stop pumping oil or else they will wither away and die due to billions in debt. The credit markets are closed for most of the small and medium sized E&P's  because they've maxed out their lines of credit and debt/equity ratios for debt covenants. Most of them have already gone to the equity markets and would have to sell at a huge discount if they wanted another round. 

The bank regulators are starting to crack down on these small and medium banks lending billions without collateral at 2% interest. Why would anyone lend to a debt zombies with perpetual negative free cash flow at 2% when they can get higher yields on the 10 year? Not that the US government is solvent, but at least they can print and pay you back in inflated dollars and you'll get something, even if 50 cents on the dollar. With these unsecured loans, you are last in line and will get nothing. 

When the medium sized frackers start going bankrupt, then you'll know the water is safe again. 

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:16 | 6376022 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

5 rigs out of 664 is a blip, but the game must be played......

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 14:04 | 6376193 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Kind of like how a 2 million barrel draw out of 660 million barrels in storage makes oil jump 5%

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:20 | 6376036 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Price of pump crushing consumers.  At least we love to drive.

:)

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:26 | 6376056 Lumberjack
Lumberjack's picture
Norwegian Government Faces Fluctuating Dividend Following Statoil’s Dollar Decision Yields could vary sharply depending on the value of the krone

 

http://www.wsj.com/articles/norwegian-government-faces-fluctuating-divid...

 

 

 

 

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:29 | 6376068 larz
larz's picture

why is gas still 3 bucks a gallon in the shitcago area?

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:44 | 6376117 kowalli
kowalli's picture

it should be 4$, you are right

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 13:46 | 6376125 saints51
saints51's picture

LOL!!!!

You're so wrong!!!!! I like it though haha

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 15:16 | 6376463 Uber Vandal
Uber Vandal's picture

Because of the true welcome sign to Illinois that should read:

Welcome to Illinois:

F**k You

Pay Me

 

JFC, the tolls, the taxes, city taxes, county taxes, fees, everyone has their hand out, and not just street urchins.

 

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 14:10 | 6376214 Caveman93
Caveman93's picture

No job, no gas, no problem!

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 14:23 | 6376267 kadoka
kadoka's picture

And gas prices are going to drop WHEN?  Last time oil was near $50 gas was below $2.00.  Now it is much higher.  What am I missing here?

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 14:47 | 6376346 silverer
silverer's picture

Quarts of oil.  They're over $4.00 now.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 21:38 | 6377601 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

You're missing the seasons. Summer blend is more expensive than winter blend due to stricter EPA regulations during driving season

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 14:44 | 6376326 silverer
silverer's picture

"We'll be millionaires, boys!  I'll share it with all of you!"  Carl Denham (Robert Armstrong), King Kong 1933

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 15:32 | 6376528 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Come and listen to a story about a man named Jed
A poor mountaineer, barely kept his family fed,
And then one day he was shootin at some food,
And up through the ground came a bubblin crude.

Oil that is, black gold, Texas tea.

Well the first thing you know ol Jed's a millionaire,
Kinfolk said "Jed move away from there"
Said "Californy is the place you ought to be"
So they loaded up the truck and moved to Beverly

Hills, that is. Swimmin pools, movie stars.

Well now its time to say good by to Jed and all his kin.
And they would like to thank you folks fer kindly droppin in.
You're all invited back a gain to this locality
To have a heapin helpin of their hospitality

Hillybilly that is. Set a spell, Take your shoes off.

Y'all come back now, y'hear?.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 16:11 | 6376667 AbbeBrel
AbbeBrel's picture

T. Boone Pickens quote:

"If you want to make a deal real bad, you’ll make a real bad deal."

http://twitter.com/boonepickens/status/582984477632270336

Seems to me like a pile of devilishly bad deals will be going down in the Oil Patches over the next year or so...

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 17:20 | 6376896 The Shape
The Shape's picture

lol I see Tyler doesn't report US production data anymore. I wonder why.

Fri, 07/31/2015 - 21:50 | 6377628 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

I'll report it straight from the US Energy Information Administration

US oil production: July 2014 = 8.5mbpd

July 2015 = 9.5mbpd

Looks like US oil production has increased by 1 million barrels per day since last summer

 

How about OPEC?

July 2014 = 32.3mbpd

July 2015 = 33.4mbpd

Looks like OPEC has also increased oil production by over 1mbpd since last summer.

 


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