This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Dow "Death Cross"-es For First Time In 4 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just as we warned yesterday, unless the Dow can miraculously rally over 17,850, The Dow will close in a Death Cross pattern. This is the first time that the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average since August 2011 (which was followed by a 1300 point swing from high to low in The Dow)...

 

For the first time since Aug 2011, The Dow Death Cross'd...

 

And this is what happened last time...

 

After a reflexive bounce, The Dow dumped 1300 points in 4 weeks.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:27 | 6413634 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Nothing that another $4 trillion in QE cannot fix.  Besides, the 0.1% always can do with a few hundred billion more in wealth.

The Fed Won: America's 0.1% Are Now Wealthier Than The Bottom 90%

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-11/fed-won-americas-01-are-now-wea...

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:30 | 6413662 pods
pods's picture

Wow, I wonder what will happen when Janet raises rates? 

lol

pods

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:40 | 6413680 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

The only time old Yeller will be raising rates will be from her grave like Bernanke.  US debts are just too massive to withstand increased interest rates.

No rate normalization during my lifetime Bernanke

 The U.S. has a $210 trillion “fiscal gap” and “may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece,” Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff told members of the Senate Budget Committee in written and oral testimony on Feb. 25, 2015

“The first point I want to get across is that our nation is broke,” Kotlikoff testified. “Our nation’s broke, and it’s not broke in 75 years or 50 years or 25 years or 10 years. It’s broke today.

http://cnsnews.com/news/article/barbara-hollingsworth/economist-tells-co...

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:43 | 6413715 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

Why Tyler Why?  We had a perfectly good down day and you had to go and ruin it!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:47 | 6413734 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

BTFDC!!!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:50 | 6413750 Pareto
Pareto's picture

What's the "C" mean?

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:53 | 6413763 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

Look at the title of the article.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:13 | 6413849 sunaJ
sunaJ's picture

I have a dirty mind.  I thought he was just calling him a c*nt for effect.

 

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:28 | 6413909 mtndds
mtndds's picture

UNLEASH THE BULLARD OR ANY OTHER IDIOT AT THE FED!!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 13:53 | 6414656 Pareto
Pareto's picture

right.  got it.  I was thinking what Sunaj was, however.  but yeah, the title - for sure.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:43 | 6413716 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

WIth the yuan devaluation China will have less money to invest in USTs.  Less real value in the yuan means they purchase less notional.  This means the Fed will need to print moar money to make up for the lack of demand.

RATES.WILL.NEVER.RISE.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:22 | 6413879 sunaJ
sunaJ's picture

More U.S. devaluation/printing to come for sure,  but not before ZH has a chance to post an article entitled: Dow Death Cross Just Got Deathier.

 

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 13:06 | 6414393 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

We can't be broke, Yellen still has checks in her check book.....

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:36 | 6413682 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Rates are going up regardless of the Fed anyway

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:40 | 6413703 AgentHarlequin
AgentHarlequin's picture

Why?
(Sorry if this is obvious to everyone else)

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:44 | 6413721 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

It's not

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:45 | 6413724 stant
stant's picture

In a nut shell the market forces. But these rates have done serious damage to pensions, congress has pensions

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:45 | 6413727 neuronius
neuronius's picture

Because, *in the end*, despite all efforts of the central planners, the market decides.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:52 | 6413759 AgentHarlequin
AgentHarlequin's picture

Is there a 'ZH for Dummies' version of this website? Maybe I need to read that to get 'up-to-speed'... It's still not clear to me how market forces will increase Fed/central bank interest rates... Or have I missed the point completely? (often happens)

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:58 | 6413765 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

BONDS!

 

If the FED cannot control the bond market...................prices go down and rates go up

 

HTH AgentH

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:06 | 6413825 madcows
madcows's picture

however, the FED seems to have limitless funds with which to buy T-Bills and MBS's.  Round and Round it goes.  When it stops, nobody knows.

I think it'd be funny if our own FED has a SNB/PBOC moment, and decides to let shit go.  Just stop buying and let the chips fall.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:42 | 6413711 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

But But But

 

TA is not for manipulated markets LOL

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 12:17 | 6414116 Ghostdog
Ghostdog's picture

Better chance of someone fucking her and enjoying it than her raising rates

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:25 | 6413635 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Seems like a buying opportunity.  

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:46 | 6413731 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

It does based on the chart "And this is what happened last time..."  On 8/22/2011 the dow closed at 10854 and moved up to 13279 on 5/1/2012.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 18:46 | 6483307 firewire888
firewire888's picture

Testing this death cross on spx data seems the same, the last two times lost money back on the cross probably due to QE.  Think if you wait for the cross back seems more profitable 4 years!!!

12/21/2007 - 1484.46 to 6/22/2009 893.04 - 591.42
7/6/10 - 1022.58 to 10/21/10 - 1180.26 - (157.68) - QE2 11/3/10 after the cross
8/12/11 - 1178.81 to 1/30/12 - 1313.41 - (134.2)  - QE3 9/13/12

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:26 | 6413640 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Should be good for a 1500 PT dump this time, unless they wheel out another Bullard moment.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:26 | 6413643 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It was also followed by QE1, so we have that to look forward to.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:29 | 6413659 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

Bullish.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:30 | 6413660 Infinite QE
Infinite QE's picture

"All hands report for duty"

- Open Market Operations Lever Room Supervisor

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:31 | 6413666 Pareto
Pareto's picture

ssssshhhhh.  FFS ZH!! - I just put on my short, and now you gotta fucking ruin it!!   Here come the fucking sqid!!!  lol.  Like a big blow horn announcement!  DOW DEATH CROSSES FOR THE FIRT TIME SINCE 2011.  lol.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 12:15 | 6414100 FreeMoney
FreeMoney's picture

DOW new all time high is imminent.  Calling Mr Bullard....

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:32 | 6413668 jpc578
jpc578's picture

If I remember correctly, August 2011 was the debt ceiling battle. What can the permabulls point to this time to excuse this away?

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:05 | 6413822 J Jason Djfmam
J Jason Djfmam's picture

They'll blame it on the Trannies.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:29 | 6413914 Tarzan
Tarzan's picture

not a mouse is stirring, nor a whisper heard of the coming debt limit "CRISIS", YET.

These pigs will wait until the last second and then begin scurrying about screaming EMERGENCY in every microphone put in their face, like no one saw it coming.

Next month, after they've kept the people placated with diversions galore and ignoring the elephant in the room, they will act like they have no choice but to huddle in the dead of night, to get their orders from the top, and pass a bill that nobody reads.

It's all the media will talk about, as if they also never saw it coming.

We're being played like a fiddle as we're destroyed from within.  It's a suicide mission orchestrated by international bankers to destroy the dollar and introduce their super safe hack proof electronic currency.

China is just playing along, helping to setup the fall. 

We're surrounded by deceit and the masses have no clue what's right around the corner.  They have no clue that Washington has no real friends in this game.  They will all turn on us one day soon and overnight we'll be the bane of the world, being rightfully blamed for the coming world wide collapse.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:33 | 6413671 MrSteve
MrSteve's picture

like the Lottery, ya gotta play to WIN...the SMA cross is a benchmark in the topping process along with clusters of Hindenberg Omens, three peaks plus a dome and prices got too high.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:33 | 6413672 Mr. Bones
Mr. Bones's picture

Buy ALL THE THINGS!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:38 | 6413689 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

BTFD muppets.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:39 | 6413694 saints51
saints51's picture

What would be hilarious is a close above the 200 DMA today all on no volume. 

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:41 | 6413707 lehmen_sisters
lehmen_sisters's picture

New record highs , with record low volume. Coming up sir!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:40 | 6413697 madcows
madcows's picture

"Rate hike Imminent!"

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:40 | 6413702 Spungo
Spungo's picture

I'm still waiting for the death trapezoid patter in 3month forward future contango reverse contract volatility minis.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:02 | 6413804 J Jason Djfmam
J Jason Djfmam's picture

Me too!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:22 | 6413884 neilhorn
neilhorn's picture

SP500 daily is making a trapezoid, or diamond, pattern since 6/10/15. IFIRC this a continuation pattern, signalling the prior trend will continue. Before that date the index had a declining trend from the top.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:41 | 6413706 RichardENixon
RichardENixon's picture

This time is different!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:42 | 6413710 Spungo
Spungo's picture

Why? Death cross typically indicates changing momentum.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:44 | 6413718 SgtShaftoe
SgtShaftoe's picture

What difference do technicals make when the entire market is fake, rigged and owned by treasury?

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:47 | 6413737 Racer
Racer's picture

It bounced 700 points before falling those 1300 points though

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:28 | 6413912 mkucstars
mkucstars's picture

You got your bounce, that was yesterday. That was it, sorry you missed it...

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 10:59 | 6413793 viator
viator's picture

More QE, more ZIRP, elections coming up!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:06 | 6413826 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

This sucker is going down.  

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:14 | 6413857 SMC
SMC's picture

Of course, no one could have seen this coming!  ROFL!

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:15 | 6413864 Jethro
Jethro's picture

They are running out of tricks.  What is next, adding a zero or two in the next EBT allotment?  Can't let the magic negro usher in an economic depression...

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:18 | 6413878 KingdomKum
KingdomKum's picture

molon labe

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 11:33 | 6413925 Bitcoin Meiser
Bitcoin Meiser's picture

DXD, bitches. Don't make me have to tell you again.

Tue, 08/11/2015 - 17:51 | 6415818 luna_man
luna_man's picture

 

 

What the Heck!...these CRIMINALS, will "print" right through that "death cross"!!

 

as yellen is my witness

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 15:06 | 6423187 Factotum
Factotum's picture

For quite some time I have been under the impression that this site is MOSTLY, though not exclusively, primairly a fearmongering anti-american web site posing as an outpost for libertarian free market ideas.   This post on the death cross drivel is the best example to date.  

 

For me, it did not pass the smell test.   I did a little research, and found the evidence contrary to the stated idea at best, and ambiguous at worst.   I was to lazy to do in depth research.  Then this came across my screen from Marketwatch:   http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-death-cross-isnt-a-grim-reaper-for-...

 

which pretty well documents that anybody with a triple digit IQ who makes a claim to being on the leading edge of truthiness about markets and economics could have found on their own.  But that would have required a desire to think and learn independently of their own  dogma. / cult mindset

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!