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WTI Crude Tumbles Back To $42 Handle

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With Chinese growth still in question and IEA glut concerns weighing heavily, yesterday's bounce in crude (on lower US production) has been erased as it tests back to a $42 handle - at 6-year lows...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:29 | 6421668 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Oh, so that's how it is supposed to work.  banks print more, governments devalue currencies, and all real assets and commodities get cheaper...

 

good luck with that.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:31 | 6421676 NoVa
NoVa's picture

Agree 100%.  

next resistance is $42.25 (could be hit today).  Then likely sub-$40's after that.

 

Nova

 

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:33 | 6421681 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

I said it a few months ago --- $35 oil here we come. 

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:34 | 6421688 NoVa
NoVa's picture

yup ya did, brudda

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:45 | 6421721 Stackers
Stackers's picture

Going to the 2008 low of $38 .......

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:51 | 6421747 NoVa
NoVa's picture

entirely possible.  I think after other events occur similar to 2008 circumstances - blood in the streets kindof stuff.

 

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 09:20 | 6421850 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Execpt that low happened in 09.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 09:32 | 6421898 SumTing Wong
SumTing Wong's picture

And in Indiana gas went from $2.35 yesterday morning to $3 a gallon by the evening. Plenty of crude...no refining.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:27 | 6422039 quasimodo
quasimodo's picture

In Iowa, last night the gap from 87 with 10% ethanol compared to regular 87 hit 51 cents.

2.49 versus $3/gallon. Never would I have thought it would be that high of a margin.

What complete and utter crap.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:35 | 6422061 Theosebes Goodfellow
Theosebes Goodfellow's picture

And as of this morning, a gallon of 10% ethanol, (you can't buy ethanol-free gas in California), regular gas was....

$3.49 at the local indian reservation pumps.

Fuck you, democrats of California.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 09:53 | 6421949 troubledasset
troubledasset's picture

Actually, no. In 2008 the price of oil hit a low of $30.28 when it closed on December 23rd.

I dunno, I downloaded NYMEX pricing for peak to trough trough to peak analysis. Call me anal.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:18 | 6422008 Salah
Salah's picture

Lower... Neptune in Pisces until 2026 = oil found everywhere by everybody

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:37 | 6421699 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yes, soon enough the "official" prices on many things will be very low.

Soviet Union 2.0...

In the case of all the products from oil...

Governments are broke, so don't expect any discounts there.  The taxes on these products will go up in proportion to the decrease in the oil input price.

 

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:53 | 6421751 wmbz
wmbz's picture

"The taxes on these products will go up"

That is a 100% sure bet!

You can see the drool forming in the corners of the  taxers mouths!

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 09:22 | 6421855 negative rates
negative rates's picture

And what goes up, must also come down, that is certain too.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:31 | 6421678 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

Transitory

Ok yeller

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:33 | 6421686 random999
random999's picture

yap QE my ass and the price will drop further.

Until it doesnt.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:42 | 6421712 thegazzman
thegazzman's picture

next step in the currency war:

helicopter dropping billions of freshly minted USD in ferguson 

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:16 | 6422006 Salah
Salah's picture

go long MD 20/20, Thunderbird, and their ilk.  (where's that "Haitian Flu" when its needed?)

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:29 | 6421670 Impoverished Ps...
Impoverished Psychologist's picture

Shit, better blow up some moar factories..

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:30 | 6421672 docinthehouse
docinthehouse's picture

Then why did gas jump from 2.20 to 3.00???? In Michigan.....

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:33 | 6421684 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

Con job, prices don't matter, we do what we want, who are you going to complain to?
Exxon management

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:48 | 6421729 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Actual demand for product is not the same as demand for speculation. Speculation drives the price of crude as there is no real demand for it right now as it is floating in tankers around the world waiting for orders from refineries. Gas stations are on every corner selling gas as they always have. I doubt few have seen any decline in demand for their product, therefore feel perfectly comfortable selling at whatever price you are willing to pay. On my 17 mile trek to work I pass many stations, price for diesel varying from 2.99 to 2.31, and obviously they are all selling all they want to sell at their price. Speculator's customers are only other speculators who have zero, or infinite demand, depending only on the next bet. I'm surprised that gas has gotten even this low. Crude can go to zero in the short run and do nothing to gas prices.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 09:01 | 6421781 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

see my link above. They're officially blaming it on a refinery but its just a way of gouging while prices are low

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:32 | 6421679 docinthehouse
docinthehouse's picture

Commodities get cheaper due to too much supply or too little demand....or both......

And when people have to spend all their money on debt....no money for commodities.....lessened demand.....

No?  Yes???

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:40 | 6421706 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Unfortunately, with 7+ billion people all competing for a high standard of living, there is still great demand for consumable calories and reduced hydrocarbons, oil has them both.  Fine by me, we produce real products so cheaper inputs is always better.  Now, show me the cheap diesel motherfucker.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 11:47 | 6422343 Mayer Amschel R...
Mayer Amschel Rothschild's picture

Population growth curve does not correlate with crude oil price bubble.

<$10 per barrel in <20 years before starting a new cycle

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:36 | 6421694 Devils Advocate
Devils Advocate's picture

Supposedly we have refinery issues! !

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:36 | 6421695 Devils Advocate
Devils Advocate's picture

Supposedly we have refinery issues! !

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:36 | 6421696 Devils Advocate
Devils Advocate's picture

Supposedly we have refinery issues! !

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 08:48 | 6421730 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Crude theatrics are getting to be as good as any other theatrics!

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 09:14 | 6421822 44_shooter
44_shooter's picture

I'm still waiting for the $20 mark by summer as promised.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 09:52 | 6421946 sudzee
sudzee's picture

Canadian Western Select heavy oil now with a 19 handle on its way to sub 10.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:40 | 6422084 spoonful
spoonful's picture

It'd be cool if the price went all the way down to $12/bbl, which was the price in 1973 when the petro dollar was born after the Arab oil embargo.  The carnage that's happened in the region since is largely due to the high price of this liquid shit.  If the price drops low enough, maybe west asia can return to being a part of the world the U.S. doesn't care about and leave them be . . . oh yeah, I forgot that Israel is over there, too.  Never mind.        

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 11:43 | 6422332 BouncingCat
BouncingCat's picture

Indiana BP refinery reduced to half capacity due to equipment problem.  Result: lower demand for crude, lower supply of gasoline to Midwest.  Gas prices spike 80 cents overnight and refinery profits spike!

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 11:46 | 6422340 neptune-klm
neptune-klm's picture

Nice but prices in Ohio just jumped from $2.32 to $2.89 and projected to go over $3.00 because of a midwest BP refinery issue (I think in Indiana) that could last for a month.  Just as gas was starting to go down, the midwest is getting fucked!

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 12:09 | 6422416 vidman32
vidman32's picture

So why the hell does CNBC keep saying that these new 5 month lows for oil?....

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 12:15 | 6422435 NorthernPike
NorthernPike's picture

I got rid of my car at the beginning of summer and have been walking, biking and taking public transport to work and back, consequently my body has been growing these big ugly bumpy things called quadraceps and calfs. My goal is to get a new vehicle soon, just for show, something big and ostentatious that I will park in the driveway as a status symbol.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 12:39 | 6422551 Yttrium Gold Ni...
Yttrium Gold Nitrogen's picture

News from Aug, 11
Goldman Sachs warns that there is "last ditch" support between $43.24 and $42.44 - a break below there could lead to serious capitulation.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 13:14 | 6422688 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

We touched almost $42.00,

$10 oil is coming.

Thu, 08/13/2015 - 12:58 | 6422625 natxlaw
natxlaw's picture

Last time we were here we had volume. Am I missing something? Where's the volume? For there to be resistance someone has to step up and buy.

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