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Are Automakers About To Hit The Panic Button?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

There is a major problem brewing the US Auto industry... and therefore the US economy.

 

Automakers just unleashed a massive production surge to keep the dream alive...

With inventories at record highs (having risen for 61 straight months)...

Which would be fine if sales were keeping up - but they are not...

 

And now the subprime auto loan market is set to collapse...

And here's why stock markets should care...

 

To sum up...

The only way automakers are making sales is by lowering credit standards to truly mind-numbing levels.... that cannot last.

China's economic collapse has crushed forecasts for the automakers.

Inventories are already at record highs.

And July saw a massive surge in producton.

What comes next is simple... a production slump - just ask The Atlanta Fed.

 

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Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:17 | 6427752 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

Went to a dealer looking for a jeep, found a great used jeep and after fanagling on price and settling on a price ... wrote a check for $6k and saved $33k on the sticker price for a new one.   $33k savings buys a lot of gas and the 100k plus miles I'll be able to put on it is more than enough before I'll want something different.  CD changer/player doesn't work in the back... I don't give a shit... the one on the dash works fine.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:27 | 6426539 wmbz
wmbz's picture

The taxpayer funded gubmint will just order a few million new ones to replace there aging year old fleet!

Plus with the new generational auto loans soon to come, it will be a new car for everyone.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:50 | 6426866 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Sure, look ma, no bills!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:28 | 6426542 world_debt_slave
world_debt_slave's picture

the last new car I purchased was in 1991, paid off in 4 months, no way for me to do that today. Drive a 1998 Chevy Astro mini-cargo van for 12 years, daily driver, rain, hail, snow and shine with nearly 250k miles.  Bought a used 1992 Toyota 4Runner about a year ago, fixed it up and my nice car.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:28 | 6426544 Amy G. Dala
Amy G. Dala's picture

"Ben, I have one word for you . . .are you listening?  REPOMAN.  Repoman.  Think about it."

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:29 | 6426545 Caveman93
Caveman93's picture

A chicken in every pot. A GM in every driveway. Problem solved!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:38 | 6426588 semperfi
semperfi's picture

Make mine an Escalade please. 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:47 | 6426621 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

http://www.consumeraffairs.com/automotive/cadillac-escalade.html

Forgot the potluck, ask for a bumper to bumper extended warranty. Free of charge. 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:54 | 6426891 matinee55
matinee55's picture

you like the people killer gov. motors?

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:29 | 6426548 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

OT
Has anyone posted this Hillary Email video yet?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Prls6Iz3B3E

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:48 | 6426631 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

That's Hillarious!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:52 | 6426640 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Serious stuff.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:58 | 6426663 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Priceless!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 16:03 | 6427205 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Thanks! Awesome! 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 18:36 | 6427665 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

Funny stuff, and required viewing imo, Miss E. I don't speak German, but I think I will start saying "Scheisskopf" instead of its overused English equivalent. More expressive, more satisfying in every way.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:41 | 6426599 leeteam
leeteam's picture

 

The US has been manufacturing cars to keep people employed and to prop up the economy. China has been building their "Ghost Cities" for the same reason. All this over production with no car sales is reaching a critical state. The explosion of cars in China indicates how bad car sales have gotten.

Worst thing to have in a deflationary cycle is DEBT.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:44 | 6426613 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

First they will hike the prices because of China.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:45 | 6426622 Rikky
Rikky's picture

there's nothing wrong with buying a new car if you have the money and feel like spending it on one.  there is still some freedoms left in america.  the problem we have here is pumping velocity to keep the train moving which is inevitably going to go off the cliff.  every economy thinks they can export their way out of their socioeconomic problems but pray tell who's on the other side of that equation if no one is?  .gov and their financial gimmickry.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:47 | 6426627 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

don't look at me, i'm driving my old shit until they rot or are unrepairable

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:55 | 6426647 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

I bought a Citroen AX 1994 for 300 euros.  very lowmileage and gets 45 MPG.   I can't still change the oil and fix it like normal car and its UNHACKALBE.  Tires are cheap, and so are all othe parts.

Try doing your own work with a NEW CAR.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:01 | 6426675 Aussiekiwi
Aussiekiwi's picture

Yes agreed, I like being able to open up the bonnet on my car and actually being able to see the plugs etc, I just do oil every 6,000k's with a new filter, plugs every 40,000k's and transmission oil at about the same, throw some fuel injector cleaner in the tank, check the belts and crap, chuck a new battery in every couple of years and I'm done.

The problem is going to be what the hell do I replace it with that I can actually do minor maintenance on without having to put it in for $500 services twice a year? 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:18 | 6426726 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

Warning about injector cleaner in tank.  If you tank is dirty,  .....................well, you get the picture.

Better to pull injectors and clean separately.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:18 | 6426727 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

Warning about injector cleaner in tank.  If you tank is dirty,  .....................well, you get the picture.

Better to pull injectors and clean separately.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:34 | 6426783 Aussiekiwi
Aussiekiwi's picture

Yes you are right, but I'm lazy, seems to have been OK for the last 12 years...and I'm getting to that mileage that I could be in for some new ones anyhow.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:29 | 6426767 Abitdodgie
Abitdodgie's picture

"Bonnet" all the way from England are we , how is it over thier not been back in 25 years.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:32 | 6426773 Aussiekiwi
Aussiekiwi's picture

Still wet, cold and miserable, your not missing much :)

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:47 | 6426629 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

CASH FOR CLUNKERS 2.0 , but better double it.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:25 | 6426752 MSimon
MSimon's picture

CASH FOR CLUNKERS 4.0

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:50 | 6426633 Berspankme
Berspankme's picture

I'll get a new car if they give it to me free and charge it to Bernanke. Fuck You Ben

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:56 | 6426650 Aussiekiwi
Aussiekiwi's picture

Surely the FED could just create money out of thin air and give it to some corporation to buy all the new cars, seems to be what they have done with every other aspect of the economy.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:50 | 6426868 matinee55
matinee55's picture

fed aka corrupt gov. has been buying the sheit out of the people killer car company gov motors to keep this pos going

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 16:11 | 6427239 Loucleve
Loucleve's picture

I believe 59% of last quarters auto sales were GOVERNMENT bought.  unsustainable.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:21 | 6427767 Abaco
Abaco's picture

.gov turds in new vehicles are all over the place.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 01:59 | 6428407 BarkingCat
BarkingCat's picture

Forward Soviet!!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:57 | 6426653 Ajax_USB_Port_R...
Ajax_USB_Port_Repair_Service_'s picture

Push, drag, or tow in your old car and we'll put you a NEW vehicle TODAY! Complete with an 84 month payment book in the glove box. Well sure, you'll be upside down the entire 84 months, but YOU are getting a NEW car TODAY!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 13:57 | 6426659 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Expect more car-becues this weekend.

 

I'm out for a while bitchez!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:00 | 6426674 Lin S
Lin S's picture

Still driving my 1992 5-speed Toyota pickup.  313,000 miles, runs like a champ.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:58 | 6426904 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

nice job keeping her running...those were great trucks and still carry a premium and looked great...i'm strictly manual tranny myself

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 16:56 | 6427404 quietdude
quietdude's picture

I have a friend who hates automatic transmissions as much as I do. He says anything less than 3 pedals is not really a car :-)

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 17:12 | 6427446 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

automatics here in Europe are an option.   Most people enjoy driviing their cars.  Not the cars driving them.

Thats why we don't detune cars here or have them softly sprung like the cars we send to the USA with its crappy roads.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:10 | 6428716 Villageidiot777
Villageidiot777's picture

Manual transmission is way better on icy road anyway.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 02:01 | 6428409 BarkingCat
BarkingCat's picture

Don't drag (queen) Michelle into this discussion.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 15:46 | 6427109 quietdude
quietdude's picture

Good Job Lin - My 1998 Toyota truck with 5 speed manual has 206 K miles and runs like it will last forever. She is a little rusty and dented but runs like new.In addition to saving money, I am Fucking the state out of 6 percent sales tax on a new vehicle. Maryland is truly a money grubbing shithole.

BTW - May I ask what oil and filter you run? I use Amsoil synthetic and factory oil filters.

O

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 16:52 | 6427391 Lin S
Lin S's picture

Fram oil filters and Quaker State synthetic oil...

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 02:04 | 6428410 BarkingCat
BarkingCat's picture

Fram used to be great..20 years ago.
Now it's the worst garbage in n the market.
I would advise you to do a little research and switch.
In the same price range Purolator is much better, but Go up a few bucks and get a STP.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 14:13 | 6429349 NeoLuddite
NeoLuddite's picture

Fram is known as the orange can of death by automotive enthusiasts. Unknowingly installed a Fram filter on my SSEI - ruptured engine gaskets and seals. Cost $1200 to fix. Lesson learned.

Mon, 08/17/2015 - 17:03 | 6436917 Lin S
Lin S's picture

Good advice, will do and thanks!

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 10:22 | 6428860 post turtle saver
post turtle saver's picture

AC Delco and Mobil1 5w30 syn, Shell or Chevron/Texaco gas only ... replaced the heads on my engine recently at 70k miles, cleanest pistons you've ever seen ...

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:15 | 6427746 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Didn't they put the AX-15 tranny in those?  

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 22:27 | 6426710 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Illusion, delusion, confusion only for retards.

Yes, look at China, morons.

America is #1!

Sometimes I feel like Bugs Bunny mocking Elmer Fudd on this site.

What's up doc?

Are you really this stupid?

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:33 | 6426776 directaction
directaction's picture

A $5,000 treasury check for everyone will fix the inventory glut.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 15:20 | 6427010 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

They need to have mysterious fires in the auto storage places.

I think it's called     "Jewish Lightning"

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 16:02 | 6427200 Deathstar
Deathstar's picture

Yep, I still all it that. Fuck kikes and their "PC"

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:48 | 6426852 matinee55
matinee55's picture

time to burn or push some more into the ocean I guess

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 14:52 | 6426883 Zymurguy
Zymurguy's picture

Remember cash for clunkers?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Car_Allowance_Rebate_System

The first bailout of the car industry.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 15:48 | 6427135 Debugas
Debugas's picture

i want a new car but can only pay $3000 for it not more

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 20:42 | 6427931 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

The last time I purchased a new car for under $3000 was in 1968. And it was an intermediate size (116 inch wheelbase), not some pregnant roller skate. Good luck.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 16:07 | 6427222 yellowsub
yellowsub's picture

There will be a huge glut of used cars soon...

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 16:32 | 6427326 Omen IV
Omen IV's picture

The spread between new and used coming soon  - will be the largest in 20 years - between the defaults, rentals terminating, and the state government market purchases  being supported by the Fed terminating  - it will be a blood bath

everyone who believes they are getting a good deal on new -  is looking at the wrong thing - its not discount off of MSRP out of the showroom to value the deal -  but the loss that you will take on the used market - 3 years out of the show room - implosion coming

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 17:05 | 6427428 Baronneke
Baronneke's picture

There are a lot more abandoned airfields where they can store all this new cars so just keep producing !!

 

There are a lot of places like the following image on earth.

 

https://www.google.nl/search?q=new+cars+on+airfields&source=lnms&tbm=isc...

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 17:10 | 6427441 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

Geweldig.. schitterende

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 18:55 | 6427698 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

Wow. All those cars on the runways are like USTs on the Fed's balance sheet.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 18:13 | 6427612 Bopper09
Bopper09's picture

Simple to fix inventory to sales numbers.  Blow up the inventory.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 18:53 | 6427691 Savyindallas
Savyindallas's picture

Yes -and make it look like a terrorist attack  -to collect insurance and actually make a nice profit. Surely they do not have terrorist attack, act of war exclusion on their coverage. Even larry Silverstein was double insured for acts of terrorism. And he made billions on 911. How ironic that 3000 people and their families suffer such tragegy on 911 and Larry Silverstein makes billions. Rich Jews lives are truly blessed by the Almighty. As Blankfein says  -they are doing God's work  - and are being rewarded by God for doing so. Surely these are the Chosen people.  

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 18:26 | 6427651 are we there yet
are we there yet's picture

It is reasonable to think that the unrecoverable trillion dollar student loan debt has gone partially toward the unrecoverable sub-prime auto loans.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 18:52 | 6427689 Dr. Gonzo
Dr. Gonzo's picture

My car's only 32 years old. I'm not ready for a new one yet. Maybe in a few years I'll upgrade to something with a tape deck.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:05 | 6427725 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

I'm with you, Dr. G. My current ride is a 1972 BMW, not a show car, but a solid daily driver in B-plus condition. If  I ever had to replace it (No! No! No!), I would definitely stick with something pre-cupholder. Not sure about the 8-track.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:31 | 6427788 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

I got about a hundred cassette tapes available, got "I wear my sunglasses at night" and good ol stuff like that ...

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:59 | 6427850 BustainMovealota
BustainMovealota's picture

Exactly. My vehicle is 18 years old.  Woul;dn't even think about a new car.  Higher insurance, going into debt (big fuck no), have to worry about it getting dented, etc, etc.  Just not worth it.  

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 08:48 | 6428663 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Driving a 22 year old Corolla. When your rocker panels start to rust out spray a little bit of that yellow household foam inside the rusted out holes. Fills the inside, waterproofs the whole thing from the inside, and holds everything together. Just trim whatever pops out of the holes. It's paintable too.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 18:59 | 6427707 Clowns to the l...
Clowns to the left_ jokers to the right's picture

Just roll out Cash 4 Clunkers v.2 and everything will be fine. Right? Right?

 

Onward with the artificially inflated "economy", if you can even call what we have an economy these days.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:18 | 6427756 gwar5
gwar5's picture

I'd love for the car makers to hit rock bottom.

Ima love to buy one of the neo-version muscle cars like the new 700 HP GT500 Shelby Cobra or the Challenger SRT Hellcat. Just for shits and giggles. Seriously, they are pretty awesome. Twice the HP of the 60's versions and with digital handling. Even a caveman can drive one. And we will.

 

 

 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:33 | 6427792 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

they really know what they're doing don't they?  No wonder the CEOs and board of directors and executive management is paid so well   /snark

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 19:51 | 6427829 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

Subprime blowouts.

My buddy has an resellers auction license and year old loaded pickups 50-60k new to broke dummies sell to saavy dealers with cash for 15 -20k.

He gets some Harleys really cheap too.

His saying is "Your broken heart is my bread and butter".

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 20:14 | 6427883 mijev
mijev's picture

Several years back I got a 12 month contract and I needed a car. After reviewing all my options, I ended up rentng for a year from Enterprise. They had a 2+ month lease program and I negotiated a deal that meant I was paying 20% less than the cheapest lease deal I could find at the local dealers. Except the lease was a minimum two years and required a lot more paperwork and out of pocket expenses. When I told my (very jewish) accountant I was doing that, she had a fit until I showed her the deal. The best part was that I could swap cars every other month and I didn't worry about maintenance or any other annoying shit. I drove pontiacs, mazdas, jeeps and ford SUVs and enjoyed every one of them.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 20:31 | 6427907 Bear
Bear's picture

TSLA issues 1/2 Bil in new stock with 31 Bil market cap and people stop buying cars and TSLA goes exponentially up. Its hard to be The Bear in this climate.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 02:34 | 6427949 kareninca
kareninca's picture

We just paid $16,488 (cash) for a new car with a MSRP of $20,100 (2015 honda civic).  It was the first offer from the dealer's online offer-system; we didn't bother doing the "relentless bargaining" thing; it was already way lower than our credit union's buying-service deal.  We're a one-car family, and our last honda civic lasted 19 years and was still fine except for little things.  The dealership had/has a monstrous number of 2015s on the lot.  They are absolutely desperate to unload them.

I miss the old car, though.  All this electronic stuff is gross, and the rear/side visibility sucks.  Have to have total reliability if you just have one car and occasional emergencies, so it couldn't be helped. 

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 10:08 | 6428005 moratar
moratar's picture

doubled

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 21:20 | 6428007 moratar
moratar's picture

Just about to Crash!

Crash is comming any day now, almost crashed. Crash is obvious and MUST happen. Crash is a Fact it is already going on!

YAWN!

Fear spreading.

Same crap everyday since gold started to drop :) That was 4 years ago. Nothing crashed, life is going on slowly as alwasy, tommorow i have to buy bread and going to work on monday. Nothing crazy.

Once a week or so there is one nice article. The rest is just a junk.

ZeroH is a bit like an advertisement i see everyday since like 4 years. Ad says to visit some site and apply for job in my specialization.  But i never visited this site.

 

Gold is not going up.

Palladium price: 1998:400$, 2003:300$, 2008:~400$, 2013:700$, 2015:600$

Gold        price: 1998:300$, 2003:300$, 2008:800$, 2013:1300$, 2015:1100$.

 

Gold used to behave same as palladium or almost same, since 2008$ ppl started going crazy OMG crash :), crash happening for last 8 years *sarcasm* That so called crash is normal day since 8 years.

Gold should go down to 600$. Atm gold price is artifically high.

 

 

 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 22:05 | 6428099 scatha
scatha's picture

Look around you. Car market already crashed. Average age of car in US dropped from 6 to 13 years, cars per household collapsed, driven miles dropped 60% from 2007. Cars truly sold are about 9 millions (from 19 in 2007) and the rest is stored and crashed. See ZH story about hidden manufacture car inventory to keep people employed. I will not mention dealer inventory that car companies guaranteed buyback plus cost of the lot.

Look at corporate yields, they are borrowing like crazy and put it on huge off the balance sheet fake companies.

Look at state and federal subsidies and mandates, look at ninja car loans all that to artificially increase demand. Homeless and jobless can now buy Bentley with no money down and ZIR for decade.

Look at manufacturing recommendations for oild changed from 3k to 5k to 12k to 20k 6 month, a year or 2 or four years just to cover up the fact that people are too poor to even change oil since they are going nowhere daily. No family formation so no upgrades to bigger cars or minivans.

When demand collapse due to income collapse and destructions of savings of any kind including retirement and rampant food and rent inflation it cannot be all’s well in the auto land.

But I guest this is to boring for you.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 00:33 | 6428339 dumdum
dumdum's picture

 

By the end of 2017, GMH Holden, Ford and Toyota will no longer be manufacturing cars in Australia. Our Conservative government has woken up to the fact that you cannot keep subsidising a failing industry forever.

I hardly think that this is a good indication of prosperous times ahead.

By the way, those three manufscturers make up our entire car manufacturing industry, and therefore after 2017 it will be dead and buried.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 07:16 | 6428569 Benjamin123
Benjamin123's picture

They could still make cars albeit at higher prices and lower production levels. The unproductive poor should thank god for buses and the Zyklon B scarcity.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 22:50 | 6428176 yogibear
yogibear's picture

How about another cash for clunkers? This time off $5,000 off.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 22:54 | 6428184 Sages wife
Sages wife's picture

Cars are the new houses.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 23:11 | 6428208 fowlerja
fowlerja's picture

I am waiting for the subprime loans to start in the motorcycle industry.....so I can ride off into the sunset...and enjoy my midlife crisis..

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 23:34 | 6428238 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

I did that very thing last spring.  I paid the note on the bike and it was mine.  It's nice and I stole it.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 00:37 | 6428343 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

So you want to sell a Bike, nice bike?

Why not list it on ZH Classifieds??

Hm... Is there an exchange for Bikes in the USA?

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 23:32 | 6428234 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

There is a lack of affordable new cars on the market.  Pretty sketchy market and WAY overpriced for what you get.

Maybe the plan with Cuba is to give them some fiats for all of their old American cars?  There will probably some Cuban foreign aid packages proposed soon at the minimum.  We can give them all of those brand new electric car pieces of shit that have been produced recently as an example of fair trade and environmental stewardship. 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 23:35 | 6428240 JC-BI
JC-BI's picture

Maybe they already did

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 00:30 | 6428333 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Son, did you ever check out the leggs and lips of the bearded lady?

And did I ever tell you that after you got hired on wall street you could do as much coke and hookers as you like?

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 00:26 | 6428324 suzannacuahjsouiqxxg
suzannacuahjsouiqxxg's picture

As goes the auto industry, so goes the US economy!

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 00:32 | 6428335 sagitarius
sagitarius's picture

It is a time to invent a new way of hoovering around.
Or to give every African family in Africa a car.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 01:00 | 6428365 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

Check out the prices for what you get and that is base model trim.  I looked at a few of these cars and I can't do it.  It's financial suicide to finance a vehicle because you lose both ways.  I have owned a quite a few 500 dollar specials and you can get some value from them if you can do some simple wrenching and have a code reader. 

 

http://www.autobytel.com/top-10-cars/least-expensive-cars/coupes/

 

For you young guys out there I have some advice for you if you want a decent option for transportation.  Find a earlier 2000's Chrysler Town and Country that is in good shape with lower miles.  There are numerous reasons why owning a van is smart and utility is one of them.  Over the past five years, I have owned two T&C's from that vintage and I sold one for profit and the wife is still driving the other.  I fixed the AC and everything works.  Those vans are heavy and they handle well in questionable conditions.(Minnesota roads in winter)  Instead of an SUV, the Chrysler TC is where it is at and it gets better gas mileage.

I have liked both Mopar 3.3 liter engines so far.  I hate the GM 3.4 liter.  NEVER buy a GM with that 3.4 engine because the intake manifold gaskets go to hell and it's not an easy or inexpensive fix.  Since I have owned two of the T/Cs I can't really find too much to bitch about that is abnormal compared to other manufacturers and I find the value to be there.  You might look like a soccer mom but actually the "mini-van" is the best vehicle to own for a young man or any man.  It's heavy, it can haul all of your stuff at once and keep the rain off, the seats can be removed to haul sheet goods for shorter distances if you are fixing on a home, you can haul your kids, get groceries, etc.  

The older Chrysler TC's are a nice van to have in good running condition.  They made a lot of those vehicles and it's lowbrow kin known as the Dodge Caravan.  Essentially it is the same vehicle but the trim and options are much nicer in the Chrysler TC so you might as well have the options.  Buyer beware.  DYODD.

Buy tools.       

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 01:17 | 6428387 Youri Carma
Youri Carma's picture

Losses On Subprime Auto Bonds Reached 6.6% Last Month http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-11/here-s-one-sign-of-tro...

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 02:10 | 6428417 R19
R19's picture

What's credit?

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 04:15 | 6428497 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

Easy to explain this over production because soon a lot of americans have to live in a car, can't afford a house.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 04:15 | 6428498 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

Easy to explain this over production because soon a lot of americans have to live in a car, can't afford a house.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 05:07 | 6428520 JailBanksters
JailBanksters's picture

So they've been stockpiling cars again, if nobody buys them, you crush them, report a loss get the tax credits, and make new ones out of the scrap and start again.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 07:12 | 6428568 Benjamin123
Benjamin123's picture

Is that easy? Why not just not make any cars and report the same loss?

What is gained by assembling and then crushing a car?

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:03 | 6428699 silverer
silverer's picture

Actually, what happens is they don't crush the cars.  They sell them to the government.  I mean the taxpayer.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 07:38 | 6428543 CTG_Sweden
CTG_Sweden's picture

 

The problem with the US auto market is that lower middle class people want to buy too expensive vehicles compared to their incomes. The consequence is that people choose very long loan terms (although low interest rates may contribute) or that people postpone purchases of new vehicles.

 

In Switzerland, people buy cars such as the VW Golf although they can afford more expensive cars. In the US, people buy full-size pickup trucks like the Ford F-150 or the Chevrolet Silverado despite the fact that entry-level versions of these vehicles are about 60 to 70 % more expensive than the VW Golf. And Americans are not on the average 60 to 70 % richer than people in Switzerland.

 

It seems as if at least Ford is preparing for a future with more sales of less expensive and/or more fuel efficient vehicles. That is probably why they replaced the E-Series/Econoline with the Transit.

 

Furthermore, longer loan terms are more suited to durable cars. So the aluminum body of the Ford F-150 model blends well with the current trend towards longer loan terms. If this means that Americans will prefer used F-150s to new vehicles from other automakers I guess that the result will not be less sales for Ford. But I guess that the general improved longevity of cars and trucks will reduce the sales figures somewhat. I don´t know to which extent sales of spares will improve if cars get older. The demand for body parts will probably decrease with aluminum bodies. I doubt that owners of old aluminum bodied vehicles want to pay for expensive repairs if the body doesn´t rust. So I suspect that the dealerships won´t benefit from a transition to aluminum bodies. The big winners are probably the consumers.

 

I think that governments all round the world should have imposed small tax breaks for aluminum body vehicles long ago. Unitary body cars should not be made of steel. Especially in the past, when cars generally had a rather poor protection against rust, aluminum would have made sense. Unfortunately, the extra cost of aluminum bodies was hard to combine with the limited purchasing power of European consumers. And the longevity of drivelines in the past did not match the longevity of aluminum bodies. The only automakers which perhaps could have replaced steel with aluminum were Mercedes-Benz and producers of ultra-expensive cars (some expensive Italian sports cars, like the 1968-69 Ferrari Dino 206 GT and the 1957-64 Maserati 3500 Superleggera, featured aluminum bodies). It is no coincidence that the first mass produced aluminum body car was the top-of-the-line Audi, the A8. If Volvo in the late 1960s had continued its strategy to prioritize durability to everything else I guess that more affordable aluminum bodied cars could have been launched as early as in the 1970s. But since it is more expensive to make an aluminum body as safe as a steel body and Volvo had begun to prioritize safety I guess that the 1970s would have been too early for an aluminum Volvo. But I think that Volvo made a mistake when they did not give the new XC90 an all-aluminum body.

 

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 08:38 | 6428643 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

A lot more vehicles are getting plastic body parts closer to the ground to avoid rust. I have always wondered why car makers don't just make those parts easily removable or replaceable even in steel or aluminum. But of course, a 10 year old rust bucket needs to be replaced, while a 10 year old car without rust just needs a tune-up.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:09 | 6428715 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

The problem with the US auto market is that lower middle class people want to buy too expensive vehicles compared to their incomes.

 

 

Wasn't that a big part of the mortgage problem? 


Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:15 | 6428723 silverer
silverer's picture

"The problem with the US auto market is that lower middle class people want to buy too expensive vehicles compared to their incomes." 

Actually, your statement is an interesting one.  I would say that you have to ask yourself where that decision actually comes from. Automotive tastes are nurtured by the marketing folks.  It's just not cool to have crank down windows, and the lack of all the rest of the typical anemities they pile in.  But it's almost a necessity for the manufacturers to include all those extras,  to make the margins necessary to run their operation.  For instance, try walking onto a US car lot and ask to look at their two wheel drive pickup trucks.  You won't find any.  Most people in the US need four wheel drive like a fish needs a bicycle.  How about 4x4 pickups in Florida that never go off road?  And trailers were towed just fine with two wheel drive for years.  The government adds a LOT of cost to cars.  A lot of what the government forces into cars is not necessary.  But people are brainwashed to accept it.  And there's the key.  Because I agree with you, most people buy more than they really need when they buy a car.  By just saying "no", things will be forced to change.  It's called "free markets" driven by informed consumers.  The government will have to back out, or watch the entire industry fold due to high costs.  Ten year car loans is not a solution.   I'll bet on the government screwing it up.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:24 | 6428739 Faeriedust
Faeriedust's picture

"By just saying "no", things will be forced to change.  It's called "free markets" driven by informed consumers. "

 

Oh, yeah.  Just TRY walking into a car lot and insisting that because you are under 5' tall, an airbag is a SAFETY HAZARD in your vehicle.  That you don't need or want power windows, an onboard computer and entertainment system, or a stereo, and the only child-proofing you require is a cage in the back cargo deck for emergency use.  The consumer has no control over what features do or do not come with a car, unless he/she/it is willing to order directly from the factory, wait six months or longer for the order to be produced, file mounds of paperwork in the matter of the airbags, and pay outrageous shipping charges -- not to mention having to buy this item brand spanking new, which is the worst waste of money in terms of automobile purchase as you lose half your equity the instant you drive off the lot.

At least my 1997 Suburu doesn't have an automatic "emergency" transponder tracking my location everywhere I go.  Yet.

Sun, 08/16/2015 - 04:28 | 6431138 CTG_Sweden
CTG_Sweden's picture

 

 

Faeriedust:

 

 

 

“[- - -] The consumer has no control over what features do or do not come with a car, unless he/she/it is willing to order directly from the factory, wait six months or longer for the order to be produced [- - -]”

 

 

 

 

 

My comments:

 

In Europe, more cars are ordered directly from the factory than in the US. The dealer inventory is generally a lot smaller in Europe.

 

Sun, 08/16/2015 - 04:31 | 6431144 CTG_Sweden
CTG_Sweden's picture

 

 

It seems as if Swiss consumers are less inclined than American consumers to buy vehicles they don´t really need.

 

Power windows are now generally standard equipment even in economy-class cars in Europe. Air condition, too. The extra cost price of power windows is probably less than $50. It doesn´t make a vehicle much more expensive. Ordinary air condition units without climate control are bit more expensive but I reckon that most consumers who have experienced cars both with and without air condition don´t want deny themselves air condition. But up to the late 1990s Swedish consumers generally preferred more horsepower to air condition. They chose the optional GLT package with 30 extra horsepowers but the same amount of piston displacement and torque for their Volvo 850s rather than air condition. It almost seems as if automakers in Europe initially had to force air condition on the consumers. I suspect that it was more cost efficient from a production point of view to let both European and American versions have air condition as standard equipment and that this contributed to make air condition regular standard equipment.

 

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:16 | 6428724 Faeriedust
Faeriedust's picture

Amazing.  A genuine contribution to the understanding of auto markets and how economic and profit considerations interact with government mandates and consumer needs.  Am I correct in guessing that you are actually Swedish?  American schools rarely produce this combination of intelligent thought and expression.

Sun, 08/16/2015 - 05:01 | 6431158 CTG_Sweden
CTG_Sweden's picture

80 % of the text books in engineering, business administration, marketing and economics used at Swedish universities are American. The lectures are generally summaries of the text books. Swedish instructions and manuals for laboratory lessons are not better than American equivalents. I would rather say that they probably are a bit more sloppy than their American equivalents at some universities. But generally I assume that Swedish university educations are about the same as their American equivalents.

However, I know that an American female student who had paid for education at the Söderturn University (one of the worst universities in Sweden) sued the university for poor quality. It was so obvious that the education was crap but Swedish laws did not allow the university or the government to refund tuition payments no matter how bad the education was.

The Swedish 9-year compulsory school and high school education are now a disaster according to the latest PISA studies. About half of the student can not speak Swedish. Student are playing with their smart phones during the lessons or screaming to each other. Well, maybe I´m exaggerating somewhat. But believe me, Sweden is a country headed south. The reason why Sweden so far has not faced more serious problems is that it doesn´t take great efforts to export wood and pulp to Europe. But as more people will have share this steady source of income the GDP per capita figures will most likely not grow like in the past. Therefore, Sweden is probably a country headed south. (I guess this was slightly off-topic.)

 

 

 

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 07:11 | 6428567 Benjamin123
Benjamin123's picture

Excessive production of anything is a First World Problem if there ever was one. How many cavemen ever worried about overproduction of bear meat and caves?

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:05 | 6428703 smacker
smacker's picture

Can't the car makers just hit the brakes on production?

oh wait ...wait ...their brakes don't work (!!)

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:20 | 6428732 silverer
silverer's picture

Unintended acceleration!

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:06 | 6428709 nathan1234
nathan1234's picture

Your cash in your account in the Bank.

Bailed  in!

In lieu take 1/2/3/... cars

Problem solved


Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:08 | 6428712 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

Time to start an automotive repo business. 

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:19 | 6428731 TiggrAndrews
TiggrAndrews's picture

2015 is a UAW contact year and 2011 was the last UAW contract year.  The car companies always build inventory leading into contract negotiations.  All of the dealer lots are full in the event negotiations falter.  Look at the charts again comparing 2011 and 2015 inventory builds.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 09:57 | 6428797 warsev
warsev's picture

"What comes next is simple... a production slump"

Indeed. The reason for the production ramp is to use as a bargaining tool in the ongoing UAW negotiations. Every time the industry is threatened with a strike it ramps up production and builds inventory. This is a padding against a strike, and also a demonstration to the UAW that the industry can withstand a strike. In similar circumstances in past years the auto manufacturers have filled the desert around Phoenix with thousands and thousands of new cars in anticipation of strikes.

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 10:14 | 6428836 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

DMV are subcontractors. Prisoners create free license plates, and the State charges 800% mark-up. 

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 13:11 | 6429225 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

Nice one here.  Park this rig in your suburban cul-de-sac and let your neighbors know what is up.  Better yet, start wrenching on it with impact wrenches at 6:00 AM on a Sunday!;-)  Seriously, I can't believe that a man can find this much steel for sale anymore at the price asked.  Too far to go get for me but some ZHer in the outlying Chicago area it would be worth a look.  

If you keyboard commandos out there are aware that if you ever really want a true revolution then you are going to need trucks like these to do it and a lot of them.  This is a market oriented site and these trucks are not always going to be available.  I see them dissappearing at an alarming rate.  

I realize that not everyone is going to see the value that I see in these old haulers.  They are beat up but if you can wrench you can make them come to life.  To me, they are a thing of beauty.  I don't care if everything does not work perfectly anymore because that is not the point.  Fix it.  After all, I am not bringing a fucking Prius to the fight.      

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 13:58 | 6429309 Sturm und Drang
Sturm und Drang's picture

 'not bringing a fucking Prius to the fight'

Like driving a white flag...

 

 

Sat, 08/15/2015 - 16:19 | 6429625 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

Check out the original 1960 Ford Galaxie in this one.  That car has class.  If it was produced today I bet the MSRP would be $249,000 plus first born.

 https://archive.org/details/Wonderfu1960

It was a world that most of us young' uns never got to live in.

 

Sun, 08/16/2015 - 23:39 | 6434248 kappal_toba_dhu...
kappal_toba_dhurr_ne_thook's picture

Deekras (dears), USA car companies make mostly junk and are supported by USA government.  On a level playing field, most fo them would not even be around today.  It is all nonsense to think that this industry is going to pull USA out of hot water.  Japanese and German technology is already way ahead.  Face facts - the industry in USA is dying fast.

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