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Industrial Production Rises Most Since November After Significant Downward Revisions

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Thanks to some considerable negative downward revisions, Industrial Production In July rose 0.6% (double expectations of a 0.3% rise) - the biggest MoM rise since November. However, year-over-year IP growth is flat at 1.3% - hovering at its weakest since the last recession. We previously noted the surge in auto inventories-to-sales (Motor Vehicle IP rose 10.6% MoM), which likely spurred this false dawn in IP, however, it is the rise in oil drilling - the first time since September - that raises an eyebrow as entirely unsustainable amid collapsing prices.

 

Thanks to the revisions, July looks awesome...

 

Thanks to the panic surge in Auto industrial production...

 

But YoY growth is flat at its weakest since the recession...

 

Of course, economists are rapidly extrapolating thisgrowth to support Fed rate hikes... missing the outlier-ness. We await next month's downward revisions.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 08/14/2015 - 09:29 | 6425613 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

No consumption but indutrial production up.  It is all weapons for the planned war?

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 10:22 | 6425752 hxc
hxc's picture

Mostly fighter jets and military heli's and shit. I work in manufacturing technology and once oil took a shit, the military Keynesians refilled the GDP bathtub with more G.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 09:34 | 6425623 replaceme
replaceme's picture

make it and the blow it up, hopefully w/out any casualties.  breaking windows is too slow.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 09:38 | 6425630 MSimon
MSimon's picture

Industrial "accidents" can break a LOT of windows.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 09:38 | 6425629 Temerity Trader
Temerity Trader's picture

Some war materials, but it is consumers with access to cheap credit out buying SUVs and granite countertops...exactly as planned. The Fed bubbles have been re-inflated and the bankers and oligarchs are elated. Now comes the real test...is infinite debt really possible? There is NO growth, so that lie about how growth will pay off the debts, is over. There is massive overbuilding again of condos, houses, etc, thanks to the Fed. it will all fall apart soon, but they will keep saying how they had no other choices. They wanted inflation, but the housing and equity bubbles are still not enough to satisfy them...they want more, as it benefits the wealthy most. It is all sick and gonna get ugly. Tech has supported the economy for 40 years and that is ending. No new toys on the horizon for the lemmings to use to entertain themselves.  Party over.

 

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 09:49 | 6425657 madbraz
madbraz's picture

another data point that is manipulated to serve the interest of HFTs of Wall Street.  downward revisions with a beat, rinse repeat.  Shyster industry.

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 10:05 | 6425696 fudge
fudge's picture

MOAR lies, we need MOAR Lies,,Don't these guys ever get sick of printing BS ?!!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 10:22 | 6425751 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

no they don't

 

but if someone shot yellen in the head a few times, that may wake them up

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 10:12 | 6425716 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

That production in 2010 was to the moon after the government fixed everything.  They just need to implement another fix and viola!

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 10:20 | 6425741 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

is this domestic production or does it include overseas (multinational) production as well?

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 10:20 | 6425742 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

car production is up  - they must have made more space available to park this shit in the corn fields in Nebraska

 

corn futures are way down, so parking shit that people don't need must be more profitable for the farmers

 

ahhhh, economic growth - it's a wonderful thing

Fri, 08/14/2015 - 11:57 | 6426097 gcjohns1971
gcjohns1971's picture

What will the rise be after the next round of downward revisions?

Just saying that if we knew what production actually was there wouldn't be revisions.

See?

They ESTIMATE what they think production OUGHT TO BE given a basket of indicators...and then when the real data comes out they issue a REVISION.

 

So how can I call a fake estimate that is no more accurate than the last one, and equally destined to be revised downward, a RISE IN PRODUCTION?????

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