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Chinese Stocks Crash 10% In 2 Days Despite Stable Yuan, Margin Debt Drops First Time In 8 Days

Tyler Durden's picture




 

At the end of the morning session there is more blood on the streets as The PPT never turned up...

  • *INVESTORS SELLING CHINA SHARES ON WEAKER YUAN: CHANGJIANG SEC.
  • *CHINA GOVT INACTION ON STOCKS CLD SPUR SELLING: CHANGJIANG SEC.

*  *  *

As we noted earlier...

Following yesterday's massive CNY120bn liquidity injection - the largest since Jan 2014 - and the notable absence of the plunge protection team in the afternoon rout ("we're only here for emergencies"), we note that margin debt fell for the first time in 8 days as Chinese farmers and grandmas realized once again that the stock market is not a free-ride to nirvana. Chinese stock futures indicate the losses will be extended at the open (SHCOMP -2.7%) as the Yuan fix is held unchanged.

Weakness in stocks continues...

  • *CHINA'S CSI 300 STOCK-INDEX FUTURES FALL 0.6% TO 3,603
  • *CHINA SHANGHAI COMPOSITE SET TO OPEN DOWN 2.7% TO 3,646.80

 

We suspect The Chinese Plunge Protection Team will be out today as we near the 200DMA once again...

 

 

And The PBOC sets the CNY Fix unchanged:

  • *CHINA SETS YUAN REFERENCE RATE AT 6.3963 AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR

For now, no further liquidity injections following yesterday's outpouring...

In a routine operation Tuesday, the People’s Bank offered 120 billion yuan ($18.77 billion) worth of seven-day reverse repurchase agreements, or reverse repos, short-term loans to commercial lenders in the money market.

 

The cash injection marks the biggest of its kind since Jan. 28, 2014, when the bank offered 150 billion yuan via 14-day reverse repos.

Some good news - or sanity...

  • *SHANGHAI MARGIN DEBT FALLS FOR FIRST TIME IN EIGHT DAYS

Outstanding balance of Shanghai margin lending fell by 1.6%, or 14.6b yuan, from previous day to 879.9b yuan on Tuesday, according to exchange data. Tuesday’s percentage drop was biggest since Aug. 3.

*  *  *

Finally, we offer, once again, Alhambra Investment Partners' Jeffrey Snider's perspective on the "dollar run" that China is undergoing...

To start this week, Ma Jun, chief economist for the PBOC, gave an email interview where he expressed his belief that the yuan will be more volatile but in either direction. Many still took those comments as if it were a veiled prescription toward devaluation.

In the near term, it is more likely there will be “two way volatility,” or appreciation and depreciation of the yuan, Ma said in a question-and-answer statement sent by email.

 

The central bank would move only in “exceptional circumstances” to iron out “excessive volatility” in the exchange rate, Ma said.

If the central bank will only intervene under “exceptional circumstances” then the mainstream immediately turned that into “the PBOC is allowing devaluation because that is what it wants.” How any such thoughts could be considered consistent with what the PBOC has been doing until last week can only be misunderstanding the wholesale nature of global finance. Before last week, the PBOC had been intervening (who else could it have been?) so that the yuan wouldn’t move at all.

ABOOK Aug 2015 China CNY

This week has so far conformed to the wholesale interpretation. Just two days after Ma’s “exceptional circumstances” reference, the PBOC was “forced” to act once more, this time in one of its largest internal injections to, one more time, keep the yuan from depreciating sharply. Pay close attention to net results despite the conventional language:

China’s central bank poured the largest amount of cash into the financial system on a single day in almost 19 months, signaling Beijing’s growing concerns about capital flowing out of the country following the recent weakening of its currency.

 

Short-term interest rates and bond yields in the world’s second-largest economy have spiked in the past week, following an abrupt decision by the Chinese authorities to devalue the yuan last week. As money leaves the country, the amount of cash in the financial system declines, pushing rates higher.

How is that not a “dollar” run, especially since it predates the assumed “devaluation”? The fact that the PBOC continues to flush “dollars” only suggests that it is not over; not even close (the amount of reverse repos PBOC undertakes in yuan is related and proportional to any “dollar” activity). Thus, I think that is why Ma reinforced the idea that China’s economy is in recovery and that the worst had passed at least economically. As I mentioned last week, after holding the yuan steady for five months the PBOC is just hanging on for dear life, hoping that the recovery message takes root and ends the run because it is obviously unable to do so in any fashion of either direction.

ABOOK Aug 2015 China SHIBOR2

While some indications show that perhaps the most acute part of the turmoil has passed, dating to around last Wednesday, that isn’t nearly the same as its welcome end.

 

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Tue, 08/18/2015 - 21:26 | 6441807 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

If shark fin, rhino horn, tiger penis no help, get the fuck out, Grasshopper.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 21:51 | 6441942 nuubee
nuubee's picture

I tried to devalue my dong, but the ladies just love me more for it.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 22:00 | 6441996 OldPhart
OldPhart's picture

Sometimes inflation is a good thing.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 23:12 | 6442268 markmotive
Tue, 08/18/2015 - 23:13 | 6442270 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

Burrish!

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 23:53 | 6442372 Save_America1st
Save_America1st's picture

Hmmm...Chinese chart porn...

 

I dunno...just doesn't do it for me.  I guess I'm a rayciss...

 

Keep stackin' phyzz, bitchiz...the shit's closer to hitting the fan than ever before.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 01:15 | 6442480 tc06rtw
tc06rtw's picture

 
  PPT + NaCN BOOM !
  

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 02:39 | 6442634 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

that's just everyday volatility

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 00:32 | 6442457 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

Rodham from God...?

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 04:13 | 6442708 Laowei Gweilo
Laowei Gweilo's picture

you do realize that 4-5 of the top 25 names or words in Chinese have distinct English-phonetic 'L's lol

asians r hard mode am i rite

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 02:41 | 6442640 OldPhart
OldPhart's picture

Another American firm I will never, in the rest of my life, buy from.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/cars/2015/08/17/gm-may-export-china-made-buick-us/31864817/

Take your bail out and fucking live with it.  I'm done.  I WILL NO LONGER BUY AN AMERICAN CAR.  Shove that up your ass.

And I'm someone that could pay cash.  Fuck you.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 06:20 | 6442786 new game
new game's picture

fuck gm...

at or by 150m(being generous) alternator, rebuuild caliphers, starter, 2nd set of brakes, water pump, erg ect pollution problem.

plus shit resale

compared to honda toyota

lets see, zero repairs on 171m and 175 m toyotas.

fuck gm

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 21:30 | 6441825 Fester
Fester's picture

Time for a drink.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 21:36 | 6441850 user2011
user2011's picture

How much pain can the little Chinese investors can handle....    Lost everything + more...    And still have an account open and still holding long on junk chinese companies ?!     That's more than the pain and suffering Jesus took...     Those little chinese investors should be rewarded with sainthood.

 

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 22:03 | 6442013 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

    Margin debt tends to drop when trades get closed(squaring up). I think a lot of Chinese equity exposure still wants to exit.

 

   Where's Carl Ican? How's those APPL calls you purchased against your shares Carl? You know, and I know some paperwork needs to get filed, if you hold them.

 Nasty risk( rate-time decay) premium? You're still in the money Carl.

 For how long? 

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 00:19 | 6442426 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

Previous reports about margin debt rising made me wonder if some people were taking one more double-down sucker bet in hopes of getting back some of their earlier losses before bailing. With the ticker going up no matter how ludicrous the fundamentals might look, the temptation must have been great for some of those who were deepest underwater.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 03:04 | 6442660 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

but didn't we read the government or the Shanghai market wasn't going to permit greedy short selling?

Doesn't that suggest that closing a short position would be frowned on the same as opening one?  

I defer to your expertise.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 22:34 | 6442152 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture
First rainfall since Tianjin explosion leaves city covered in mysterious white foam

 

The first rainfall to wash over Tianjin since a series of blasts struck a warehouse in the Binhai district last week has sparked a new wave of concern as an unidentified white foam has appeared on the streets.

Some who made contact with it are reporting a burning sensation on their face and lips, while others are reporting a stinging sensation on their arms. Some have said they experienced an itchy sensation, according to a NetEase News report.

 

http://shanghaiist.com/2015/08/18/first_rainfall_since_tianjin_explos.php

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 00:16 | 6442416 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

A burning sensation on their face and lips????

WTF, are they drinking it or just so stoned that they're falling facedown in the street.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 22:52 | 6442211 Mark123
Mark123's picture

Interesting to consider what happens now.  We are drowning in cheap asian crap that we don't need, there is no need for more factories in China, or anywhere else for that matter.  So....what do 7 billion people do now?

The petrie dish is looking mightly crowded and polluted.  Mother nature?

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 03:08 | 6442664 BringOnTheAsteroid
BringOnTheAsteroid's picture

The human race is on a precipice. It'll be fascinating to be alive and bear witness to the collapse of civilisation however on the down side things may become somewhat unpleasant.

We have plundered this earth to within an inch of our own lives and 99.9% of people don;t give a flying fuck.

This is precisly why civilsations collapse.

Buckle up everyone.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 23:07 | 6442255 fromthinair
fromthinair's picture

chinese markets are in free fall as I write .. 300 points in few mins and no uptick

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 23:27 | 6442315 Bitcoin Meiser
Bitcoin Meiser's picture

Bitcoin was also in free fall a couple of hours ago.

Tue, 08/18/2015 - 23:16 | 6442280 behind the curtain
behind the curtain's picture

Brings to mind a little Phil Collins .. In the Air Tonight.  Part crash .. part cyanide

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 00:50 | 6442490 Montani Semper ...
Montani Semper Liberi's picture

 Reminds me of Bowie...

 My little China girl
You shouldn't mess with me
I'll ruin everything you are
I'll give you television
I'll give you eyes of blue
I'll give you man who wants to rule the world.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 06:10 | 6442779 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

That song has to be about drugs. Heroin.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 00:56 | 6442499 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

Reminds me of David Letterman 1989

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oUMnqHaG3mM

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 00:09 | 6442400 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Second the popcorn idea.  Will the Party come in and buy support at the 200 DMA or won't they?  Or will they allow a bloodletting below the 200 then snap it back?  Betting on the latter is higher-percentage since it bypasses risk based on the uncertainty of the former.  They did say they would support the market for years to come ... can't let down the people here can they?

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 00:16 | 6442420 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Bullish for US equities just because.

:)

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 06:05 | 6442503 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Bitcoin takes a huge shit today (over 15%) and ZH is silent on the event...

 

I can't stand Bitcoin stories but this one is the first one to matter in a while.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 06:12 | 6442780 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

I have no bitcoin, no gold, and 2 silver dimes. I'm going down with the ship.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 06:49 | 6442812 SirBarksAlot
SirBarksAlot's picture

Buy canned food and sell it when the store shelves are empty.  Especially canned chicken.  If it doesn't pan out, you can always eat it.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 01:08 | 6442525 FreedomGuy
FreedomGuy's picture

So, you devalue your currency 5% which is an automatic, immediate and irretrievable loss. Your own citizens have been trying sneak out of your currency by buying assets abroad and you just proved them right. People like to invest in a strong currency with minimal shenanigans. Yet, the Chinese want everyone in and outside the country to buy into their heavy handed direct manipulation of the markets. 

Just shoot the sellers, short sellers and off shore traders. That would be about right. 

Tell me again what economic geniuses the Chinese are? I seem to remember the same thing being said about the Japanese not so long ago. 

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 01:48 | 6442573 starman
starman's picture

meh in a comunist run exchange everything is possible!

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 02:29 | 6442622 Debugas
Debugas's picture

simple - outlaw margin debt and the market will stabilize

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 02:48 | 6442644 falga
falga's picture

5% drop is not allowed for more than one day... so buy when it is down 5% for a move up and then sell again... China govt is there to assist you in this rigged game

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 02:49 | 6442645 JailBanksters
JailBanksters's picture

But, is this due to China or the US Banks shorting the shorts out of it for some short term gain.

Now if it's US Banks, then under whose orders, the Government or Federal Counterfeiters ?

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 03:27 | 6442679 user2011
user2011's picture

Just seeing how those communist government officials rig the market and lured all the ignorant people is disgusting.   The corrupted officials sent their offsprings to the western world and then leave the civilians bloodbath in the stock market and the real world.   

Communists and Islam are two worst thing mankind has invented.

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 03:31 | 6442682 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

hey

Chinese stocks are now down 10-12% since Monday's close.

 

prolly Tianjin rage

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 04:05 | 6442697 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

The Party Bosses and Princelings and politically connected Fat Cats have had all their shares bought up by the captured State Enterprises with buybacks and by the Trading Desks which were forced to do so by Party fiat.

The rest who were not smart enough to bail or who couldn't because trading in the shares they held were suspended are going to be left to crash and burn...

Rigged Casino...

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 04:14 | 6442709 Batman11
Batman11's picture

I was going to say that!

Wed, 08/19/2015 - 09:14 | 6443229 headhunt
headhunt's picture
"Stable Yuan"

That is some funny porn.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!