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Aug 20 - Fed Minutes: Conditions For Rate Hike Approaching Hike....
EMOTION MOVING MARKETS NOW: 11/100 EXTREME FEAR
PREVIOUS CLOSE: 14/100 EXTREME FEAR
ONE WEEK AGO: 10/100 EXTREME FEAR
ONE MONTH AGO: 36/100 FEAR
ONE YEAR AGO: 32/100 FEAR
Put and Call Options: EXTREME FEAR During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 27.71% as investors make bullish bets in their portfolios. However, this is still among the highest levels of put buying seen during the last two years, indicating extreme fear on the part of investors.
Market Volatility: NEUTRAL The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is at 15.25. This is a neutral reading and indicates that market risks appear low.
Stock Price Strength: EXTREME FEAR The number of stocks hitting 52-week lows is slightly greater than the number hitting highs and is at the lower end of its range, indicating extreme fear.
PIVOT POINTS & SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS
EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY | USDCAD | AUDUSD | EURJPY | EURCHF | EURGBP| GBPJPY | NZDUSD | USDCHF | EURAUD | AUDJPY
S&P 500 (ES) | NASDAQ 100 (NQ) | DOW 30 (YM) | RUSSELL 2000 (TF) | Euro (6E) |Pound (6B)
EUROSTOXX 50 (FESX) | DAX 30 (FDAX) | BOBL (FGBM) | SCHATZ (FGBS) | BUND (FGBL)
MEME OF THE DAY – IT’S THE JERKS
UNUSUAL ACTIVITY
IDTI Vol weakness SEP 19 PUT ACTIVITY @$1.25 on offer 4500+ Contracts
SLB SEP 80 PUT ACTIVITY @$1.31 on offer 4000+ Contracts
PYPL SEP WEEKLY4 PUTS on the BID @$1.35 3700 Contracts
SPLS DEC 15 CALLS on the OFFER @$.90-.95 6000 Contracts
SEMI - CEO Purchased $300k+ total
AVHI Director Purchase 1,920 @$ 13.9989 Purchase 1,280 @$13.99
HEADLINES
Fed Minutes: Conditions for rate hike approaching hike, but not there yet
Fed's Bullard says he Will argue for September liftoff
Fed's Kocherlakota: Raising rates now would be a mistake
US CPI (MoM) Jul: 0.10% (est 0.20%; prev 0.30%)
US CPI (YoY) Jul: 0.20% (est 0.20%; prev 0.10%)
US CPI Core (MoM) Jul: 0.10% (est 0.20%; prev 0.20%)
US CPI Core (YoY) Jul: 1.80% (est 1.80%; prev 1.80%)
US Real Avg Weekly Earnings (YoY) Jul: 2.20% (prev 1.80%)
US MBA Mortgage Applications (14 Aug): 3.60% (prev 0.10%)
US DOE Crude Inventories (WoW) Aug-14: 2.62m (est -820K; prev -1682K)
WTI futures settle 4.3% lower at $40.80/barrel
ESM: Greece to receive EUR 13bln disbursement on Thursday
ESM: Greek debt relief to be considered in Oct-Nov
GOVERNMENTS/CENTRAL BANKS
Fed Minutes: 'Approaching' hike, not there yet --CNBC
Hilsenrath: Fed's Signals Mixed on Rate Increase at September Meeting --WSJ
Fed's Bullard says he Will argue for September liftoff --MNI
Fed's Kocherlakota: Raising rates now would be a mistake --WSJ Op-Ed
Fed RRP (19 Aug): 31 bidders. $84.4bn (prev 34 bidders, $88.1bn)
PBOC's Zhou urges 'capital restraint' over three policy banks --Caijing bia BBG
IMF: China won't join SDR till Sept 2016 at earliest --FT
ECB: EZ excess liquidity rose to E472.92bn (prev E471.54bn) --Livesquawk
ECB: E781m borrowed using overnight loan facility, E156.8bn deposited --Livesquawk
Dutch defeats no-confidence motion in parliament --Rtrs
Ex-BoE Miles: Rates will rise pretty soon --BBC
GREECE
ESM: Greece to receive EUR 13bln disbursement tomorrow, --Livesquawk
ESM: Greek debt relief to be considered in Oct-Nov --Livesquawk
EG's Dijsselbloem: IMF, euro zone can agree on Greek debt
Greek bailout moves ahead after German parliament backs programme --BBG
German FinMin Schaeuble rules out debt haircut for Greece --Rtrs
Schaeuble: IMF will join Greek deal if conditions met --ForexLive
Fitch Upgrades 2 Greek Banks' State-Guaranteed Debt To 'CCC' On Sovereign Upgrade
GEOPOLITICS
OSCE not prepared to work in Gorlovka under fire
Poroshenko to discuss Ukraine situation with Hollande and Angela --Armenpress
Merkel calls summit over rising violence in Ukraine --FT
Reports of gunfire near Dolmabahce Palace in Istanbul --ForexLive
UN to let Iran inspect alleged nuke work site --AP
Iran boosting strategic defense production --PressTV
FIXED INCOME
U.S. Government Bonds Strengthen After Fed Minutes --WSJ
Norway SWF posts first decline in three years on bonds --BBG
Iraq courts investors before international debt sale --FT
Glencore bonds slump on poor earnings --IFR
FX
USD: Dollar dips after Fed minutes --FT
CNY: IMF says China won't join SDR till Sept 2016 at earliest --FT
COMMODITY FX: Oil currencies under fire as WTI tumbles --FT
TRY: Turkish lira hits fresh record low --FT
ENERGY/COMMODITIES
WTI futures settle 4.3% lower at $40.80/barrel --Livesquawk
Brent futures settle 3.4% lower at $47.16/barrel --Livesquawk
DOE US Crude Oil Inventory Change (WoW) Aug-14: 2620k (est -820K; prev -1682K)
DOE US Distillate Inventory Change (WoW) Aug-14: 594K (est 1500K; prev 2994K)
DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory Change (WoW) Aug-14: 326K (est 505K; prev -51K)
DOE US Gasoline Inventory Change (WoW) Aug-14: -2708K (est -1250K; prev -1251K)
DOE US Refinery Utilization (WoW) Aug-14: -1.00% (est -0.50%; prev 0.00%)
CRUDE: Oil down on surprise inventory build --ForexLive
CRUDE: EIA cuts WTI forecast for 2015, 2016 --FT
EQUITIES
EARNINGS: Glencore profits hit by oil and metal price slowdown --BBC
EARNINGS: Target raises 2015 earnings forecast for second time --Rtrs
EARNINGS: Staples reports profit decline as sales slide --MW
EARNINGS: Lowe's earnings miss estimates --CNBC
M&A: AbbVie buys special review voucher for $350m --Rtrs
SALES UPDATE: Imperial Tobacco upbeat despite falling volumes --FT
TRADING: Short sellers target European luxury stocks --FT
JV: India's Tata to invest almost $100m in Uber --FT
F&B: Carlsberg shareholders drown sorrows after warning --FT
F&B: Coke takes minority stake in organic juice maker Suja --CNBC
LEGAL: Citi to Pay $15m to Settle US Compliance Charges --FBN
Toyota to seek price cuts from suppliers --Nikkei via BBG
EMERGING MARKETS
FLOW: Investors pulled near $1trln from EMs --CNBC
CHINA: China stocks rebound, but who is buying?
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