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No Bullard Bailout Today: Unscheduled Fed President Comments Leave BTFDers Bent Over

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The last time Bullard made unscheduled comments during a market crash, was last October when he hinted at QE4 and the market went vertical. Moments ago the St. Louis Fed president once again was quoted by Bloomberg, this time speaking on SiriusXM of all places, although much to the chagrin of Pavlov's BTFDers, he had absolutely no soothing words for what is a week the permabulls would love to forget.

  • ST. LOUIS FED'S BULLARD SPEAKS ON SIRIUSXM BUSINESS RADIO
  • BULLARD SAYS MORE SANGUINE THAN MARKET ON GLOBAL OUTLOOK, CHINA
  • BULLARD: FED WILL ASSESS ECONOMIC PROGRESS AT SEPT. FOMC
  • BULLARD: LOT OF GOOD THINGS HAVE HAPPENED IN U.S. LABOR MARKET
  • BULLARD: WE'RE IN VERY GOOD SHAPE WITH RESPECT TO LABOR MARKET
  • BULLARD SAYS HE SEES U.S. JOBLESS RATE DECLINING FURTHER

The funniest line by far:

  • BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN'T REACT DIRECTLY TO EQUITY MARKETS

Yeah, we are still laughing at that one... But worst of all for the 17 year old hedge fund managers:

  • FED'S BULLARD SAYS U.S. GROWTH OUTLOOK IS "RELATIVELY GOOD"

Which is horrible news for those begging for QE4 yesterday.

Oh well - if the Fed won't prevent a 10% correction, check back when we are approacing an S&P bear market.

 

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Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:21 | 6452180 Roving reporter
Roving reporter's picture

Bullard: LOL

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:23 | 6452191 bigdumbnugly
bigdumbnugly's picture

BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN'T REACT DIRECTLY TO EQUITY MARKETS!

 

 

since when exactly?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:24 | 6452195 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

the Fed gives Goldman/various HFT outfits lots of cash and tells them to interfere

see, no direct link.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:26 | 6452204 HonkyShogun
HonkyShogun's picture

They don't directly intervene?

 

Oh well l okay then. i was getting suspicious.

 

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:28 | 6452222 clooney_art
clooney_art's picture

The Fed doesn't directly intervene. The goombas and wisemen of the  treasury do that nasty deed..

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:42 | 6452257 remain calm
remain calm's picture
  • BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN'T REACT DIRECTLY TO EQUITY MARKETS
  • Maybe not overtly but covertly it's no holds bar

and not until the market is down 10% on the opening will they panic

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:47 | 6452316 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Latest update:

 

  • BULLARD: FED WILL ASSESS ECONOMIC PROGRESS AT SEPT. FOMC
  • BULLARD: LOT OF GOOD THINGS HAVE HAPPENED IN U.S. LABOR MARKET
  • BULLARD: WE'RE IN VERY GOOD SHAPE WITH RESPECT TO LABOR MARKET
  • BULLARD SAYS HE SEES U.S. JOBLESS RATE DECLINING FURTHER
  • HEADBANGER:  WHAT I SAID YOU MOOKS!
  • HEADBANGER: THE FERAL RESERVE WILL RAISE RATES SOON NO MATTER WHAT
Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:56 | 6452357 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

Maybe they should lower interest rates.....oh wait.......maybe they should raise interest rates....just try it Bullshit Bullard

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:08 | 6452377 Supernova Born
Supernova Born's picture

So an unscheduled statement by Bullard stating the Fed is indirectly intervening.

He is basically saying chill until the indirect intervention works its way through the system.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:35 | 6452487 new game
new game's picture

fuck bullard in the ass, he is on cloud 9er, try living on a 13/hr job that used to pay 20 plus and scrap by. oh, yea(fuckhead), plenty of jobs, yea, sucking dick, waiting tables. clean your fucking mansion, warehous at amazon, walmart alnighters, fuck off you cocksucker in a ivory tower. clueless basterd...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 16:38 | 6453136 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Old news made new.

 

"That could be a precursor to difficult decisions in the months ahead."

 

http://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-signals-rate-moves-before-years-end-1434...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:13 | 6452418 chunga
chunga's picture

Uncle Janet has moar weapons in her toolbox. In Sept. she'll uncork "Operation Grift" and "buy" loads of student debt, subprime autos, pay-day loans.

Presto! We're saved!

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:26 | 6452206 bigdumbnugly
bigdumbnugly's picture

so "directly" being the key legal defense term here...

very resourceful...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:36 | 6452265 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Beelzebub won't buy it, though, as he has a special place in hell reserved for legalists.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:42 | 6452297 bigdumbnugly
bigdumbnugly's picture

does he sell tickets so the rest of us can watch from a distance?

(i know i shouldn't derive pleasure from that... but i'm only human after all).

and are there umbrella drinks and parasols available?

i'm contacting my travel agent now...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:03 | 6452367 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Fraud-Falsifiers: Circle 8, Bolgia 10.

...so the rest of us can watch from a distance?

Good idea.

The falsefiers are considered by Dante to be a "disease" to society, so they are all inflicted by some sort of disease or affliction as their punishment in Hell.

Bring your own ice, and don't forget to tip the ferryman.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:19 | 6452439 Carpenter1
Carpenter1's picture

Pavlov's BTFDers

 

That's exactlty what they are too.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:26 | 6452212 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

the boyz are short......time for some sheep meat

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:32 | 6452243 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

You mean,

Muppet meat.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:57 | 6452362 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

They like their lamb chops well done

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:31 | 6452233 Lumberjack
Lumberjack's picture
SunEdison Sped Up $1 Billion Goldman Deal to Reassure Investors

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-19/sunedison-sped-up-1-bi...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:24 | 6452200 pods
pods's picture

So he reacts to the equity markets by saying he doesn't react to he equity markets?

lol.  

Send in the clowns!

pods

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:36 | 6452263 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Bull(ard) fucking shit!

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:31 | 6452236 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

Did he actually say that with a straight face? Was this a tweet so nobody could sim him laughing? 

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:31 | 6452230 Big Beta Bill
Big Beta Bill's picture

The labor market is a lagging indicator!  Are these the only positive data points they've got?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 16:10 | 6452978 indygo55
indygo55's picture

They get a fucking discount for TRADING the market. And with unlimited funds. Its public knowledge. WTF!!!

That statement alone should get him fired.

 

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:22 | 6452182 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN'T REACT DIRECTLY TO EQUITY MARKETS

FED DOES REACT DIRECTLY TO INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE BANKS THAT OWN IT.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:23 | 6452190 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

PPTs have a 3:30 plan in the works, otherwise they'll be canned by 4pm.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:25 | 6452203 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

The equity markets indicate the reponse by the Fed, not the stimulus.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:27 | 6452218 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

just look at how it moves as it attempts to reach lower lows....

a steady decline over time to the downside followed by sharp moves off the lows in like 30 minute pops...

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/DJIA

 

over and over again...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:31 | 6452237 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

Luring the BTFD and shorters to fuck them both.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:42 | 6452305 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

so 3M is the stock in the Dow that everyone is buying hand over fist to keep that 300 plus point loss of the books today aye????

yeah, the calvary to rescue for the reminder of the day....

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:27 | 6452215 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

If they were attempting to instill confidence with that comment, they would have been better off sending out a drooling, topless, cockeyed Yellen mumbling incoherently.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:50 | 6452334 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

I was going to give you -1 for the visual then I reconsidered when I realized you limited it to "topless."

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:22 | 6452187 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

FED'S BULLARD SAYS U.S. GROWTH OUTLOOK IS `RELATIVELY GOOD

...on a long enough timeline...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:58 | 6452365 Central Bankster
Central Bankster's picture

Looks like the Fed is willing to sacrifice equities in order to preserve a strong dollar.  In the future, as things get worse (and after the dollar has strengthened some more), they will sacrifice the dollar once again with QE to prop up equities/bonds.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:23 | 6452194 MauritiusGold
MauritiusGold's picture

Did he mention the impending new gold standard? No?! How odd....

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:24 | 6452198 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Somebody didn't shove the proper floppy in the right orifice, so all he can produce is base programming platitudes.....

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:27 | 6452199 fed_depression
fed_depression's picture

Did he just blow the Fed's credibility. We will know in a few weeks.

 

BULLARD: Serveral alternative inflation measures near 2%

 

I.E. - NO QE.

 

Ut oh. Rich are gonna eat the shit stick this time.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:24 | 6452202 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

yes not directly but indirectly obvioiusly.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:27 | 6452207 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

The Theory of Evolution works in Economics.

We have winessed the creation of a new animal.

The FED is the ass and the EQUITY MARKET is a tentacle.

There is no difference between the FED and the MARKETS.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:07 | 6452396 negative rates
negative rates's picture

The QUEEN is dead, long live the queen(s).

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:33 | 6452208 Rathmullan
Rathmullan's picture

Time to raise rates and claim victory before trying that negative interest rate thingy in 2016.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:26 | 6452210 Banker Buster
Banker Buster's picture

Janet Y: We need to turn this market back into a bull people.  Quick, Kevin Henry use every last tax payer dime to sell the VXX.  Call Citadel and ask them to turn on the illegal spoofing machine.  Hell, call gartman and tell him to announce on CNBC he is shorting 1 unit of the S&P.  This isn't about saving 401k's, this is a matter of being right, we cannot be wrong!

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:26 | 6452213 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

The market is calling bullshit on Bullard by selling off to force the Fed to react.  I need some popcorn.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:27 | 6452219 SillyWabbits
SillyWabbits's picture

I am always amazed when pontiffs speculate that the FED is this, that and the other thing.

No one outside the FED (and maybe a few within the FED itself) actually knows what the end-game is.

Therefore it is impossible to postulate with reason, exactly how close the FED is or isn’t to its goals, whatever they are.

They may be precisely on target as only they know the target and how good their aim is.

To assume that the FED is interested in the welfare of the world, or any portion thereof, which is not expressly within their unknown destination ….. one cannot estimate their arrival or how close they are to it.

The only thing the FED is out of is a reputation for honesty and fair dealing.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:36 | 6452264 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

The Fed does not have to do ANYTHING. The money for hyperinflation is already out there. That and the response of the government as it tries to maintain it's lifestyle will be all that is needed.

Coming soon to a world monetary systemnear you and your planet....unless we get a repeat of the Maunder minimum...in which case I suspect food commodities will get bid.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:10 | 6452413 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

Is Bullard a KIKE?

 

Does a bear shit in the woods?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:27 | 6452220 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

Fun when these ass wipes have to put stacks of burning tires around their Hampton homes. 

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:28 | 6452223 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 

BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN'T REACT DIRECTLY TO EQUITY MARKETS

They just pay Citadel to do it for them.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:48 | 6452324 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Beat me to it Yen. +100.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:28 | 6452226 MauritiusGold
MauritiusGold's picture

Nav Sarao says 'don't blame me this time'.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:29 | 6452229 foodstampbarry
foodstampbarry's picture

Where's Beeks? Where in the hell is Beeks?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:41 | 6452234 fed_depression
fed_depression's picture

Forex appears halted. Well at least in USD/JPY I see no movement. There's bid ask but zero prints.

 

Forex.com is down.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:32 | 6452235 PhiBetaZappa
PhiBetaZappa's picture

The FED is the "market". The recovery that never was, rolls on.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:33 | 6452246 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

The commedy world lost Joan Rivers but at least we have the Bullard...the guy is a riot!! ('the Fed does not react to equity  markets hillarious!!)

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:41 | 6452293 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

Joan Rivers is rotting in hell, that goddam KIKE bitch.  Was never funny,  

Just before croaking she said all Palestianian kids should be killed.

I am trying to find out where she is buried so I can take a shit on her grave.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:33 | 6452248 Bill of Rights
Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:33 | 6452249 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

August 21, 2015 
Rome, Italy

I grew up in Texas in a middle class household to two very hard-working parents.

And to say we were middle class may even be a stretch. We were definitely clinging to the bottom rung of middle class.

Money was always a problem. And my parents each held multiple jobs in addition to making a go of their own business in order to make ends meet.

I never missed a meal. But the constant stress and worry about how we were going to pay the bills that month was palpable.

We didn’t have medical insurance or any savings, meaning we were just one illness or urgency away from being wiped out.

There always seemed to be too much month at the end of the money. So every penny mattered.

We didn’t buy anything unless it was (a) necessary, and (b) a major bargain.

Things eventually got better, as they tend to do. My parents found their financial footing and became more successful. And I’ve done well in life.

But I’ve taken those middle class values with me into the world, and they’ve deeply impacted my own investment ethos.

Just like what was drilled into me when I was a kid, I can’t stomach overpaying for anything. Even when investing, I’m only interested in a major bargain.

This happens occasionally in investment markets, though it’s extremely rare today.

There are plenty of profitable, well-managed companies out there. But they’re incredibly expensive. Twitter, for example, has a valuation of $17 billion. Yet it lost nearly $600 million last year.

Netflix manages to grind out a profit; but the company is valued at more than 200 times its earnings.

AirBnB is a private company. Yet its value is at least $25 billion even though it doesn’t own a scrap of real estate or turn a profit.

These all strike me as extremely expensive. And ludicrous.

But it’s unfortunately the norm these days.

Most financial assets are in major bubbles, whether it’s real estate (yes US housing is at that point again), stocks, bonds, private equity, etc.

So it’s very difficult for anyone with middle class values to invest... unless you expand your thinking to the whole world.

There are pockets of value out there if you look hard enough-- like mining companies and developing markets.

Let me give you an example of something that I bought recently, and talk you through my thought process. As a caveat, I should tell you that I generally dislike stocks.

Stock markets are a rigged game designed to extract wealth from the little guy and put it in the pockets of investment banks and high frequency traders.

So for me to be interested, there better be some serious value on the table.

Royal Dutch Shell, one of the world’s largest oil and gas companies, is a good example.

Thanks to the slide in oil prices down to $40 (and perhaps lower), Shell’s stock price has been hammered.

So the company is trading right now at the value of its net tangible assets.

In other words, by buying Shell stock, I’m purchasing every asset the company owns at COST.

Yet on top of that, they pay a 7% dividend yield.

In real estate, it’s like being able to purchase a beautiful house in the best part of town at a price that barely meets the cost of construction.

And on top of that, there’s built-in rental income that starts putting money in your pocket right away.

This is a solid deal in my mind, especially for a company that has a long-term history of consistently growing its dividend yield.

(By the way, I can reinvest the dividends that they pay me into more shares, so I’ll be continually adding to my position over time.)

The added benefit is that Shell is not a US company.

I bought the stock overseas (I’ll explain why next week) and paid in British pounds.

So I could make money off the dividend. Or if the stock price goes up. Or if oil prices go up. Or if the pound appreciates against the dollar.

That’s one of the primary benefits of investing internationally: there are a LOT of different ways to make money.

And it makes a ton of sense to do this now that the dollar is at a 10+ year high against nearly every major currency out there.

(Again, developing markets are looking especially cheap, and I also bought into some of them as well, including Russian and Colombia.)

To be clear, I’m not recommending that you follow me into this.

It’s entirely possible that Shell’s stock gets cheaper. In fact, I’m expecting it. I also expect it will stay cheap for a very long time.

I just have the willingness to wait, because I know that it’s hard to lose when you buy profitable assets so cheap. Plus, Shell has seen worse in its history.

During World War I, for example, German forces wiped out over 20% of Shell’s production capacity.

So I’m confident they’ll be able to weather $40 oil without collapsing.

Have a good weekend, 
 
Simon Black 
Founder, SovereignMan.com  
Fri, 08/21/2015 - 17:41 | 6453534 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

Dividend stock price change has been less correlated to QE shenanigans.  If you hold the stock long enough, oil prices will recover and you'll do well.  Downside risk is paradigm shift, or if the Negrotiator decides to try to kill oil via EPA taxes/"regulation".

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:34 | 6452251 Son of Captain Nemo
Son of Captain Nemo's picture

If only Bullard could have had a momentary crisis of conscience tourettes style and said "Jesus Christ what a sack of lying shit I am... This going to get messy"!

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:40 | 6452282 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

"Which is horrible news for those begging for QE4 yesterday."

 

It's actually Great news, because every one of those points he made, he knows himself, are absolute Bullshit on their face - i.e, 'liesure & hospitality' and LPR at 1977 levels...    Trying to throw a sneaky outside slider, and ends up tossing out whiffle ball...

 


Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:41 | 6452290 Deflationist
Deflationist's picture

Dear General ultimatum of Saturday will take care of all markets on Monday. Will unleash unprecedented hell on Wall Street.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:42 | 6452296 stateside
stateside's picture

Can we get the deer-in-the-headlights pretty please.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:42 | 6452300 Sam Spade
Sam Spade's picture

Haha, unlike October, this time Bullard is short the market

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:49 | 6452327 Sorry_about_Dresden
Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

This is the treatment we ought to mete out to finacial terrorist like Bullard:

http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=e94_1317489390

Look fair to you?

 

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:52 | 6452341 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

S&P Close >2000

S&P Close <2000

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:17 | 6452429 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

<2000

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:20 | 6452442 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

I voted > but with no conviction.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:25 | 6452465 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

i have no skin in the game so i voted with momentum

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:29 | 6452476 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Holding 2K in striking distance all day -- question is: does Lucy yank the football this time?  Is Bulltard a tell or a headfake?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:48 | 6452488 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

charlie tucks the football and runs for the wrong endzone

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 13:57 | 6452363 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN'T REACT DIRECTLY TO EQUITY MARKETS"

 

Somebody always has that Brooklyn Bridge for sale.  Somehow, they never manage to sell it.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:22 | 6452456 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

People are buying and selling the Brooklyn Bridge all the time on the crimex, It's been rehypothecated 100x over, but that's ok, since no-one really wants a bridge to Brooklyn anyways nobody takes delivery. They just roll it over.

Personally I am short Brooklyn Bridge in my margin account.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:04 | 6452382 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

And as we speak a vertical take-off occurs at the 2 O'clock hour!!

 

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:04 | 6452383 Ceomegaglobalcorp
Ceomegaglobalcorp's picture

If I were the momo boys and BTFDers I wouldn't stand for that. Just like the Chinese "investors" I'd go to that Mariner Eccles building and demand an ever rising stock market, and let them know in no uncertain terms that if it doesn't happen the central bank will be diissolved and they'll make another one that can get the job done! They need to show 'em who's boss, light a fire under their asses so they get a better understanding of Amerinomics. They need to tell 'em: a central bank that doesn't make equity and real estate prices go up forever is as useless as tits on a boar.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:06 | 6452393 Sorry_about_Dresden
Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:06 | 6452394 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

That's it, boys. Plunge is over, Protection team in action.

S&P will end near unchanged on the day. That's my prediction. This is just to scare people enough for when it gets real next month.

This is just a training exercise.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:09 | 6452403 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

Is Bullard a KIKE?

 

Does a bear shit in the woods?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:09 | 6452407 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

What they do is directly hit the PRINT button, and then indirectly buy shares in stocks and ETFS that are identified as key to turning the indexes around.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:16 | 6452426 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

How about this:  certian hedge funds have access to very generous lines of credit from the banks which own the Fed and are in turn backed by the Fed's printing press.  Those hedge funds execute the "indirect" policy.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:19 | 6452440 anonymike
anonymike's picture

.... right after getting off the phone with Blankfein who advised Bullard that his salary at GS would be 50% higher if her let it fall right now, while the trading desks were still thin

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:19 | 6452441 Heywood Jahblohmee
Heywood Jahblohmee's picture

MEGA PUKE FACTOR 9 BEX ALERT - Study of Holocaust survivors finds trauma passed on to children's genes

 

Genetic changes stemming from the trauma suffered by Holocaust survivors are capable of being passed on to their children, the clearest sign yet that one person’s life experience can affect subsequent generations.

"See? See? Now you have to KEEP on giving us money, forever and ever and ever and ever and ever ..." -- Nodding Yahoo

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:28 | 6452473 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

In Kanada, I'm starting to hear people are offering classes in house flipping. I seem to remember hearing these ads on Amerikan stations years ago.

Top?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:40 | 6452510 polo007
polo007's picture

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/21/us-usa-fed-inflation-idUSKCN0Q...

US Federal Reserve tightening cycle scenario involves risky bet on inflation

By Howard Schneider

August 21, 2015

Federal Reserve officials planning to lift interest rates as soon as September have been encouraged by solid U.S. jobs growth, but inflation holds the key to how far the Fed can go in moving rates away from zero.

Fed officials have said that they do not need to see prices accelerate to start raising rates after six years near zero, and "lift-off" appears nearly ordained by a 5.3 percent unemployment rate, the lowest since April of 2008.

But it would be a leap of faith to move any further without proof that prices are on the rise, say current and former officials familiar with the central bank's debate and the current state of inflation research.

If prices remain stalled as the Fed tightens, inflation-adjusted "real" rates would rise faster than the Fed wants, and threaten the recovery. Given the uncertainty among economists about how inflation works in the post-crisis world, it may be risky to assume higher prices will necessarily follow a tightening job market.

"There is a big component of inflation that is just going to be idiosyncratic and unexplained," leaving policymakers to take their best guess about it, said former Fed research director David Stockton.

He said that after an initial rate increase, Fed Chair Janet Yellen would lead her colleagues on a "cold, dispassionate examination" of what the inflation data are actually showing.

"If inflation is not moving back to target ... then she can argue for a go-slow approach."

NEW DYNAMICS

Inflation will be the key topic at the Fed's annual Jackson Hole economic conference on Aug. 27-29 and the gathering is likely to highlight how little policymakers and economists feel they understand about the behavior of something so central to monetary policy.
 
Inflation did not fall as much as expected during the 2007-2009 recession, it has not risen as much as expected during the recovery, and there is suspicion it may remain hard to budge, said Michael Owyang, an assistant vice president at the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank.

"There has been a lot of new research. Volumes of new research. And I am not sure there is a consensus about how policy affects inflation at the zero lower bound," Owyang said, referring to the fact that the Fed's benchmark has been held near zero since late 2008. "Inflation dynamics have changed."

The rest of the world is not helping. A weak global economy has depressed world commodity prices. The prospect of the Fed raising rates has boosted the dollar, further undercutting inflation through lower import prices.

That has confounded the Fed's forecasts for a year now, and according to minutes of its July meeting remains a central concern - and one of the risks that could delay an initial rate hike beyond the Sept. 16-17 policy meeting. After the minutes laid out the internal debate about inflation, investors cut their expectations for a September "liftoff" in favor of December.

The Fed, keen to move away from zero and create some policy wiggle room, may still move. But at some point it needs inflation to do so as well.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:44 | 6452524 fowlerja
fowlerja's picture

Personally.. I think the weather has something to do with today's market...yes..I see thunderstorms, lightning, hail, tornados, water spouts, and high winds... batten down the hatches...

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 14:45 | 6452527 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

the hell they don't

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 15:04 | 6452603 InsanityIsWinning
InsanityIsWinning's picture

Doesn't react to markets? Who the hell are they kidding . . . sure not down 5%, how about 20%.  The fed will blink and that will be the starting gun for gold. The fed is losing control  . . . .

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 15:15 | 6452667 Goldbugger
Goldbugger's picture
  • FED'S BULLARD SAYS U.S. GROWTH OUTLOOK IS "RELATIVELY GOOD"

Yeah that's why we have record high volume of OIL that no body is using. Bullard = Bullshit.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 15:29 | 6452737 Sorry_about_Dresden
Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

It is 3:26 p.m. EST and the S&P 500 is below 1983.

This looks like capitulation to me. 

Margin calls will beget sales of PMs and lead to lower AU prices?????

Lower AU prices is counter intuitive but makes sense if you factor in financing of margin calls!.....Maybe?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 16:09 | 6452968 Conax
Conax's picture

The people having to make those margin calls all despise PMs, shoot their wads on equities, but when their paper dives they are purportedly driven to sell their massive gold and silver holdings (they never bought) right?  These canned responses (profit taking, covering margins, etc) are getting a little threadbare.

The monkey hammers come out whenever the equities slide, that is all.

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 16:02 | 6452927 Conax
Conax's picture

The BTFD'ers got cornholed after they bought it.

BULLAAAARD! 

You should at least buy them dinner or a happy meal or something first!

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 16:47 | 6453179 css1971
css1971's picture

 

BULLARD SAYS FED DOESN'T REACT DIRECTLY TO EQUITY MARKETS

 

WTF? Since when?

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 17:12 | 6453343 Herdee
Herdee's picture

He's like that 10 year old kid from Mad Magazine and his baseball cap which read "professional liar".

Fri, 08/21/2015 - 21:49 | 6454363 Sorry_about_Dresden
Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

This was Kevin Henry day off. 

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