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September Rate-Hike Probability Crashes To Just 28%
The message from the market to The Fed...
"Hike" and it's all over...
The probability of a hike has been cut in half in just over a week!!
Charts: Bloomberg
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The S&P500 falls 20% from its all time high and then QE4 happens as does the rebound.
Bear markets are consigned to history just like deflation has been. Bwa-ha-ha-ha!
Is it seasonally adjusted 28%? ;-)
Looney
I'm calling zero right now.
I called a rate hike because it would allow the Fed political cover to implement the policies they really want to enact, they may not need it now but I think it’s still on the table. The St Louis fed has told you they no longer think QE is effective the opposite of what Bullard did with the crash last year when he hinted at QE4. What has changed, nothing on paper, I think it is their strategy that has changed.
Uh, no.
Who called for the gimp?
#bringbackmyratehike
Rate hikes are a right!
Out of razor blades are ya?
Possible. Both the 2010 ans 2011 20% declines lasted for less than 24 hours.
28% of all respondents to survey are raving fucking lunatics or bitch-ass liars.
But the longer term outlook is going up. Say the gamblers on Wall St.
The Fed is about to tell Wallstreet to go fuck themselves. The Fed serves the few.
September 2021 probability? US has too much debt to ever raise interest rates again
No rate normalization during my lifetime Bernanke
<<September 2021 probability?>>
September 2015.
More like 2115.
Hey Mr. Yellen and Obama -- pick it up by the ankles and spank it -- it's your economy!
What? They are bringing back 5.25% savings accounts?
"I can quit any time I want to."
Just leave me my glue......I have to have my glue.
That and amphetamines......yeah.....I'm good.
If the Fed is abolished, as it must be, there is a 100% chance rates will rise naturally.
If this is just the beginning, as many strongly suspect, it's hard to imagine how the CBs will revitalise the casinos before everything collapses on an epic scale.
"We swear that we really asked people and didn't just dream up a non-zero number" Bloomburg
I'm just spitballing here...could it be that this so-called "crashes" might actually a blessing in disguise for the Fed for not raising the rate? What do you guys think?
That is all this is. The market is throwing a tantrum for another QE cookie. It does not want zero interest to go to bed.
It will get what it wants.
Yellen will state the fed has assessed the global situation and that current conditions warrant keeping interest rates low for a further extended period of time.
Unless the Fed has had it with zero interest, extend and pretend is all they can do.
The market is throwing a tantrum
Mmmm......sugar coating.
Rate hike..... There's some funny shit right there. I don't care who you are.
I'm trying to think of the best anaology .....the market is hooked on free cash, and like all addicts, they know they have to quit sometimes ....but its hurting now and they need their fix ......"I'll quit some other time"
Yah ...QE4 is on the way ......and when it comes, those sober individuals who know and love the addict will finally throw up their arms..." You're never gonna quit and we are toast....don't call me....im leaving you"
fill in the rest.....
They are digging around in their shag carpet looking for some QE they know they dropped at their last party.
If they call hike, it's definitely butt-fumble time, bitchez.
http://espn1005.com/wp/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/630e1_grant_s...
insightful
ONLY 28%?