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Iran Prepared To Defend Old Market Share "At Any Cost"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Andy Tully via OilPrice.com,

Iran’s oil minister says his country supports calls for an emergency OPEC meeting to explore ways to shore up the price of oil, but even without such an effort, Tehran is willing to regain its market share “at any cost.”

Iran once was OPEC’s second-leading producer, after Saudi Arabia, but output has plunged since 2012, when international sanctions forbade any country or energy company to buy, ship, finance and insure its crude because of Tehran’s nuclear program. In 2011, Iran’s output was 3.7 million barrels per day. With the sanctions, production dropped to 1.2 million barrels per day.

Iran and six world powers – Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States – reached an agreement in July on controlling that program and lifting the sanctions, probably by early 2016. Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh has said repeatedly that his country can quickly boost production by more than 1 million barrels per day within a month after the sanctions are lifted.

This could further depress the price of oil, which has dropped precipitously since summer 2014. Already there is a glut of oil, and OPEC members lately have been producing at near-record levels. The group already is exceeding its output cap of 30 million barrels a day by at least 1.5 million barrels per day. Once Iran returns to the market, the price probably will fall further.

So be it, Zanganeh said in Tehran on Aug. 23. “We will be raising our oil production at any cost and we have no other alternative,” he was quoted by his ministry’s website, Shana. “If Iran’s oil production hike is not done promptly, we will be losing our market share permanently.”

But Zanganeh also said he was aware that his country’s return to the world oil market could further weaken prices, and declared Tehran's support of a call for OPEC to hold an extraordinary meeting to discuss ways to stabilize oil’s price. The cartel’s next scheduled meeting will be Dec. 4.

“If [such a meeting meeting] is convened, it will have an impact on oil prices,” the minister said. “The urgent meeting must be held with all OPEC members in attendance. It is only through such consensus that one can say all members have decided to reach results.”

But Zanganeh said he has little hope that such a meeting will take place because of opposition by at least one member that is using low oil prices as a weapon in its own war to reclaim OPEC’s market share from non-OPEC producers, especially shale oil producers in North America.

“I find it unlikely that some countries with political agendas to reduce oil prices would agree to this meeting,” Zanganeh said. He didn’t specify the country, but clearly was referring to Iran’s arch-rival, Saudi Arabia.

At OPEC’s meeting in Vienna last fall, Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi used his country’s influence to persuade its 11 fellow members to keep crude production at 30 million barrels a day, rather than limit production to bolster oil’s price.

Low prices put pressure on oil producers in America, who helped create the current oil glut by using hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, to produce crude from shale. Fracking, however, is more expensive than conventional oil production, and, under al-Naimi’s strategy, depressing the price eventually could make shale production unprofitable.

 

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Wed, 08/26/2015 - 11:57 | 6473353 DaVinci
Wed, 08/26/2015 - 11:58 | 6473360 viahj
viahj's picture

nuke the KSA and solve a whole heck of a lot of the world's problems

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:05 | 6473387 Hugh G Rection
Hugh G Rection's picture

Nope.  The northern half still needs to get annexed into Israhell per the Greater Israel project.

 

Ordo Ab Chao.  A few more years of balkanizing and maybe the ziopaths will fulfill their Satanic wet-dream.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:24 | 6473461 FreeMoney
FreeMoney's picture

Isn't OPEC meeting to raise the price of oil by restricting the supply a violation of the Sherman Act?  I am thinking North American oil could sue to prevent imports on this basis.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:28 | 6473479 divingengineer
divingengineer's picture

Heh, heh, heh, THAT would be funny as hell. Not enough popcorn in all the world. 

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:52 | 6473588 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

You want market share? Try this 'always a winner' marketing campaign, BOGO. Take that OPEC.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:43 | 6473789 MalteseFalcon
MalteseFalcon's picture

LOL. Let's see the FED control this.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:29 | 6473736 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

American law does not apply to soveriegn entities in general. There are trade law's they could use, but the east and especially the west coast would have some real problems if they lost mid-east oil imports.......

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 14:37 | 6474004 boattrash
boattrash's picture

American Law/Sherman Act also does not apply to the Health Care Industry in the U.S.

(We can thank our congress-critters, with the "For Rent" signs hanging above their asses for that).

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 15:12 | 6474256 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

it's only illegal if we say it is.....

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:51 | 6473585 Iudaea Delenda Est
Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:52 | 6473821 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

"nuke the KSA..."

Spoken like someone who is in full denial about being an oil junkie.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:01 | 6473371 DaVinci
DaVinci's picture

Iran needs to understand that oil is abiotic not fossil and therefore available everywhere and cheap>> http://wp.me/p4OZ4v-2M

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:15 | 6473421 Tallest Skil
Tallest Skil's picture

Now, do you have an actual definitive scientific proof of this, or is it still your speculation?

I think there's a good chance that there's a large amount of abiotic oil, but it still hasn't been proven. 

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 11:58 | 6473358 SillySalesmanQu...
SillySalesmanQuestion's picture

Pump Baby, pump!

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:06 | 6473392 Hugh G Rection
Hugh G Rection's picture

...Sorry baby, I came already

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:02 | 6473368 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi used his country’s influence to persuade its 11 fellow members to keep crude production at 30 million barrels a day

Another worthless article from Oilprice.com

OPEC is responsible for only a third of the world's oil production of 94 million barrels a day.  Iran has a very small effect on world oil prices.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:50 | 6473576 Full Faith and ...
Full Faith and Credit's picture

a 1mm bpd increase in world daily oil supply would be more than 1% of a day's production total, far from insignificant if increased production was maintained - an extra 365 mm barrels of oil into the market in one years time would most definitely effect world oil prices.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:52 | 6473590 Iudaea Delenda Est
Iudaea Delenda Est's picture

one would be hard pressed to find anyone at the big oil companies who take that website seriously.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:09 | 6473404 Cosmicserpent
Cosmicserpent's picture

Yes! Destroy the fucking Saudi's! Wahabist, hijacking, terrorist funding, motherfckrs.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:20 | 6473446 Marty Jannetty ...
Marty Jannetty Dropkick's picture

Uh Bullshit alert. Iran needs massive capital investment and western tech transfer to make any kind of meaningful jump in producer status. Doubt the deal even gets done once everybody realizes the recent, major output from Iraq is mostly smuggled Iranian oil. Even if it does, US, CAN, and Russia will have declined by close to 2mm bbls/pd by the time shitty Iranian condensate (that no one even wants) hits markets.  

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:20 | 6473448 Marty Jannetty ...
Marty Jannetty Dropkick's picture

Uh Bullshit alert. Iran needs massive capital investment and western tech transfer to make any kind of meaningful jump in producer status. Doubt the deal even gets done once everybody realizes the recent, major output from Iraq is mostly smuggled Iranian oil. Even if it does, US, CAN, and Russia will have declined by close to 2mm bbls/pd by the time shitty Iranian condensate (that no one even wants) hits markets.  

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:27 | 6473474 InjuredThales
InjuredThales's picture

"Market share". What exactly is "market share" in a pure commodity market? It's not like there is an Iran brand (other than maybe Ayatollahs and Hizbullah).

The concept of market share should be immaterial to a large oil exporter, with the only important consideration being how do you get best value for your finite reserves (and how do you fund your failing welfare state model).  I don't even believe this shit is happening...idiots running rampant everywhere.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:42 | 6473535 BurningBetty
BurningBetty's picture

How long can the US shale producers stay solvent? The prices have been falling for a year now. Or is there unlimited amount of phoney digits to prop up the market long enough for OPEC to literally go bust?

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 12:54 | 6473594 Jethro
Jethro's picture

Oil freighter attack in the Straights of Hormuz in 3...2...1...

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:11 | 6473670 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

so destroy the U.S. oil industry (and whatever banks are tied to the derivatives), just don't trade oil in gold or euros.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:51 | 6473819 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Kinda silly to build a house out of straw and then bitch about the 20mph winds knocking it over, que no?

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:15 | 6473684 Lugnut
Lugnut's picture

They sure seem to be in a hurry to sell product below production costs.

Umm, OK, go for it!

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:39 | 6473775 83_vf_1100_c
83_vf_1100_c's picture

  $2.15/gal local East TX. We were at $1.75 some months back. Bring back dollar gasoline!

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 13:52 | 6473823 MalteseFalcon
MalteseFalcon's picture

The real joke is the oil is about to run out.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 14:25 | 6473913 piratepiet2
piratepiet2's picture

dt

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 14:11 | 6473896 Stumpy4516
Stumpy4516's picture

Are these the type of thing that has caused Russia/Putin to allow Iraq, Libya and Syria to be destroyed.  And to keep Iran hanging without any real support.  Russia even consented to the sanctions against Iran. 

More profits for the Russian elite in the short term.  Lack of vision or not caring about Russia in general on the long term.

Decrease oil production has been good for russia.

Wed, 08/26/2015 - 14:42 | 6474045 Anunnaki
Anunnaki's picture

Let's just get it on already: Iran vs. Kingdom of Sodomy Arabia. Enough of this proxy shit.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 01:50 | 6476391 onmail
onmail's picture

"Iran is a terrorist state" said USA
(becuz earlier they refused to sell oil in dollah, but accepting Euros)

The oil produing countries must understand that they have a great power over America if they refuse to sell in US Dollar. Then there will be no demand for US dollar, little trading in US dollar, and when countries holding US treasuries sell it all, market will be flooded with US dollar which less people willing to buy. The dollar will crash, American economy will crash.

You muslim countries need not send airplanes to hit like WTC , no need for 9/11 , you can remote control the crash of US economy, death of Satan America , shatter it to dust.

And while countries like China have started dumping US treasuries (the dollar)

THE TIME IS NOW

STOP TRADING IN DOLLAR

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