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Freeport-McMoRan Up Nearly 50% Today After Carl Icahn Goes Activist, Announces 8.5% Stake

Tyler Durden's picture




 

One of the biggest casualties of the Chinese economic crash, and the resultant collapse in copper prices to 6 year lows, has been Phoenix-based copper mining giant Freeport-McMoRan, whose stock had cratered from a 52-week high of $36 to just under $8 as of a few days ago. The harsh reality of the new normal finally manifested itself on the company early today when FCX announced it was lowering its spending and production in response to plunging copper prices and in addition would cut 10% of its employees.

FCX announced that it now expects $4 billion in capital expenditures for 2016, down from a prior estimate of $5.6 billion. Its 2015 capital expenditure budget currently stands at $6.3 billion.

The company said that it will reduce copper sales by about 150 million pounds per year in 2016 and 2017 and cut 2016 unit site production by 20 percent. It also plans to slash 2016 minerals exploration costs from $100 million to $50 million.

The resultant surge in the company, which exploded by 30% in the regular hours, made many wonder if there wasn't more to the story.

The answer is: yes, there was, and moments ago none other than Carl Icahn announced an 88 million, or 8.46% stake in the copper miner, in a 13D which said that said the company was "undervalued" and that Icahn is now seeking a board seat. To wit from the just filed 13-D:

The Reporting Persons acquired their positions in the Shares in the belief that the Shares were undervalued. The Reporting Persons intend to have discussions with representatives of the Issuer's management and board of directors relating to the Issuer's capital expenditures, executive compensation practices and capital structure as well as curtailment of the Issuer's high-cost production operations. The Reporting Persons may also seek shareholder board representation and to discuss the size and composition of the board.  As of August 26, 2015, the Reporting Persons have not had any discussions with representatives of the Issuer's management or board of directors.

 

The Reporting Persons may, from time to time and at any time: (i) acquire additional Shares and/or other equity, debt, notes, instruments or other securities (collectively, "Securities") of the Issuer (or its affiliates) in the open market or otherwise; (ii) dispose of any or all of their Securities in the open market or otherwise; or (iii) engage in any hedging or similar transactions with respect to the Securities.

And after soaring 29% in the regular session, FCX was up another 19% in the after hours, which means Icahn is almost in the money on his accumluation which began on July 17.

The reason for Icahn's interest is clear: despite major cash flow problems, FCX only has 3.0x debt/EBITDA which to Icahn means it can lever up at least 2-3 more turns, and use the proceeds to be more shareholder friendly. That the resultant company will inevitably go default is a different matter.

As to how the beleagured company responds, remains to be seen. One thing is clear: Icahn's accumulation pattern which as disclosed in the 13D, is shown below.

 

Two words - average down...

 

What is also known: any FCX shorts, which are as much as 6% of the float, are not having a good day.

That said, we now wait for an update of what Icahn plans to do with his 11% stake in just as troubled energy company Chesapeake which recently traded at decade lows. Or whether AAPL is still a no-brainer here, after soaring by $120 billion market cap from the Monday flash crash lows.

 

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Thu, 08/27/2015 - 16:38 | 6478957 taketheredpill
taketheredpill's picture

 

 Its 2015 (capital expenditure) Stock Buyback budget currently stands at $6.3 billion (fixed it).


Thu, 08/27/2015 - 22:47 | 6480053 Fukushima Fricassee
Fukushima Fricassee's picture

No shit , I bought 700 shares at 8.26 during the flash crash the other day off a limit order that filled. I looked at it and said damn that's Freeport let me take the shot, I guess that Fucker Icon bought a lot more than me. I think I will hold them for a new 52 week high when the dollar goes to zero.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 16:40 | 6478960 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Is Carl a future Treasury Secretary or Pirate?

I think you can be both.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 16:41 | 6478964 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Hahaha.... The Street rated FCX a D+  Sell

 

                        http://www.thestreet.com/story/13268728/1/freeport-mcmoran-fcx-stock-gains-on-spending-cuts.html

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 16:41 | 6478972 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Normal move. Move along...

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 17:00 | 6478986 Flatchestynerdette
Flatchestynerdette's picture

Great. Freeport McMoRan will now have Carl on the board itching to make the company into 4 parts: Freeport, Mac, "Mo" and lastly Ran. Then he'll do a 4 for 1 stock split as he sells off each part of the company to unlock potential profits.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 16:48 | 6478989 Dr. Venkman
Dr. Venkman's picture

Let's see . . . my FCX is down 75%. . . add in the 50% in the past 1.5 days. . .carry the two. . . yep I'm still down.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 16:51 | 6478997 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

This pig looks like absolute dogshit on a weekly.  Gramps gonna either get killed here or keep averaging in for a long, long time.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 16:59 | 6479015 Dutti
Dutti's picture

maybe you're right, but I'll still side with Gramps at this level after all the bloodletting in the Stock and in Copper.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 17:09 | 6479042 bearwinkle
bearwinkle's picture

I'm with you - I bought a boatload when it went below $9, I was figuring it would be a year or two before a real good payout. Might be sooner than I thought. Next best thing to physical gold, copper, etc. is miners that are beaten down just got to pick the good ones.

 

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 17:16 | 6479058 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

I'll pass.  There will be rips and certainly today was a very high profile pump.  I look at the weekly chart and there has been a ton of distribution and "stealth distribution" since last summer.  That said I wouldn't jump in and short it right now.  If it tried to rally further and then ran out of gas at certain support levels and DXY is heading back towards the target of 120 then well . . . . . . . might be intriguing.  

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 17:18 | 6479063 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

As I recall Icahn was in a bunch of second-tier US energy names, must be getting killed...

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 17:23 | 6479076 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Icahn wins board votes with room-clearing gas attacks.

Thu, 08/27/2015 - 19:53 | 6479449 GRDguy
GRDguy's picture

It would be interesting who Carl fronts for. Would not want to actually know. I do not like nail guns.

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