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S&P 500 Suffers 'Death Cross' For First Time In 4 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

This is the first time that the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average since August 2011, creating the ominous-sounding "death cross." The month following this 'event' has produced negative returns 80% of the time...

 

For the first time since 2011...

 

What happened in 2011...

 

2010's cross was a bust, but 2008 was not...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:32 | 6481149 JamaicaJim
JamaicaJim's picture

Death Cross

Christopher Cross

Criss Cross

Alex Cross

 

SINCE 2011, CHARTS ON THE INDICES LONG TERM - DO NOT MATTER.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:35 | 6481162 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Massive epic biblical wicked hell damnation cross dead ahead!

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:40 | 6481181 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

You had to use the B word......clearly we're doomed.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:45 | 6481208 Serfs Up
Serfs Up's picture

All I see is panic buying at the open by ""somebody""

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:47 | 6481218 Jlasoon
Jlasoon's picture

Same, the charts I'm looking at ugly. I have no idea how they get us out of this one. Hike or no hike it won't matter. Good luck PPT.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:55 | 6481262 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

"somebody"

 

It was either the FED.......or Belgium.

 

Pretty sure it wasn't China.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:45 | 6481212 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

it's a Swedish Black Metal band too, correct?

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:27 | 6481405 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

Now you've done it.

Ewick Marxist Lennin and his Nubian watermellon princess will be here to call you a white supremicist in 3...2...1...

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 11:24 | 6481655 Implied Violins
Implied Violins's picture

Well then let's greet them under the death cross. White robes optional.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:34 | 6481429 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

Nailed to a cross

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 11:07 | 6481593 Grinder74
Grinder74's picture

All the uses of the word "cross" in this article is pretty islamophobic and homophobic.  /s

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 11:32 | 6481745 The_Small_Lebowski
The_Small_Lebowski's picture

Kriss Kross sez death cross will make ya - JUMP JUMP!!

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:33 | 6481151 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

I look at charts because they are pretty, these remind me of Christmas. You gain nothing by paying attention to charts, but they do look cool.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:40 | 6481184 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

The machines' native language is charts. The manipulators go to great efforts to manage the charts BECAUSE they are so important. See if this cross holds for a week and after that watch and learn.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:50 | 6481236 Jlasoon
Jlasoon's picture

Exactly, and they're ugly. 

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:34 | 6481152 gmak
gmak's picture

Bw aware that correlation between e-mini and VIX has moved positive briefly - or in other words, even though e-mini is green / flat at the open, UVXY continues to move up.

 

I'm not sure what this means exaclty but it's very unusual to see anything other than a negative correlation. It means that even though the S&P is moving up, those trading in vol and risk are expecting a move the other way.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:48 | 6481222 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Likely because this death cross was a done deal since Monday. All they were able to do is delay it one day with their rebound. If they can't crack 2000 and stay above it and if they fail to break the 250 dma way up there at the neckline of that broken head and shoulders that started this entertainment (oops, charts don't matter, I forgot) we're all going bear hunting.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:34 | 6481153 junction
junction's picture

Jim Cramer never reports on such things as "death crosses."  He is more into advising retail stock customers to place limit orders.  Do HTF algos place limit orders?  Algos don't talk about their trades.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:33 | 6481157 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Right. And 96% of those times were before the FED jacked their software into the markets.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:35 | 6481158 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

The only thing more worthless than technical analysis is fundamental analysis.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:41 | 6481186 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Several years back I informed most of my financial data vendors that I no longer needed their services as the FED had made their product worthless. These days I just trade evil and it has turned out to have a rather impressive winning streak.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:24 | 6481245 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Once I changed my stock investment outlook in 08 from being one of a part owner in a company to one of I just bought a steaming dog turd and badly need a sucker to unload on, my returns have went off the charts.

Its a stock=Its a dog turd. Any further analysis from that has become totally unecessary and a waste of time.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:36 | 6481167 saveUSsavers
saveUSsavers's picture

you mean 2010 cross WAS NOT a bust

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:37 | 6481171 JJdog
JJdog's picture

oh, doesn't mean the market going up 4000 more points from here? 

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:38 | 6481176 Spungo
Spungo's picture

It's either QE4 or crash at this point. Death cross demands answers!

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:40 | 6481183 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

dont worry, nasdaq is green, and all indexes should be green very shortly.

 

makes sense after 1000 pts on dow in 2 days that no ''investors'' want profits.

 

die bankers, die die die

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:43 | 6481203 Superdave532
Superdave532's picture

This pussy footing 0.15% +/- in all indices is so annoying. Fucking go up or go down, don't just sit there

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:42 | 6481198 CarpetShag
CarpetShag's picture

This is all bullshit. MA calculated how- there are at least 4 different methods (LWMA, EMA, GMA, Wilder, triangular)? And what is so special about 50 and 200? Why not 44 and 195? Or 48 1/2 and 203?

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:54 | 6481259 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

They're special because the coders put those values into the tiny but very fast brains of the machines. It was already in the traders' brains along with other arbitrary but very real numbers like Fibonacci's.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 09:57 | 6481270 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Well, if they get it above yesterday's high and Fischer says anything remotely dovish, I don't think major instiltutional shorts would come in until indices rocketed up to the 20 DMAs, likely bears know this and are furiously trying to knock it down before he gets on CNBC in a few hours in a scheduled Liesman interview

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:05 | 6481317 I AM SULLY
I AM SULLY's picture

It is hard to believe they will allow a repeat of 2008 - which means the Federal Reserve could end up owning a significant portion of the markets by the time this is over. And then, when only the FED owns these companies? (pretty much all over - for everyone) Welcome to Communism 2.0 ...

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 12:23 | 6481976 HungryPorkChop
HungryPorkChop's picture

I thought they already owned a sigificant portion of the market?  

 

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:12 | 6481339 falak pema
falak pema's picture

You keep hearing about " the Death cross", a technical symbol being employed to signal imminent reversal of a salient trend that alerts the herd to stampede in the reverse direction.

Has it any correlation with that other death cross symbol that was centerpiece in that awesome movie : Mississippi Burning?

A financial cross to replace a racial cross?

The story of a nation/civilization obsessed with its fear of losing its obscurantist roots based on religious  and materialist exceptionalisms ; that tolerates no challenge !

Jerusalem and Wall Street's City : two kingdoms of obscurantist heaven.

When God-Yahve/Jesus/Allah and God -"Invisible Handed Greenback" get challenged !

Where do we head?

Let me guess : Its not Jackson Hole that supplies the answer!

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:15 | 6481360 jpc578
jpc578's picture

The 2011 death cross was the result of a factor that was outside the economy and markets - fear that Congress would not raise the debt ceiling. Once they raised it the markets rallied again. This time that markets are collapsing over fear of whats happening in the global economy.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 11:00 | 6481554 A is A
A is A's picture

This is bullshit propaganda. The market crashed after they raised the debt ceiling not before. Check your facts. Debt ceiling raise was agreed to July 31st. Market crashed a few days later.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:27 | 6481407 jpc578
jpc578's picture

Also, barring a miracle rise in equities, the Dow's 50 Day MA is going to cross its 300 day MA next week.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 12:32 | 6482014 HungryPorkChop
HungryPorkChop's picture

Call him what you will. He is, he says, just a banker “doing God’s work”

C'mon miracle worker Lord Blankfein.  Thou shalt not allow the 50 Day MA to cross its 300 Day MA.  I dare say to invoke the prophet QE4 to vanquish this evil 300 Day MA line.

 

See, now all is good and you can enjoy your weekend.  You can thank me later!!  

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 10:51 | 6481512 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Reminds me of the movie Jaws when no one would go into the water.

I'll hang out on the beach and listen to the screaming fools who venture in.

Sharks are waiting for you.

Fri, 08/28/2015 - 11:31 | 6481735 large_wooden_badger
large_wooden_badger's picture

Double cross

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