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The Bigger-est Hockeystick Ever: Presenting The ECB's Latest Inflation Expectations

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Back in March, we mocked the ECB's inflation forecasts with a post titled "Mario Draghi Reveals Biggest. Hockeystick. Ever!", which highlighted the ECB's ridiculous expectation that inflation would soar from 0.0% in 2015 to 2016. We though no other hockeystick could possibly surpass this.

We were wrong.

Behold the ECB's latest inflation expectations. Something to note: in March 2014, full year inflation for 2015 was expected to be 1.3%. 18 months later it is 0.1%. But don't worry, the ECB will be spot on with its forecast of 1.1% inflation in 2016 (this was 1.5% 6 months ago), and 1.7% in 2017. Just you wait.

Source: the former Goldman vice chairman currently in charge of the ECB's money printer

 

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Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:00 | 6503802 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

Where gonna need a bigger wheel barrow

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:02 | 6503813 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Nahhh... MAssive epic biblical crushing deflation dead ahead.

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:08 | 6503833 lordylord2
lordylord2's picture

They got the public to think inflation is good. What a trick! 

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:18 | 6503874 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Take statins, they're good for you.

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:54 | 6504064 Ouagadoudou
Ouagadoudou's picture

Totally right, that's why the inevitable collapse of the fiat is gonna be a looooong process as they will criminalize anybody saying that after all, cheaper price mau be a good thing for the common man

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:01 | 6503810 viator
viator's picture

I bet the warmnicks can create a bigger hockeystick than the Keynesians.

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:08 | 6503827 readyforit
readyforit's picture

So 1100% increase in inflation by next year?

I make that 16,105% in 5 years.

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:05 | 6503828 DontFollowMyAdv...
DontFollowMyAdviceImaDummy's picture

well it's not like the algorithmic manipulators are going to call their shot before they can front run everyone else to the bottom

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:07 | 6503835 venturen
venturen's picture

going to have to build more super yatch for the super rich...just came back from the Med...and those yatch are gettinig bigger

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:11 | 6503844 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

No sweat.

Draghi is taking some omnipotence lessons from Obama.

He took a sip of his Perrier and replaced a golf divot, so the waters are falling and the Earth is healing.

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:14 | 6503858 falak pema
falak pema's picture

These projections climb faster and higher than WT1, WT2 & WT7 fell !

Rusty Shorts must be feeling decidedly naked at Draghi's conference.

Maybe we will be be authorised to compare reality with projection in 2 year's time ! (If Chinese rules don't apply in EU).

GWB should feel proud; "that motha's coming down" is now looking hunkey dorey in Draghi Land!

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:16 | 6503870 Budnacho
Budnacho's picture

Hmmmm, at some point ya gotta wonder when people will stop listening to this shit.....

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:17 | 6503873 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture
Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields: More Clues from the Past http://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/Market-Valuation-Infla... Think carry trade slush fund. ;-)
Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:19 | 6503878 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Just send the CTRL-P proceeds directly to the plebes.  Eliminate the middle man.  Then they'll get their inflation.  So what if eurostawks tank.  Let the people have their slice of the pie I say.  /s

I believe you may get your headline, Mr. Ismay. - Captain Smith

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 09:29 | 6503939 jarana
jarana's picture

DEFLECATION ahead.

Any kind of paper will do the trick.

Mario, eat some mushroom, please.

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 10:35 | 6504232 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

come on, "biggest hockeystick evah"

I know that for the leverage-savy from 0.00% to 1.70% it's a huge difference, but nevertheless it's still just 1.7% of forecasted inflation

the ECB does include food and energy in this inflation calculation, and both, particularly energy, particularly oil have gone down quite a lot

there are worse things to moan about, imho, then forecasting 1.7% and witnessing 0% inflation. at least in my book

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