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What Happens Next?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just like in 1929, The Dow just dropped 13%, bounced, and is retesting the lows... as all the 'experts' comfort a restless investor crowd

 

 

So what happens next?

 

 

Remember - it's different this time... again.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:31 | 6511691 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

The Fed will simply lower rates... oh wait...

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:33 | 6511700 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

I believe they call it NIRP. Why wouldn't they?

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:38 | 6511720 johnvallo
johnvallo's picture

What happens next? Hopefully the world's oligarchs will have a secret meeting on some island and figure out a way to consolidate all the world's wealth into one reserve currency so they can save us plebes!

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:17 | 6511815 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

That was a great Ian Fleming novel.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 00:04 | 6512328 Keyser
Keyser's picture

I'm on Koh Phing Kan, aka James Bond Island and can confirm that world leaders aren't here... I guess we're just fucked... 

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 06:55 | 6512692 hansg
hansg's picture

So is all economic expertise really just a question of finding one graph that looks much like another? No need to understand anything in the world, as long as the graphs match you are set?

 

 

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 06:55 | 6512693 hansg
hansg's picture

Sorry, duplicate...

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 02:57 | 6512525 Dead Canary
Dead Canary's picture

Mr. Hyde island.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:52 | 6511758 Big_X
Big_X's picture

Square root that shit! QE^i bitches!

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:53 | 6511905 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

$118 Trillion of national debt!  "At this point, what does it matter!?!?"

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:36 | 6512016 Tyrone Shoelaces
Tyrone Shoelaces's picture

Justn put a $10K bump on the EBT cards and call it good.

That will work.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:36 | 6511711 surf0766
surf0766's picture

RESET

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:40 | 6511730 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

Moar war then reset. 

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:38 | 6512025 Tyrone Shoelaces
Tyrone Shoelaces's picture

A good American logic point - lets go kick someones ass big time, it will create military jobs and we get to play with all the cool toys we paid trillions for!

 

Look at Gulf War 1   LOL

 

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 09:59 | 6512990 ThirteenthFloor
ThirteenthFloor's picture

Putin and Xi already (just) pre-empted that move. Got any other tricks ?

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:43 | 6511714 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Market falling before the Labor Day weekend does not bode well for consumer spending.  China will be back Sunday night and we can expect some fireworks again.

Whatever happens folks, avoid Optionshouse aka Trademonster as the plague. The MFers close out your positions without informing you and expose you to severe market risk.  They may close the put leg of your options strategy and you get screwed as your matching call is no longer hedged.

Only the insane or uninformed can trade with OptionsHouse/Trademonster - monster is appropriately named.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:15 | 6511968 Sweet Cheeks
Sweet Cheeks's picture

It will be very interesting watching China on Sunday night while having all US hands are tied on the following Monday.  At least there will be BBQ and Beer.

The Dead Cat bounced and bounced and then died this Friday.  But never fear. Cats have nine lives, and we will check its health on Tuesday.

 

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:37 | 6511716 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

the fed is thinking of a number between zero and two thousand. try to guess what it is. lulz

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:40 | 6511729 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Do I get to revise my forecast after the number is revealed?  ;-)

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:45 | 6512046 Kassandra
Kassandra's picture

In a word...No.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:38 | 6511718 Jonas Parker
Jonas Parker's picture

History is a bitch, Bichez!

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:42 | 6511736 Haole
Haole's picture

I don't now what happens but some rhyme of 1929 would undoubtedly be the most entertaining. 

 

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:52 | 6511757 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

'32

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:43 | 6511740 TheAntiProgressive
TheAntiProgressive's picture

Lower the tax rate to ZERO.  Give a lot more money to po people and invaders from South and Central America.  Crater all foreign currencies and make travel cheap to EMs with low oil prices and great exchange rates.  Everything will be awsome.  Time to PARTY!!!!  Maybe find a seat.....

 

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:07 | 6511947 ceilidh_trail
ceilidh_trail's picture

You cannot be serious! Do you not realize that we already have a problem with all those people swarming up from the south to the northern countries of the world??? At some point, the world is going to tip over and I WILL BLAME YOU! Don't say it can't happen. I heard it from Congressman hank johnson that Guam nearly tipped over. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zNZczIgVXjg

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 23:41 | 6512293 conscious being
conscious being's picture

In a weird way entertaining, but painful to watch. When the new republic arrives, congresscritters are going to have to take a captcha test.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 05:17 | 6512620 DIGrif
DIGrif's picture

I give full credit to that Admiral. I don't think I could have sat there without saying something to the tune of "are you a f'n idiot or something"....

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:49 | 6511754 Westcott Canon
Westcott Canon's picture

QE to infinity and beyond.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 19:56 | 6511763 gwar5
gwar5's picture

Now until the end of October is going to be interesting.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:45 | 6511882 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

I think its going to be a lot quicker this time thanks to the "liquidity" of HFTs and the levering afforded by ETFs.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:00 | 6511773 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Whatever happens, you can be rest assured it will only happen to the serfs.  The Banksters will use their perpetual get out of jail card to the FED for more handouts and .01% welfare...

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:10 | 6511797 fwaynemartin
fwaynemartin's picture

So tonight I'm gonna party like it's nineteen twenty-nine
(We gonna, we gonna, whoa)
Yeah, nineteen twenty-nine
Don't you wanna go?
(Nineteen twenty-nine)
Don't you wanna go?
(Nineteen twenty-nine)
We could all die any day
(Nineteen twenty-nine)
I don't wanna die, I'd rather dance my life away
(Nineteen twenty-nine)

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:15 | 6511807 Vuke
Vuke's picture

Despite trials in the market I'll rest well tonight as I've got bullion and base metals, i.e., lead.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:26 | 6511837 Redart
Redart's picture

From my experience, history does not repeat itself. Its just illusion and perception when you make use of a picture or chart

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:27 | 6511843 bunnyswanson
bunnyswanson's picture

The rich remain rich the only way they know how - by stealing from the poor.  It is cyclical.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 07:44 | 6512751 Raoul_Luke
Raoul_Luke's picture

Precisely!  So far we're following the patterns of 1929, 2001 and 2008 (which each eventually took a different course).  Will it follow any of those, or none?  Truth is we don't know.

But it's enough to put me 100% in cash until we find out.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:27 | 6511840 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

What happens next?  Shit gets real....the pundits and experts parroting its a buying opportunity on CNBC shit their diapers...401Ks get trashed...Cramer buys a nail gun. Markets are closed for few days. Dollar trashed..China and Russian ships move closer. The yellow dog finally bites with a fucking vengence. People get scared. Christmas is in doubt. The Christian protestor of gay rights is released from jail. People march on DC with pitchforks. Janet yellen resigns. Rachel Maddow goes straight and looks for a strong man, just in case. Hows that for starters?

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:57 | 6511914 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

My wet dream

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:47 | 6512051 Kassandra
Kassandra's picture

I would tune into CNBS to see Cramer with a nail gun...

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 23:39 | 6512290 idontcare
idontcare's picture

As he puts it to his head and screams "BOOYAH".... oh, what a luscious visual.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 01:09 | 6512426 bozoklown
bozoklown's picture

this site has accurately predicted 143 of the last 2 crashes. Maybe you guys should crowd fund crystal ball 2.0

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 08:15 | 6512780 thinkmoretalkless
thinkmoretalkless's picture

Is crowd fund like a gang bang?

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 11:29 | 6513241 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

Houston 500...?

 

 

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 12:43 | 6513419 pilager
pilager's picture

Pffft.... Just wanted to get some pussy.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:36 | 6511858 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

Saving the DOW is easy. Just change the stocks being listed.

Things going bad? Drop Apple and add Mike's Repo Tow and Storage.

Voila! Instant uppitiness. To the moon, Alice.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 20:57 | 6511916 dreadnaught
dreadnaught's picture

Christmas shopping will be a joke this year

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 08:56 | 6512844 chilller
chilller's picture

Christmas has been canceled this year...

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 09:30 | 6512907 MASTER OF UNIVERSE
MASTER OF UNIVERSE's picture

I actually got a lump of coal for Christmas one year. That was the last time I celebrated Christmas. Frankly, when you get a lump of coal, and no other 'gifts', materialism starts to become annoying. Since that time Christmas has manifested into 'feast day' & 'movie night'.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:00 | 6511932 VisionandWisdom
VisionandWisdom's picture

Using charts like this to find a pattern is popular but rather cheap journalism.

Past performance does not correlate to future performance in the markets.

However I do agree that the powers that be cannot keep all the plates spinning for much longer.

What scares me more is do they have a plan for what happens when the cards come tumbling down or not?

Both are pretty scary!

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 00:46 | 6512386 Cloud9.5
Cloud9.5's picture

I suspect plan B involves using a lot of ammo based on previous Home Land Security purchases.  

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:12 | 6511957 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

unlike 1929 we don't have anywhere to go this time...we won't have a currency, a united country or a good national FICA score...we won't just struggle along and then snap out of it.

This time we will need a new currency and we will be in a different world.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 21:55 | 6512077 Kina
Kina's picture

1929 was before all the money printing...2015 all the printing has been done, whats left...

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 00:47 | 6512390 Cloud9.5
Cloud9.5's picture

Zimbabwe might have a clue.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 05:12 | 6512613 DIGrif
DIGrif's picture

Hard currency...read that to mean gold, silver and lead. If you don't have it, get it.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 22:13 | 6512120 who cares
who cares's picture

Negative interest rates, ban cash and confiscate all gold. All of it for the sake of the nation....

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 22:48 | 6512174 garcam123
garcam123's picture

QUIT SPEWING SHIT! Until someone arrests, tries and hangs some of these motherfuckers, you're just spewin more shit!  Eat your shit you armchair crybaby! Any of you "investin wet Brainfarts.....go sue the government for being incompetent and crooked....you fuckers are all so fat, so where's the balls and laywers?  Oh yea, all you got is shit spewin and no cash.....I thought so.  This fucking site is like a bunch of old funkin women!  You blow and suck! that's all you fucks got, go suck walker's or whoever that fucking clown is from texas' dick.  That what yer all pinin for anyway!

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 23:05 | 6512211 Paracelsus
Paracelsus's picture

Umm,I can't say about 1929 (but I have suspicions),on the 2000 crash and the recent (ongoing) China crash,a common factor seems to be the price to earnings ratio seems wildly skewed.These companies have burned thru all their startup capital and have not produced much in the tangible sphere.Investors see this after a while,and jump ship while they can.It is hard to keep the campers in their seats when the theatre is on fire... 

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 23:13 | 6512230 Spiritof42
Spiritof42's picture

I can make a prediction about the market that is never wrong. Armstrong - eat your heart out.

It will go up and down.

Fri, 09/04/2015 - 23:45 | 6512298 PrimalScream
PrimalScream's picture

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?

Simple.

The market goes ... DOWN.

And apparently this is a revelation for everyone, except for Dr John Hussman and Dr. William Hester at Hussman Funds, and all the people on ZeroHedge.

The world is about to stare into the cold hard eyes ... of INVESTOR FEAR.  Prepare for a thrill ride. 

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 11:21 | 6513220 Fed-up with bei...
Fed-up with being Sick and Tired's picture

I made a fortune with a Solid VXX trade since the lows below $20. I averaged in Short puts over a year and then sold the rip into 28 and change...unreal.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 01:14 | 6512432 Arthur Schopenhauer
Arthur Schopenhauer's picture

You won't believe what happens next, whatever it is.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 02:16 | 6512487 fainzilberg
fainzilberg's picture

everybody knows what's next

poverty en masse

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 03:13 | 6512532 q99x2
q99x2's picture

You have to contact the FED software applications developers to know the answer to that question. It certainly could be different this time. All previous times the banksters weren't allowed to buy up all the property and corporations of the world with fiat. This time they are above the law. Banksters own the military bitchez and they will use them as they please.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 07:47 | 6512754 ArtOfLife
ArtOfLife's picture

What happens next to stock prices? They will fluctuate.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 08:04 | 6512768 brushhog
brushhog's picture

Two words....Price discovery. The market is finally coming into line with fundamentals. it'll be a bad thing for some and a good thing for others.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 11:20 | 6513214 Fed-up with bei...
Fed-up with being Sick and Tired's picture

That is absolutely correct!   THE ISSUE is the ABSURDITY of the markets never correcting.

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 08:57 | 6512847 chilller
chilller's picture

Mess less...live longer...

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 10:45 | 6513109 MauritiusGold
MauritiusGold's picture

Revolution?

Given the maths involved I don't see how this can end in anywhere but disaster for the general population.

Some of these people may sit back and let the shit fall all around them, but there will be many who will not accept it and feel they have nothing left to lose.

The Bilderbergers might be assholes but they are not stupid... they will have a plan and given they don't really give a fuck about anyone other than themselves, it will involve force and repression. They will use fear on a grand scale to scare the population in to behaving. What else can they do? If the people ignore the fear tactic then it gets 'interesting'.

Where to live? Not in a big urban centre that is for sure.
See you in the after world.... ????

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 11:31 | 6513245 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

 

 

What with all the 'deval' going on in the global markets these days, it is not like the Fed doesn't have adequate 'cover' to launch QE4 if the spirit so moved them...

Sat, 09/05/2015 - 12:48 | 6513432 leeholsen12
leeholsen12's picture

judas.

 

japan has been playing this game for over 20 years, we're just getting started. lots more smoke and mirrors to go

Sun, 09/06/2015 - 13:29 | 6515674 sentimenttiming
sentimenttiming's picture

This guy is absolutely amazing. He predicted the August crash 3 weeks before it hit.  see for yourself https://www.sentimenttiming.com/antoemang/20

Mon, 09/14/2015 - 07:26 | 6545307 Occams_Razor_Trader
Occams_Razor_Trader's picture

QE to infinity and beyond!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!