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Developed Market Stocks & Bonds Have Never (Ever) Been This Expensive

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Thanks to the new normal world of extremely loose monetary policy and extraordinary accumulations of financial assets by Central Banks, Deutsche Bank finds that we live in a period not of selectively expensive global asset prices, but of record "expensiveness" across developed market bonds, stocks, and real estate.
 

In aggregate, across the three main asset classes, average valuations are close to the highest they’ve ever been relative to their long-term trend. The current reading of just under 80% is similar to that seen at the turn of the twentieth century and during the 1940s when financial markets were artificially repressed around war time.

And, based on Deutsche's valuation metrics, bonds and equities alone are at their highest ever combined valuations when aggregated across these 15 countries.

 

In addition, 83% of observations are in their top 20% of valuations through history.

 

Peak Asset Prices?

Source: Deutsche Bank

 

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Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:39 | 6522803 troubledasset
troubledasset's picture

The Fed had nothing to do with this.

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:42 | 6522815 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Of course not. It was the fairies spreading fairy dust all over Wall St. And yet all the smart people see no problem.......

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:40 | 6522805 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

LOL!  this can't be, this would indicate massive inflation...

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:43 | 6522820 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Tiny penis enhancement and Jamie Dimon needs a lot of it......

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:43 | 6522818 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

But Ron Insana says the market is oversold and the correction is over. Time to buy 'virtual' stocks.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-08-24/ron-insana-i-only-manage-virtua...

 

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:44 | 6522825 venturen
venturen's picture

it isn't expensive if you do it with printed money....

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:51 | 6522854 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

This can only mean one thing... sell gold, buy stawks.

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 12:57 | 6522875 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

... and there we go...

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 13:26 | 6522967 wcvarones
wcvarones's picture

This would be worrying if I believed in Peak Central Banking.

Tue, 09/08/2015 - 15:00 | 6523400 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

And P/E ratios are artificially lowered due to DEBT-based stock buybacks where the majority of money is being spent instead of in productive investments. Just more monetary manipulation giving false signals.

"The buyback also helps to improve the company's price-earnings ratio (P/E). The P/E ratio is one of the most well-known and often-used measures of value. At the risk of oversimplification, when it comes to the P/E ratio, the market often thinks lower is better. Therefore, if we assume that the shares remain at $15, the P/E ratio before the buyback is 75 ($15/20 cents); after the buyback, the P/E decreases to 68 ($15/22 cents) due to the reduction in outstanding shares. In other words, fewer shares + same earnings = higher EPS! Based on the P/E ratio as a measure of value, the company is now less expensive than it was prior to the repurchase despite the fact there was no change in earnings."

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