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"It Doesn't Matter Till It Matters"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

For the last 35 years, The Dow Industrials has found one technical level to be crucially important in knowing "when to bail on stocks." Currently that level is 15,334 - a closing break below spells significant downside... Of course, none of this matter, until it matters!

 

The 200-week moving-average has been an incredible source of support... and indicator of trouble...

 

And last week's plunge perfectly stopped at the 200-week average support...

 

So all eyes on 15.334 if The Fed hikes or not.

 

h/t NewEdge's Brad Wishak

 

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Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:42 | 6527093 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

The 200 MDA is a "thing?"

Wow.....Tyler must have been up against the wall to get SOMETHING...ANYTHING up.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:16 | 6527250 junction
junction's picture

Plunge protection team, man the battle stations! Tyler says we have have to protect DOW 15,334 at all costs.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 15:03 | 6527851 PlayMoney
PlayMoney's picture

200 week not 200 day. What is really going to get people excited is when we approach the 500 week moving average at DOW 10,000.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:51 | 6527124 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

If you are still in this market then any technical marker means very little to you. The breakdown in all meaningful metrics is and has been developing for several months and you are obviously incapable of recognizing them.......gl you'll hold on til the very bottom

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:12 | 6527226 Uncertain T
Uncertain T's picture

Or perhaps you ignore the technical markers and instead are counting on the "Too Big To Fail" team to continue propping up the entire perverted system.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:52 | 6527125 Enceladus
Enceladus's picture

Wait till we break the 700 week ma

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:52 | 6527127 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

The truth is that printing/buying by the Fed has been set on a linear increase all the while the liabilities of the U.S. government are growing exponentially...

 

Ah fuck it, pass the scotch...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:53 | 6527131 Enceladus
Enceladus's picture

Finally a cogent post 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:21 | 6527223 messymerry
messymerry's picture

Hey Laws, may I have one of those fine looking Cuban cigars in your shirt pocket???

;-D 

RATS!!! If I could just get my hands on an infinity symbol, I would certainly find some way to use it here...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:43 | 6527420 o r c k
o r c k's picture

You could be searching forever.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:52 | 6527128 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Market support and resistance levels, and it's all a con-game now.....

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:52 | 6527130 PrimalScream
PrimalScream's picture

ZH - yes.  I was watching the number 15,290 for the Dow.  But your value is close enough.

We will see what happens.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:58 | 6527147 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

WAY O.T but curious if they have started the debt clock again?  It looks like the smaller smounts keep spinning but when it gets up to the billiions seems to recycle...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:07 | 6527196 Ms No
Ms No's picture

I still can't believe that Japan's market went up 7.7%, is now at a 7 year high and it's highest since Lehman.  Might be a good idea to have popcorn ready tonight, just in case.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:09 | 6527212 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

What happens is the Fed will start lending even more credit backed by mutual funds or any other derivitive product. Liquidity is the only solution the Fed has so it will be used.
The game is more important then the players. So must continue even in the absance of players. What better way to control prices then by removing the players from central priceing.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:11 | 6527220 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

we're propper fuked?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:13 | 6527229 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Throw all the charting bullshit out the window; we now have free money and trillions of it which never existed in past history!  Nor did we have the levels of deception, corruption and lies from the Wall Street pigs or the Federal Reserve and Media as we have today!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:18 | 6527265 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

Can't they monetize the paper gold shorts? Should be worth a few trills

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:18 | 6527269 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

What about "the fucking cunt yellen moving average" whereby the market is not allowed to fall more than 2% in any given day.

 

Try going short below this average. It's painful.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:20 | 6527276 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Its been seven years. You would think that ZH would have learned how to BTFD by now.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:21 | 6527596 bozoklown
bozoklown's picture

There is no one indicator that can be considered definitive. That's why technicians look for confirmation. Dramatic narratives in place of data will lose you money, but people love a good story, especially if it has a car chase and a few explosions.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 15:20 | 6527934 Arthur Schopenhauer
Arthur Schopenhauer's picture

If you know in the pit of your stomach that something’s not right?

Then… you’re right.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!