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Something Just Snapped At The Comex (Updated)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Update: Earlier today, we said that we would "keep a close eye on today's Comex update to see if JPM reverses this "adjustment" and adds at least a few more tons of deliverable gold to its vault." Moments ago we got the daily update form the Comex and not only did JPM not reverse its registered to eligible adjustment, but more curiously, the second largest vault, that of Scotia Mocatta (behind only HSBC) saw a comparable adjustment, whereby 16,644 ounces of gold, or about half a ton, and 14% of its vault total, were adjusted away from "registered" and into the "eliglble" category.

This means that the already record low total registered holding across the Comex system, declined once again this time by 8.3% and hit a new all time low of 185,315, or less than 6 tons.

 

This means that what was already a record dilution factor, with over 200 ounces of paper gold claims for every ounce of deliverable gold, just soared even more, and following today's 8% drop, there is now a unprecedented 228 ounces of paper claims for every ounce of deliverable "registered" gold.

 

For those who missed the full story from earlier today, please read on.

 

* * *

Just over one month ago, when looking at the latest changes in registered gold held at the Comex ,we were stunned not only by the collapse in this series to a record low of just over 350k ounces or barely over 10 tons, but also by the surge in "gold coverage", or the amount of paper gold claims on physical gold, which exploded to a record high 124 per ounce.

This is what we said on August 3:

While on its own, gold open interest - which merely represents the total potential claims on gold if exercised - is hardly exciting, as we have shown previously it has to be observed in conjunction with the physical gold that "backs" such potential delivery requests, also known as the "coverage ratio" of deliverable gold.

 

It is here that things get a little out of hand, because as the chart below shows, all else equal, the 43.5 million ounces of gold open interest and the record low 351,519 ounces of registered gold imply that as of Friday's close there was a whopping 123.8 ounces in potential paper claims to every ounces of physical gold.

 

This is an all time record high, and surpasses the previous period record seen in January 2014 following the JPM gold vault liquidation. 

 

Another way of stating this unprecedented ratio is that the dilution ratio between physical gold and paper gold has hit a record low 0.8%. Indicatively, the average paper-to-physical coverage ratio since January 1, 2000 is a "modest" 19.1x. As of Friday it had soared to more than 6 times greater.

One month ago we showed this record surge in gold claims as follows:

 

But if last month was shocking, then what the COMEX revealed yesterday was absolutely jaw-dropping.

Here is the most recent update provided by the CME on eligible and registered gold.

 

What it reveals is that while JPM saw another 90,000 ounces of gold once again withdrawn from its vault, this time in the eligible category, for some reason a whopping 121,124 ounces of registered gold were reclassified as eligible. In doing so, JPM's registered gold (red line in chart below) tumbled to a record low of just 19,718 ounces - an 86% collapse in just one day -  and well under 1 ton of gold, some 600 kilos of physical gold available to meet delivery requests to be specific!

 

JPM's dramatic adjustment also meant that total Comex registered gold has likewise tumbled to the lowest in history of just 202,054 ounces - just over 6 tons - available for delivery.

 

Zooming in only on the registered gold since 2014:

 

Not surprisingly, the latest collapse in registered gold took place while the gold open interest remained flat, and in fact has been modestly rising in the past year as seen below:

 

Which brings us to the punchline chart: the Comex gold "coverage" ratio, or the amount of paper claims for every ounce of physical. As of Friday this number was literally off the chart (it would not have fit on the previous chart shown up top), soaring to a mindblowing 207 ounces of paper gold claims for every ounce of deliverable gold. This also means that the dilution ratio between physical gold and paper gold has hit a new all-time low of just 0.48%!

 

And while we know what caused this epic surge in potential claims on gold - namely the relentless outflow in registered gold - what we don't know is whether this is a systemic event, one which threatens the next Comex gold delivery request with an "insufficient product" response, and a potential default, or simply a one day abnormality.

What we do know is that, if only for one day, something at the Comex has snapped.

We will keep a close eye on today's Comex update to see if JPM reverses this "adjustment" and adds at least a few more tons of deliverable gold to its vault, and if not, perhaps a phone call or two may be in order.

 

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Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:41 | 6527408 WillyGroper
WillyGroper's picture

@Fester,

"Patients"

That's what I'm hoping for the folks that have stolen for centuries.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 15:15 | 6527906 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

You must be a doctor and not a doctorate of the English language or grammar.

Patients / patience

No wonder this country is fucked.

Keep on voting America.

You get what you deserve.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 15:16 | 6527916 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

You must be a doctor and not a doctorate of the English language or grammar.

Patients / patience

No wonder this country is fucked.  

Go ahead and blame it on your iPhone spell checker, Copernicus.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 16:06 | 6528245 BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

And how is it that you know he did not have peopled lined up to see the grasshopper for medical advise?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 17:57 | 6528782 Calmyourself
Calmyourself's picture

I normally would not help like this but it is egregious.  I advise you to buy a dictionary, then you may consult it for some good advice, medical or otherwise...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:48 | 6526933 agent default
agent default's picture

If only 1% of these future holders demand the physical asset the COMEX is empty and in default.  As the number of paper claims to physical increases the probability of default increases.  This probability of default, is also factored in in the futures prices.  So what you see in the price is not only supply and demand, it is also counter party risk.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:59 | 6527158 JimS
JimS's picture

COMEX will never "default", in the classic sense of the word "default". They simply cut you a check for the amount of what you are demanding and, of course, they would get that "cash" from the FED. Having said that, if every player on COMEX simply walked away, and did not buy or SELL "paper" gold, now that would be a serious problem for COMEX. Since they have fixed costs, that's called bankruptcy.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:42 | 6527414 agent default
agent default's picture

They will give YOU a check because there is nothing you can do about it.  State entities have a hell of a lot more clout and leverage than you.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 17:31 | 6528695 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

In 2012, as a consequence that the CME Group handles the DERIVATIVES Market, Obama declared them Too Big To Fail.

 

If legal remedy does not exist then there are always other alternatives.

 

The abandonment of the Rule of Law by the Government is a good indicator that one likewise adapts and abandon the Rule of Law.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:29 | 6527645 Tapeworm
Tapeworm's picture

It helps that COMEX GC contracts are 100 oz, which is a non standard wight anywhere but at COMEX. It also helps that the COMEX purity is below any international standard. You cant take COMEX good delivery bars and melt them into Kilos or 400 ouncers as the stuff is .995 with a wide tolerance, so it would have to be refined. It helps that the fees are prohibitory for the little guy that wants to take delivery on ten contracts or less.

 Size------- Wrong

 Purity------Wrong

 Fees-------too high

Only a big player that wants to make a point would try to take delivery. The big boy then could look forward to some ugly pressure for the rest of his natural life from Treasury Dept. (IRS)

 That is not to say that it could not be done. It would be a grand show.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:49 | 6527770 agent default
agent default's picture

I am sure the Kremlin and Beijing give a fuck about the IRS.  Demanding delivery of a huge position is not a financial move.  It is a  foreign policy move.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 17:33 | 6528703 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

How much Physical Gold did Germany get from their demands?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:49 | 6526835 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Nope, you have to factor in the margin accounts first. Once they are all settled - then you can start calculating price.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:59 | 6526882 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

bottom line, there is NO PRICE DISCOVERY, period!

That means the price could be zero just as easily as it could be $1,000,000,000 an ounce.

No means no and the risk that this implies is fucking insane.

Personally, I see massive capital and resource misallocation everywhere...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:37 | 6527064 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

Reality is not being priced only the game is being priced.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:47 | 6527763 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

In the end, when you actually execute the transaction, everything is priced in. I am not talking about phoney-baloney quoted prices - but what you actually pay. Everything is factored into that price.

The crookedness of the market, the legality of the transaction, the chances of getting caught if you are buying/selling contraband, your position in society, it's effect on your income taxes for the next year, and the effect on coffee prices 5 years from now. It's all factored in.

The free market is just that: Free. It exists outside of all rules and regulations - though those rules and regulations can affect market prices - they can never bind it.

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 17:42 | 6528732 g speed
g speed's picture

IMHO the "efficient market hypothesis" is passe' ----today the market is front run by insiders and HFT and that is never priced in. Stops are run by HFT and that is never priced in. Prices are arbitrary and not subject to price discovery and that is never ever priced in. 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 19:37 | 6529154 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

When you want a ham, you don't see a Jewish butcher.

When you want physical gold, you don't go to the COMEX.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:46 | 6526810 goatmug
goatmug's picture

EXACTLY!!!! All signs point to a complete lack of product for JPM to have in vaults, the world is coming to an end and the manipulation scheme is uncovered.....only to see gold fall.

 

Hmmm, last time JPM was this "net short" in product was 2013 which set into motion the fall from from $1500 to where we are today.  I can't wait to see what happens next.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:31 | 6527036 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

JPM seems to be getting out of the gold business or they are robbing the vault in broad daylight. Either way, JPM is selling formula it can not validate.
If this gold priceing model fails how does JPM make money? Hedgeing, so how are they headgeing? New products or existing products.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:44 | 6527428 TheFutureReset
TheFutureReset's picture

At that time people still had a rising stock market take their settlement check to,or real estate or somewhere. Today their is no place to smartly put that money (except maybe bitcoin). People won't sell, the only supply on the market will be fresh paper. Expect this number to continue up, until a customer with an army demands their gold. 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:03 | 6526899 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

Paper gold and bullion is getting further and further apart. They are no longer remotely the same, and only a shake up will make that clear.

Anyone with paper claims better stake a claim for the real thing. The ones that convert early converts best.

The other 206 out of 207 will get nothing, nix, intet, nichts, zilch, nada, fuck all. Can it be said any clearer??

 

Blinking morons!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:07 | 6527194 JimS
JimS's picture

Would you care to speculate who that 1 of 207 would be? Curious.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:25 | 6527311 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

I would count me amongst them! for sure!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:10 | 6526909 ForWhomTheTollBuilds
ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

"And gold is down $10..."

 

When the ratio hits 2400 : 1, gold will go down a lot more than $10.

 

I can imagine, without it even seeming sureal anymore, that the price of gold will go rapidly towards $0 during a comex collapse (as the freegolders predict) and that while this will be covered in huge media headlines, the reset price afterwards won't be mentioned.  

 

That is to say gold bullion will sell for $50K an ounce and "He bought gold" will also be a catchphrase about how people went broke.  We really seem to be moving into two societies here.   I kinda feel bad about no longer caring.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:12 | 6526943 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"I kinda feel bad about no longer caring." -- don't this is the natural outcome for experiencing a "just-us" system, years of fucking theft and oligarchs pissing down your back telling you that it is raining.  fuck em.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:46 | 6527102 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Gold down $20 as the pig farm on Wall Street continues to rape America with the help of the all Tribe at the Federal Reserve Bank!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:17 | 6527260 ZH Snob
ZH Snob's picture

if you're in the club and have paper options, you will certainly be first in line to claim.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 17:02 | 6528560 bilbert
bilbert's picture

Let us not forget the fine print at the bottom of the page:

 

 

The information in this report is taken from sources believed to be reliable; however,    the Commodity Exchange, Inc. disclaims all liability whatsoever with regard to its accuracy or completeness. This report is produced for information purposes only.      

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 18:30 | 6528833 remain calm
remain calm's picture

" And gold is down $10"

Makes perfect sense if you think about it.......... If you know you are not going to be able to deliver on the gold people think they hold in your bank and you are going to have to deliver at yesterdays price in dollars then you want to get the price of gold low to make your cash settlement less. Only a few more days before a lot of people realize they hold fiat and not gold.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 20:56 | 6529381 missionshk
missionshk's picture

KITCO HONG KONG FOR THE FIRST TIME HAS NO SILVER LEFT TO SELL

 

KITCO USA WONT BE LONG BEHIND IT...

 

THE WHOLE SILVER MARKET IS GONE~!~~!!~~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 22:46 | 6529772 Yohimbo
Yohimbo's picture

let me guess, "silver could go to $150-$150,000 per ounce as it more rare than gold"

silver at 150k per ounce and your neighbor would have already ate you and your family, and your dog.

 

Thu, 09/10/2015 - 07:20 | 6530456 silvertri
silvertri's picture

Congrats Maplehood, the highest up vote count I have ever  seen!! succint and to the point...

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:36 | 6526742 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Looking forward to when that 207 turns into ?.

Awe what the fuck Tyler, no symbol for Infinity in here?  

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:18 | 6526963 Bananamerican
Bananamerican's picture

Option 5 keystroke (on a mac anyway)

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:20 | 6526972 swmnguy
swmnguy's picture

I believe you were looking for this?  (Character map; let's see if it works when I hit "save")  ?

Edit; ah, poop, it changed it to a question mark.

Seriously, as often as we need the infinity symbol...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:27 | 6527008 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

OO, or just write "infinity". 

I say bring back the captcha, then bring back the gold standard!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:35 | 6527059 Booked
Booked's picture

?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:22 | 6527289 swmnguy
swmnguy's picture

An interesting replacement for the oo infinity symbol, I thought.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 16:02 | 6528215 agstacks
agstacks's picture

LOL

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 22:57 | 6529821 undertow1141
undertow1141's picture

8 heres one, but its broken.

Thu, 09/10/2015 - 00:25 | 6530044 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

I see infinity most of the time when I stare into thulsa dooms' fountain water

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 15:21 | 6527938 ZH Snob
ZH Snob's picture

tried alt codes, but this website does not play that way.

 

http://www.alt-codes.net/

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:36 | 6526744 BlackMagician
BlackMagician's picture

F*#k You Banksters! Blatant manipulation! I bet a gold eagle that every banker on the planet has a safe FULL of the barbarous relics.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:36 | 6526745 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

it is either in your possession and guarded by a gloch or you wont own it

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:02 | 6527162 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Colt .45 Series 80 here; on-site and dedicated.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:36 | 6526746 Argenta
Argenta's picture

124 paper claims per ounce?  Nah, this game isn't rigged.  Nothing to see here folks...move on.

Would love to see the same stats on silver.

-Argenta

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:57 | 6526872 Midas
Midas's picture

"Price will solve everything."

--Some dumbass quoted by Kyle Bass.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:36 | 6526748 sampo
sampo's picture

To the infinity!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:42 | 6526749 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

soaring to a mindblowing 207 ounces of paper gold claims for every ounce of deliverable gold.

That's what happens when the Fed consistently manipulates gold lower by selling a few billion dollar's worth in a nanosecond at 3 am

The last honest Fed chairman explains:

Paul Volcker: Gold Was the Enemy

“Gold was the enemy to me because that was a speculative vehicle while I was trying to hold the system together. [The speculators] were on the other side.”

Then and now, the gold price is viewed as the inverse price of the confidence in the system. If gold is high, it usually means something is amiss. In Volcker’s time, the high inflation and budget deficits of the 70s propelled gold from a low of $35 before 1970 to a high of $668 in 1980.

http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/1299447-paul-volcker-gold-was-the-enemy/

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:46 | 6526808 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

I only have 15 rounds in my Glock.  I am not sure I could fight off the 188 folks scrambling for my gold.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:03 | 6526902 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

A kukri never runs out of ammo.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:42 | 6527092 ZeroPoint
ZeroPoint's picture

Get your 100 round drums while you still can.

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 15:12 | 6527891 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

Boiling oil. Just after the moat and just before the portcullis.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 22:49 | 6529787 Yohimbo
Yohimbo's picture

with my sword the blood of 188 bodies would flood out of my house.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:46 | 6526809 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

I heard Volker's Voice too

Fuck, this ramp up is pretty insane even if predictable 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:55 | 6526861 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

Razor wire, funneling, choke points, is this your first day?
If you can afford good, you shold be able to afford an AR or AK.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:56 | 6526870 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

I have shot guns for the choke points.  And ARs from a distance.  If they are close enough to my gold, I think we may be employing the KaBar.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:37 | 6526750 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Not to worry, nobody ever takes delivery from the Comex, and anyway there's still 682 tons in GLD to be sold out before a real shortage is noticeable.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:42 | 6526783 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

Fortunately for the COMEX, there's a clause hidden in the fine print that allows cash settlement. Problem solved!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:18 | 6526966 ForWhomTheTollBuilds
ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

Isn't it even better than that?  

 

I thought Comex gave itself the right to settle delivery demands in GLD shares and then GLD changed their rules so that anyone cashing in their GLD could be paid in Comex receipts.  

You gotta hand it to the financiers.  In the end the only thing that allows them to get away with this shit is the peculiar moral authority they possess and a cursory investigation shows they gave themselves that as well.  

I bet everyone reading this has tried to tell an outsider about the central banks or the comex and been told, "Well where did you get YOUR phd in economics?  I think I'll trust the experts and not some guy whose into blogs."

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:18 | 6526967 agent default
agent default's picture

It is not really that hidden, but he point is that there is sufficient confidence that you can settle in physical.  If they come out in the open and force cash settlement, they have lost control.  BTW, go tell some major futures holder from China or Russia, which is probably a state/government agency, that they can only settle in cash.  It will be deemed an openly hostile act.  Watch what happens when they openly come out and demand their gold, or the gloves are off with the US.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:48 | 6527113 ForWhomTheTollBuilds
ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

"If they come out in the open and force cash settlement, they have lost control."

 

The one part of the gold thesis that I have come to reject is this idea (specifially among the masses) that there will be a moment where "everyone loses faith and demands the real thing".

 

Based on my observations, the Comex could cash-settle and Krugman could calm everyone by simply writing:

 

"...now there has been much predictible hysteria among the Austrian bloggers about a 'comex default', but the simple truth is that the contract holders were made whole in cash because there wasn't any gold available at the time it was requested.  

There is nothing unusual about this except to those who fear a central banker is hiding under their beds.  Everyone has been made whole and not a single investor has lost anything.  In fact, gold prices in comex trading have fallen notably since the settlement due to a lack of investor interest in gold.  How many of the people who were paid cash last month wish they were still holding those contracts or the gold now?

 

If the bloggers ever get their wish of shutting down the comex, gold will no longer be an international market and the value of their relic will be set by whatever liquidity is available locally.  They really need to think these things through but they won't because they are blinded by ideology..."

 

Wow, I'm getting good at thinking like an asshole, but you get the drift.  A comex default wont be seen as a big deal outside this and a few other blogs.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:28 | 6527314 agent default
agent default's picture

You think major holders, particularly when they are foreign government entities will give a fuck what Krugman has to say?  Ok hypothetical scenario.  COMEX defaults. Large position held by Chinese/Russian government fund is about to be settled in cash.  China/Russia steps in and declares they demand full settlement in physical.  Then what?  I am certain that the Chinese and/or the Russians have probably created such a position in the COMEX precisely for this reason and this reason only.

Suppose COMEX defaults, China uses the Shanghai physical exchange to set the price of gold to whatever THEY want to in USD terms, turn around and declare that they will confiscate US assets on Chinese soil to that amount.  Further they openly declare that they will be dumping all their treasury and USD reserves as anything from the US is not worth the paper it's printed on.

Russia will just regard it as a hostile act and declare that it will retaliate by all measures they see fit. It will really suck for Eastern Europe. Then the FSB(whatever it is today) springs to action and bankers and Krugmen start dropping dead left, right and center just to make a point (fraud against the Russian people never goes unpunished blah, blah), while the Kremlin openly calls for harsh measures against US interests across the world. 

Are you sure these two don't want the COMEX to default on the positions they(plausibly) hold?  Are you sure the US will have any allies left by that time?  And what happens to the foreign gold held by the Fed?  Will Germany and everybody play along, or will they also go nuts against the US?

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:06 | 6527499 ForWhomTheTollBuilds
ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

Since all the things you write about will likely happen, we will see about the response by others.

 

In the meantime I keep hearing about how "the people" arent "going to stand" for various shit but...

- I watched Germany ask for their gold back and result was a default by any sane standard.  No one appears to have cared.

- I watched MFGlobal steal money from brokerage accounts.  No one cared.

- I watched Cyprus, an EU country steal (bail-in) Euro denominated deposits from regular people in a widely publicised plan signed off on by the ECB, IMF and World Bank.  No deposit run in Europe came from this.

- I see Greek people STILL with hundreds of thousands of Euro in their banks.  

- I see a Canadian blogger laughing out loud at the lunatics who think a bank bailin could happen in Canada even though exactly this has been enacted into law.

- I see semi regular "flash crash" events in the financial markets that seem to be of little interest to the people around me.

- I watched the Irish vote in a Prime Minister campaigning on an explicit rejection of bank bailouts who immediately bailed out the banks with Irish pensioner money.  No revolt there.

- I watched the Greeks vote No on an austerity plan only to have their govt sign a much harsher plan two weeks later.  No revolt.

- I watched the Swiss get bullied by their central bank out of securing their national gold on the grounds that it would stop them from running a currency peg they dropped a month later at a huge loss to the nation.  No revolt.

 

And on and on and on...  And every single time I was told, "The people in country X aren't like the people in other places, you can't fuck with them, this is gonna be EPIC".

 

I think it was maybe the poster knuckles who said there will be no reaction from the public until the supply lines break.  

I bet even problems getting food and fuel won't immediately cause the public to start asking questions beyond the usual Red Team Blue Team bullshit.

 

But we will see. In the meantime, the Western public finding out they can't get gold they don't want anyway will be a footnote if they notice at all.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 16:12 | 6528288 agstacks
agstacks's picture

"At least when Obama was president I could go to the store and buy some groceries."  /s 

SMH

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 16:35 | 6528420 JohninMK
JohninMK's picture

Almost the only thing now that would wake up the sheeple is when the Internet gets turned off. Then its too late.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 23:03 | 6529839 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

nice post

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 23:17 | 6529883 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Seven Meals from anarchy...Most have not stored any food.

 

That revolt happens when supplu lines break and people need to feed their children.

 

Are you about to let yours starve?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:19 | 6527274 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

Agent D: Cash settlement is probably already occurring, when necessary. No one complains because they settle at a cash price much higher than the quoted (paper) price.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 16:06 | 6528242 agstacks
agstacks's picture

Cash settlement with a nice cherry on top AFTER you sign the NDA.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:58 | 6527149 chubbar
chubbar's picture

If I had a spare couple of hundred grand laying around I'd be tempted to buy futures and try to take delivery on them. I wonder how much TPTB are offering folks that stand for delivery (assuming it's not a threat with a nail gun)? This may actually be a fairly common thing that is occuring in the midst of this debacle. Imagine if you found out a year or so ago you could make 20% a month by threatening to take delivery then turning around and buying physical with that 20%. It wouldn't take very long to find yourself with a risk-free trade.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 16:13 | 6528295 agstacks
agstacks's picture

"It wouldn't take very long to find yourself with a risk-free trade."

Or pushed 15' down an embankment to your untimely death. 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:43 | 6526784 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

yea especially when for the first time Ive ever seen over 60 contracts standing for delivery when off the board unfilled last month without so much as a hint of explaination or accounting . How this is even possible is beyond me.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:44 | 6526791 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

The rules are arcane and opaque, there's no point even trying to analyze the daily ins-and-outs. 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:28 | 6527009 ForWhomTheTollBuilds
ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

Much as I believe in a "consipiracy" amonst the elites to obscure the movement and posession of large amounts of physical gold, I sometimes get through reading a GATA type paper showing all kinds of circumstantial evidence supporting one conclusion or another and I start to wonder...

Maybe they are trying desparately to hide the truth from the public because the whole system would collapse if we knew, but maybe they are just genuinely baffled at the thought that they owe outsiders any explanation at all about what they are up to.

So when a guy like Ron Paul wants to audit the Fed, the Fed might be against it for practical reasons, but even moreso I wonder if they dont just bristle at the very idea of having to converse with the useless eaters.

I bet there are people high up in the Comex system who genuinely think they are doing a good job and don't understand what all the fuss is about (if they are even aware of GATA or blogs like this one in the first place).  Like a 19 year old enlisting to defend America from Terrorists, they have no idea at all about the kind of machine they are a cog in.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:42 | 6527412 JimS
JimS's picture

True, that's why the desperate attempt to ban cash. Look at all the stories in the last 4-5 months about the need to ban cash. Those fuckers know what's going on.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:11 | 6527537 ForWhomTheTollBuilds
ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

I have a young coworker (non ideological as far as I know) who, and I quote, "fucking HATES cash" and refuses to carry it.

On a slightly unrelated note I know a number of people who have heard about the spyware in windows 10 and said they upgraded right away and love it.  I bring that up becuase as the liberty side tries to remind the public of just what could be done to us in a cashless society, you might observe a sudden love for big brother emerging.

A guy named Stephen Cohen comments on Russian politics and mentioned in passing that he knows people who have family members who were killed by Stalin who still think Stalin was a great man who did to their parents what he had to do.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 20:35 | 6529198 scrappy
scrappy's picture

https://blockwindows.wordpress.com/

They are getting Win 7 and 8 users too through updates.

https://github.com/WindowsLies/BlockWindows/

Folks, switch to Ubuntu or a Linux flavor..

Don't pull a Hillary on yourself.

(YOU DO understand what these types of data "policies" means for us, our ideas, our economic - physical  security, etc. going forward, DON'T YOU?)

Name the ISM for $64.00

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 22:28 | 6529701 Stares straight...
Stares straight ahead's picture

They don't care. They are doing nothing wrong; they have nothing to hide, don't ya know? You are a crazy coot in their eyes, old man.
It might stop a mass shooting somewhere. It's for the sake of the little children.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:45 | 6526797 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

I thought GLD, and registered COMEX overlap.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:50 | 6526838 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

No.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:39 | 6527701 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

I was just thinking of Bob Pisani's visit to one of GLD's vaults a few years ago. And that (GLD owned) bar on TV that belonged to someone else.

Thu, 09/10/2015 - 00:33 | 6530068 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

I remember that one...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:34 | 6527049 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

Comex gold is going to places where the demand is for physical. Maybe even to the SGE. Behind the scenes, there's the scramblingbling. Not on a Comex spreadsheet. A while back, there was an article on ZH with massive disturbings in derivative holdings at JPM and HSBC. Sometin's up. Physical is dissapearing.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:37 | 6526751 Possible Impact
Possible Impact's picture

Are the number calculated with or without Tungsten?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:37 | 6526754 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

wake me up when they're slitting each others throat over that last few ounces. 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:40 | 6526756 AC_Doctor
AC_Doctor's picture

Paper asswipe- 200:1 claims then add in deriviatives to 1000+:1 paper to phyzz ratio.

 

                               Only overlooked by CFTC due to National Security Issues.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:38 | 6526760 Two Theives and...
Two Theives and a Liar's picture

Margin call bitchez! NO I don't want paper!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:39 | 6526764 thatthingcanfly
thatthingcanfly's picture

Note to self: TAKE DELIVERY.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:41 | 6526773 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

A surreal situation we are witnessing.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:59 | 6526868 HardlyZero
HardlyZero's picture

Agree.  This is fantastic news.   Plan and take action.

 

Significant topic is will Gold zoom up before the markets crash ?

If markets crash first then short the markets, cash out, and buy precious.   done.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:39 | 6527393 agent default
agent default's picture

Yeah and make sure you get your timing right or you lose everything and then some.  You are juggling chainsaws here.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:43 | 6526776 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

No problem

Congress has already obligated taxpayers to cover the difference

A legacy of wall paper has been left for your great grandkids

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:42 | 6526779 bshirley1968
bshirley1968's picture

Come on man!

I have been stacking for a while now and am a believer in PM's to the point of being a stable store of value and insurance policy.  I too am waiting for this house of cards to burn down BUT I too have been reading this COMEX BS for years and have come to the conclusion that you can't call the data and integrity of the COMEX into question on one hand and then get all excited on the other hand when some story or data comes out and seems to validate your position.

I would never soley make a decision regarding my personal finances based on ANY data from ANY futures or commodity market.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:07 | 6526920 Argenta
Argenta's picture

It's one thing to lie and say you have more metal than you really do versus publishing data that clearly shows you don't.  There are plenty of reasons to do the former, zero reason to do the latter.

-Argenta

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:13 | 6527227 bshirley1968
bshirley1968's picture

Have you seen where either "lie" has made one bit of difference?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 14:42 | 6527731 Argenta
Argenta's picture

No, and that's a good point.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:42 | 6526781 DontFollowMyAdv...
DontFollowMyAdviceImaDummy's picture

i'm surprised it's only 207-claims-per-ounce; it'll be over-1000 by the end of October.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:17 | 6527257 JimS
JimS's picture

If it goes over 300 it could get serious, only for the margin calls. Then again, those "players" could just walk over to the FED and get "bailed out", if you know what I mean. I would not be suprised to see it go up over 10000 to 1, it's all rather meaningless. It's fucking fiat money for Christ's sake.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 23:12 | 6529852 Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

CME Group is in a trap. The more they create naked contracts to keep the paper price depressed exposes them for the fraud which they are.

 

They must depress Gold Prices in order to CASH SETTLE as they have limited funds. 

 

If they do have to get a bailout from the FED then they are, once again, exposed.

 

Checkmate, Mr. Christian.

 

I hope that you are sweating this, Mr. Jeffery Christian. I hope that you are sweating blood you fraudulent fuck.

 

Bu November the price of Oil will be in the Low Twenties.

 

The price of Gold will be $1000

 

The price of Silver will be $10

 

And the S&P 500 will be at 500.

 

Of course nobody will be selling any at these prices and the economy will be DEAD!!!

 

Enjoy your meltdown.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:44 | 6526790 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

They get that train track started from Poland to Chicago?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:45 | 6526798 Sir SpeaksALot
Sir SpeaksALot's picture

this is a farce...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:45 | 6526799 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Just wait till crAApl releases the iAwesome...a device that makes everything awesomer even if your body is engulfed with flames.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:47 | 6526800 honestann
honestann's picture

Oh, only 207 to 1.  No wonder the gold price has been crashing lower this morning (1125 to 1101).

Oh, wait.  Is that right?  Do I have something backwards?

Hahaha.  Hahaha.

/sarcasm

PS:  Where is our man on the white horse?  You know, the guy in the golden armor who demands delivery of a whopper-load of COMEX gold?  Hmmm, I guess no armor is thick enough to deflect the nukes the banksters would drop on him for demanding what he is owed.

PS:  Any minute now... hi ho silver, down, down and away.

PS:  Obviously the predators-that-be want to pick up their last loads of gold and silver before Shemita weekend - last day ever to get physical?  Better load up too folks.  Too bad for me, I'm pretty much outta fiat to buy with.  Boo hoo.  :-(

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:44 | 6527429 crazybob369
crazybob369's picture

The knight in the white horse could be the retarded mining executives who are either in bed with the JP & Co., or, as I mentioned before, are completely retarded. They could put a stop to this overnight simply by refusing to sell  PMs at these manipulated prices, other than what they need to keep the lights on.

 

But alas, I fear chivalry is dead. No knights to the rescue. All we can do is hunker down and wait. In the meantime, there will be blood.

Thu, 09/10/2015 - 05:43 | 6527735 honestann
honestann's picture

Frankly, all the miners need be is sane at this state of affairs (these levels of physical stock)!  Just hold on to what they produce.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:45 | 6526802 Dragon HAwk
Dragon HAwk's picture

Gold Fever is real, you hold it in your hands long enough you can feel it taking over..

 good thing i spent all mine on Politicians, Hookers & Fishing trips

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:46 | 6526812 JJdog
JJdog's picture

Don't worry, the alien's from mars have a space ship load of gold.  They will drop them off to Comex soon.  Back to BTFD 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:46 | 6526813 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Margin hike coming. If Yellen raises rates, margin hike might not even be needed for a short time.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:46 | 6526814 Jungle Jim
Jungle Jim's picture

Aaand the gold price goes ... *straight* down, some more. Every day, lower and lower.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:47 | 6526820 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

You would think if things are about to collapse they wouldn't make it so obvious by hammering Gold almost every fucking week. I don't understand why they don't let it rise , albeit in controlled environment they seem to have expertly managed so far ??? Are they that greedy . Stupid. Made a deal with Asia that $1100 is that big a difference than $1500 in USMonoployD ????

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:47 | 6526821 Jungle Jim
Jungle Jim's picture

Yep, buying a whole lot of gold, and silver, sure was a great way to "preserve wealth."

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:02 | 6526895 jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

Wait for it, wait for it. Noooooo wait for it you fuckin' twat. We're not there yet.

Ok, go back to CNBC and suck your thumb.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:34 | 6527369 JimS
JimS's picture

Dude: sorry to burst your bubble, but "stacking" is more about insurance, than "preserving wealth". I am guessing about 55-45%. At least for me. Not sure about everyone else. Jungle Jim, you got insurance on your house and car, correct? Or, if you run into my car, am I fucked?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:48 | 6526825 SillySalesmanQu...
SillySalesmanQuestion's picture

They probably had to pay off the King of Saudi Arabia last week when he met with Obummer...he said he wasn't taking no fricken paper, just fizz.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:48 | 6526826 q99x2
q99x2's picture

They can make gold with lasers now but it is classified as a matter of national security.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:08 | 6526922 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

take a high school chemistry class...in your copious free time...

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 15:17 | 6527919 ebear
ebear's picture

a class in nuclear physics would be more appropriate:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Synthesis_of_precious_metals

It can be done. It's just VERY expensive.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:29 | 6527341 JimS
JimS's picture

That had to be sarcasm. Made me chuckle! I don't think the "down" arrows got that one. 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:46 | 6527437 Urban Roman
Urban Roman's picture

Remember when Gates mentioned "digital mining techniques"?

I wonder what was going through his little brain just then..

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:48 | 6526827 Stox
Stox's picture

It's trying to catch up to VIX as the biggest vapor-contract.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:48 | 6526831 Not My Real Name
Not My Real Name's picture

Draw a trend line under the COMEX registered stock and it predicts the last of the gold is gone by December.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:20 | 6526968 JLO
JLO's picture

However as the price goes down people tend to sell. Which in turn replenishes the vaults....

 

And the trend for the price of silver and gold is in a down trend.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:28 | 6527020 JLO
JLO's picture

In my humble opinion they are sideways in the commodities market on credit extension.....we see the same plan played out in 1943 - 1945. And even more recent since that date.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:51 | 6527121 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

What people tend to sell?  Physical or paper?  

Momo chasers might sell paper.  Physical investors don't sell and insignificant handfuls of people in Asia tend to buy.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:30 | 6527225 JLO
JLO's picture

You don't sell paper. You can only trade it.

The physical is just as liquid as any other asset. You just need a buyer. Which in the case  (a collapsing precious metals market) will be the original sellers.

Keep in mind the MAJORITY of the population like dollars (for now) and not physical gold and silver. Weight beyond other problems keep the majority out of the physical market. However, the dream of wealth overnight keeps them in the physical market. That will eventually fade away.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 20:00 | 6528809 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Oh?  So you can't sell your futures position in the Comex?  How can you "trade it" if you can't sell it?

"The physical is just as liquid as any other asset. You just need a buyer." [duh]

Which in the case  (a collapsing precious metals market) will be the original sellers."  [why would it have to be the orignal sellers?  Nonsense]

"Weight beyond other problems keep the majority out of the physical market."  [Do you count the Indians and Chinese in the minority? -- Gold doesn't weigh that much $100,000 is what 6lbs or so?]

"...the dream of wealth overnight keeps them in the physical market" [for most here it's the dream of having something left when the fiat regime collapses as every one that ever existed has done.]

 

 

 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:50 | 6526839 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture
Just remember. It's not a lie... if you believe it
Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:06 | 6526910 JLO
JLO's picture

Just like the American dream.

Bush Jr outlined the plan for Iraq just as he did the financial system. He stated then that Military must remain in Iraq to strengthen the political system and refineries. Obama did just the opposite.

 

He also warned almost to the day 7 years ago on national T.V. that America was headed towards a bad PERIOD of time. A time we should pay DOWN debt. And what did we do. The public sector alone DOUBLED down on debt and created an even worse agenda. America did just the opposite.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 21:43 | 6526856 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:55 | 6526858 Jungle Jim
Jungle Jim's picture

Wasn't that big Shemitah/September thing supposed to save us? I'm still waiting.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:55 | 6526862 roisaber
roisaber's picture

We will bury you bankster fucks!!!!

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:55 | 6526863 MrMorden
MrMorden's picture

My question would be:  What does a 207x claims to physical ratio mean to the actual value of gold?

After all, the spot price has this ratio "baked in".  I assume a true valuation would not be 207x spot, but it sure as fuck isn't spot, either. 

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:29 | 6527023 agent default
agent default's picture

The increase of the ratio is the direct result of the gold smashes.  When you sell a years worth of production within five minutes and do it over and over again, things tend to get out of control.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:56 | 6526865 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Paper gold trades on contract default risk, not demand.  This is a classic bank run where an unregulated banking structure creates more paper gold reciepts than they have gold.  This is how banks always used to fail.  The COMEX, while enabling a fraud, is also only as trustworthy as its customer that is most likely to default.  And all that gold that is supposed to be there is tied up in failed investment schemes, the same as if they had used it to buy Florida swamp land.  It is worse than the banks of old.  In short, the paper is most likely worthless.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:05 | 6526911 Latitude25
Latitude25's picture

Florida swamp is great.  You build an island and nobody bothers you plus you develop a taste for gator steaks.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:08 | 6526923 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

But it has the wrong kind of "liquidity".

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:53 | 6527129 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

And the mosquitos develop a taste for you.

Does python taste like chicken?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:29 | 6527348 Latitude25
Latitude25's picture

No but the pythons have developed a taste for chicken.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 17:01 | 6528559 Latitude25
Wed, 09/09/2015 - 22:23 | 6529686 Not My Real Name
Wed, 09/09/2015 - 23:49 | 6529958 Dead Canary
Dead Canary's picture

Oh, thanx you assholes. First I watched crawdad vs cat. Then I just HAD to click on python vs alligator.

Snake vs centipede

Scorpion vs scorpion

yada, yada yada.

(HELP! I'M STUCK IN YOUTUBE AND CAN'T GET OUT)

Thu, 09/10/2015 - 01:07 | 6530129 Luc X. Ifer
Luc X. Ifer's picture

and me/human eats both, i mean - any source of protein and that includes human flesh if anything else goes extinct.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:23 | 6526990 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

All of the players are co-opted. There is simply no authentic, policing or regulatory function left. The bankers have full control of the asylum- they have bought everyone including Congressmen who sit on banking "regulatory" committees.

 

Don't be dismayed by this. It will continue until it can't. The crash that will follow will make 2008 look like the good ol days. All that remains to be seen is when. If left the building long ago.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 12:35 | 6527056 ForWhomTheTollBuilds
ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

"In short, the paper is most likely worthless."

 

I guess we will get to test the FreeGold thesis about this.  If the paper comes to be recognized as worthless, then the price will begin to fall and rapidly...  But Comex gold is the official "price of gold" as far as the press is concerned, which means that, in theory, we should be able to buy a 10 ounce bar for $50 soon.

 

It will be interesting to see how far it has to fall before all sales of physical stop.   I actually could see (in the west only) a bustling market where those so inclined could rip off widows by offering to pay then "double what your dead husbands gold coins are worth".

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 13:17 | 6527255 Sir SpeaksALot
Sir SpeaksALot's picture

since paper GLD is worthless is it any wonder the price fallen that much today?

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:56 | 6526869 Jungle Jim
Jungle Jim's picture

They've done a pretty good job so far of burying me.

Wed, 09/09/2015 - 11:59 | 6526884 Tenshin Headache
Tenshin Headache's picture

Fractional reserve gold, because no one would ever want to take possession of such a barbaric relic.

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