This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.
Will China Invade Alaska, Canada? Will Russia?
Authored by Bernie Quigley, originally posted op-ed at The Observer,
The theory of 65-year cycles points to a critical moment in China's evolution
Five Chinese navy ships are currently operating in the Bering Sea off the coast of Alaska, the Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday, marking the first time the U.S. military has seen them in the area. Why the sudden interest?
Because the Chinese have been studying the cycles. From generational theorists William Strauss and Neil Howe, they have learned that political/cultural cycles last only 65 years, and then they collapse, cycles first observed by Taoist monks and Roman philosophers. And China is exactly 66 years advanced since the Chinese Communist Revolution of 1949. In terms of generational cycles, China is on the eve of destruction. (In terms of the Strauss/Howe theory, so are we.)
The Chinese have been studying Western theories and economic cycles like the Elliott Wave, which suggests that the life cycle of a dominant currency has its limitations, and the American dollar cycle has ended. They have been studying economist Harry Dent, investment gurus Jim Rogers, Marc Faber and libertarian Ron Paul, seen often here only in the shadows, and understand that America is at a full economic transition, potentially a catastrophic cultural turning.
They have been reading Nicholson Baker’s day-by-day account, Human Smoke: The beginnings of WWII, the End of Civilization. They understand fully without Western sentimentality or illusion what comes next at the end of the economic cycle: Total war.
And they know that they have every advantage, for so many reasons. The first might reach back to 1913, when the 17th Amendment was approved in America. It focused power in New York and Washington and nullified the natural rise and development of states and regions into indigenous republics or “laboratories of democracy,” the phrase used by Justice Louis Brandeis. But created in time a vast meandering horde wandering without fences, formed by Hollywood light and sound, answering to no one, or anyone. It was one of the early Tea Party initiatives to put the fences back, but it is now too late and not enough.
They understand the “lessons of Vietnam”: Here in the age of the individualized common man where every woman or man can be emperor, it is not just the rich who will not fight, not just the connected who will avoid service (Dick Cheney had five military deferments in the Vietnam era). Almost no one will fight and those who do will be despised.
And although nostalgico generations celebrating Franklin D. Roosevelt (like Bernie Sanders) still romantically view us as unified (largely European) minions formed by great Hollywood figures; Frank Capra, Howard Hawks, Gary Cooper movies like Sergeant York, we no longer are. We view ourselves today as “totalitarian lite” benevolent world conquerors and everybody wants to be like us (except the Chinese and Russians). Senator from Arkansas Tom Cotton today calls for “global military dominance.” But we have no temperament for war. Scholarly studies report that, just one percent of current residents of New Jersey have served in military since Vietnam.
Secretary of State John Kerry’s appeasement of the Ayatollahs in the Iran deal comes as no surprise. Not to China, which carefully plans its next steps in the now permanent relationship with the war-weary and wary West.
Jim Webb, warrior/scholar and former Senator from Virginia, who is running for president has been watching this a long time.
“From this point forward,” he wrote in the Wall Street Journal back in 2001, “no one should doubt that our over investment in the economy of a nondemocratic and ever more aggressive nation has seriously compromised our ability to conduct foreign policy in the world’s most dynamic region. And the fact that we have become vulnerable to a Chinese military modernized through the benefits of our own technology should give all of us pause.”
Chinese missiles are seen on trucks as they drive next to Tiananmen Square and the Great Hall of the People during a military parade on September 3, 2015 in Beijing, China. (Photo: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)
Webb prefaced his article with a quote from Sun Tzu, in The Art of War: “Draw them in with the prospect of gain, take them by confusion. Use anger to throw them into disarray.”
It is safe to say today that we are now passed the “draw them in” phase and entering into the “take them by confusion” phase and that is what the Chinese ships are doing off the Alaskan coast. Soon ahead, the “use anger to throw them into disarray” phase.
Possibly we would come together in defense today if an outside invader approached the United States (Lower 48) either from China on one side, or Russia on the other. But would Americans in the Lower 48 defend Alaska? Canada? Or would we instead deal Canada away to avoid war below and “find peace”? As our long, intimate, historic relationship with Israel disintegrates almost overnight, General Secretary of the Communist Party Xi Jinping thinks he knows the answer.
Most Americans who have never seen Dougie Gilmour crawl off the ice with a broken leg in his last day on ice, have never been to Tim Hortons or canoed the mystic Canadian wilderness, think Canadians are silly, preoccupied only with hockey. Scott Walker, Governor of Wisconsin, who wants to be president, fully personifies this dangerous American narcissism: He wants to build a fence not only across the border with Mexico, but one across the border with Canada as well. But Canada, and Alaska, are absolutely vital to America’s defence, even to our very existence.
Time to read again, John McPhee’s Coming into the Country. Time to read again, Margaret Atwood’s Survival: A Thematic Guide to Canadian Literature. Time to read again, Sun Tzu’s The Art of War.
That President Obama is the first American president to cross into the Arctic Circle is astonishing. That tells the Chinese, and the Russians who planted the flag at the North Pole and declared it to be their own well back in 2007, virtually everything they need to know about our relationship with the Great White North.
That is where they must start in the next phase of civilization between China, Russia and North America: Using “anger to throw them into disarray.”
»
- 63032 reads
- Printer-friendly version
- Send to friend
- advertisements -
This article is years too late. I just went to Canada (Vancouver) for the first time in 15 years this summer. Drop a bomb there and they would kill half a million Chinese people. I took a picture of my daughter outside a downtown market and it looks more like we were on vatcation in Shanghai.
China is going to attack Belgium.
No idea why.
Both China and Russia support Argentina's Malvinas claim so the reality is that you have just got to treat fairy tale sovereignty claims with caution: https://www.academia.edu/10490336/Argentinas_Illegitimate_Sovereignty_Claims
Personally (and as a full blooded Canuck) I really never considered and invasion from China. Why would they? They are in Canada already. Lots. Probably close to the dominant cultural group although I speak in ignorance from a demographic point of view. I suspect in America you likely have a large Chinese population too. To go with the Spanish population.
They own lots of our resources already. Why invade. We have 35 million people here. Who cares. However I can safely say that we won't simply stand there and let it happen. Read on who they sent in to do the dirty work in the wars and you'll see how we rank.
That being said I was a lot more concerned about the US turning its hungry eyes North than I ever was China or Russia. Russia has enough resources of its own and enough frozen wasteland. Why would they want more?
No I was concerned about the quiet, ruthless, invasion from the south that generally goes unnoticed by most Canucks. For all intensive purposes we are part of America (although I am sure I will be ridiculed by most Canadians) but media, corporations and military are US based. The take over happened a long time ago. Cheers!
We bought Alaska from Russia to be used as the burial ground for their military, pastor Arnold Murray!
WTF is this... terrible piece.
EDIT: Jim Webb? Warrior AND scholar?... The author must have been high as a kite when he wrote this.
Neither China, nor Russia, have the necessary logistical ability (not to mention blue water capability) to support such a proposal. As many have already questioned, why would they even want too? The main purpose of seizing territory is for its natural resources or strategic position. Canada and Alaska certainly have untapped resources, v the majority of the US which certainly has resources of its own but has effectively used its readily accessible resouces during its industrialisation over the last 100 years. Nor does North America occupy any major strategic position of value to Russia or China.
Therefore the only realistic reason for any possible invasion would be the destruction of North America as a global opponent.
If recent history has taught us anything about major conflicts it is that you will quickly run into supply problems. The Germans encountered this as they quickly out ran their ability to supply their forward forces early in WW2, especially in the East. The Japanese had the same issue in trying to keep their shipping from being sunk as they struggled to maintain their control over large areas of the Pacific. The Russians had the same issue, as did the Allies when the Germans retreated. Any invasion of North America would suffer the same issue as their supply lines ran into harassment from the sea once the conflict began. At the same time your trying to control the population of the territory you have seized, you suffer partisan attacks etc... Invading North America would be a nightmare for little to no gain, one which I cannot by any imagination see Russia and China contemplating.
That does not mean they will not seek to deny the US its ability to compete within their spheres of influence through assymetric warfare, but that is a different story.
Wow... take a few grains of truth, add megatons of manure, then shake but don't stir, and the result is explosive diarrhea of psychotic pretension.
Or is this just what happens when an arrogant academic "intellectual" overdoses on the worst combination of psychosis-generating drugs?
What a mess.
After Obama, all the Chinese have to do is walk in, tell people the Constitution is in full effect, the bankers who stole everything are going to jail, and homos can't get married. People will fling open their doors.
That, and Obama would just give them Alaska anyway. One thing for Alaska to worry about is Obama going there and acting like a friend. That is a sure sign he is about to f them over.
Putin is an enemy of free people. An aggressive, smart and cruel enemy. He has jailed Mikhail Khodorkovsky (the wealthiest man in Russia), he confiscated BP’s interest in the TNK-BP oil drilling venture, he killed Alexander Litvinenko (former officer of Russian Federal Security Service, who escaped to UK), he invaded Georgia, attacked Ossetia, annexed the Ukraine and now threatens Poland and has begun a military expedition in Syria. One only needs look at Eastern European history for a preview of the brutality Russia will unleash on the world. And with Red China joining in Russia's empire building, there is little doubt the free people of the world will suffer greatly. After the conflict ends, many will have perished and lying in the ashes will be the remains of the axis of evil -China and Russia. Their countries and their people will be gone from the Earth as if they never existed, only to be mentioned in future texts as the "evil ones." Though with great loss of life and property, the freedom loving people of the West will have prevailed.
What rubbish. While all politicians are predators, including Putin, the neocons who run the USSA are thousands of times worse.
The USSA stirs up trouble, overthrows governments, invades nations, kills and bombs innocents around the world like crazy, creates terrorist organizations (Al-Qaeda, ISIS, etc), and generally trashes humans everywhere they go. And they've utterly destroyed all liberty, freedom and rule-of-law in the USSA.
You talk about Russia in Syria. They were freaking invited in... unlike the USSA who just barges in against international law.
You are totally disingenuous, nobody should pay any attention to frauds like you and the rest of your neocon bed-mates.
Over the last 30 years the US has effectively been destroyed by the banking mafia - it's just a matter of time now.
The MIC can feel something is going wrong but don't understand who their main enemy is so they're running around the world smashing things up.
Russia / China are just fending off the banking mafia's attempts to provoke WW3 while they wait for the US to bleed out - there will be no invasions.
Moma Grizzly wil fight them off! She can see them from her porch!
C'mon... Will China or Russia invade Alaska or Canada?
Things are bad in this country, I have to agree, but not THAT bad. Five Chinese vessels hardly make up much of a threat. Remember, the USN keeps major carrier task forces in Yokosuka and other such places - and they routinely "exercise" right off the Chinese coast. US Submarines view both Chinese and Russian waters as a playground, and I'm sure those same SSN's are enjoying tracking these PLAN vessels right this very moment.
Even with a billion people, China isn't invading any US Soil. Not AK, not Guam, not Martha's Vineyard.
Keep it together. At least for now, the USN still rules the waves...
There will be no invasion, they're simply here to turn the place to glass.
putting words in other people's mouths
putting thoughts in other people's minds
WTF did I just read?
This article is stupid.
I can't believe there are still people in this day and age who believe the rest of the world seeks to invade America.
What can China get from America by war that it doesn't already get through trade and diplomacy?
If China really wants to fight, they should fight pollution, since their own air is more likely to kill them than Americans.
Try traveling overseas some time. I'll never forget meeting Russians and Ukrainians who told me they didn't have a beef with America; they had been told we wanted to kill all of them.
One Russian proudly told me, "I served in the 8th Guards Tank Army. We defended Europe from you!"
"No, no, no," I said, "We defended Europe from YOU."
"No, we defended Europe from you!"
Until the Chinese people actually say they want to kill all of us, I'm not going to believe crap like this article. BTW- call me when the Chinese military actually has some experience fighting against people who can defend themselves. Beating up unarmed protesters and Tibetans don't count.
No, and No.