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UMich Consumer Confidence Tumbles To 12-Month Lows With Biggest Miss On Record

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Having fallen and missed the last two months, UMich Consumer Sentiment plunged in September's preliminary data from 91.9 to 85.7 (dramatically missing the 91.1 expectations) crashing to its lowest in a year. This is the biggest miss on record. Crucially, this is the all-important factor that The Fed's Dudley said he would be monitoring ahead of his decision on rate hikes... Hope collapsed as "expectations" tumbled from 83.4 to 76.4 - the lowest in  a year as 73% of respondents cited negative economic developments seeing a weaker econmomy due to a global growth slowdown.

  • *NEGATIVE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS CITED BY 73% OF RESPONDENTS
  • *AMERICANS SEE WEAKER ECONOMY DUE TO GLOBAL GROWTH SLOWDOWN

Not pretty...

 

Reality is also starting to set in for the majority who expected higher incomes in th enext year has now dropped to just 48.3% - its lowest since 2014.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:08 | 6535636 stant
stant's picture

Rate hike priced in. QE priced in

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:16 | 6535694 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

I think ZH articles should start being posted with a QE up, QE down, Rates up and Rates down arrow. I guess they would also need a circular arrow, which would be the current thinking at the FED.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:32 | 6535784 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

Last month the "news" media was gushing with glee (what they call reporting) over the amazing Obama Recovery Summer Number Six due to the "fantastic" consumer confidence numbers.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:36 | 6535808 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

The only president in history to have ZIRP every year in office.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:08 | 6535637 order66
order66's picture

Don't think algo baiting from ZH works anymore guys. Pretty sure HFT has filtered out your headlines and doom based phrase bolding.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:17 | 6536043 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Instead, you showed up.

Things that make you go ....Hmmmmm.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 16:01 | 6537372 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

order66: I suspect you are a card-carry member of the Crony-Capitalist Pinko Fascist Commie Brigade? I'm confident your moniker is not of that dolt bunch. Why defend a movement that Rick would reject?

Sat, 09/12/2015 - 21:45 | 6540910 order66
order66's picture

lol. what?

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:09 | 6535639 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

Will She...won't she

 

Is this all there is? 

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:09 | 6535641 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

Paper Gold & Silver smashed. Stay physical my friends. 

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:11 | 6535654 Ataxic Press
Ataxic Press's picture

Like listening to static on the radio.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:12 | 6535661 PleasedToMeatYou
PleasedToMeatYou's picture

So, in memorial honor of 911, will Yellen say "Pull it!" 

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:12 | 6535662 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

No worries...., Trump will make America strong again..... Oh shit....., I just went full retartd.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:12 | 6535666 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Not possible, just ask Obama!

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:13 | 6535669 Herdee
Herdee's picture

They must have taken the data from over 40 square miles of run down polluted industrial wasteland surrounding Detroit.You can go for bus tours now and have a box lunch at a cadmium contaminated steel mill.Why not tale the consumer sentiment data from East St.Louis?

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:02 | 6535970 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

Sounds Bullish.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:14 | 6535678 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

At some point, despite the faces people put on, perception meets reality.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:33 | 6535799 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Hah I read that as feces

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:16 | 6535695 I woke up
I woke up's picture

Sometimes making no decision is worse than making the wrong decision.  Certainly seems the case with the fed.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:20 | 6535714 kristian01
kristian01's picture

I guess "biggest miss on record" just isn't what it used to be...

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-07/umich-confidence-plunges-bigges...

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:34 | 6535803 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Not since Lehman

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:14 | 6536026 rbianco3
rbianco3's picture

Is this the same poll? If it was than the one in the old article was not truthful, the drop around 2006 was much larger as seen in this articles image... 

hmm... thinking...

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:45 | 6535861 Gab Timov
Gab Timov's picture

 You know as the "economy" "recovers", the top skimmers are there to skim off every nickel and dime in real time ad infinitum. So ... "recovery" not possible. Every step the economy takes, they'll be watching it, like in the Sting/Police song. The top skimmers have a long backlog of things they want to skim, so they are ready.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:22 | 6536072 venturen
venturen's picture

Death to the Money Changers

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 10:46 | 6535869 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

I suppose they just polled old people.

According to yesterday's propaganda piece.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:04 | 6535980 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

They need to stick to polling fructose-fed, floride-saturated, Fuki radiated, Fast Food sheeples ... instead of asking real people how they feel.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:14 | 6536028 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

HOOVER: Well, sir... we're hoping that our midterm grades will really help our average. :boone laughs mockingly ha!:

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:17 | 6536037 Supernova Born
Supernova Born's picture

The banquet of consequences has been sitting out at room temperature since 2008 yet everyone will still have to clean their plate.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 11:21 | 6536067 venturen
venturen's picture

95% change of no action....why would Yellen ever want the rate to go up....The bank bonuses are good with ZERO rates. Of course a couple guillotines rolling through washington and NY might change that. 

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 12:04 | 6536279 ajkreider
ajkreider's picture

We all know what caused this fall, and it has nothing to do with the economy.

Fri, 09/11/2015 - 16:04 | 6537416 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

We all know this rise (from 2009) had NOTHING to do with the economy. Righ ajkreider?

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