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Business Inventories Grow At Slowest Pace Since Jan, Sales-Ratio Signals Recession Imminent

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following June's 0.8% surge in business inventories (the most in 4 years) which surged inventrory-to-sales to 1.37x - the highest since 2009 - July's data confirms the recession looms large as inventory accumulation appears to have hit its limit, up only 0.1% MoM (inventory-to-sales hovers at 1.36x - historic recession levels).

 

Inventories rose a mere 0.1% in July - after June's big rise

 

Business Inventory-to-Sales ratio remains stubbornly high as sales just do not appear despite all the 'signals' from a market driven purely be fallacious fed fenagling...

 

Remembering that this data is lagged by 2 months (in the face of disastrous Empire Fed inventory collapse, auto production collapse and retail sales weakness), it appears the "if we build it, they will come" economy just got slapped in the face with the reality that 'Field of Dreams' was a fiction, just like The US 'Recovery'. Time for The Fed to hike rates?

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:09 | 6550364 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

But...the Fed declared NO RECESSIONS are allowed until 2018.

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:10 | 6550378 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

Depression is what we are in ........................and getting worse

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:18 | 6550410 Viffer
Viffer's picture

Recession ... Depression ....... Repossession

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:23 | 6550429 Uchtdorf
Uchtdorf's picture

Corzinession

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:39 | 6550498 CuttingEdge
CuttingEdge's picture

Repression?

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:48 | 6550536 Mostly Harmless
Mostly Harmless's picture

Anyone else feel like REALITY is a can that the media, government, and general population just keeps kicking down the road?

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:13 | 6550393 Money Counterfeiter
Money Counterfeiter's picture

QE IV needed.  $20 trillion!

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:23 | 6550431 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

QE IV needed $1200 trillion

 

20 trillion just would not cut it

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:09 | 6550366 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

Inventory

 

To high = not enough demand

 

low demand = no one want's or cannot afford

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:09 | 6550372 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Good enviormemt to raise rates.

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:12 | 6550387 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

To many "Field of Dreams" are built on a "Field of Debt"

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:12 | 6550389 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

" I encourge you all to go shopping more "

GW Bush 2007

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:15 | 6550401 Viffer
Viffer's picture

This is quite interesting.  Lately I have noticed my junk email account getting loaded down with coupons and offers from retail stores to have people come in and buy.  Even more interesting is that they have been getting more and more lucrative.

Let me be the first to state that Holiday sales will be down this year due to a very cold and snowy winter in the north and due to dry arid conditions in the west.  In addition the US was bogged down by the woes in China.

 

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:19 | 6550407 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

No worries, the flood of new immigrants will help us grow out of these problems as soon as they're signed up for SNAP and we get them their new personal iObamaphone tracking device.

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:22 | 6550425 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

Doc

 

There is a special training course for Migrants..........................breaking windows al ar (good for GDP)

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:24 | 6550436 MATA HAIRY
MATA HAIRY's picture

yes, exactly...that is why the western govts all over are scrambling for these human livestock....that is why the corporate media portray these invaders, er....I mean, refugees in such glowing and sympathetic terms...

 

The corporations that run these western pseudo-democracies want more more MOAR workers and consumers..

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 10:29 | 6550459 Jason T
Jason T's picture

right in line with Martin Armstrong;s 2015.75 date.  As expected. 

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 11:25 | 6550683 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

New inventory is going to cost more money.

Alas, import prices going higher.

When will sticker shock hit?

Who the fuck knows.

Tue, 09/15/2015 - 11:45 | 6550729 mendigo
mendigo's picture

As noted here many times qe was only tangentially related to spuring the economy and was primary intended to ensure that dimon did not have to suffer the humiliation of a single loosing day.

So the corralary should be that the economic data is not relavent aside from its being manipulated bullshit. Will the fed eat their own excrement as they force the public to do?

The fed needs to pop this bubble to reset the market for next bull run. Rinse-Repeat.

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