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2Y Yields Collapse Most Since 2009 As December Rate-Hike Odds Crater

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The probability of a rate-hike in December collapsed from 65% yesterday to just 45% today after Yellen's admission that any and everything will keep them on hold as they wait for nirvana to allow interest rates to rise again.

 

This rippled across the Treasury curve and after Tuesaday's record-breaking spike in yields, 2Y yields collapsed 13bps today - the biggest single-day plunge since QE was unleashed in March 2009.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:23 | 6562350 Dicey
Dicey's picture

BOOM BABY YEAH!!!!

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:30 | 6562378 coinhead
coinhead's picture

Does this not seem counter-intuitive?  Teh Yeller just confirmed what everyone (here at least) has been saying for years, that ZIRP is a terminal affliction, but people are still piling into teh "safety" of bonds?  Two-year post-dated cash?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:33 | 6562386 knukles
knukles's picture

That's it!  Do It!  Just go ahead and kick the circle jerk out another Fed meeting.
Jesus H Fucking Christ, we're surrounded by incompetent morons.
I can see Bugs Bunny now, dancing and singing; "We're gonna raise the rates, We're gonna raise the rates. We're gonna raise the rates."

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:56 | 6562503 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

ZIRP 4 EVAR

NIRP HAS NOT SERIOUSLY BEEN DISCUSSED

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:25 | 6562357 SILVERGEDDON
SILVERGEDDON's picture

Oh noes - the market will take a big dump tomorrow...........

Who fucking cares ?

Saddle up, and get ready to ride, bitchez. 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:25 | 6562359 44MagnumPrepper
44MagnumPrepper's picture

doom! ALL HAIL THISTOOSHALLPASS

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:30 | 6562377 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Easy Does It.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 17:50 | 6562467 RMolineaux
RMolineaux's picture

IMO, there is an excess of sarcasm in this item.  I would have preferred an increase to 0.50 percent, which could have been justified as technically necessary without any "tightening" intended. But apparently Yellen felt that the international repercussions were sufficienly serious to postpone, once again, such a move.  Small moves in the yield of treasury bills are of interest only to that small coterie of leveraged speculators who gamble on such.  

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 19:56 | 6562980 stant
stant's picture

1928 ish or thar abouts I'd reckon

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