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Did Hilsenrath Just Leak The FOMC Decision

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Usually we are impressed by the velocity with which Fed mouthpiece Jon Hilsenrath prepares his FOMC reaction digest while under embargo, often penning more words in the allotted 15 or so minutes than are even in the Fed's statement. However, he traditionally comments right after the FOMC announcement. We wonder if moments ago, Hilsenrath - who does not have a twitter account - did not leak the FOMC statement before its actual unveiling in just under 2 hours when via WSJ colleague Greg Ip's Twitter account he said:

To be sure, a very well-timed tweet.

And then, perhaps to confirm, on WSJs new central bank pro section he added that "It would be out of character for Janet Yellen to surprise the market" noting that he ran into "some New York Fed guys and they looked relaxed."

Finally, here he is on Fox Business banging the anti-rate hike drums starting early in the morning:

So did Hilsenrath just "prepare" markets with a two hour advance notice of what to expect? Or did he simply add to the Fed's communication failure by "hinting" the market to expect one thing, while Yellen will unveil the opposite? Not even Gartman has the answer to that.

*  *  *

The market reacted...

 

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Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:14 | 6560483 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

fuck you Hilsenrath

that is all....

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:16 | 6560495 coinhead
coinhead's picture

Watch them not hike and then watch the markets continue to tank.  That is teh we's prediction...

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:19 | 6560515 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

They've been talking about raising rates for years.  How can the market not be prepared?  Enough of the drama already, just get it over with already!

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:29 | 6560557 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

He's the Fed mouthpiece like that straw wig is Donald's hairpiece.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:30 | 6560564 Publicus
Publicus's picture

Raising rates it is. China is forcing them to do it now.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:34 | 6560587 jcaz
jcaz's picture

Dunno where you've been, Ipster-  all her talking heads have been floating higher rates pretty loudly for awhile now.....

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:23 | 6560775 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

Exactly.  Spewing "rate hike in September" for months is not preparing the markets?  JH is a fed mouthpiece.  He basically confirmed for me that they'll raise .25 by this lame attempt at covering up his association with the fed by this "I'm not in the know" tweet.

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:35 | 6560830 saints51
saints51's picture

um, so he is openly admitting to insider trading. How else would you prepare markets?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:36 | 6560833 Tonald J Drump
Tonald J Drump's picture

i'm so confused . . . .

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:34 | 6560588 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

How is China forcing them?  China is dumping $100B/mo of cash reserves that include dollars and USTs.  Who is buying the massive debt bublle?

The Fed.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:59 | 6560701 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

Market's flat as a washboard... wait for the big money to do its frontrunning moves.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:30 | 6560560 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Plus, if you had a Jewish grandma, she would look like Mr Yellen.  I mean, Janet.

 

Who gives a shit what they decide, I say WE DECIDE.  END THIS MOTHERFUCKER.  End the Fed.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:34 | 6560824 MASTER OF UNIVERSE
MASTER OF UNIVERSE's picture

Just relax and give the FED moar rope.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:43 | 6560858 Carpenter1
Carpenter1's picture

The second she "prepares markets" they will crash, so obviously that won't happen.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:16 | 6560503 order66
order66's picture

So......if the markets just dropped after 7 years of ZIRP, why would they go back up on more ZIRP, which clearly hasn't worked?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:20 | 6560520 brucekeller
brucekeller's picture

They wouldn't. We need QE.  Ending ZIRP would at least allow some other investment options to start becoming viable instead of everyone clown carring into stocks.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:31 | 6560569 PirateOfBaltimore
PirateOfBaltimore's picture

Sooooo moar housing bubble.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:33 | 6560580 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Bubble in politics. There is a better return on buying politicians than houses.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:00 | 6560704 TheFutureReset
TheFutureReset's picture

So true. The definition of fascism. 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:59 | 6560702 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

ZIRP is an illusion. The reality is that QE is NIRP.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:56 | 6560905 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

its been a hell of a case of 5% per anum  stagflation for about 9 years.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:33 | 6560579 Right-on Left-off
Right-on Left-off's picture

The FOMC was waiting for the last minute, hoping for a 'Hail Mary'.  No 'Hail Mary', no lifting of Zirp.  

All they did was use up all their 'Hopium' til it ran out and now it's time for duh truth ... NO CHANGE in interest rate! 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:19 | 6560768 jmcwala
jmcwala's picture

LMFAO

 

That is all.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:51 | 6560884 No Euros please...
No Euros please we're British's picture

Meh, Janet only turns up 3 hours early because she insists on a strip search and a full internal inspection by security.

 

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:14 | 6560486 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Well, now no need to wait til 2pm

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:15 | 6560491 SMG
SMG's picture

What a mistake to put so much power into the hands of so few.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:42 | 6560629 Sir Edge
Sir Edge's picture

Yes... But We Are Not Supposed To Talk About It... Its Anti-Semetic...

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:47 | 6560653 pods
pods's picture

Evidently it isn't as SMG will point out that it is actually a hidden Luciferian Oligarchy.

So, if you point that out it is merely Anti-Luciferic.

pods

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:10 | 6560733 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

And, we can't have that, now can we?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:16 | 6560496 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Oh no he didnt!..

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:47 | 6560649 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

u forgot the high finger snap and wave...

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:16 | 6560498 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Yes Yellen needs to massage the markets more...a deep, thorough, kneeding...so that Wall St has a nice happy ending.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:26 | 6560546 viahj
viahj's picture

well, she likes to get to the airport 3 hours early so she can go theough the pat down several times.  it's the only non-self action she gets.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:17 | 6560499 Grandad Grumps
Grandad Grumps's picture

Who says the markets are not prepared? They are run by computers and are corrupted ... perfect preparation by the banks.

There has also been a warning of a possible rate hike for something like 9 months. If 9 months of warning is not enough then some people just can't be taught.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:22 | 6560502 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

In other words, Insider trading on privileged info is legal for us but not you of course. Especially if you are a low level  fall guy from India

In other news, Obama's, IRS  goes after the non profit  status of the Veterans group who raised the money for the Donald to speak on a battleship two days later

ww.thegatewaypundit.com/2015/09/obama-irs-revokes-nonprofit-status-to-veterans-group-that-hosted-trump-on-uss-iowa/

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:24 | 6560534 NoPension
NoPension's picture

And the Justice Dept. is coming down hard on FIFA. Got get those crooked motherfuckers running soccer/ football in Europe, mostly.

In light of all the current fraud,corruption, and malfeasance ...that's like a big giant middle finger to the American Public.

Indict Hillary.
Indict Corzine.
Put a banker in jail.

I'm still trying to get my head around this.... GM made a deal foe what?...575 million to AVOID!!! Criminal prosecution!!! And it also resolves a class action shareholder lawsuit???
Where is this magic money coming from??
Are you fucking kidding me?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:33 | 6560581 optimator
optimator's picture

Put all the FED and Banksters into a very nice comfortable jail cell awaiting trial, complete with bar with tap beer and plenty of over salted lox and bagels. Make sure recording devices cover that entire large room. Then the truth comes out at trial. To Hell in a Hand Basket as they used to say during the French Revolution.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:41 | 6560622 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

I say invite everyone to one of those swag Eyes Wide Shut parties, and then we just build a fence around the place.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:17 | 6560507 Phoenix901210
Phoenix901210's picture

So certain investors can have an easy market to dump toxic assets in before the whole thing comes down?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:19 | 6560510 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

I hope they are dumb enough not to raise even though they could get away with a .25 increase. Because that is still waaay negative.

 

If they raise .25 and nothing bad happens(because the rate is still way negative), we will hear all the keynesians do even more victory laps.

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:20 | 6560519 kensdad
kensdad's picture

Hilsenrath has been on FBN two days in a row with this exact comment about Yellen and getting to the airport 3 hours early.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:21 | 6560523 khnum
khnum's picture

Obloviate all you want the problem is labour not paper bubbles and that problem is about to manifest in GDP,trade and so many other places you'll run out of hats to cover all the turds.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:22 | 6560526 Catullus
Catullus's picture

3 hours early for a flight? Does she work for the government or something...

Oh.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:22 | 6560530 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Wow he knows a lot about Janet Yellen.  I bet he knows about her poop too.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:15 | 6560746 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Well..........as the ole saying goes:

 

"Turds of a feather like to circle the bowl together."

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:25 | 6560535 Grandad Grumps
Grandad Grumps's picture

"For Yellen, who likes to arrive 3 hrs early for a flight..."

I also believe that Yellin has nothing better to do with her time than to sit around an airport. Most likely she has not clue what productivity is, either. Probably not good for the chief economist of a central bank.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:42 | 6560850 Hal n back
Hal n back's picture

Fed Chief flies commercial? And does not get special treatment? If you are real elite and fly commercial (not private) they escort you from the airline club to the gate 5 minutes before first class boards. Probably escort you thru security tsa.

 

I have flown first class intl and they bump you ahead of others in the TSA line.

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:25 | 6560537 Shrike99
Shrike99's picture

We've run all the scenarios - time to ask the WOPR how to win this game.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:25 | 6560543 youngman
youngman's picture

so I just ordered a Halloween costume....now I have 20 halloween ads on my page.....ZH has jumped the shark

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:30 | 6560562 brainlpb
brainlpb's picture

I've got Lobster all over my ads... maybe that's a good sign!

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:36 | 6560591 NoPension
NoPension's picture

Before Adblock, mine was full of blond haired blued eyed Russian chicks. What does that mean?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:43 | 6560613 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Thats strange, all I see is Negro midget dating sites.LOL  clear your cookies and history guys or run ghostery.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:26 | 6560794 thecondor
thecondor's picture

Use Mozilla FireFox and use the add on called Bluhell firewall.  No ads what so ever. 

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:42 | 6560628 Tyrone Shoelaces
Tyrone Shoelaces's picture

All I was getting was dick pictures and stuff.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:07 | 6560723 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

Vote the American Lobster Party... "Two lobsters in every pot!"

A new golden age of prosperity for all Americans. Picture a donkey in one claw and an elephant in the other.

So remember on election day... Vote early, vote often, vote lobster...

Standard Disclaimer: No lobsters were harmed in the creation of this political advertisement. 

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:46 | 6560869 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

KY

I'm screwed

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:32 | 6560573 Chain Gun Smoke
Chain Gun Smoke's picture

zerohedge ads are so bad I can't even bother with this site on mobile.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:27 | 6560550 Tyrone Shoelaces
Tyrone Shoelaces's picture

Been over at twitter and stocktwits, it is funny how on edge people are over this horseshit.

 

.25%, really?  Holy shit this whole thing really is a house of cards walking on eggs!

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:30 | 6560567 venturen
venturen's picture

Jon you got the Goldman Memo as well?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:33 | 6560584 Mat Cauthon
Mat Cauthon's picture

The Fed's game is not to be financially or economically prudent... their job is to aid the elite in scalping as much wealth from the people and the nation before it finally collapses.

Why would you give so much money to the Swiss to buy the stock markets, or work with the DOJ to never jail bankers or nationalize corrupt entities?

Today's announcement will be one that benefits the status quo, not one of being responsible to the country or economic forces.

 

 

Dovie'andi se tovya sagain (It's time to toss the dice)

The Daily Economist 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:35 | 6560590 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

I trade intra-day, so the overall trend of the market means not so much. Move up, move down, whatever. Just move. But if I had a gun to my head, I'd bet they say "December." After which the ES spikes to the 2090s, then rolls over on its way to retest the Tech Wreck and Housing Bubble lows by that date. During which time the DX hits forty-nine cents as gold and silver and the Euro shoot the moon.

All things considered, however, I'm glad no one has a gun to my head.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:37 | 6560595 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Multiple choice:

 

You are $18T in debt.  You have the option of:

a) paying more interest.

b) not paying more interest. 

Which option is most appealing?

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:42 | 6560630 Johnny Websters
Johnny Websters's picture

The Fed aren't 18t in debt, and they sure as hell don't serve the people who are!

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:45 | 6560644 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

The could raise the rate without raising the rate they pay on bank reserves...

fuck the fed, they are in fact a criminal enterprise.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:48 | 6560655 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Ha, 18 trillion.   That is the number for public consumption.  Unfunded liabilities, baby. 200+ trillion.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:53 | 6560675 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Shh....   nothing to see here.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:37 | 6560601 Grandad Grumps
Grandad Grumps's picture

A guess: No rate hike will come today and the markets mysteriously fall starting next week.

... because, (sarc) only the pros are right. Amateurs are always wrong.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:37 | 6560604 aliki
aliki's picture

gundlach on tv saying HYG at a 4-year lo, emerging markets getting ripped apart, commodities can't get much traction.

ive lost count as to how many "mandates" yellen & co. have to satisfy.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:43 | 6560632 venturen
venturen's picture

does he get a Goldman PR paycheck as well?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:43 | 6560637 Mick Shrimpton
Mick Shrimpton's picture

The markets ARE prepared for a small rate hike.  What am I missing?

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:44 | 6560639 venturen
venturen's picture

and in other news....there is so much debt rates will NEVER go above 1%

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:47 | 6560648 Scooby Doo
Scooby Doo's picture

How much more preparation/ warning to the markets have to have?  Cripes!

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:48 | 6560658 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

rat bastard

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:59 | 6560669 brada1013567
brada1013567's picture

Suwee, suwee, suwee, moar QE!

 

 

Get the hogs up to the trough.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:54 | 6560678 fiftybagger
Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:55 | 6560682 madcows
madcows's picture

OH NO!  NOT 0.0025 RAISE IN RATES!  OH THE HUMANITY!

So, what, the bank will have to pay me 0.3% on my savings account now?  Well, that'll certainly break the bank.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:16 | 6560756 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

I doubt it will translate into any benefit for you if they raise rates.  You will probably get less interest, just because.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:55 | 6560684 Jason T
Jason T's picture

waiting for the Fed to raise rates is like waiting for hte Great Pumpkin

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 12:57 | 6560689 2muchtax
2muchtax's picture

If the fate of the economy rests on a 1/4 of a percent, that should be all you need to know about the economy.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:00 | 6560707 mademesmile
mademesmile's picture

The financial system must be very fragile if a handful of berries, er, a .25 percent take brings it down.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:07 | 6560722 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

higher rates = higher USD = global economy disaster

 

your move yellen

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:10 | 6560734 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

Jamie Dimon wrote an article on LinkedIn telling everyone that Detroit's recovery is a model for the future of America.

Standard Disclaimer: Human stupidity is indeed infinite.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 14:01 | 6560916 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Detroit is a model alright.

But not for recovery!

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:13 | 6560741 I_Am_
I_Am_'s picture

What is there not to get.... up up and awaaay..

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:14 | 6560743 Able Ape
Able Ape's picture

"Raising Rates" is the new hieroglyphics and there AIN'T no Rosetta Stone....

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:28 | 6560808 2muchtax
2muchtax's picture

just for perspective...if bonds ever go back to average the deficit goes up 50% in the first year, then takes off exponentially

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:41 | 6560847 XitSam
XitSam's picture

When I arrive three hours early for a flight, I get special examination by the TSA, because terrizm. Does Janet get the same treatment?

Ha ha, what am I saying? Elites aren't subject to the same rules as a serf!

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:44 | 6560860 MathWins
MathWins's picture

Just how many freakin' years does the market need to prepare for a pathetic .25% increase in interest rates? 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:49 | 6560880 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

Can't wait to start collecting that .25 % on my savings

 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:52 | 6560887 vesna
vesna's picture

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-16/only-thing-matters-rate-hike-de...

 

maybe he is full of shorts, rate hike imminent

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:54 | 6560894 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Simce stocks have been decimalized for over 15 years... why not raise interest rates .1 % ? Everybody is happy.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:54 | 6560897 agstacks
agstacks's picture

Without prepariong markets? Is he fucking serious?  They've been preparing for 5 years! I need a drink. 

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 13:55 | 6560902 ali-ali-al-qomfri
ali-ali-al-qomfri's picture

3 hrs early, I thought she road in on her Nimbus 2000/QEIV

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 14:13 | 6561055 moneybots
moneybots's picture

Jon Hilsenrath:" For Yellen, who likes to arrive 3 hrs early for a flight, raising rates without preparing mkts would be out of character."

 

How long have the markets been prepared, now?  They have been talking about a looming rate hike for months on end, now.

Thu, 09/17/2015 - 14:25 | 6561167 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

"raising rates without preparing mkts would be out of character"

That's one of the dumbest f'ing comments I've heard in a while.

How would one "prepare mkts" for an announcemnet of a decision made at a meeting that's yet to be held? Even if the outcome of that meeting may be known in advance, how would one "prepare mkts" for a later announcement other than by effectively making that announcement via "hints" before the official announcement? And to "prepare mkts" prior to that "hint", one would have to give an even earlier "hint".

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