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WTI Crude Clubbed To $44 Handle As Growth Fears Mount

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Growth hope, production cuts, and geopolitical premia were so Wednesday...

 

 

Crude gives up the week's gains after being up over 7% as it appears the big hedges are being lifted and underlying longs reduced...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:10 | 6566181 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Damn you Janet! I want to pay moar at the pump!

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:17 | 6566212 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

$1.89 for petro this AM.

  Party on Dudes.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:22 | 6566242 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

They just need to devalue the dollar by 50% overnight and get it over with. 

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:24 | 6566248 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

Reasons for WTI to increase:

1. Proxy for market (Boost energy companies)

2. Make quick buck off of shorts (it's what we do)

3. Geopolitical risk (where else, M.E.)

 

Reasons for WTI to decline:

1. Increasing supply (IRAN, continued ZIRP)

2. Decreasing demand (China)

3. Political Shenanigans (Hurt producers)

 

 

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:11 | 6566185 saints51
saints51's picture

crude open gap fill @ $44.59. Just filled.October contract roll over is today to November. Gotta fill those orders before close.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:12 | 6566191 Haole
Haole's picture

Holographic fucking nonsense.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 15:01 | 6566410 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Not entirely.

Oil (and the price of) has become the master resource. Major producers are becoming desperate, and desperation at this point in the Western trajectory is not going to cut it.

I can smell all kinds of "interesting" looming on the horizon. 

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:13 | 6566193 knukles
knukles's picture

No shit? Growth fears mount? Really?

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:16 | 6566206 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Mounting who or wut?

  Nevermind.  Rather not know.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:47 | 6566359 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

Are we allowed to say, "Mount" on ZH?

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:50 | 6566376 saints51
saints51's picture

a year ago yes but with this new group I am not sure. Seems like a bunch of queers.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:14 | 6566203 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

If you look a the world numbers, oil is not being used since the big players are slowly sliding toward the economic cliff and will soon be going over the edge.....

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:53 | 6566391 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture
Commercial properties feel the brunt of Houston’s financial turmoil

 

http://www.bizjournals.com/houston/print-edition/2015/09/18/commercial-p...

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:18 | 6566218 Diplodicus Rex
Diplodicus Rex's picture

"WTI Crude Clubbed To $44 Handle As Growth Fears Mount"

Would that be the fear of achieving growth or the fear of lack of growth?

Here's Dr Albert Bartlett to help you out with that one:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY

"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function" - Dr Albert Bartlett

"If only we could get back to positive growth everything would be peachy" - Everybody else

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:22 | 6566240 Redart
Redart's picture

Yes yes but now yall should buy s&p we are in a strong support and darkpools are buying. Buy this mofo dip btfd

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:22 | 6566243 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

Two more earthquakes today underneath Cushing. One 3.5 and one 4.1

http://earthquaketrack.com/p/united-states/oklahoma/recent

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:23 | 6566246 Oilcrashing
Oilcrashing's picture

" Money (currency) is created out of thin air every minute of every day. Not a singular BTU - British Termal Unit- has ever been created from the magic of fractional reserve banking; it has just created the promise of a BTU that may, or may not be there.

Rapier, like most legitimate investigators into petroleum, have fallen for the dollar poxy fallacy. It is not the price of oil that drives its production, it is the dollar price versus value to the economy relationship that drives its production. A dollar of production cost must be offset by a dollar of created economic activity, or petroleum would not be produced. The money would not exist to produce it.

When a unit of petroleum could power $100 of economic activity it was worth $100. That fell to $75, and it became worth $75. It has since fallen to about $68, and is now selling for $44. The price of oil is a moving target, and that target is moving at the rate of its depletion. That is, depletion in terms of its ability to power the economy, not the quantity of it buried in the ground.

We have explicitly defined the price of oil versus its value to the economy relationship with the Etp Model. It is an energy Model, but dollars can be used as a proxy for BTU; if one realizes that they are just a proxy.

http://www.thehillsgroup.org/ "

Source: http://peakoil.com/consumption/robert-rapier-peak-oil-is-a-function-of-o...

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:38 | 6566318 PoasterToaster
PoasterToaster's picture

Maybe it decreases because they just print themselves too much fucking dollars.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:25 | 6566251 wmbz
wmbz's picture

It would suit me to see it "clubbed" to $30.00

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:37 | 6566308 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

presumably whatever bank you use (assuming you use one) isn't on the other side of those oil hedges I hear about, or on the other other side.... 

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:26 | 6566256 Redart
Redart's picture

Buy pressure on natural gaz too. Buy natgaz slowly

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:28 | 6566261 Redart
Redart's picture

Shaking the monkeys out of the tree on russell2000. BTFD

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:45 | 6566347 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

when hedge funds are storing oil at st. lucia things aren't exactly going well.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:48 | 6566363 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

"Clubbed"

I <3 ZH

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:51 | 6566365 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

I am looking at $20 plus/minus $5 according to my advisor down in Houston. He said it's a bloodbath down there. He said it's the "worse robust recovery" he's ever seen.

 

Houston airport loses international 'oil line' flight due to downturn

 

Scandinavian Airlines' last flight to Houston’s George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) will take off next month.

SAS Group spokesman Elvind Roald told the Associated Press that the Norwegian company will cease operations on what it calls its "oil line" because of the decrease in demand in the energy industry.

 

http://www.bizjournals.com/houston/morning_call/2015/09/houston-airport-...

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 14:57 | 6566403 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

I'll go out on a limb here and propose that $20/bbl for more than 6 months would leave SA and Russian just about alone in the producer market. For all time, too, just to get that chill down the spine going for you.

Fri, 09/18/2015 - 15:11 | 6566452 Element
Element's picture

These continual oil price moves are a total fkn joke.

Sat, 09/19/2015 - 07:39 | 6568635 Last of the Mid...
Last of the Middle Class's picture

Fuck I hate it when lack of demand destroys an artificially priced commodity. Eventually ALWAYS supply and demand determine the market. You can only prop it up so long so make sure you're on the inside and know when the big correction to market force is scheduled to happen.

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