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Elderly Japanese Population Hits New Record - Demographic Death-Rattle Continues

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With Abenomics seemingly a total failure (aside from managing to collapse the currency and living standards of the population - worst Misery Index in 33 years) the demographic crisis that Japan faces just got more crisis-er. As Japan's population continues to fall (4th year in a row), what makes the situation worse, as NHKWorld reports, is that there are now a record 33.8 million people over the age of 65 (a record 26.7%), more than double the number under the age of 14 (16.2 million). The ministry says the population will likely continue declining for some time as fewer babies are born and society ages... and as America is beginning to see as retirement dream remain elusive, the number of working elderly increased for 11 years in a row to reach a new record figure of 6.81 million in 2014.

Population is forecast to keep falling...

 

And, as NHKWorld reports, will continue to get greyer and greyer...

The number of Japanese aged 65 or older has risen to a new record of about 33.8 million people, or 26.7 percent of the population.

 

The Internal Affairs Ministry released the estimate ahead of Monday's national holiday, Respect for the Aged Day.

 

The ministry says about 33.84 million people aged 65 or over were living in Japan as of last Tuesday. That is an increase of 890,000 from the same period last year. Men account for about 14.62 million of the total, and women, 19.21 million.

 

People in the elderly age bracket now account for a record 26.7 percent of Japan's population -- an increase of 0.8 percentage points from last year.

 

The number of Japanese aged 80 or older has risen by 380,000 from last year to10.02 million, topping 10 million for the first time.

And finally, as we are beginning to see in America...

The ministry says the number of working elderly increased for 11 years in a row to reach a new record figure of 6.81 million in 2014.

 

10.7 percent of Japan's working population aged 15 and over are in the elderly bracket.

*  *  *

As we discussed before, there are now more than one in four Japanese citizens will be over the age of 65, up from one in five in 2006 and one in 10 in 1985. The proportion of the population over 65 is expected to swell to 30 percent by 2022 and to 40 percent by 2050, according to government estimates. This will put the country as a whole in the demographic range of the prefectures that experienced the sharpest declines in growth in the decade ended 2009.

Fewer workers and less labor will reduce the potential output of the Japanese economy, which will increase the country’s reliance on imports as retirees continue to spend, inhibiting GDP growth. The rising number of retirees will strain the government’s welfare programs and the country’s pension funds, which have been major buyers of government bonds. Japan already maintains the world’s second-largest debt load in nominal terms and it's growing.

The government sees this problem and has passed a bill giving private-sector workers the right to remain at their jobs until the age of 65, rather than the current 60.

Japan’s demographics will also likely have an impact on consumer behavior. Japanese consumers older than 65 are less likely to shop for alcohol, clothing, books and electronics compared with younger consumers, according to a McKinsey survey from 2011. The average senior shops for books and clothing 38 and 35 times per year, respectively, compared with 73 and 58 times for people between the ages of 18 and 34. The only item seniors shop for more frequently than younger consumers is food, McKinsey found.

How Japan faces its demographic challenges over the next several decades may provide important lessons for countries such as China, which has a rapidly increasing senior population due largely to the one-child policy. People over 65 account for nearly 10 percent of the population in China — similar to Japan in 1985 — up from 6 percent 20 years ago.

China now faces a similar trajectory, as seen in the chart above. Its working-age population—defined as those between ages 15 and 64—is peaking and is set to decline in the years ahead.
 

 

 

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Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:20 | 6577420 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

I've been unfortunate enough to witness the death rattle experienced by an elderly family member.  Fortunately, I couldn't give less of a fuck about Japan.  Unfortunately, many countries including mine have the same disease.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:31 | 6577462 remain calm
remain calm's picture

Go long Depends

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:55 | 6577517 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

What about the death rattle for the environment when humans strain resources due to overgrowing populations.  This is a natural adjustment to high prices in housing, fewer jobs, etc.

We should be happy its happening instead of trying to reverse it.  Populations now are much higher than pre war levels.  What do you think Japan would be like if it were 200 million instead of 100 million people.  How many folks can you stuff on a bunch of rocks in the Pacific.

Emphasis should be on helping folks as they get older to stay healthy and hey Robots have gotten pretty good lately.  Can make for an excellent in house aide.  Drones can deliver food and meds etc.  Check ups with docs can be done via video conferencing etc.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 00:08 | 6577652 Money Counterfeiter
Money Counterfeiter's picture

I bet if the "stimulus" crap was chucked, and people allowed some god damn financial freedom this shit would reverse itself.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 00:33 | 6577679 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

They finally got that ol' Fukushima thingy fixed so everyone can now get pregnant and have lots of healthy babies.  Oh wait...  My bad.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 02:09 | 6577786 SheepRevolution
SheepRevolution's picture

Those brown muzzies would fix this in less than 5 years.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 02:47 | 6577817 zaphod
zaphod's picture

Who cares about decreased population to levels that put them back to 1970?

 

Japan will still be Japanese, and that is more than Europe or the US can say

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 06:07 | 6577948 Mercury
Mercury's picture

Age based demographic change is temporary.  Immigration based demographic change is forever.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 06:36 | 6577973 2500saturdays
2500saturdays's picture

no but the white muzzies could

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 07:15 | 6578039 schatzi
schatzi's picture

Those brown muzzies would fix this in less than 5 years.

 

I think the Japs are opting out of being culturally enriched. At least they're not completely stupid like us northern Europeans.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 03:21 | 6577842 Macon Richardson
Macon Richardson's picture

What do you mean "more" financial freedom? Goldman Sachs, General Dynamics, Apple, these guys surely have more than enough financial freedom.

Oh, wait! You mean more financial freedom for millions of little pissants who want to become Daddy Warbucks, millions of "rugged individualists" who want to make their own unholy fortune? Fuggedaboudit!

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 03:03 | 6577824 johnconnor
johnconnor's picture

Actually it is a good thing, the whole world would be better if we were less than 5 billion total... the problem is that the one breading like rabbits are the ones that destroy and pillage, so you will have less and less producers and more and more takers and destroyers

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 03:44 | 6577865 Marco
Marco's picture

Japan (and China) aren't importing them though, those evil xenophobic assholes.

PS. Japan is importing Philipino nurses, but only a small fraction get permanent residence because of the compulsory exams and Japan's obtuse written language.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:50 | 6577632 tmosley
tmosley's picture

"Fortunately, I couldn't give less of a fuck about Japan."

How very compasionate of you.

A people suffering from brutal oppression and invisible redistribution for decades, experiencing now what we will over the next few decades, and you don't care one whit. Why? Do japs not have souls? Or do you simply object to them being born into a different granfalloon than you?

You hate Rand, but she made a character who would save them, Ragnar Danneskjold, who would plunder the ships that were redistributing their production to foreign countries (literally what Japan is doing with their Treasury purchases), and give it back to those who it belonged to. You wouldn't even try to do anything, because you couldn't care less.

Disgusting as your death worshipping ideology.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 00:37 | 6577692 Crazed Smoker
Crazed Smoker's picture

"A people suffering from brutal oppression and invisible redistribution for decades".  The majority of them voted in a democratic system for more goodies instead of fiscally responsible governments.  You can't save people from themselves.  

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 03:48 | 6577869 Marco
Marco's picture

Massive foreign reserves, low unemployment, decent wellfare system, next to no immigration, high standard of living. Brutal.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:22 | 6577435 NumberNone
NumberNone's picture

Think we've found a new place to ship all the Muslim refugees.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:29 | 6577594 MalteseFalcon
MalteseFalcon's picture

Japan will not succumb to the idiocy of unrestricted immigration. 

The Japanese national character is too strong. 

The Japanese have this crazy idea that Japan is for Japanese.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 03:23 | 6577845 Farmer Joe in B...
Farmer Joe in Brooklyn's picture

Just spent a month in Japan with my wife's family, so they could get some time with their new grandson. 

Barely any blacks anywhere. Very low crime. Coincidence..??

The few blacks I have seen, aside from obviously African tourists, were working/loitiering in the more dodgy neighborhoods known for sex clubs and such.

I have honestly always tried not to be racist and give everyone the benefit of the doubt. But after living in New York for the past 12 years, I'm pretty much over being open-minded. American blacks are generally the lowest common denominator in a lot of what is wrong with America.

I am relishing my time out of NYC and am really dreading going back and having to deal with the riff raff...

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 04:12 | 6577886 Lurk Skywatcher
Lurk Skywatcher's picture

There is plenty of crime in Japan, just not much petty street crime.

The Yamaguchi gumi - the biggest yakuza clan, has an estimated net worth of 10 times the largest European mafia syndicate.

The big difference is the culture - Japanese are very aware of not making a scene, while Americans are simply attention whores.

To get ahead in American means getting your image, face and exploits out as far and wide as possible, and thats not just the blacks - its the whole fucking country from top to bottom! Ignore the street crime and take a look at your politics, your sports, your religions, even your businesses - the bigger the spectacle, the bigger the payday.

So go ahead, bitch and moan about the blacks destroying your country, but don't forget to vote for your favourite sociopathic redneck or tune in to some screaming bible thumper in between the latest "shock and awe" reality tv game show and "crisis at 5" breaking deflatergate news.

Fucking hypocrite.

 

 

 

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 07:30 | 6578068 Rhythmic Slapper
Rhythmic Slapper's picture

Spoken like someone who never lived there.

There are no comparble areas in Japan like Detroit, Chicago, or any inner city hood run by democrats and liberals. NONE.

Look at Katrina and look at Fukushima (which was 10x worse).

Note the differences in how people acted?

One looted, raped and pillaged while the other lined up orderly and even returned valuables.

You really need to get out more.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 14:46 | 6580475 Kobe Beef
Kobe Beef's picture

I once lived in government housing in the city of Kobe, home to Japan's largest gang. That's right America: the PJs in a gang-infested city!!

but..

No rapes, no murders, no robberies, no assaults, no piss in the elevators, no broken/stolen fixtures, no nothing. I never once saw a police car, but I think somebody once stole a bicycle. 

Foreign visitors who couldn't read the signs thought it was a pretty swank condo.

No Negroes. Know peace. Go ahead kultists: tell me we're all the same. Tell me it's "the poverty". You're wrong.

 

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:26 | 6577444 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

The same is true of the West; the teaming masses are having the babies, the "cultured" of the "advanced" societies are using birth control.

The result will be a cultural shift and a degradation of civilization, which would be a normal cycle if we didn't have nukes.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:39 | 6577487 falconflight
falconflight's picture

Hard to believe posters down arrowed an obviously irrefutable trend.  Children aren't economic multipliers in modern western society, they cost huge portions of lifetime earnings of their parents.  

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:07 | 6577551 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

NWO loves the Muzzies, Chinese masses, Mexicans, etc.  It is no accident that the West's jobs went to China, Vietnam, Mexico, etc, and that the Middle East is currently innundating the West with "refugees."  Neo-feudalism is here to stay.  

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:32 | 6577598 MalteseFalcon
MalteseFalcon's picture

This is clearly the truth. 

Educated westerners are no longer buying the BS. 

A new, stupider audience is needed.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 00:42 | 6577697 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Europe will become middle eastern and Muslim. The US will have a mix of Hispanic and middle eastern.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:27 | 6577445 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

there should be a maximum voting age

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:35 | 6577464 rejected
rejected's picture

Well not too worry about this useless eater. I figured out the voting scam years ago.

When you return from voting next year be sure to let us know how good it felt to make everything right in the world.

lol...

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:03 | 6577544 CapnJackDaniel
CapnJackDaniel's picture

As soon as you retire, you stop contributing materially to the kitty; so you stop getting a say in how it's spent. 

Want to be looked after in retirement? Spend your working life contributing to a society that is willing to support you after you have the power to force it to by voting. 

 

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:28 | 6577453 rejected
rejected's picture

Who in their right mind would bring children into this mad world filled with poverty, wars, slavery, crime, debt and the never ending stream of megalomaniacs at the helm.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:33 | 6577470 Thirtyseven
Thirtyseven's picture

White Nationalists hoping to keep civilization alive?

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 14:48 | 6580482 Kobe Beef
Kobe Beef's picture

14 words.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:31 | 6577458 oak
oak's picture

even worse, japanese lives longer.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 00:35 | 6577685 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

Not those who have been eating tritium and radioactive cesium.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:32 | 6577466 Thirtyseven
Thirtyseven's picture

They should import some robust Africans to make up the difference.  Lol.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:35 | 6577474 withnmeans
withnmeans's picture

I don't even need to read this, if anyone should know this is a boon to the Japanese society. Nobody wants death, however for the economy, whew, less pensioners, better for employment figures. Keynseyans can spin this how they want, but less people less mouths to feed. This is precisely the reason there are wars as well, cut the population!

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:38 | 6577606 Shadow1275
Shadow1275's picture

Sigh, the problem with this logic is that the ratio between taxpayers and those who grow so old that they retire and can no longer take care of themselves is growing smaller. As costs go up so does the chance of having children, children are very expensive propositions. And in a liberal society having kids is usually a big no no thanks to Feminist brainwashing, cost of living from government regulation, and free choice. Of course, women can choose to do whatever they want. In a free society that is their right and a free market will compensate for the decrease in population and costs will remain low but in a liberal socialist society you need those lovely taxpayer sheep to support all of those "kind" socialist programs. It's like stealing the future from the next generation.

 

Gotta love Socialism, it steals from so many people on so many levels.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:50 | 6577631 theeseer
theeseer's picture

Shadow you miss the point you can go to growing Latin or Asian countries and revel in "family Values" and watch out of control birth rates and prostituion and kids not getting an education or watch what happens in all developed nations and see what you described. Getting the mix correct is imposible because the economics determine the relative attitudes for both women and men. More money per person more independence, less family etc. Sad but true its human nature you are railing against.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 01:28 | 6577751 Bach's_bitch
Bach's_bitch's picture

Since it is humans we are talking about, it is bound to be human nature we praise or rail against depending on our perspective. That in itself doesn't mean our praise or criticism is unwarranted or irrelevant.

The point however is that human beings need to have plenty of resources, stability and security in order to stop breeding like rodents, because luxury and comfort substitute the need to have children and family, and the need for luxury and comfort increases at a rate commensurate with that of the need for more children (i.e, it doesn't stop).

It is interesting that it's precisely the overpopulated countries of Asia which support the relatively sparsely populated countries of the West at their current level of infrastructure and consumption. It's Yin and Yang...until, well, it isn't.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 14:50 | 6580495 Kobe Beef
Kobe Beef's picture

r/K selection. Not all hominids employ the same reproductive strategy.

K-selection produces civilization.

r-selection produces shit, and lots of shitheads.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:35 | 6577475 falconflight
falconflight's picture

This is nearly as catastrophic as the Rus demographic.  The Russian Republic's frontier by 2060 will likely mirror the Muscovy of the 12th Century.  Russian women begging on line for Western Men is a sure sign of the impotence of the russian male.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 22:58 | 6577531 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

Dont knock yourself out jacking off.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:18 | 6577571 Peltast
Peltast's picture

Uncle Semite will launch Japan into a new Global War before they die of old age.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:55 | 6577639 Dr. Bonzo
Dr. Bonzo's picture

Looks like Japan is well positioned for a transition to the post human future.


Tue, 09/22/2015 - 00:02 | 6577647 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Maybe the world will end soon.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 12:08 | 6579499 Skiprrrdog
Skiprrrdog's picture

Lord I hope so...if not, I am saving a silver bullet with my name on it by way of exit strategy. This world is like an endless, hellish loop of 'Groundhog Day'...

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 00:32 | 6577677 onmail1
onmail1's picture

Dont worry Japs

You have sold your souls to America in unconditional surrender,

Btw now the Americans are there to produce the next stock of Japanese offsprings

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 01:10 | 6577726 kaboomnomic
kaboomnomic's picture

WHAAAAATTTTT?? American Men?

http://www.prb.org/publications/datasheets/2012/world-population-data-sh...

 

Better Japan woman humping that jap's old man. At least they are more fertile..

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 01:12 | 6577728 kaboomnomic
kaboomnomic's picture

Look. This is already happening.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4255510/

http://science.time.com/2012/03/14/population-studies-birth-rates-are-de...

We already too many for this earth. That decline? Might be what the world populations need..

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 01:19 | 6577741 kareninca
kareninca's picture

Most of the people I volunteer with are old  -  in their 60s-80s.  They are perfectly capable of doing any reasonable task.  My mom has a friend who is a nice Italian American lady who is thinking of moving into assisted living at age 90, because her washer/dryer are in the basement  -  other than that she has no problems.  My brother on the other hand weighs 400+ pounds and can't do any physical work and he's in his 50s.  There is no problem with having a lot of old people, unless you are a bankster and are trying to support an econonomic ponzi. 

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 02:02 | 6577780 Batman11
Batman11's picture

We hear two things:

1) The demographic problem

2) Mass youth unemployment (especially in Europe)

Any ideas?

 

 

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 03:04 | 6577827 johnconnor
johnconnor's picture

Yes, let's bring a 100,000 radical muslims Refugees to Europe to fix the unemployment problem... also let's fire 100,000 well paid americans and let's bring 200,000 more indians on H1Bs

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 08:38 | 6578263 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Better yet.

Let's flood the US with millions of illiterate Mexicans and Central Americans so that US Corporations can have cheap labor to pick fruits and vegetables and clean toilets.

Let's let US taxpayers pay all the social costs from food stamps, to affordable housing, to health costs, to schooling their children, to building prisons to house their criminals.

Let's also allow them to breed so that they become the majority minority and vote Democrat forever ensuring that the top echelon's of the Democrat party remain in power for our lifetimes.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 14:52 | 6580502 Kobe Beef
Kobe Beef's picture

Don't forget: pay Cash for Bastards!

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 18:13 | 6581531 didthatreallyhappen
didthatreallyhappen's picture

LIBERALS ARE FUCKING PIECES OF SHIT. INDIANS ON AN H1B ARE FUCKING PIECES OF SHIT

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 02:24 | 6577794 quasi_verbatim
quasi_verbatim's picture

Nippon is fading from the page of history.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 03:11 | 6577837 laomei
laomei's picture

not too worried about this to be honest.  as the population ages, yes, it will cause some economic crisis, there will be some decrease in living standard, but it's not as if this is the first time in human history that a population has aged.  

 

What we are seeing going on right now is models that have been leaned on and relied upon for quite a while are reaching their limits.  Sooner or later, it'll snap and something new will be implemented which makes complete and total sense and seems like it was obvious... and one day, that too will reach its limits and fail.  This is how the world works.  Shit's awesome and works fine until one day when it doesnt.  Civilizations that embrace the changes thrive, ones that bury themselves in the old ways tend to just get their asses handed to them.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 04:00 | 6577876 Marco
Marco's picture

Except when it snaps now nukes will fly.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 04:43 | 6577907 MKD
MKD's picture

send in the syrian refugees

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 06:26 | 6577965 nmewn
nmewn's picture

lmao!...nu nuuuz headline:

Obama To Accept Up To 400,000 Japanese Seniors Over Five Years!

Oh yeah, I can see it all now...Won't you please help? Just a dollar a day will house, feed and clothe your adopted Japanese senior...and we'll send you a picture of your Japanese senior.

Call now!

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 06:19 | 6577960 Joe A
Joe A's picture

Why do you think they are advancing research into robots?

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 06:53 | 6577989 bluez
bluez's picture

The Internet has destroyed Japan. Why go through all that complicated fuss and bother when you can get great porn with a couple clicks?

The Japanese do not do the legally and medically troubling sex bullshit nomore. That is so twentieth century. Just a click and you have it. No more messy "relationships". Or expensive shitty little kids to feed.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 14:54 | 6580510 Kobe Beef
Kobe Beef's picture

That's actually a realistic observation: Japan has reached the point where its porn is more interesting than its women.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 08:53 | 6578395 brushhog
brushhog's picture

That is actually a very good and natural thing. Populations are not supposed to go up, exponentially, for ever. The earth has a limited carry capacity. We are grossly overpopulated at 7 billion. Many of our economic woes are a reflection of resource strain. We are quickly reaching the point where infinite growth runs smack into the wall of finite resource.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 08:56 | 6578420 Mick Shrimpton
Mick Shrimpton's picture

I can get them a good deal on as many Syrian refugees they want.

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 09:35 | 6578611 Why.Not.
Why.Not.'s picture

It's the sex. Japanese women squeal, a lot. I guess Japanese men just got tired of it and decided to invent some nice quiet compliant dolls that incidentally do not reproduce and have much lower maintenance costs.

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